Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#202
Expected Predictive Rating-8.8#310
Pace68.9#182
Improvement-0.7#222

Offense
Total Offense-0.9#200
First Shot-0.2#179
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#233
Layup/Dunks-1.7#240
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#192
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.7#156
Freethrows+1.3#102
Improvement-0.4#207

Defense
Total Defense-1.0#198
First Shot-1.4#219
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#147
Layups/Dunks+3.8#51
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#2
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.5#351
Freethrows-3.1#344
Improvement-0.2#204
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.9% 1.3% 0.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.4 14.1 14.8
.500 or above 15.4% 25.5% 9.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.6% 51.6% 25.6%
Conference Champion 0.8% 1.6% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 12.8% 5.3% 17.6%
First Four0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
First Round0.8% 1.3% 0.5%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Charlotte (Away) - 38.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 61 - 7
Quad 33 - 74 - 14
Quad 48 - 412 - 18


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 334   Louisiana Monroe W 80-64 86%     1 - 0 +2.5 -1.8 +3.5
  Nov 11, 2024 337   Alcorn St. W 84-51 87%     2 - 0 +18.9 +10.7 +11.2
  Nov 15, 2024 115   @ Furman L 67-75 23%     2 - 1 -2.0 +1.4 -3.9
  Nov 19, 2024 263   Bethune-Cookman W 72-57 74%     3 - 1 +6.6 -1.5 +8.2
  Nov 22, 2024 343   New Orleans L 87-93 OT 88%     3 - 2 -20.6 -7.2 -12.4
  Nov 26, 2024 159   Wyoming L 63-64 43%     3 - 3 -1.0 -6.5 +5.5
  Nov 27, 2024 130   Belmont L 66-89 36%     3 - 4 -21.3 -7.5 -14.2
  Dec 02, 2024 225   SE Louisiana L 67-71 67%     3 - 5 -10.5 -2.2 -8.6
  Dec 07, 2024 82   @ George Mason L 64-76 13%     3 - 6 -1.9 +3.0 -5.8
  Dec 10, 2024 282   Southern Miss W 86-58 77%     4 - 6 +18.4 +9.2 +9.1
  Dec 14, 2024 70   Florida St. L 64-77 18%     4 - 7 -5.2 -3.9 -1.4
  Dec 31, 2024 197   @ Charlotte L 69-72 39%    
  Jan 04, 2025 226   Texas San Antonio W 80-75 67%    
  Jan 07, 2025 127   @ UAB L 75-82 26%    
  Jan 11, 2025 169   South Florida W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 15, 2025 88   Florida Atlantic L 77-82 32%    
  Jan 19, 2025 124   @ Temple L 69-76 26%    
  Jan 25, 2025 186   @ Rice L 67-71 37%    
  Jan 30, 2025 43   Memphis L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 02, 2025 239   Tulsa W 76-71 69%    
  Feb 05, 2025 226   @ Texas San Antonio L 77-78 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 84   @ North Texas L 57-69 15%    
  Feb 15, 2025 186   Rice W 70-68 59%    
  Feb 19, 2025 181   East Carolina W 70-68 58%    
  Feb 23, 2025 101   @ Wichita St. L 69-79 19%    
  Feb 26, 2025 197   Charlotte W 72-69 60%    
  Mar 01, 2025 239   @ Tulsa L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 06, 2025 181   @ East Carolina L 67-71 36%    
  Mar 09, 2025 127   UAB L 78-79 47%    
Projected Record 12 - 17 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.5 1.7 0.8 0.1 0.0 4.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.9 1.1 0.1 0.0 6.7 4th
5th 0.2 2.4 4.0 1.5 0.2 8.3 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.2 2.4 0.3 0.0 9.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 5.2 3.7 0.4 0.0 10.4 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.1 1.0 0.0 10.8 8th
9th 0.2 2.7 5.8 1.7 0.1 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.1 1.6 5.5 2.9 0.2 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.1 4.3 3.6 0.5 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.0 3.5 3.3 0.8 0.0 8.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.5 2.1 0.7 0.0 7.2 13th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.6 6.8 10.2 13.1 14.5 14.2 12.7 9.4 6.4 3.8 2.1 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 82.9% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 66.5% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 31.0% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.8% 0.8 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.1% 7.3% 7.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.3% 9.0% 9.0% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.3
14-4 0.8% 6.3% 6.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8
13-5 2.1% 4.7% 4.7% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.0
12-6 3.8% 3.6% 3.6% 13.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.7
11-7 6.4% 2.6% 2.6% 14.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 6.2
10-8 9.4% 1.5% 1.5% 14.6 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 9.2
9-9 12.7% 0.7% 0.7% 15.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 12.6
8-10 14.2% 0.5% 0.5% 15.9 0.0 0.1 14.2
7-11 14.5% 0.3% 0.3% 16.0 0.1 14.4
6-12 13.1% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-13 10.2% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 10.2
4-14 6.8% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.8
3-15 3.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 3.6
2-16 1.5% 1.5
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.9% 0.9% 0.0% 14.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.2 99.1 0.0%