Georgia
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+12.1#38
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#18
Pace68.7#191
Improvement+2.0#79

Offense
Total Offense+4.3#65
First Shot+2.2#107
After Offensive Rebound+2.1#58
Layup/Dunks+5.8#22
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.3#340
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.8#234
Freethrows+1.5#88
Improvement-1.8#294

Defense
Total Defense+7.8#17
First Shot+5.8#31
After Offensive Rebounds+1.9#46
Layups/Dunks+3.6#56
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.4#171
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#116
Freethrows+0.2#164
Improvement+3.8#9
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.7% 0.9% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 7.2% 9.4% 3.3%
Top 6 Seed 24.5% 30.5% 14.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 70.3% 78.0% 56.9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 70.1% 77.7% 56.7%
Average Seed 7.6 7.4 8.3
.500 or above 97.7% 99.3% 94.9%
.500 or above in Conference 33.8% 42.3% 19.0%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 5.0% 2.4% 9.5%
First Four10.6% 9.7% 12.3%
First Round65.0% 73.1% 50.9%
Second Round36.8% 42.5% 26.9%
Sweet Sixteen12.2% 14.6% 8.0%
Elite Eight4.1% 4.9% 2.7%
Final Four1.2% 1.4% 0.9%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Home) - 63.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 93 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 26 - 11
Quad 24 - 110 - 12
Quad 32 - 012 - 12
Quad 48 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 308   Tennessee Tech W 83-78 98%     1 - 0 -6.4 +2.3 -8.9
  Nov 10, 2024 315   Texas Southern W 92-64 98%     2 - 0 +16.2 +13.7 +1.5
  Nov 12, 2024 244   North Florida W 90-77 96%     3 - 0 +5.2 +10.6 -5.2
  Nov 15, 2024 100   @ Georgia Tech W 77-69 66%     4 - 0 +15.9 +4.1 +11.2
  Nov 19, 2024 360   Alabama A&M W 93-45 99%     5 - 0 +30.5 +10.3 +19.1
  Nov 23, 2024 14   Marquette L 69-80 34%     5 - 1 +5.4 +3.9 +1.5
  Nov 24, 2024 19   St. John's W 66-63 36%     6 - 1 +18.7 +4.7 +14.1
  Nov 30, 2024 193   Jacksonville W 102-56 93%     7 - 1 +41.3 +29.7 +11.6
  Dec 03, 2024 83   Notre Dame W 69-48 79%     8 - 1 +24.6 +9.5 +19.1
  Dec 14, 2024 90   Grand Canyon W 73-68 72%     9 - 1 +11.0 +3.7 +7.2
  Dec 19, 2024 334   Buffalo W 100-49 98%     10 - 1 +37.4 +21.1 +16.8
  Dec 22, 2024 278   Charleston Southern W 81-65 97%     11 - 1 +6.3 +6.8 +0.3
  Dec 29, 2024 226   South Carolina St. W 79-72 95%     12 - 1 +0.2 +0.8 -0.9
  Jan 04, 2025 27   @ Mississippi L 51-63 34%     12 - 2 0 - 1 +4.3 -9.5 +12.8
  Jan 07, 2025 18   Kentucky W 82-69 47%     13 - 2 1 - 1 +25.8 +6.1 +18.9
  Jan 11, 2025 44   Oklahoma W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 15, 2025 8   @ Tennessee L 61-71 18%    
  Jan 18, 2025 2   Auburn L 72-80 21%    
  Jan 22, 2025 29   @ Arkansas L 71-75 35%    
  Jan 25, 2025 5   @ Florida L 70-81 15%    
  Jan 28, 2025 77   South Carolina W 72-64 77%    
  Feb 01, 2025 9   @ Alabama L 75-85 18%    
  Feb 05, 2025 63   LSU W 76-69 74%    
  Feb 08, 2025 17   Mississippi St. L 71-72 46%    
  Feb 11, 2025 20   @ Texas A&M L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 15, 2025 47   Missouri W 75-71 65%    
  Feb 22, 2025 2   @ Auburn L 69-84 9%    
  Feb 25, 2025 5   Florida L 73-78 31%    
  Mar 01, 2025 37   @ Texas L 69-72 39%    
  Mar 04, 2025 77   @ South Carolina W 69-67 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 50   Vanderbilt W 77-73 65%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.9 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 1.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 1.6 0.9 0.1 2.9 4th
5th 0.1 1.9 2.0 0.3 4.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 3.6 1.1 0.0 6.1 6th
7th 0.5 4.3 2.8 0.2 0.0 7.8 7th
8th 0.1 2.9 5.5 0.9 0.0 9.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.5 6.4 3.0 0.1 11.0 9th
10th 0.4 4.9 5.5 0.7 0.0 11.5 10th
11th 0.1 2.4 6.7 1.9 0.0 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 5.5 3.7 0.2 0.0 10.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 3.3 4.6 0.8 0.0 9.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.7 3.6 1.3 0.0 6.7 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.1 1.3 0.1 4.5 15th
16th 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.0 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.9 9.4 14.3 17.7 17.6 14.8 9.8 5.5 2.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
15-3 75.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 40.5% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 11.7% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 100.0% 15.0% 85.0% 1.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.3% 100.0% 10.7% 89.3% 2.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 1.0% 100.0% 7.3% 92.7% 3.2 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.5% 100.0% 4.6% 95.4% 3.9 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 5.5% 100.0% 2.4% 97.5% 4.8 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.5 1.9 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 9.8% 99.8% 1.3% 98.5% 5.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.1 2.7 3.1 1.8 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
9-9 14.8% 99.1% 0.8% 98.3% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 2.0 3.9 4.1 2.8 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.1 99.1%
8-10 17.6% 93.6% 0.5% 93.0% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.3 2.5 3.9 4.5 2.9 0.9 0.0 1.1 93.5%
7-11 17.7% 75.5% 0.2% 75.3% 9.8 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 1.2 2.7 4.5 4.2 0.1 4.3 75.5%
6-12 14.3% 40.8% 0.2% 40.6% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 3.9 0.4 8.5 40.7%
5-13 9.4% 9.4% 0.0% 9.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 0.1 8.5 9.4%
4-14 4.9% 0.5% 0.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 4.8 0.5%
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 70.3% 0.8% 69.5% 7.6 0.1 0.5 2.2 4.4 7.5 9.8 9.1 8.5 8.9 8.8 9.8 0.7 29.7 70.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%