Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.4#26
Expected Predictive Rating+11.4#41
Pace65.7#280
Improvement+0.9#93

Offense
Total Offense+7.1#30
First Shot+1.5#126
After Offensive Rebound+5.5#10
Layup/Dunks+4.1#59
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#281
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#222
Freethrows+0.6#155
Improvement+0.7#84

Defense
Total Defense+6.3#28
First Shot+4.9#50
After Offensive Rebounds+1.4#91
Layups/Dunks+4.1#64
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#160
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.0#180
Freethrows+0.2#172
Improvement+0.1#180
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.2%
#1 Seed 2.6% 3.7% 1.1%
Top 2 Seed 7.6% 10.4% 3.8%
Top 4 Seed 24.0% 30.4% 15.2%
Top 6 Seed 42.9% 51.5% 31.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 73.7% 81.4% 63.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 72.4% 80.2% 61.9%
Average Seed 6.1 5.7 6.7
.500 or above 83.1% 90.1% 73.6%
.500 or above in Conference 66.2% 71.2% 59.4%
Conference Champion 6.0% 7.3% 4.2%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 2.0% 3.8%
First Four6.2% 5.5% 7.1%
First Round70.8% 78.9% 59.8%
Second Round49.5% 56.9% 39.3%
Sweet Sixteen24.0% 29.0% 17.1%
Elite Eight10.3% 13.0% 6.7%
Final Four4.4% 5.6% 2.7%
Championship Game1.8% 2.5% 1.0%
National Champion0.6% 0.9% 0.3%

Next Game: Oregon (Neutral) - 57.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 37 - 10
Quad 25 - 212 - 12
Quad 32 - 014 - 12
Quad 45 - 019 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 71   @ Central Florida L 61-64 59%     0 - 1 +8.0 -2.6 +10.4
  Nov 08, 2024 352   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +16.0 +11.2 +6.1
  Nov 11, 2024 290   Lamar W 97-71 97%     2 - 1 +16.2 +15.3 +0.2
  Nov 15, 2024 21   Ohio St. W 78-64 60%     3 - 1 +24.9 +14.2 +11.2
  Nov 20, 2024 266   Southern W 71-54 97%     4 - 1 +8.5 +1.4 +8.3
  Nov 26, 2024 39   Oregon W 71-69 58%    
  Nov 27, 2024 17   Creighton L 72-73 46%    
  Dec 03, 2024 75   Wake Forest W 76-67 79%    
  Dec 08, 2024 14   Texas Tech L 69-71 44%    
  Dec 14, 2024 18   Purdue L 71-72 47%    
  Dec 20, 2024 358   Houston Christian W 89-58 99.8%   
  Dec 28, 2024 214   Abilene Christian W 80-61 95%    
  Jan 04, 2025 29   Texas W 73-69 62%    
  Jan 08, 2025 51   @ Oklahoma W 70-69 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 7   Alabama L 78-79 45%    
  Jan 14, 2025 10   @ Kentucky L 74-81 28%    
  Jan 18, 2025 48   LSU W 76-69 72%    
  Jan 22, 2025 47   @ Mississippi W 71-70 52%    
  Jan 25, 2025 29   @ Texas L 70-72 41%    
  Jan 28, 2025 51   Oklahoma W 73-66 73%    
  Feb 01, 2025 72   @ South Carolina W 71-68 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 62   @ Missouri W 72-70 55%    
  Feb 11, 2025 54   Georgia W 75-68 74%    
  Feb 15, 2025 25   Arkansas W 74-71 60%    
  Feb 18, 2025 28   @ Mississippi St. L 71-73 42%    
  Feb 22, 2025 9   Tennessee L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 82   Vanderbilt W 78-69 79%    
  Mar 01, 2025 19   @ Florida L 75-79 37%    
  Mar 04, 2025 3   Auburn L 73-76 39%    
  Mar 08, 2025 48   @ LSU W 73-72 52%    
Projected Record 18 - 12 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.9 1.1 0.4 0.1 6.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 3.1 2.6 1.0 0.1 0.0 8.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.1 3.6 3.0 0.8 0.1 8.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 3.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 8.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.5 4.6 1.6 0.1 9.0 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 4.9 2.5 0.2 8.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 3.9 3.8 0.5 0.0 8.7 7th
8th 0.1 2.0 4.5 1.2 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.2 0.1 7.2 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 3.2 1.2 0.0 5.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.8 0.1 4.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.0 0.4 4.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.6 0.6 0.0 3.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.6 0.1 2.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.2 4.0 6.2 8.8 11.0 12.6 13.1 12.3 10.3 7.9 5.3 3.0 1.3 0.4 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0 0.0
16-2 89.2% 1.1    0.8 0.3 0.0
15-3 63.4% 1.9    1.0 0.7 0.2 0.0
14-4 32.6% 1.7    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.7% 0.7    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 6.0% 6.0 3.0 2.0 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 46.2% 53.8% 1.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 30.7% 69.3% 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.3% 100.0% 21.5% 78.5% 1.7 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 3.0% 100.0% 19.3% 80.7% 2.2 0.8 1.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.3% 100.0% 13.9% 86.1% 2.9 0.6 1.5 1.8 1.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.9% 100.0% 11.7% 88.3% 3.7 0.3 1.1 2.4 2.1 1.3 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 10.3% 99.9% 8.3% 91.6% 4.7 0.1 0.4 1.7 2.6 2.6 1.7 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-7 12.3% 99.2% 4.6% 94.6% 5.8 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.7 2.8 2.8 2.0 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.1 99.2%
10-8 13.1% 96.2% 3.1% 93.1% 7.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 2.6 2.5 2.0 1.3 1.0 0.5 0.0 0.5 96.1%
9-9 12.6% 86.5% 1.8% 84.7% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.3 1.6 2.0 1.9 1.5 1.4 0.2 0.0 1.7 86.3%
8-10 11.0% 61.3% 1.0% 60.3% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.7 1.1 1.5 2.2 0.4 0.0 4.2 60.9%
7-11 8.8% 28.8% 0.4% 28.3% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.2 0.3 0.0 6.2 28.5%
6-12 6.2% 8.8% 0.5% 8.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.7 8.3%
5-13 4.0% 1.6% 0.1% 1.6% 11.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.9 1.6%
4-14 2.2% 2.2
3-15 1.2% 1.2
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 73.7% 4.9% 68.8% 6.1 2.6 5.0 7.8 8.6 9.7 9.2 7.7 6.2 5.3 4.7 5.8 1.1 0.0 0.0 26.3 72.4%