Saint Louis
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.4#105
Expected Predictive Rating+3.3#122
Pace69.5#146
Improvement+4.1#37

Offense
Total Offense+2.0#118
First Shot+3.6#81
After Offensive Rebound-1.5#276
Layup/Dunks+2.5#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.1#336
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.0#44
Freethrows-0.9#238
Improvement-3.0#324

Defense
Total Defense+2.3#108
First Shot+2.5#97
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#204
Layups/Dunks+0.3#157
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#310
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#146
Freethrows+2.8#26
Improvement+7.0#1
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.4% 6.5% 4.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.2 12.5
.500 or above 78.9% 90.3% 66.6%
.500 or above in Conference 90.8% 97.0% 84.2%
Conference Champion 2.4% 4.0% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round5.4% 6.5% 4.3%
Second Round0.8% 1.1% 0.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Massachusetts (Away) - 51.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 63 - 9
Quad 38 - 510 - 14
Quad 46 - 117 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 64   Santa Clara L 78-85 34%     0 - 1 +1.5 +4.7 -3.0
  Nov 16, 2024 136   Loyola Marymount W 77-71 70%     1 - 1 +5.0 +5.6 -0.6
  Nov 22, 2024 134   Wichita St. L 63-88 61%     1 - 2 -23.5 -15.5 -5.4
  Nov 25, 2024 187   Quinnipiac W 81-67 78%     2 - 2 +10.2 -1.4 +9.8
  Nov 27, 2024 203   Umass Lowell W 93-90 80%     3 - 2 -1.6 +19.0 -20.4
  Dec 02, 2024 284   Jackson St. W 74-66 89%     4 - 2 -1.2 +3.2 -3.9
  Dec 05, 2024 72   @ San Francisco L 61-78 29%     4 - 3 -6.9 -6.2 -0.8
  Dec 08, 2024 359   Chicago St. W 85-62 96%     5 - 3 +6.3 +11.8 -4.4
  Dec 15, 2024 135   @ Illinois St. L 77-81 51%     5 - 4 +0.0 +12.4 -12.9
  Dec 18, 2024 151   Wofford L 71-74 72%     5 - 5 -4.7 +2.2 -7.2
  Dec 22, 2024 74   @ Grand Canyon L 72-73 29%     5 - 6 +9.0 +6.8 +2.2
  Dec 31, 2024 191   @ Fordham W 88-63 62%     6 - 6 1 - 0 +26.1 +16.2 +10.0
  Jan 03, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's W 73-57 51%     7 - 6 2 - 0 +20.2 +8.6 +12.8
  Jan 08, 2025 95   St. Bonaventure W 73-68 56%     8 - 6 3 - 0 +7.8 +5.8 +2.4
  Jan 14, 2025 38   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 62-78 17%     8 - 7 3 - 1 -1.6 +3.7 -6.8
  Jan 18, 2025 220   @ Richmond W 63-59 69%     9 - 7 4 - 1 +3.2 -10.4 +13.6
  Jan 22, 2025 193   La Salle W 64-52 79%     10 - 7 5 - 1 +8.0 -9.7 +17.7
  Jan 25, 2025 124   @ George Washington L 61-67 49%     10 - 8 5 - 2 -1.4 -4.0 +2.1
  Jan 28, 2025 38   Virginia Commonwealth W 78-69 31%     11 - 8 6 - 2 +18.4 +7.6 +10.5
  Jan 31, 2025 80   Dayton L 63-71 48%     11 - 9 6 - 3 -3.2 -6.8 +3.2
  Feb 04, 2025 152   @ Massachusetts W 76-75 52%    
  Feb 07, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-75 31%    
  Feb 11, 2025 81   George Mason L 65-66 50%    
  Feb 14, 2025 128   @ Loyola Chicago L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 22, 2025 121   Rhode Island W 78-73 69%    
  Feb 25, 2025 126   @ Davidson L 73-74 47%    
  Mar 01, 2025 128   Loyola Chicago W 74-69 69%    
  Mar 04, 2025 80   @ Dayton L 70-75 29%    
  Mar 08, 2025 142   Duquesne W 71-65 72%    
Projected Record 16 - 13 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.2 0.9 1.1 0.3 2.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 3.4 4.6 1.6 0.1 10.1 2nd
3rd 0.7 7.7 11.6 3.7 0.2 23.8 3rd
4th 0.1 4.1 10.3 2.9 0.1 17.4 4th
5th 0.8 9.7 4.4 0.2 15.1 5th
6th 0.0 4.4 6.3 0.6 11.2 6th
7th 0.6 6.3 1.3 8.2 7th
8th 1.9 2.7 0.1 4.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.8 0.5 3.5 9th
10th 0.6 1.4 2.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 0.3 1.0 11th
12th 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 0.1 0.1 0.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
Total 0.2 2.0 7.0 14.7 22.1 23.3 18.2 9.2 2.9 0.4 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 73.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 37.5% 1.1    0.3 0.5 0.3 0.0
13-5 9.9% 0.9    0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.4% 2.4 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.4% 17.1% 14.6% 2.4% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.9%
14-4 2.9% 10.8% 10.8% 11.6 0.1 0.2 0.0 2.6
13-5 9.2% 9.6% 9.6% 11.9 0.2 0.6 0.1 8.3
12-6 18.2% 8.8% 8.8% 12.2 0.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 16.6
11-7 23.3% 5.7% 5.7% 12.4 0.0 0.8 0.4 0.1 22.0
10-8 22.1% 4.0% 4.0% 12.8 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 21.2
9-9 14.7% 1.7% 1.7% 13.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 14.5
8-10 7.0% 1.0% 1.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
7-11 2.0% 1.5% 1.5% 15.0 0.0 2.0
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 5.4% 5.4% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 3.1 1.4 0.3 0.1 94.6 0.0%