Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.2#141
Expected Predictive Rating-1.7#198
Pace67.9#194
Improvement+3.6#46

Offense
Total Offense-0.1#182
First Shot+0.8#150
After Offensive Rebound-0.9#247
Layup/Dunks-1.2#225
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#200
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#153
Freethrows+1.7#81
Improvement+0.5#156

Defense
Total Defense+1.3#140
First Shot+0.0#179
After Offensive Rebounds+1.3#79
Layups/Dunks+3.3#68
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.3#3
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.3#329
Freethrows-2.2#323
Improvement+3.1#35
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.9% 3.5% 2.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.7 13.5 14.1
.500 or above 58.5% 73.6% 41.8%
.500 or above in Conference 91.1% 97.5% 84.0%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.3% 0.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round2.9% 3.5% 2.2%
Second Round0.3% 0.3% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 52.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 40 - 6
Quad 35 - 65 - 12
Quad 410 - 315 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 328   Louisiana Monroe W 80-64 90%     1 - 0 +3.0 -1.5 +3.8
  Nov 11, 2024 320   Alcorn St. W 84-51 89%     2 - 0 +21.1 +14.1 +9.9
  Nov 15, 2024 165   @ Furman L 67-75 44%     2 - 1 -5.4 -1.7 -4.1
  Nov 19, 2024 279   Bethune-Cookman W 72-57 83%     3 - 1 +6.0 -0.8 +7.0
  Nov 22, 2024 351   New Orleans L 87-93 OT 93%     3 - 2 -21.3 -8.2 -12.1
  Nov 26, 2024 167   Wyoming L 63-64 55%     3 - 3 -1.0 -5.5 +4.4
  Nov 27, 2024 140   Belmont L 66-89 50%     3 - 4 -21.7 -8.6 -13.6
  Dec 02, 2024 228   SE Louisiana L 67-71 76%     3 - 5 -10.2 -3.9 -6.5
  Dec 07, 2024 81   @ George Mason L 64-76 21%     3 - 6 -2.2 +4.6 -7.6
  Dec 10, 2024 248   Southern Miss W 86-58 80%     4 - 6 +20.4 +11.3 +8.9
  Dec 14, 2024 82   Florida St. L 64-77 28%     4 - 7 -5.7 -3.8 -2.0
  Dec 31, 2024 221   @ Charlotte W 83-68 58%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +14.2 +3.2 +9.9
  Jan 04, 2025 202   Texas San Antonio W 92-63 71%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +24.5 +9.4 +13.5
  Jan 07, 2025 96   @ UAB L 69-81 28%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -4.6 -4.5 +0.0
  Jan 11, 2025 177   South Florida W 73-70 67%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -0.3 +8.0 -8.0
  Jan 15, 2025 106   Florida Atlantic W 80-65 48%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +16.7 +6.5 +10.4
  Jan 19, 2025 125   @ Temple L 77-80 37%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +1.6 +10.7 -9.3
  Jan 25, 2025 192   @ Rice W 82-71 51%     9 - 9 5 - 2 +12.0 +9.8 +2.2
  Jan 30, 2025 41   Memphis L 56-68 22%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -2.8 -7.6 +3.9
  Feb 02, 2025 238   Tulsa W 59-56 78%     10 - 10 6 - 3 -4.0 -11.3 +7.5
  Feb 05, 2025 202   @ Texas San Antonio W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 08, 2025 70   @ North Texas L 57-66 18%    
  Feb 15, 2025 192   Rice W 72-67 71%    
  Feb 19, 2025 150   East Carolina W 71-68 62%    
  Feb 23, 2025 134   @ Wichita St. L 71-74 37%    
  Feb 26, 2025 221   Charlotte W 72-65 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 238   @ Tulsa W 71-68 60%    
  Mar 06, 2025 150   @ East Carolina L 69-71 41%    
  Mar 09, 2025 96   UAB L 77-78 48%    
Projected Record 15 - 14 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.8 1st
2nd 0.3 2.6 4.4 2.1 0.2 9.5 2nd
3rd 0.2 3.7 8.1 3.7 0.3 15.9 3rd
4th 0.4 5.0 13.6 6.8 0.7 0.0 26.4 4th
5th 0.1 3.2 10.2 6.3 0.5 20.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 6.9 5.5 0.6 0.0 14.1 6th
7th 0.3 3.3 4.1 0.6 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 2.1 0.5 3.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 9th
10th 0.1 0.1 0.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 0.3 1.6 7.0 15.1 21.5 24.5 18.0 9.0 2.8 0.3 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 46.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1
14-4 14.5% 0.4    0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 2.2% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.3% 21.9% 21.9% 11.7 0.0 0.1 0.3
14-4 2.8% 9.8% 9.8% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 2.5
13-5 9.0% 6.7% 6.7% 13.2 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 8.4
12-6 18.0% 3.9% 3.9% 13.5 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.1 17.3
11-7 24.5% 2.7% 2.7% 14.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 23.8
10-8 21.5% 1.8% 1.8% 14.7 0.1 0.3 0.0 21.1
9-9 15.1% 1.1% 1.1% 15.0 0.2 14.9
8-10 7.0% 0.6% 0.6% 15.8 0.0 0.0 7.0
7-11 1.6% 1.8% 1.8% 16.0 0.0 1.6
6-12 0.3% 0.3
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 2.9% 2.9% 0.0% 13.7 0.0 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.1 97.1 0.0%