Georgia
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +14.1 #34
Expected Predictive Rating +13.5 #39
Pace 81.9 #3
Improvement -4.7 #341

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #32 B B B+ B B
Defense #45 B+ C B B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #87 1.29 #56 +4.8 #39
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #314 0.91 #30 -1.4 #251
Three Pointers 44% #127 0.98 #228 +0.8 #147
1st FG Attempt 1.10 #64 +4.2 #63
Freethrows 0.34 #68 76% #54 0.26 #39
Second Chance 37.0% #29 1.06 #120 0.39 #44
Turnovers 13.9% #34
Total Offense +8.5 #32

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #148 0.98 #17 +2.7 #91
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #142 0.74 #139 -0.2 #199
Three Pointers 38% #259 0.95 #83 +2.6 #83
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #41 +5.2 #41
Freethrows 0.24 #31 68% #23 0.16 #20
Second Chance 33.1% #283 0.91 #45 0.30 #147
Turnovers 19.4% #47
Total Defense +5.6 #45

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #50 0.0% #165
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.9% #79 -10.0% #34
Possession Length 14.2 #4 17.7 #258
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.34 #1 0.17 #198
Improvement -2.6 #320 -2.1 #299

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.1% 1.9% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 8.6% 13.5% 3.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 75.9% 85.7% 66.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.4% 85.3% 65.6%
Average Seed 8.6 8.2 9.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 50.2% 66.8% 33.7%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.1% 0.9%
First Four11.7% 7.7% 15.6%
First Round70.7% 82.1% 59.3%
Second Round36.6% 44.6% 28.6%
Sweet Sixteen9.7% 12.0% 7.4%
Elite Eight3.6% 4.5% 2.7%
Final Four1.1% 1.3% 0.9%
Championship Game0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.2% 0.0%

Next Game: LSU (Away) - 50.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 9
Quad 26 - 211 - 11
Quad 32 - 113 - 11
Quad 48 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 305 Bellarmine W 104 - 59 98% +18  1 - 0 +34 +11 C+ D- A+ +19 A A- A+
 Wed, Nov 5 338 Maryland Eastern Shore W 94 - 29 99% +27  2 - 0 +51 +11 F+ A+ B +36 A+ B- A+
 Sun, Nov 9 299 Morehead St. W 120 - 81 98% +21  3 - 0 +28 +25 A+ A+ A- -2 A- F B
 Fri, Nov 14 115 Georgia Tech W 92 - 87 90% +3  4 - 0 +5 +6 C A C- -2 C+ B- C
 Mon, Nov 17 317 Florida A&M W 87 - 57 98% +20  5 - 0 +17 +3 F+ A+ C +12 C+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 83 Xavier W 78 - 77 76% +4  6 - 0 +8 +5 C- B+ B+ +2 A D+ D+
 Sun, Nov 23 33 Clemson L 94 - 97 OT 50% +0  6 - 1 +11 +16 A+ C+ B- -4 B- F C+
 Sat, Nov 29 333 Tennessee Tech W 123 - 81 99% +23  7 - 1 +28 +20 A+ C- B+ +0 B- C+ D-
 Tue, Dec 2 101 @Florida St. W 107 - 73 73% +19  8 - 1 +42 +26 A+ A+ B +12 A- A C
 Sat, Dec 13 52 Cincinnati W 84 - 65 65% +1  9 - 1 +29 +14 B- A+ C+ +13 A+ B- B
 Thu, Dec 18 277 Western Carolina W 112 - 82 98% +16  10 - 1 +21 +17 A+ C C+ -1 F C B
 Mon, Dec 22 325 West Georgia W 103 - 74 99% +16  11 - 1 +16 +6 D- A+ B+ +5 B+ C+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 195 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 74 95% +1  12 - 1 +10 +8 C B+ C+ +0 B- C+ C
 Sat, Jan 3 28 Auburn W 104 - 100 OT 56% +1  13 - 1 1 - 0 +17 +19 A+ B A+ -3 B- B B-
 Tue, Jan 6 5 @Florida L 77 - 92 16% -6  13 - 2 1 - 1 +10 +9 C B+ A+ +2 B- B C+
 Sat, Jan 10 91 @South Carolina W 75 - 70 69% -1  14 - 2 2 - 1 +14 +8 B F A- +6 B A+ C-
 Wed, Jan 14 59 Mississippi L 95 - 97 OT 77% -0  14 - 3 2 - 2 +4 +18 A- B- A+ -14 D- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 22 Arkansas W 90 - 76 52% +10  15 - 3 3 - 2 +27 +6 A- B- D- +19 A+ D+ A+
 Tue, Jan 20 54 @Missouri W 74 - 72 54% +2  16 - 3 4 - 2 +15 +8 C C B+ +7 A- A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 31 @Texas L 67 - 87 36% -3  16 - 4 4 - 3 -2 +3 C- A- F -7 D F A-
 Wed, Jan 28 18 Tennessee L 85 - 86 OT 48% +1  16 - 5 4 - 4 +14 +21 A+ D- A+ -7 B D+ C-
 Sat, Jan 31 27 Texas A&M L 77 - 92 56% -11  16 - 6 4 - 5 -2 +3 D+ C A+ -4 C+ D B+
 Sat, Feb 7 49 @LSU L 83 - 84 50%
 Wed, Feb 11 5 Florida L 82 - 87 34%
 Sat, Feb 14 55 @Oklahoma W 85 - 84 55%
 Tue, Feb 17 26 @Kentucky L 80 - 85 33%
 Sat, Feb 21 31 Texas W 87 - 85 59%
 Wed, Feb 25 12 @Vanderbilt L 82 - 90 24%
 Sat, Feb 28 91 South Carolina W 86 - 75 84%
 Tue, Mar 3 20 Alabama L 94 - 95 49%
 Sat, Mar 7 73 @Mississippi St. W 84 - 81 62%
Totals 21 - 10 9 - 9 +14 +9 B B B+ +6 B+ C B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 0.1 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.3 0.9 0.0 1.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.5 0.7 2.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 2.6 0.2 3.8 5th
6th 0.3 4.2 2.3 0.0 6.9 6th
7th 0.1 2.5 6.4 0.5 9.6 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 7.6 4.4 0.1 13.1 8th
9th 0.3 5.8 8.9 0.9 15.9 9th
10th 0.2 4.1 11.0 3.8 0.0 19.2 10th
11th 1.9 8.5 5.0 0.4 15.7 11th
12th 0.2 3.0 3.4 0.4 6.9 12th
13th 0.8 2.0 0.4 0.0 3.2 13th
14th 0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.1 14th
15th 0.2 0.3 0.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 16th
Total 0.3 2.1 7.3 16.7 23.4 23.5 17.0 7.3 2.2 0.3 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 34.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.3% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 4.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.2% 100.0% 12.9% 87.1% 5.3 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
11-7 7.3% 99.7% 4.8% 94.9% 6.7 0.0 0.2 1.1 1.9 2.2 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 99.7%
10-8 17.0% 97.9% 3.0% 94.9% 7.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 4.4 5.3 3.5 0.9 0.0 0.4 97.8%
9-9 23.5% 92.8% 2.2% 90.6% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.8 6.4 7.2 4.0 0.8 1.7 92.6%
8-10 23.4% 77.1% 1.5% 75.7% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.1 7.0 4.6 0.0 5.3 76.8%
7-11 16.7% 49.7% 0.7% 49.0% 10.6 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.0 5.4 0.1 8.4 49.4%
6-12 7.3% 18.0% 0.4% 17.6% 10.9 0.0 0.1 1.1 0.0 6.0 17.6%
5-13 2.1% 4.1% 4.1% 10.9 0.0 0.1 2.0 4.1%
4-14 0.3% 0.3
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 75.9% 2.2% 73.8% 8.6 24.1 75.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.1% 100.0% 3.8 5.0 30.0 45.0 20.0
Lose Out 0.3%