Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+7.7#76
Expected Predictive Rating+7.7#77
Pace65.4#289
Improvement-1.4#316

Offense
Total Offense+5.1#50
First Shot+3.7#78
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#105
Layup/Dunks-0.2#181
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#159
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#189
Freethrows+3.8#33
Improvement-1.6#347

Defense
Total Defense+2.6#100
First Shot-1.3#224
After Offensive Rebounds+3.9#16
Layups/Dunks-1.2#215
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#254
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#130
Freethrows-0.7#224
Improvement+0.2#156
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 1.2% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 2.6% 4.0% 1.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 20.3% 27.3% 13.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 19.3% 26.2% 12.9%
Average Seed 9.1 8.9 9.4
.500 or above 81.4% 89.5% 73.8%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 56.8% 44.0%
Conference Champion 1.1% 1.5% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 3.9% 2.7% 5.0%
First Four5.2% 6.4% 4.1%
First Round17.4% 23.9% 11.4%
Second Round8.2% 11.6% 5.1%
Sweet Sixteen2.2% 3.2% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.2% 0.4%
Final Four0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Santa Clara (Away) - 48.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 7
Quad 24 - 46 - 11
Quad 36 - 213 - 13
Quad 47 - 019 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 294   Denver W 85-62 94%     1 - 0 +12.9 +7.5 +5.6
  Nov 08, 2024 274   Cal St. Fullerton W 80-53 93%     2 - 0 +18.2 +12.2 +8.8
  Nov 12, 2024 277   Northern Arizona W 90-64 93%     3 - 0 +17.0 +25.3 -4.5
  Nov 17, 2024 147   UC Davis W 79-65 82%     4 - 0 +11.9 +5.3 +6.1
  Nov 20, 2024 197   Norfolk St. W 70-63 87%     5 - 0 +2.4 +1.8 +1.3
  Nov 23, 2024 97   @ Santa Clara L 74-75 48%    
  Nov 26, 2024 108   Grand Canyon W 75-71 63%    
  Nov 30, 2024 269   Cal Poly W 84-68 93%    
  Dec 03, 2024 136   Utah Valley W 74-65 80%    
  Dec 07, 2024 102   @ California W 72-71 51%    
  Dec 17, 2024 223   Merrimack W 73-59 89%    
  Dec 21, 2024 39   Oregon L 69-73 37%    
  Jan 01, 2025 49   @ Clemson L 68-73 33%    
  Jan 04, 2025 23   @ Pittsburgh L 67-76 21%    
  Jan 08, 2025 118   Virginia Tech W 74-67 74%    
  Jan 11, 2025 58   Virginia W 62-60 56%    
  Jan 15, 2025 75   @ Wake Forest L 71-74 40%    
  Jan 18, 2025 8   @ North Carolina L 72-85 13%    
  Jan 22, 2025 38   Miami (FL) L 74-75 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 81   Florida St. W 75-71 62%    
  Jan 29, 2025 93   Syracuse W 79-74 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 66   @ SMU L 74-78 37%    
  Feb 05, 2025 75   Wake Forest W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 08, 2025 52   North Carolina St. W 73-72 55%    
  Feb 12, 2025 105   @ Georgia Tech W 77-76 51%    
  Feb 15, 2025 5   @ Duke L 64-79 10%    
  Feb 22, 2025 102   California W 75-69 70%    
  Feb 26, 2025 138   Boston College W 75-66 78%    
  Mar 01, 2025 66   SMU W 77-75 58%    
  Mar 05, 2025 53   @ Notre Dame L 66-71 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 46   @ Louisville L 71-76 33%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 2.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 1.2 2.0 1.1 0.2 0.0 4.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 5.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.8 2.9 2.2 0.5 0.0 6.4 5th
6th 0.0 0.4 2.7 3.2 0.9 0.1 7.2 6th
7th 0.1 1.7 4.2 1.5 0.1 7.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.7 3.9 2.7 0.3 0.0 7.6 8th
9th 0.2 2.6 4.1 0.9 0.0 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 1.1 4.4 1.9 0.1 7.6 10th
11th 0.3 3.1 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 1.5 4.1 1.3 0.1 7.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.2 2.3 0.2 6.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.0 0.6 0.0 5.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.5 1.2 0.1 5.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 4.3 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.1 1.1 0.3 0.0 3.1 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 2.0 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.6 4.7 6.9 9.5 11.6 12.6 12.7 11.5 9.3 7.1 4.8 2.6 1.2 0.6 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 75.4% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 55.2% 0.3    0.2 0.1 0.0
16-4 29.7% 0.4    0.1 0.2 0.0 0.0
15-5 8.1% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 1.1% 1.1 0.5 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.2% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.6% 99.1% 10.3% 88.8% 4.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.0%
16-4 1.2% 97.3% 8.8% 88.5% 6.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.0%
15-5 2.6% 92.2% 6.7% 85.6% 7.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.2 91.6%
14-6 4.8% 79.9% 4.3% 75.7% 8.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.8 0.5 0.0 1.0 79.0%
13-7 7.1% 60.5% 3.1% 57.3% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.0 1.3 1.1 0.1 2.8 59.2%
12-8 9.3% 39.5% 1.8% 37.8% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.4 0.2 5.7 38.4%
11-9 11.5% 20.6% 1.1% 19.5% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 0.1 0.0 9.1 19.7%
10-10 12.7% 9.8% 0.6% 9.2% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.2 11.5 9.3%
9-11 12.6% 2.4% 0.3% 2.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.3 2.2%
8-12 11.6% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 11.5 0.4%
7-13 9.5% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.5
6-14 6.9% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 6.9
5-15 4.7% 4.7
4-16 2.6% 2.6
3-17 1.3% 1.3
2-18 0.5% 0.5
1-19 0.1% 0.1
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 20.3% 1.2% 19.0% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.1 1.7 2.3 3.2 4.4 5.4 0.7 0.0 0.0 79.7 19.3%