Monmouth
Colonial Athletic
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-5.1#261
Expected Predictive Rating-10.4#307
Pace71.1#119
Improvement+2.2#20

Offense
Total Offense-1.9#226
First Shot-4.9#303
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#44
Layup/Dunks-5.9#331
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#141
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.6#129
Freethrows-1.1#240
Improvement-0.2#207

Defense
Total Defense-3.3#281
First Shot-5.3#323
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#63
Layups/Dunks-1.8#234
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#259
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#143
Freethrows-3.6#339
Improvement+2.4#5
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.5% 2.1% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.2 14.9 15.4
.500 or above 6.7% 11.9% 3.7%
.500 or above in Conference 32.2% 39.4% 28.1%
Conference Champion 1.4% 1.9% 1.0%
Last Place in Conference 13.2% 9.6% 15.2%
First Four0.5% 0.5% 0.5%
First Round1.3% 1.9% 0.9%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Youngstown St. (Neutral) - 36.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 20 - 2
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 20 - 40 - 7
Quad 33 - 83 - 16
Quad 47 - 710 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 35   @ Michigan St. L 57-81 4%     0 - 1 -9.2 -8.8 +0.3
  Nov 08, 2024 113   Temple L 74-103 20%     0 - 2 -25.3 -1.5 -22.3
  Nov 12, 2024 293   @ Northern Illinois L 66-79 45%     0 - 3 -16.9 -9.2 -7.4
  Nov 15, 2024 42   @ Rutgers L 81-98 5%     0 - 4 -2.9 +16.1 -19.0
  Nov 18, 2024 94   @ Wichita St. L 66-70 11%     0 - 5 +4.5 -3.0 +7.5
  Nov 21, 2024 190   Youngstown St. L 72-76 36%    
  Nov 22, 2024 182   @ Stephen F. Austin L 64-71 25%    
  Nov 23, 2024 281   Presbyterian W 75-74 54%    
  Nov 30, 2024 88   @ Seton Hall L 56-70 10%    
  Dec 04, 2024 283   @ Lehigh L 75-77 43%    
  Dec 10, 2024 110   @ Princeton L 68-80 13%    
  Dec 21, 2024 274   Fairfield W 74-70 63%    
  Dec 30, 2024 3   @ Auburn L 64-92 1%    
  Jan 02, 2025 285   Stony Brook W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 04, 2025 213   @ Delaware L 73-79 31%    
  Jan 09, 2025 150   UNC Wilmington L 74-77 41%    
  Jan 11, 2025 116   College of Charleston L 76-81 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 272   @ N.C. A&T L 77-79 41%    
  Jan 18, 2025 257   @ Campbell L 70-73 38%    
  Jan 23, 2025 263   @ Elon L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 25, 2025 208   @ William & Mary L 76-82 30%    
  Jan 30, 2025 144   Drexel L 67-70 39%    
  Feb 01, 2025 213   Delaware W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 06, 2025 310   Hampton W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 08, 2025 134   Towson L 66-70 37%    
  Feb 13, 2025 285   @ Stony Brook L 73-75 44%    
  Feb 15, 2025 134   @ Towson L 63-73 20%    
  Feb 20, 2025 131   @ Hofstra L 66-76 19%    
  Feb 22, 2025 148   Northeastern L 72-75 40%    
  Feb 27, 2025 263   Elon W 77-74 61%    
  Mar 01, 2025 144   @ Drexel L 64-73 22%    
Projected Record 10 - 21 7 - 11




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Colonial Athletic Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 1.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 2.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 3.3 3rd
4th 0.1 1.0 2.1 1.1 0.1 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.0 0.3 0.0 5.6 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.8 3.1 0.5 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.2 2.1 4.2 1.3 0.1 7.9 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 4.8 2.4 0.2 8.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.4 4.0 0.4 0.0 9.8 9th
10th 0.0 0.6 3.8 4.7 1.1 0.0 10.3 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 3.2 5.3 2.0 0.1 11.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.6 4.9 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.9 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 2.3 3.9 2.4 0.4 0.0 9.6 13th
14th 0.2 0.9 2.1 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 7.5 14th
Total 0.2 0.9 2.7 5.3 8.5 11.4 13.0 13.0 12.7 10.7 8.4 5.8 3.7 2.1 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Colonial Athletic Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 97.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0
15-3 78.7% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
14-4 43.1% 0.5    0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
13-5 16.5% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.4% 1.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.1% 13.6% 13.6% 13.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
15-3 0.4% 15.5% 15.5% 13.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4
14-4 1.0% 11.2% 11.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.9
13-5 2.1% 10.1% 10.1% 14.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.9
12-6 3.7% 7.6% 7.6% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 3.4
11-7 5.8% 4.3% 4.3% 15.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 5.5
10-8 8.4% 2.3% 2.3% 15.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 8.2
9-9 10.7% 1.3% 1.3% 15.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 10.5
8-10 12.7% 0.8% 0.8% 16.0 0.1 12.6
7-11 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 16.0 0.1 12.9
6-12 13.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 13.0
5-13 11.4% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 11.4
4-14 8.5% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 8.5
3-15 5.3% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 5.3
2-16 2.7% 2.7
1-17 0.9% 0.9
0-18 0.2% 0.2
Total 100% 1.5% 1.5% 0.0% 15.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.7 98.5 0.0%