South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.8#72
Expected Predictive Rating-1.4#207
Pace68.2#217
Improvement+1.0#82

Offense
Total Offense+3.6#80
First Shot+1.1#135
After Offensive Rebound+2.5#59
Layup/Dunks+0.1#168
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#184
Freethrows+1.1#131
Improvement+1.2#42

Defense
Total Defense+4.2#67
First Shot+3.3#83
After Offensive Rebounds+0.9#128
Layups/Dunks+5.4#42
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#269
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.6#86
Freethrows-3.4#332
Improvement-0.2#226
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 3.4% 3.6% 0.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.6% 18.5% 6.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.2% 18.0% 6.2%
Average Seed 8.4 8.4 8.9
.500 or above 40.6% 42.4% 17.8%
.500 or above in Conference 21.2% 22.0% 11.1%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 21.8% 21.0% 32.4%
First Four2.9% 3.1% 1.3%
First Round16.2% 17.0% 5.6%
Second Round8.4% 8.9% 2.4%
Sweet Sixteen2.6% 2.8% 0.8%
Elite Eight1.0% 1.0% 0.4%
Final Four0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Mercer (Home) - 92.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 37 - 15
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 45 - 115 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 177   North Florida L 71-74 86%     0 - 1 -6.8 -6.6 -0.3
  Nov 08, 2024 314   South Carolina St. W 86-64 95%     1 - 1 +10.4 +6.7 +3.3
  Nov 12, 2024 129   Towson W 80-54 79%     2 - 1 +25.2 +9.0 +16.5
  Nov 16, 2024 22   @ Indiana L 71-87 20%     2 - 2 +0.8 +4.4 -3.3
  Nov 21, 2024 252   Mercer W 79-63 93%    
  Nov 25, 2024 36   Xavier L 72-76 36%    
  Dec 03, 2024 138   @ Boston College W 72-69 62%    
  Dec 07, 2024 145   East Carolina W 73-63 81%    
  Dec 14, 2024 313   South Carolina Upstate W 85-66 96%    
  Dec 17, 2024 49   Clemson W 71-70 55%    
  Dec 22, 2024 226   Radford W 78-64 90%    
  Dec 30, 2024 279   Presbyterian W 80-63 94%    
  Jan 04, 2025 28   @ Mississippi St. L 69-77 23%    
  Jan 08, 2025 7   Alabama L 76-83 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 3   Auburn L 71-80 22%    
  Jan 15, 2025 82   @ Vanderbilt L 74-76 42%    
  Jan 18, 2025 51   @ Oklahoma L 68-72 35%    
  Jan 22, 2025 19   Florida L 77-80 39%    
  Jan 25, 2025 28   Mississippi St. L 72-74 43%    
  Jan 28, 2025 54   @ Georgia L 70-74 35%    
  Feb 01, 2025 26   Texas A&M L 68-71 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 10   @ Kentucky L 72-84 14%    
  Feb 12, 2025 47   Mississippi W 72-71 53%    
  Feb 15, 2025 19   @ Florida L 74-83 21%    
  Feb 18, 2025 48   @ LSU L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 22, 2025 29   Texas L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 25, 2025 62   @ Missouri L 70-74 37%    
  Mar 01, 2025 25   Arkansas L 72-75 41%    
  Mar 04, 2025 54   Georgia W 73-71 56%    
  Mar 08, 2025 9   @ Tennessee L 65-78 14%    
Projected Record 14 - 16 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.4 0.1 1.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.1 1.2 1.4 0.3 0.0 3.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.9 2.0 0.7 0.1 3.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 2.4 1.5 0.1 4.4 7th
8th 0.1 1.9 2.8 0.4 5.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.0 3.6 1.5 0.0 6.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 7.1 10th
11th 0.2 2.2 4.6 1.2 0.0 8.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 4.7 2.6 0.2 9.0 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.4 4.1 0.7 0.0 10.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 4.0 5.0 1.6 0.1 11.6 14th
15th 0.2 1.3 4.1 5.0 2.0 0.2 12.8 15th
16th 0.8 2.4 4.2 3.9 1.7 0.3 0.0 13.3 16th
Total 0.8 2.5 5.5 9.0 11.8 13.3 13.2 12.2 10.4 8.0 5.5 3.6 2.2 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 61.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 33.8% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 8.5% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 3.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.6% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 4.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.1% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.2% 97.6% 5.7% 91.9% 6.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 97.4%
11-7 3.6% 90.7% 2.5% 88.2% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.7 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.3 90.4%
10-8 5.5% 71.8% 1.4% 70.4% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 1.0 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.5 71.4%
9-9 8.0% 48.1% 0.8% 47.3% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 1.1 1.1 0.1 4.1 47.7%
8-10 10.4% 18.5% 0.5% 18.0% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 1.0 0.2 8.4 18.1%
7-11 12.2% 4.0% 0.0% 4.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 11.8 4.0%
6-12 13.2% 0.5% 0.1% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.5%
5-13 13.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 13.3 0.0%
4-14 11.8% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.8
3-15 9.0% 9.0
2-16 5.5% 5.5
1-17 2.5% 2.5
0-18 0.8% 0.8
Total 100% 17.6% 0.6% 17.1% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.0 1.4 2.1 3.1 2.9 2.8 3.0 0.4 0.0 82.4 17.2%