Missouri
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#54
Expected Predictive Rating+12.4#46
Pace69.6#159
Improvement+2.9#36

Offense
Total Offense+7.2#33
First Shot+5.9#42
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#104
Layup/Dunks+3.8#54
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#113
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#261
Freethrows+3.8#17
Improvement+2.1#53

Defense
Total Defense+2.7#105
First Shot+4.3#56
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#308
Layups/Dunks+5.6#31
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#339
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#177
Freethrows+1.0#108
Improvement+0.8#124
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.8% 1.8% 0.1%
Top 6 Seed 7.6% 7.8% 1.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.2% 38.8% 20.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.0% 38.5% 20.5%
Average Seed 8.3 8.3 8.9
.500 or above 79.9% 80.7% 53.0%
.500 or above in Conference 23.4% 23.7% 13.8%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 16.6% 16.3% 27.4%
First Four6.9% 6.9% 5.1%
First Round34.7% 35.2% 17.7%
Second Round17.2% 17.5% 7.0%
Sweet Sixteen5.0% 5.1% 2.0%
Elite Eight1.7% 1.8% 0.7%
Final Four0.5% 0.5% 0.1%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Alabama St. (Home) - 97.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 35 - 12
Quad 23 - 28 - 14
Quad 32 - 09 - 14
Quad 49 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 44   @ Memphis L 75-83 34%     0 - 1 +6.2 +4.5 +2.1
  Nov 08, 2024 255   Howard W 77-62 94%     1 - 1 +6.9 -0.9 +8.0
  Nov 11, 2024 254   Eastern Washington W 84-77 94%     2 - 1 -1.1 +7.3 -8.1
  Nov 14, 2024 364   Mississippi Valley W 111-39 99.6%    3 - 1 +46.5 +31.6 +17.1
  Nov 22, 2024 301   Pacific W 91-56 96%     4 - 1 +24.3 +19.3 +7.2
  Nov 24, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 112-63 99%     5 - 1 +28.6 +14.5 +9.0
  Nov 27, 2024 347   Lindenwood W 81-61 98%     6 - 1 +5.1 -0.6 +5.0
  Dec 03, 2024 128   California W 98-93 85%     7 - 1 +3.9 +14.3 -10.8
  Dec 08, 2024 8   Kansas W 76-67 31%     8 - 1 +23.9 +8.2 +15.3
  Dec 14, 2024 336   LIU Brooklyn W 88-61 98%     9 - 1 +13.0 +16.4 -1.8
  Dec 17, 2024 152   Jacksonville St. W 83-72 88%     10 - 1 +8.2 +18.1 -8.3
  Dec 22, 2024 21   Illinois L 77-80 32%     10 - 2 +11.8 +7.2 +4.8
  Dec 30, 2024 291   Alabama St. W 87-67 97%    
  Jan 04, 2025 1   @ Auburn L 72-89 6%    
  Jan 07, 2025 56   LSU W 78-75 63%    
  Jan 11, 2025 50   Vanderbilt W 81-79 58%    
  Jan 14, 2025 7   @ Florida L 74-86 13%    
  Jan 18, 2025 31   Arkansas W 78-77 50%    
  Jan 21, 2025 33   @ Texas L 71-77 30%    
  Jan 25, 2025 28   Mississippi L 75-76 48%    
  Feb 01, 2025 24   @ Mississippi St. L 72-79 24%    
  Feb 05, 2025 3   @ Tennessee L 66-79 11%    
  Feb 08, 2025 25   Texas A&M L 72-73 46%    
  Feb 12, 2025 35   Oklahoma W 77-76 52%    
  Feb 15, 2025 36   @ Georgia L 72-77 32%    
  Feb 19, 2025 9   Alabama L 82-87 33%    
  Feb 22, 2025 31   @ Arkansas L 75-81 29%    
  Feb 25, 2025 62   South Carolina W 75-71 66%    
  Mar 01, 2025 50   @ Vanderbilt L 78-82 37%    
  Mar 05, 2025 35   @ Oklahoma L 74-79 31%    
  Mar 08, 2025 16   Kentucky L 81-84 41%    
Projected Record 18 - 13 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.3 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.3 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.6 4th
5th 0.3 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 3.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.3 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 3.3 0.3 6.5 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 4.7 1.3 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.4 4.1 3.5 0.2 8.1 10th
11th 0.1 2.2 5.4 1.2 0.0 8.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 5.3 3.3 0.2 9.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 3.8 5.2 0.8 0.0 10.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.7 5.2 2.0 0.1 10.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 2.2 4.8 2.9 0.3 0.0 10.7 15th
16th 0.1 0.9 2.2 3.3 2.2 0.4 0.0 9.1 16th
Total 0.1 0.9 2.6 5.9 10.2 13.2 15.3 15.1 13.2 10.0 6.6 3.8 1.9 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 57.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 30.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 2.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 10.5% 89.5% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.8% 100.0% 4.8% 95.2% 4.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 100.0%
12-6 1.9% 99.9% 3.4% 96.5% 5.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 3.8% 99.5% 1.6% 97.9% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.2 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.5%
10-8 6.6% 98.0% 1.4% 96.6% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 1.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.1 98.0%
9-9 10.0% 91.9% 0.4% 91.5% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.6 2.8 2.6 1.2 0.3 0.8 91.9%
8-10 13.2% 71.0% 0.3% 70.6% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.4 3.3 1.9 0.0 3.8 70.9%
7-11 15.1% 33.4% 0.1% 33.3% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.2 2.9 0.3 10.1 33.3%
6-12 15.3% 8.4% 0.1% 8.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.2 0.0 14.0 8.4%
5-13 13.2% 0.5% 0.5% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.1 0.5%
4-14 10.2% 10.2
3-15 5.9% 5.9
2-16 2.6% 2.6
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 38.2% 0.4% 37.8% 8.3 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 2.2 3.6 5.1 6.4 6.4 6.1 6.0 0.5 0.0 61.8 38.0%