Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#100
Expected Predictive Rating+3.8#113
Pace67.9#185
Improvement+4.3#28

Offense
Total Offense+2.2#110
First Shot+3.7#79
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#267
Layup/Dunks+2.6#89
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.0#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#43
Freethrows-0.8#240
Improvement+0.1#181

Defense
Total Defense+2.2#108
First Shot+2.3#99
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#203
Layups/Dunks+0.3#161
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#312
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#148
Freethrows+2.8#27
Improvement+4.2#25
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 5.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.2 12.2 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.3% 5.3% 0.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 72 - 11
Quad 38 - 310 - 14
Quad 47 - 017 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 56   Santa Clara L 78-85 29%     0 - 1 +3.1 +5.8 -2.4
  Nov 16, 2024 156   Loyola Marymount W 77-71 75%     1 - 1 +3.5 +4.7 -1.2
  Nov 22, 2024 127   Wichita St. L 63-88 59%     1 - 2 -23.0 -14.2 -6.2
  Nov 25, 2024 199   Quinnipiac W 81-67 81%     2 - 2 +9.1 -1.9 +9.3
  Nov 27, 2024 236   Umass Lowell W 93-90 85%     3 - 2 -3.9 +17.7 -21.5
  Dec 02, 2024 262   Jackson St. W 74-66 88%     4 - 2 -0.4 +2.8 -2.6
  Dec 05, 2024 64   @ San Francisco L 61-78 26%     4 - 3 -6.0 -5.1 -0.9
  Dec 08, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 85-62 98%     5 - 3 +3.4 +8.0 -3.5
  Dec 15, 2024 136   @ Illinois St. L 77-81 51%     5 - 4 +0.1 +12.8 -13.1
  Dec 18, 2024 129   Wofford L 71-74 69%     5 - 5 -3.8 +2.0 -6.2
  Dec 22, 2024 90   @ Grand Canyon L 72-73 34%     5 - 6 +7.5 +6.7 +0.8
  Dec 31, 2024 222   @ Fordham W 88-63 69%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +24.4 +14.8 +9.8
  Jan 03, 2025 75   Saint Joseph's W 73-57 49%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +20.7 +7.9 +14.0
  Jan 08, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure W 73-68 63%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +6.0 +7.2 -0.9
  Jan 14, 2025 36   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-78 13%     8 - 7 3 - 1 +0.4 +3.3 -4.5
  Jan 18, 2025 223   @ Richmond W 63-59 69%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +3.4 -11.2 +14.5
  Jan 22, 2025 216   La Salle W 64-52 83%     10 - 7 5 - 1 +6.2 -10.7 +17.0
  Jan 25, 2025 116   @ George Washington L 61-67 43%     10 - 8 5 - 2 +0.1 -2.1 +1.6
  Jan 28, 2025 36   Virginia Commonwealth W 78-69 27%     11 - 8 6 - 2 +19.9 +6.9 +12.5
  Jan 31, 2025 74   Dayton L 63-71 49%     11 - 9 6 - 3 -3.2 -6.7 +3.1
  Feb 04, 2025 196   @ Massachusetts W 73-71 64%     12 - 9 7 - 3 +2.8 +4.4 -1.6
  Feb 07, 2025 75   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-76 29%     12 - 10 7 - 4 -2.8 -1.9 -1.4
  Feb 11, 2025 89   George Mason L 74-76 OT 55%     12 - 11 7 - 5 +1.0 +8.6 -7.6
  Feb 14, 2025 108   @ Loyola Chicago L 69-78 42%     12 - 12 7 - 6 -2.5 +1.1 -3.7
  Feb 22, 2025 151   Rhode Island W 81-66 74%     13 - 12 8 - 6 +12.8 +3.2 +9.0
  Feb 25, 2025 140   @ Davidson W 57-56 52%     14 - 12 9 - 6 +4.9 -5.6 +10.7
  Mar 01, 2025 108   Loyola Chicago W 98-67 63%     15 - 12 10 - 6 +32.0 +33.6 +0.6
  Mar 04, 2025 74   @ Dayton L 67-75 29%     15 - 13 10 - 7 +2.3 +1.1 +0.7
  Mar 08, 2025 121   Duquesne W 90-88 OT 68%     16 - 13 11 - 7 +1.7 +12.1 -10.5
  Mar 13, 2025 140   Davidson W 73-70 63%    
Projected Record 17 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 100.0 100.0 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 3.3% 3.3% 12.2 0.0 2.6 0.6 0.1 96.7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.3% 3.3% 0.0% 12.2 0.0 2.6 0.6 0.1 96.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.3% 100.0% 12.2 1.2 78.5 18.7 1.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.3%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 25.2%
Lose Out 37.6%