Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -5.1 #251
Expected Predictive Rating -8.7 #300
Pace 65.5 #286
Improvement +4.8 #9

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #200 C C D+ C+ B+
Defense #296 C- C F C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #196 1.07 #274 -2.0 #252
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #337 0.78 #140 -3.1 #324
Three Pointers 50% #25 0.99 #209 +4.3 #53
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #196 -0.8 #194
Freethrows 18.9 #98 70% #259 13.3 #139
Second Chance 32.1% #142 0.99 #252 0.32 #182
Turnovers 18.1% #271
Total Offense -1.3 #200

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #239 1.02 #37 +3.7 #65
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #165 0.89 #338 -1.7 #298
Three Pointers 43% #136 1.13 #317 -3.2 #305
1st FG Attempt 1.04 #218 -1.2 #219
Freethrows 16.5 #149 77% #345 12.7 #160
Second Chance 32.4% #249 1.00 #135 0.32 #191
Turnovers 12.1% #361
Total Defense -3.8 #296

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.1% #61 -0.4% #130
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.6% #228 2.7% #231
Possession Length 18.2 #273 17.7 #249
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #272 0.19 #235
Improvement +0.8 #130 +4.0 #9

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 15.5 n/a 15.5
.500 or above 0.0% 0.4% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 1.1% 5.6% 0.8%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 44.6% 21.4% 46.2%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: George Washington (Away) - 6.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 3
Quad 22 - 62 - 10
Quad 32 - 94 - 19
Quad 45 - 59 - 24


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 321 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 77%  +2  1 - 0 -10 +7 C F A+ -17 D F C
 Thu, Nov 6 307 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 74%  -7  1 - 1 -20 -9 D- F F -11 F C C+
 Sun, Nov 9 133 North Texas L 62 - 64 26%  -4  1 - 2 -0 -1 F D+ B +1 B- A+ C
 Thu, Nov 13 104 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 12%  -14  1 - 3 -13 +10 A+ F C- -24 D+ F F
 Sun, Nov 16 94 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 23%  -12  1 - 4 -10 +3 A+ D- F -15 C+ F F
 Fri, Nov 21 325 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 78%  -9  1 - 5 -30 -12 D+ F F -21 F D- F
 Tue, Nov 25 96 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 16%  -18  1 - 6 -16 -8 F A- C+ -11 C C F
 Wed, Nov 26 221 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 43%  -1  1 - 7 -15 -15 C C- F -3 C+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 323 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 78%  +2  2 - 7 -2 +8 D B A+ -10 F C- D
 Sat, Dec 6 242 Princeton W 73 - 68 60%  -1  3 - 7 -3 +5 B- A+ C+ -7 C+ C F
 Sun, Dec 14 353 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 85%  -6  3 - 8 -25 -8 F A+ F -17 F C F
 Wed, Dec 17 100 San Francisco L 71 - 85 17%  -12  3 - 9 -9 +12 D+ A A+ -23 F B+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 61 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 10%  +1  4 - 9 +11 +13 A+ F A+ -2 A+ D F
 Wed, Dec 31 141 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 19%  +7  5 - 9 1 - 0 +8 -4 A+ C+ F +12 A+ B- D-
 Sat, Jan 3 75 Dayton L 68 - 70 18%  +6  5 - 10 1 - 1 +3 +2 B C C+ +0 A+ C+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 125 Davidson L 64 - 79 35%  -10  5 - 11 1 - 2 -16 -5 F A C -12 D- C- D
 Sat, Jan 10 70 @George Washington L 70 - 86 6% 
 Tue, Jan 13 92 George Mason L 66 - 74 22% 
 Fri, Jan 16 75 @Dayton L 63 - 79 7% 
 Tue, Jan 20 119 @St. Bonaventure L 68 - 79 16% 
 Sat, Jan 24 129 Duquesne L 76 - 80 36% 
 Tue, Jan 27 185 Saint Joseph's L 71 - 72 48% 
 Fri, Jan 30 49 @Virginia Commonwealth L 66 - 85 4% 
 Tue, Feb 3 217 La Salle W 71 - 70 54% 
 Fri, Feb 6 125 @Davidson L 65 - 75 17% 
 Fri, Feb 13 29 Saint Louis L 69 - 85 6% 
 Wed, Feb 18 203 @Fordham L 65 - 71 30% 
 Sat, Feb 21 185 @Saint Joseph's L 69 - 75 28% 
 Sat, Feb 28 115 Richmond L 72 - 78 30% 
 Wed, Mar 4 29 @Saint Louis L 66 - 88 2% 
 Sat, Mar 7 70 George Washington L 73 - 83 17% 
Totals 8 - 23 4 - 14 -5 -1 C C D+ -4 C- C F




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 6th
7th 0.2 0.8 0.3 0.0 1.3 7th
8th 0.1 1.1 1.0 0.1 2.5 8th
9th 0.1 1.5 2.5 0.6 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.0 1.5 4.4 2.0 0.1 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 1.4 6.2 4.3 0.4 12.3 11th
12th 0.0 1.2 7.5 8.1 1.5 0.0 18.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.9 8.9 10.7 3.2 0.1 24.9 13th
14th 3.5 10.1 9.9 3.5 0.2 27.2 14th
Total 3.6 12.0 20.1 23.1 19.2 11.9 6.3 2.7 0.8 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5 0.0% 0.0
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.1
10-8 0.2% 0.2
9-9 0.8% 0.6% 0.6% 15.0 0.0 0.8
8-10 2.7% 2.7
7-11 6.3% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 6.3
6-12 11.9% 11.9
5-13 19.2% 19.2
4-14 23.1% 23.1
3-15 20.1% 20.1
2-16 12.0% 12.0
1-17 3.6% 3.6
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.7%