Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +15.6 #24
Expected Predictive Rating +15.8 #30
Pace 85.4 #2
Improvement -1.5 #263

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #18 B A+ A A B+
Defense #36 A- C+ B+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #102 1.33 #29 +5.4 #30
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #317 0.87 #47 -1.8 #263
Three Pointers 45% #116 0.94 #270 +0.3 #169
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #77 +4.0 #76
Freethrows 20.6 #41 78% #46 16.0 #21
Second Chance 37.2% #28 1.22 #24 0.45 #18
Turnovers 13.3% #24
Total Offense +9.3 #18

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #95 0.96 #14 +2.2 #104
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #158 0.71 #129 +0.2 #175
Three Pointers 37% #279 0.91 #63 +3.9 #52
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #29 +6.3 #30
Freethrows 15.4 #83 66% #12 10.2 #328
Second Chance 32.2% #235 0.95 #72 0.31 #149
Turnovers 19.1% #58
Total Defense +6.3 #36

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.2% #55 0.4% #198
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.5% #97 -12.6% #20
Possession Length 14.0 #4 17.3 #204
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.37 #1 0.16 #134
Improvement -0.5 #221 -0.9 #241

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 2.3% 3.0% 0.8%
Top 4 Seed 20.6% 24.8% 12.0%
Top 6 Seed 50.2% 57.4% 35.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 90.2% 93.5% 83.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 89.5% 92.9% 82.8%
Average Seed 6.3 6.0 7.0
.500 or above 99.9% 100.0% 99.7%
.500 or above in Conference 79.5% 86.4% 65.4%
Conference Champion 7.3% 9.5% 2.7%
Last Place in Conference 0.9% 0.4% 2.1%
First Four4.1% 3.0% 6.5%
First Round88.4% 92.1% 81.0%
Second Round62.6% 67.5% 52.9%
Sweet Sixteen26.8% 30.3% 19.7%
Elite Eight9.7% 11.1% 6.9%
Final Four3.5% 4.1% 2.4%
Championship Game1.1% 1.3% 0.7%
National Champion0.4% 0.5% 0.2%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 66.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 52 - 5
Quad 1b5 - 47 - 8
Quad 26 - 112 - 9
Quad 33 - 015 - 9
Quad 48 - 023 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 280 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98%  +18  1 - 0 +35 +14 B- D A+ +18 A+ A- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99%  +27  2 - 0 +50 +11 F A+ B+ +36 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 308 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 99%  +21  3 - 0 +27 +27 A+ A+ A+ -4 A+ F C+
 Fri, Nov 14 114 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 91%  +3  4 - 0 +6 +7 C A C- -2 B- C C
 Mon, Nov 17 345 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 99%  +20  5 - 0 +15 +1 F A+ C +12 C+ C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 97 Xavier W 78 - 77 83%  +4  6 - 0 +6 +5 D+ B+ A +1 A D C-
 Sun, Nov 23 39 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 60%  +0  6 - 1 +10 +14 A+ C C -4 C+ F B-
 Sat, Nov 29 313 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99%  +23  7 - 1 +30 +20 A+ C- A+ +1 B+ B- F
 Tue, Dec 2 111 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 78%  +19  8 - 1 +41 +26 A+ A+ A +12 B+ A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 58 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 73%  +1  9 - 1 +28 +14 C+ A+ B- +13 A+ B- B+
 Thu, Dec 18 283 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98%  +16  10 - 1 +20 +20 A+ C+ B -4 F D+ C+
 Mon, Dec 22 297 West Georgia W 103 - 74 98%  +20  11 - 1 +18 +8 D+ A+ B+ +6 A+ B- A+
 Mon, Dec 29 209 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 96%  +1  12 - 1 +9 +7 C B C +2 A C+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 33 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 67%  +1  13 - 1 1 - 0 +15 +17 A+ C A+ -3 B B+ B-
 Tue, Jan 6 12 @Florida L 77 - 92 29%  -6  13 - 2 1 - 1 +6 +8 C A- A+ +0 C+ B C
 Sat, Jan 10 72 @South Carolina W 83 - 78 67% 
 Wed, Jan 14 71 Mississippi W 87 - 76 84% 
 Sat, Jan 17 19 Arkansas W 93 - 91 58% 
 Tue, Jan 20 51 @Missouri W 87 - 85 58% 
 Sat, Jan 24 45 @Texas W 88 - 87 55% 
 Tue, Jan 27 16 Tennessee W 82 - 81 54% 
 Sat, Jan 31 40 Texas A&M W 94 - 88 71% 
 Sat, Feb 7 42 @LSU W 86 - 85 53% 
 Wed, Feb 11 12 Florida W 85 - 84 51% 
 Sat, Feb 14 48 @Oklahoma W 86 - 84 56% 
 Tue, Feb 17 27 @Kentucky L 83 - 85 42% 
 Sat, Feb 21 45 Texas W 91 - 84 75% 
 Wed, Feb 25 7 @Vanderbilt L 85 - 93 25% 
 Sat, Feb 28 72 South Carolina W 86 - 75 84% 
 Tue, Mar 3 13 Alabama W 97 - 96 51% 
 Sat, Mar 7 55 @Mississippi St. W 86 - 83 61% 
Totals 22 - 9 10 - 8 +16 +9 B A+ A +6 A- C+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 1.5 2.7 2.1 0.7 0.1 7.3 1st
2nd 0.3 2.5 4.5 2.8 0.6 0.0 10.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 2.3 5.4 3.2 0.5 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 1.1 5.6 4.6 0.7 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.3 4.3 5.5 1.3 0.1 11.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.8 5.9 2.1 0.1 10.0 6th
7th 0.5 4.6 3.7 0.3 0.0 9.1 7th
8th 0.0 1.9 4.7 0.9 0.0 7.5 8th
9th 0.5 3.3 2.0 0.1 5.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 2.9 0.4 4.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.0 0.0 3.5 11th
12th 0.1 0.9 1.4 0.2 2.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.1 0.4 0.0 1.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.6 0.6 0.1 1.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 3.0 5.8 9.8 13.7 16.0 16.2 14.2 9.9 6.0 2.7 0.7 0.1 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.1    0.1
16-2 95.3% 0.7    0.6 0.1
15-3 76.5% 2.1    1.4 0.6 0.1
14-4 44.9% 2.7    1.0 1.2 0.5 0.0
13-5 15.0% 1.5    0.3 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 7.3% 7.3 3.4 2.3 1.1 0.3 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.7% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 2.4 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.7% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 3.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 6.0% 100.0% 16.4% 83.6% 3.6 0.1 0.6 2.0 2.3 0.9 0.2 100.0%
13-5 9.9% 99.9% 12.8% 87.2% 4.3 0.0 0.3 1.9 3.4 2.9 1.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 14.2% 100.0% 10.2% 89.8% 5.1 0.0 0.1 0.9 3.3 4.9 3.5 1.3 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 16.2% 99.6% 8.1% 91.5% 5.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.6 3.8 5.2 3.7 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.6%
10-8 16.0% 98.2% 4.2% 94.0% 7.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.5 5.1 3.3 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.3 98.1%
9-9 13.7% 94.8% 3.2% 91.6% 8.0 0.1 0.3 1.4 2.7 3.9 3.0 1.4 0.3 0.7 94.7%
8-10 9.8% 80.2% 1.1% 79.1% 9.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.1 2.7 1.4 0.0 1.9 80.0%
7-11 5.8% 57.3% 1.0% 56.3% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.1 1.6 0.0 2.5 56.9%
6-12 3.0% 20.6% 0.2% 20.4% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.1 2.4 20.4%
5-13 1.4% 4.4% 4.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.3 4.4%
4-14 0.5% 0.5
3-15 0.1% 0.1
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 90.2% 6.9% 83.3% 6.3 9.8 89.5%