Tulane
American Athletic
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -1.2 #176
Expected Predictive Rating +3.6 #116
Pace 66.7 #247
Improvement +2.8 #50

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #164 D+ D- A- A+ C-
Defense #217 C- D C B- C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #252 1.22 #104 -0.5 #201
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #145 0.70 #241 +0.0 #177
Three Pointers 43% #153 0.88 #315 -2.0 #260
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #250 -2.5 #250
Freethrows 21.4 #19 78% #32 16.8 #13
Second Chance 21.9% #356 1.11 #107 0.24 #321
Turnovers 13.8% #32
Total Offense +0.1 #164

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #301 1.09 #98 +3.9 #64
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #174 0.89 #335 -1.5 #286
Three Pointers 45% #64 1.11 #300 -4.4 #329
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #245 -2.0 #245
Freethrows 16.3 #138 68% #31 11.1 #284
Second Chance 34.2% #299 1.07 #226 0.37 #288
Turnovers 17.0% #160
Total Defense -1.3 #217

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.8% #240 -0.7% #105
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -4.2% #240 4.8% #272
Possession Length 17.2 #164 18.5 #335
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #254 0.16 #147
Improvement -2.0 #299 +4.8 #3

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.3% 1.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.1 13.0 13.4
.500 or above 62.2% 70.6% 44.2%
.500 or above in Conference 39.0% 46.6% 22.4%
Conference Champion 1.7% 2.3% 0.5%
Last Place in Conference 2.4% 0.5% 6.6%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round1.3% 1.5% 0.8%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas San Antonio (Away) - 68.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 21 - 51 - 7
Quad 36 - 67 - 13
Quad 49 - 217 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 229 Samford W 85 - 72 71%  +6  1 - 0 +6 +14 A+ F C+ -6 D+ F A
 Sat, Nov 8 268 Texas St. W 79 - 71 78%  -6  2 - 0 -1 +6 C F B -7 C- F D-
 Tue, Nov 11 310 @Louisiana W 66 - 62 67%  +3  3 - 0 -2 -1 F C+ C+ -1 C F F
 Fri, Nov 14 236 New Orleans L 63 - 85 72%  -11  3 - 1 -29 -11 F F A+ -19 F F B
 Fri, Nov 21 35 Utah St. L 75 - 96 9%  -6  3 - 2 -7 +9 A+ D A+ -17 F C+ D+
 Sun, Nov 23 151 Boston College W 93 - 90 OT 45%  +1  4 - 2 +3 +13 B+ A+ A+ -10 D D+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 215 Nicholls St. W 82 - 72 68%  +7  5 - 2 +4 +8 A- F A+ -4 F A- C
 Tue, Dec 2 246 Grambling St. W 65 - 63 74%  +0  6 - 2 -6 -2 F D A+ -4 B- F A-
 Sat, Dec 6 64 Akron L 71 - 88 25%  -8  6 - 3 -11 -3 F F A+ -8 C- C A+
 Sat, Dec 13 108 UC San Diego L 67 - 93 29%  -16  6 - 4 -22 -12 F F D- -7 D+ C+ C+
 Wed, Dec 17 228 Louisiana Tech W 61 - 53 71%  +6  7 - 4 +1 +0 F C+ A+ +3 A+ C+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 154 Portland St. W 63 - 61 57%  +3  8 - 4 -1 -4 F F F +4 A+ F C+
 Wed, Dec 31 266 @East Carolina W 79 - 70 57%  +1  9 - 4 1 - 0 +6 +12 C+ A- D+ -6 D+ B- F
 Sun, Jan 4 106 Florida Atlantic W 69 - 66 40%  -1  10 - 4 2 - 0 +4 -3 F B- B- +7 A+ D+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 315 @Texas San Antonio W 75 - 70 69% 
 Wed, Jan 14 113 UAB L 74 - 76 43% 
 Sun, Jan 18 133 North Texas W 65 - 64 51% 
 Wed, Jan 21 106 @Florida Atlantic L 70 - 79 21% 
 Sun, Jan 25 166 @Charlotte L 69 - 73 37% 
 Wed, Jan 28 89 South Florida L 76 - 81 33% 
 Sun, Feb 1 78 @Memphis L 67 - 79 14% 
 Sun, Feb 8 104 Wichita St. L 70 - 73 39% 
 Wed, Feb 11 143 Temple W 75 - 74 53% 
 Sun, Feb 15 113 @UAB L 71 - 79 24% 
 Wed, Feb 18 133 @North Texas L 62 - 68 30% 
 Sun, Feb 22 245 Rice W 74 - 67 73% 
 Wed, Feb 25 81 Tulsa L 74 - 79 31% 
 Sun, Mar 1 89 @South Florida L 73 - 84 17% 
 Thu, Mar 5 143 @Temple L 72 - 77 32% 
 Sun, Mar 8 78 Memphis L 70 - 76 30% 
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 10 -1 +0 D+ D- A- -1 C- D C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected American Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.2 2.1 1.6 0.2 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 3.0 0.5 5.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.1 4.3 1.3 0.0 6.7 5th
6th 0.4 3.9 3.4 0.2 8.0 6th
7th 0.2 2.7 5.9 1.1 0.0 9.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.6 6.8 2.9 0.1 11.4 8th
9th 0.1 1.4 6.3 5.7 0.6 14.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 6.6 6.8 1.4 0.0 16.9 10th
11th 0.2 1.7 5.0 5.0 1.3 0.1 13.3 11th
12th 0.1 0.8 2.0 1.6 0.4 0.0 4.9 12th
13th 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.8 13th
Total 0.2 1.4 4.0 8.6 13.6 16.1 17.1 14.5 10.9 6.9 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



American Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 97.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
14-4 75.3% 0.6    0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
13-5 35.7% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 5.8% 0.2    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.7% 1.7 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.2% 14.0% 14.0% 12.0 0.0 0.2
14-4 0.8% 9.3% 9.3% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7
13-5 1.9% 5.1% 5.1% 12.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 1.8
12-6 3.8% 6.0% 6.0% 12.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 3.6
11-7 6.9% 4.0% 4.0% 13.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 6.6
10-8 10.9% 1.8% 1.8% 13.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 10.7
9-9 14.5% 1.3% 1.3% 13.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.3
8-10 17.1% 0.6% 0.6% 14.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.9
7-11 16.1% 0.3% 0.3% 14.7 0.0 0.0 16.1
6-12 13.6% 0.2% 0.2% 15.0 0.0 13.6
5-13 8.6% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.6
4-14 4.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 4.0
3-15 1.4% 1.4
2-16 0.2% 0.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 1.3% 1.3% 0.0% 13.1 98.7 0.0%