Tulane
American Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.1#141
Expected Predictive Rating+0.1#161
Pace67.0#213
Improvement+2.7#81

Offense
Total Offense+1.0#145
First Shot+1.7#119
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#234
Layup/Dunks-0.8#210
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#198
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#142
Freethrows+2.0#73
Improvement+2.8#58

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#172
First Shot-1.1#217
After Offensive Rebounds+1.1#88
Layups/Dunks+3.0#74
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.2#4
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.8#333
Freethrows-2.5#337
Improvement-0.1#203
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.4% 7.5% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.0 14.0 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round3.4% 7.5% 0.0%
Second Round0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 2
Quad 20 - 50 - 7
Quad 34 - 55 - 12
Quad 412 - 217 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 08, 2024 345   Louisiana Monroe W 80-64 93%     1 - 0 +0.9 -3.4 +3.5
  Nov 11, 2024 325   Alcorn St. W 84-51 90%     2 - 0 +20.3 +13.2 +10.0
  Nov 15, 2024 138   @ Furman L 67-75 39%     2 - 1 -4.0 -1.4 -3.0
  Nov 19, 2024 289   Bethune-Cookman W 72-57 85%     3 - 1 +4.7 -3.1 +8.0
  Nov 22, 2024 354   New Orleans L 87-93 OT 94%     3 - 2 -22.5 -9.6 -11.9
  Nov 26, 2024 174   Wyoming L 63-64 58%     3 - 3 -2.0 -5.5 +3.5
  Nov 27, 2024 128   Belmont L 66-89 47%     3 - 4 -21.1 -6.8 -14.7
  Dec 02, 2024 218   SE Louisiana L 67-71 75%     3 - 5 -9.9 -4.7 -5.4
  Dec 07, 2024 89   @ George Mason L 64-76 24%     3 - 6 -3.5 +4.3 -8.6
  Dec 10, 2024 295   Southern Miss W 86-58 86%     4 - 6 +17.6 +10.2 +7.3
  Dec 14, 2024 85   Florida St. L 64-77 30%     4 - 7 -6.6 -3.3 -3.4
  Dec 31, 2024 242   @ Charlotte W 83-68 60%     5 - 7 1 - 0 +13.4 +2.0 +10.3
  Jan 04, 2025 182   Texas San Antonio W 92-63 69%     6 - 7 2 - 0 +24.9 +10.5 +12.7
  Jan 07, 2025 109   @ UAB L 69-81 30%     6 - 8 2 - 1 -5.5 -6.4 +0.9
  Jan 11, 2025 189   South Florida W 73-70 70%     7 - 8 3 - 1 -1.3 +8.7 -9.6
  Jan 15, 2025 107   Florida Atlantic W 80-65 50%     8 - 8 4 - 1 +16.1 +6.8 +9.5
  Jan 19, 2025 157   @ Temple L 77-80 42%     8 - 9 4 - 2 +0.0 +8.7 -8.9
  Jan 25, 2025 192   @ Rice W 82-71 51%     9 - 9 5 - 2 +11.9 +9.4 +2.6
  Jan 30, 2025 50   Memphis L 56-68 24%     9 - 10 5 - 3 -3.7 -7.6 +3.1
  Feb 02, 2025 250   Tulsa W 59-56 79%     10 - 10 6 - 3 -4.6 -11.7 +7.3
  Feb 05, 2025 182   @ Texas San Antonio W 61-60 49%     11 - 10 7 - 3 +2.4 -7.6 +10.0
  Feb 08, 2025 79   @ North Texas L 66-76 20%     11 - 11 7 - 4 +0.0 +16.5 -19.0
  Feb 15, 2025 192   Rice W 81-78 71%     12 - 11 8 - 4 -1.6 +11.1 -12.4
  Feb 19, 2025 164   East Carolina W 86-81 65%     13 - 11 9 - 4 +2.1 +9.8 -7.8
  Feb 23, 2025 127   @ Wichita St. L 67-78 36%     13 - 12 9 - 5 -6.3 +1.3 -8.2
  Feb 26, 2025 242   Charlotte W 78-64 78%     14 - 12 10 - 5 +6.9 +5.6 +2.2
  Mar 01, 2025 250   @ Tulsa W 79-77 62%     15 - 12 11 - 5 -0.1 +7.0 -7.1
  Mar 06, 2025 164   @ East Carolina L 64-73 44%     15 - 13 11 - 6 -6.4 -4.5 -2.5
  Mar 09, 2025 109   UAB W 85-68 50%     16 - 13 12 - 6 +18.0 +14.1 +5.2
Projected Record 16 - 13 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
Total 100.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 3.4% 3.4% 14.0 0.0 0.6 2.5 0.4 96.6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 3.4% 3.4% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 0.6 2.5 0.4 96.6 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 3.4% 100.0% 14.0 0.3 16.0 71.5 12.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 36.2%
Lose Out 54.0%