St. Bonaventure
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +1.0 142
Results Rating +0.4 153
Pace 67.0 231
Improvement -3.9 325

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B- 99 B- C+ C- C- D+
Defense C- 240 D+ C C C C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 129 C+ 59% 140 +1.4 122
2 Pt. Jumpers 49% 56 A- 45% 29 +4.0 31
Three Pointers 34% 321 B 37% 64 -2.2 257
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ -0.6 265 B +3.8 67
1st FG Attempt B- 1.09 83
Second Chance B 35.0% 55 D+ 0.97 263 C+ 0.34 106
Turnovers C- 17.2% 212
Freethrows D 0.27 295 B 76% 50 C- 0.21 236
Total Offense B- +3.2 99

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B+ 59% 39 C 11.0% 182
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 56 B+ 2.5% 27
Three Pointers B- 88% 82 C- 1.1% 237
Total B- 60% 76 C+ 5.4% 167

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% 155 C- 59% 206 +1.0 215
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% 189 C- 39% 240 +0.1 195
Three Pointers 40% 199 D 37% 290 +1.3 244
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- +0.1 193 D+ +2.2 262
1st FG Attempt D+ 1.07 256
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 127 C- 1.06 231 C 0.31 171
Turnovers C 17.0% 164
Freethrows C+ 0.29 126 F+ 77% 354 C 0.22 180
Total Defense C- -2.2 240

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 266 B+ 15.8% 38
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 27% 216 C 5.4% 133
Three Pointers D+ 88% 288 C 0.9% 161
Total D+ 59% 266 B 7.7% 44

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.0 136 17.8 266
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.23 36 0.17 190
Improvement +0.2 #176 -4.1 #343

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 173 147 123
Results Rating Rank 221 154 125
Conference Record 3 - 15 5 - 13 6 - 12
Conference Finish 13 13 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 13.9 13.7 14.4
.500 or above 40% 57% 19%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 7% 1% 14%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Rhode Island (Home) - 54.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 32 - 6
Quad 35 - 88 - 14
Quad 48 - 215 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 112 Bradley W 69 - 63 41% +4  82% 1 - 0 B +9 C- -1 D+ C- C- A +10 C- A+ C-
 Sat, Nov 8 344 Canisius W 89 - 70 93% +10  87% 2 - 0 C+ +4 A+ +17 C- A+ B+ F -12 F B- D
 Wed, Nov 12 191 Siena W 75 - 66 72% +3  63% 3 - 0 C+ +4 C+ +3 C A+ D C+ +2 A+ F A
 Sat, Nov 15 198 Youngstown St. W 84 - 80 72% +1  54% 4 - 0 C -1 B +6 A+ B- D- D- -7 C+ F C-
 Thu, Nov 20 179 Robert Morris W 75 - 61 69% +7  97% 5 - 0 B +10 C- -2 C+ C- F A+ +12 A+ B A-
 Tue, Nov 25 27 North Carolina L 70 - 85 10% -8  1% 5 - 1 C +0 C- -0 C+ B- B C+ +1 C- D A
 Thu, Nov 27 246 East Carolina W 67 - 58 71% +3  90% 6 - 1 C+ +4 F+ -10 F+ D+ D- A+ +14 A+ A+ A+
 Sun, Nov 30 116 @Florida Atlantic W 70 - 65 31% +4  87% 7 - 1 B +11 B- +4 A+ F+ D+ A- +7 A D B
 Sat, Dec 6 207 @Buffalo W 77 - 69 52% +7  98% 8 - 1 B +8 C+ +3 C+ A- F B+ +6 D F+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 244 Colgate W 85 - 77 79% -3  32% 9 - 1 C +1 B- +5 C+ B- D D -5 B F F
 Sat, Dec 13 209 Ohio L 83 - 88 OT 64% -2  16% 9 - 2 D+ -8 C- -2 D+ C D D -5 F+ F D+
 Sat, Dec 20 300 Le Moyne W 92 - 81 87% +2  68% 10 - 2 C -0 A+ +15 A B+ B F -14 C F F+
 Wed, Dec 31 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 82 - 89 11% -0  43% 10 - 3 0 - 1 B- +7 A+ +15 A- B+ B D- -8 D+ C- F
 Wed, Jan 7 130 Richmond L 80 - 89 58% -7  2% 10 - 4 0 - 2 D -10 C+ +3 D A+ A+ F -13 D+ F C
 Sat, Jan 10 155 Fordham L 77 - 81 64% -2  26% 10 - 5 0 - 3 D+ -7 B+ +7 B+ A+ C F -14 F A+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 133 @Saint Joseph's L 64 - 68 35% -4  21% 10 - 6 0 - 4 C +1 C- -2 F+ C C B- +2 C- A+ B-
 Sat, Jan 17 200 @La Salle L 74 - 78 51% -2  19% 10 - 7 0 - 5 C- -3 B+ +9 A+ F C F -13 F F A+
 Tue, Jan 20 282 Loyola Chicago W 84 - 70 84% -3  28% 11 - 7 1 - 5 C+ +4 B- +5 D+ D+ A+ C -1 F A+ A
 Fri, Jan 23 23 Saint Louis L 62 - 97 12% -25  0% 11 - 8 1 - 6 F -22 D- -7 C- D- C F -15 F C D
 Wed, Jan 28 110 @Duquesne W 87 - 79 30% -2  29% 12 - 8 2 - 6 A- +14 A+ +15 A+ D+ A+ C -1 D- A+ D-
 Sat, Jan 31 105 George Mason L 73 - 77 48% +8  96% 12 - 9 2 - 7 C- -3 D+ -2 A+ D F+ C -0 D- C- A+
 Tue, Feb 3 87 @Dayton L 70 - 72 21% -3  16% 12 - 10 2 - 8 B- +8 B+ +8 B+ B- B- C -0 B B- D+
 Sat, Feb 7 155 @Fordham W 70 - 67 42% -0  43% 13 - 10 3 - 8 B- +6 B+ +9 A+ B F C- -2 F+ A B-
 Sat, Feb 14 110 Duquesne L 73 - 78 52% -7  5% 13 - 11 3 - 9 C- -5 C- -1 C B D D+ -4 C+ A F
 Wed, Feb 18 133 Saint Joseph's L 65 - 71 58% -2  29% 13 - 12 3 - 10 D+ -7 D- -7 F+ D+ C- C -0 B- C+ F
 Sat, Feb 21 130 @Richmond L 94 - 99 35% -0  46% 13 - 13 3 - 11 C -0 A+ +15 A+ D+ B+ F -15 F D D
 Wed, Feb 25 124 Rhode Island W 73 - 72 54%
 Sat, Feb 28 105 @George Mason L 70 - 76 27%
 Wed, Mar 4 82 @George Washington L 76 - 85 20%
 Sat, Mar 7 113 Davidson W 72 - 71 54%
Totals 15 - 15 5 - 13 +1 B- +3 A B D+ C- -2 B B C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B- C+ A- B B 40% 49% 34% D+ B- B D+ C+ C- D B C- C- C- C- D D+ 39% 20% 40% C- D+ C+ C- C C C+ F+ C
1.13 59% 45% 37% +4 -1 1.09 35% 1.0 .34 17% .27 76% .21 1.12 59% 39% 37% +2 0 1.07 29% 1.1 .31 17% .29 77% .21
Nov
3		 Bradley C- F A- C+ D+ 30% 30% 40% C- D+ A- F C- C- C B C+ A F F A D+ 33% 25% 41% B- C- A+ A+ A+ C- A B+ A
1.04 40% 47% 35% -2 -2 0.94 38% 0.7 .28 20% .32 76% .24 0.95 71% 46% 29% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.0 .00 14% .23 69% .16
Nov
8		 Canisius A+ C B+ C C 33% 24% 43% D C- A+ B- A+ B+ C+ A- B- F F F F F 29% 31% 40% A- F B- C+ B- D D C- D
1.39 61% 46% 35% +3 -1 1.07 57% 1.1 .63 13% .32 78% .25 1.10 62% 50% 44% +11 -2 1.20 24% 0.9 .21 17% .32 71% .23
Nov
12		 Siena C+ F A+ B C 51% 32% 17% C- C A A+ A+ D C D- C- C+ A+ F A A+ 34% 39% 27% A A+ F F F A F C F
1.17 46% 60% 38% +2 -1 1.04 43% 1.3 .57 19% .29 67% .19 1.03 27% 53% 25% -9 -3 0.80 45% 1.2 .55 22% .48 75% .36
Nov
15		 Youngstown St. B A- A+ A+ A+ 49% 26% 26% C A+ A- D B- D- C+ D- C D- D A+ B C+ 40% 8% 52% D- C+ C- F F C- D B+ D+
1.20 70% 50% 50% +15 0 1.32 38% 0.9 .35 21% .36 70% .25 1.14 65% 25% 31% -1 +2 1.04 31% 1.8 .56 19% .32 67% .21
Nov
20		 Robert Morris C- B F D C 56% 10% 33% A C+ A+ F C- F F+ A- D A+ A+ D A+ A+ 47% 14% 39% F A+ B B B A- C F F
1.09 63% 20% 31% -1 +3 1.06 42% 0.7 .28 20% .31 82% .26 0.89 33% 43% 25% -16 +2 0.73 33% 1.0 .33 22% .24 92% .22
Nov
25		 North Carolina C- F C A+ C 43% 28% 28% B- C+ C+ B B- B F F F+ C+ C+ B+ F C- 43% 20% 37% C C- C+ F D A F F F
0.98 42% 35% 41% -5 -1 0.92 27% 1.0 .27 13% .13 63% .08 1.19 60% 33% 47% +7 +1 1.17 33% 1.3 .43 18% .46 78% .36
Nov
27		 East Carolina F+ C D+ F+ D- 23% 38% 40% F F+ D- B D+ D- C- A+ C+ A+ A+ B C- A+ 40% 27% 33% C A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F F F
0.95 58% 35% 29% -4 -3 0.87 25% 1.2 .31 20% .25 86% .21 0.82 22% 33% 33% -16 -1 0.69 30% 0.6 .19 24% .47 84% .39
Nov
30		 Florida Atlantic B- C- A+ A+ A+ 56% 14% 30% B+ A+ F C F+ D+ A+ F B+ A- A+ F A A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A D C- D B B- A- B+
1.08 54% 67% 46% +7 +2 1.21 15% 1.0 .15 18% .41 64% .26 1.00 41% 57% 27% -8 +1 0.87 36% 1.1 .41 20% .27 64% .17
Dec
6		 Buffalo C+ B+ C- B C+ 36% 18% 47% C- C+ A+ D- A- F C+ A+ B+ B+ F B+ C D 43% 13% 43% D- D A- F F+ A+ A+ A+ A+
1.15 69% 38% 38% +7 0 1.16 52% 0.8 .42 25% .28 86% .24 1.03 70% 33% 35% +5 +1 1.15 21% 1.8 .38 25% .22 64% .14
Dec
10		 Colgate B- A+ B F B 38% 33% 29% F+ C+ A+ F B- D A+ A- A+ D D C A+ B 37% 30% 33% B- B F F+ F F D+ A+ B
1.22 75% 41% 27% +4 -2 1.08 43% 0.8 .35 17% .42 79% .33 1.10 62% 41% 26% -1 -1 0.96 37% 1.1 .41 9% .30 53% .16
Dec
13		 Ohio C- C- B- F D+ 43% 33% 24% F+ D+ B+ F+ C D C- A+ B+ D D+ F C+ F 33% 33% 35% A- F+ B F F D+ A+ F A-
1.08 56% 42% 29% -2 -1 0.97 40% 0.9 .34 18% .30 89% .27 1.14 61% 67% 32% +9 -2 1.16 24% 2.2 .52 14% .20 85% .17
Dec
20		 Le Moyne A+ F+ F A+ A 40% 12% 49% B A B+ B B+ B A+ B A+ F C- B B- C+ 39% 12% 49% D+ C F F F F+ F F F
1.35 47% 20% 52% +7 +1 1.19 38% 1.2 .44 12% .58 77% .45 1.19 60% 33% 32% -1 +1 1.02 31% 1.5 .46 16% .42 79% .33
Dec
31		 Virginia Commonwealth A+ B D A+ A 49% 34% 17% D A- A- C+ B+ B D+ A+ B D- F A- A+ C- 48% 13% 40% D+ D+ A+ F C- F F F F
1.21 62% 33% 56% +6 -1 1.11 37% 1.0 .37 15% .26 93% .24 1.31 78% 33% 26% +5 +2 1.15 20% 2.0 .40 10% .46 93% .43
Jan
7		 Richmond C+ F A+ F D- 41% 17% 41% A- D C+ A+ A+ A+ F F F F F B- C D+ 35% 29% 35% C- D+ F F+ F C F C F
1.15 46% 60% 25% -7 +1 0.90 33% 1.6 .53 10% .21 62% .13 1.28 76% 36% 35% +7 -1 1.13 32% 1.2 .39 14% .50 77% .39
Jan
10		 Fordham B+ B+ D+ A A- 27% 24% 49% C B+ B A+ A+ C F A+ D+ F D A+ F F 51% 16% 33% F F A- A+ A+ F F+ F F
1.16 64% 33% 40% +5 -1 1.10 31% 1.4 .45 17% .18 90% .16 1.22 64% 25% 50% +9 +1 1.22 29% 0.5 .14 14% .31 94% .29
Jan
14		 Saint Joseph's C- F D+ C F+ 39% 33% 28% D+ F+ A F C C C B+ C B- B- C+ C- C- 45% 12% 43% D C- B+ A+ A+ B- D+ F F+
0.97 38% 33% 33% -10 -2 0.80 40% 0.8 .30 15% .21 75% .16 1.03 55% 33% 33% -3 +2 1.00 28% 0.7 .19 20% .30 88% .26
Jan
17		 La Salle B+ B+ A+ A+ A+ 45% 22% 33% C A+ A- F F C F F F F F A- F F 33% 33% 33% A F D- F F A+ F F F
1.17 64% 64% 44% +13 0 1.29 38% 0.5 .19 17% .17 56% .10 1.23 85% 31% 54% +16 -2 1.31 39% 1.3 .50 27% .43 100% .43
Jan
20		 Loyola Chicago B- C F B+ D+ 32% 27% 41% D D+ F+ A- D+ A+ B- A+ A C D- A+ F F 35% 13% 52% C+ F B A+ A+ A B- D- C
1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29 1.02 65% 17% 44% +7 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21
Jan
23		 Saint Louis D- C C+ F C 32% 34% 34% F+ C- C+ F D- C A F+ B F C A+ F F 46% 2% 52% D+ F B F+ C D A+ A+ A+
0.88 53% 39% 22% -7 -2 0.83 28% 0.5 .14 16% .40 67% .27 1.38 62% 0% 59% +20 +3 1.48 29% 1.2 .35 14% .15 44% .07
Jan
28		 Duquesne A+ D A+ A+ A+ 43% 29% 29% C- A+ F A+ D+ A+ A A A+ C A+ F F F+ 40% 12% 48% C+ D- C A+ A+ D- C- A+ A-
1.24 52% 64% 50% +12 -1 1.24 16% 1.5 .24 11% .42 81% .34 1.13 45% 67% 46% +7 +1 1.18 30% 0.5 .14 14% .37 55% .20
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 George Mason D+ C- A+ A+ A+ 47% 29% 24% C+ A+ F+ B- D F+ A+ F A C F F A+ D 50% 12% 38% F D- C- C C- A+ A+ B+ A+
1.04 57% 62% 45% +11 0 1.22 19% 1.0 .19 20% .44 56% .25 1.09 73% 67% 25% +6 +2 1.17 32% 1.0 .32 23% .28 67% .18
Feb
3		 Dayton B+ A+ A+ F A- 32% 30% 38% D B+ A- D B- B- B- A+ A- C F+ A+ B- B 40% 16% 44% B- B B- B- B- D+ F F F
1.10 87% 50% 22% +6 -2 1.11 37% 0.9 .33 20% .33 82% .28 1.13 71% 0% 32% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 16% .61 85% .52
Feb
7		 Fordham B+ A A+ A+ A+ 30% 48% 23% F A+ A+ D- B F F B F C- D A- F F+ 35% 20% 46% C F+ C A+ A B- D C- D
1.13 69% 57% 50% +18 -4 1.30 39% 0.9 .35 27% .16 71% .11 1.08 63% 33% 38% +3 0 1.09 34% 0.6 .22 19% .28 71% .20
Feb
14		 Duquesne C- C+ B F C+ 41% 43% 16% F C B- B B D B+ C+ B+ D+ C A- D+ C+ 39% 12% 49% C+ C+ A+ C+ A F A+ B A+
1.06 60% 43% 25% +1 -3 0.98 31% 1.1 .34 20% .40 73% .29 1.13 59% 29% 36% 0 +1 1.05 21% 1.0 .21 9% .25 69% .17
Feb
18		 Saint Joseph's D- F+ F C F+ 29% 36% 36% D- F+ C- D+ D+ C- F A+ F+ C A+ F B+ B+ 42% 7% 51% D- B- B- C C+ F B+ A- A-
0.94 47% 24% 33% -9 -3 0.80 30% 0.9 .27 16% .10 100% .10 1.02 43% 75% 29% -8 +2 0.91 30% 1.0 .30 13% .21 69% .15
Feb
21		 Richmond A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ 21% 36% 43% F A+ C F+ D+ B+ D B D+ F F F F F 29% 20% 51% D- F B F D D F C+ F
1.28 83% 40% 46% +14 -3 1.23 30% 1.0 .30 14% .25 75% .19 1.35 80% 60% 42% +17 -1 1.35 21% 1.5 .32 12% .43 75% .33



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 0.3 9th
10th 0.7 1.0 1.7 10th
11th 2.6 6.4 0.5 9.5 11th
12th 8.1 20.8 6.3 0.1 35.3 12th
13th 12.7 27.9 11.4 0.6 52.6 13th
14th 0.6 0.0 0.7 14th
Total 13.4 35.9 34.8 14.0 1.9 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11 1.9% 0.5% 0.5% 12.0 0.0 1.9
6-12 14.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 14.0
5-13 34.8% 0.2% 0.2% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 34.7
4-14 35.9% 0.1% 0.1% 14.8 0.0 0.0 35.9
3-15 13.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 13.3
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 13.9 99.8 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2%
Lose Out 6.4%