Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -6.8 282
Results Rating -8.5 306
Pace 66.5 237
Improvement +2.3 102

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense D+ 261 C C- D C- B
Defense D+ 273 C- C F+ C C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% 201 C- 56% 225 -1.0 224
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% 340 C 39% 156 -3.5 339
Three Pointers 51% 22 C- 32% 250 +3.8 57
Shot Selection/Accuracy B +1.2 41 C- -1.8 240
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 195
Second Chance C+ 31.2% 161 D 0.92 322 C- 0.29 231
Turnovers D 18.9% 303
Freethrows C 0.31 184 D 68% 313 C- 0.21 221
Total Offense D+ -3.6 261

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 51% 137 D- 14.8% 341
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 33% 80 D 7.2% 307
Three Pointers B- 88% 86 C+ 0.7% 135
Total B+ 64% 39 D 6.8% 306

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 228 B 53% 57 -2.8 88
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 139 D 42% 300 +1.1 280
Three Pointers 41% 163 D- 38% 346 +2.9 311
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.2 127 C- +1.5 238
1st FG Attempt C- 1.05 224
Second Chance C+ 29.2% 134 C- 1.07 254 C 0.31 190
Turnovers F+ 12.9% 355
Freethrows C+ 0.29 135 F 78% 359 C 0.22 202
Total Defense D+ -3.3 273

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 259 B 15.4% 45
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots F+ 39% 342 D+ 3.5% 262
Three Pointers C- 85% 205 D- -0.1% 354
Total D 61% 304 C+ 6.4% 114

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 18.2 264 17.4 199
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 282 0.18 230
Improvement -2.0 #283 +4.3 #21

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 302 282 260
Results Rating Rank 318 292 266
Conference Record 2 - 16 2 - 16 4 - 14
Conference Finish 14 14 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 99% 98% 100%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Richmond (Home) - 29.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b1 - 21 - 4
Quad 21 - 52 - 9
Quad 31 - 123 - 21
Quad 44 - 47 - 26


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 314 Cleveland St. W 91 - 88 70% +2  66% 1 - 0 D -9 C+ +2 D F+ A F -11 C- F B-
 Thu, Nov 6 290 Mercyhurst L 65 - 73 64% -7  13% 1 - 1 F -19 F -12 D- F D- D- -7 F+ C- B
 Sun, Nov 9 137 North Texas L 62 - 64 22% -4  21% 1 - 2 C -1 D+ -4 F D+ B+ B- +3 C+ A+ C+
 Thu, Nov 13 97 @Wichita St. L 74 - 95 8% -14  6% 1 - 3 D- -12 A- +10 A+ F+ C F -24 D F F
 Sun, Nov 16 91 Colorado St. L 67 - 80 18% -12  0% 1 - 4 D -10 C +1 A D F F -13 C F D-
 Fri, Nov 21 323 Northern Illinois L 59 - 76 73% -9  12% 1 - 5 F -30 F -12 C- F F F -20 F F F
 Tue, Nov 25 94 Northern Iowa L 51 - 72 12% -18  0% 1 - 6 F+ -15 F -10 F B C D- -8 C B- F
 Wed, Nov 26 218 San Jose St. L 51 - 63 37% -1  45% 1 - 7 F+ -15 F -18 D+ C F C +0 C+ A D-
 Tue, Dec 2 270 Central Michigan W 83 - 72 59% +2  55% 2 - 7 C+ +2 B+ +7 D A- A D -5 D- C D-
 Sat, Dec 6 254 Princeton W 73 - 68 55% -1  40% 3 - 7 C- -3 C -0 C+ A+ C C- -2 B- C+ F
 Sun, Dec 14 347 Chicago St. L 75 - 84 80% -6  12% 3 - 8 F -25 F -11 F A+ F F -14 D- C- D-
 Wed, Dec 17 127 San Francisco L 71 - 85 19% -12  2% 3 - 9 D- -12 B +7 D B+ A F -20 F B- F
 Sat, Dec 20 42 Santa Clara W 80 - 78 5% +1  61% 4 - 9 A- +15 A +12 A+ D A+ B- +3 A+ F+ F+
 Wed, Dec 31 124 @Rhode Island W 61 - 57 12% +7  85% 5 - 9 1 - 0 B +10 D -5 A B F A+ +15 A+ C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 3 87 Dayton L 68 - 70 16% +6  79% 5 - 10 1 - 1 C+ +2 C- -1 B+ C C- B- +3 A+ B F
 Wed, Jan 7 113 Davidson L 64 - 79 25% -10  0% 5 - 11 1 - 2 F+ -15 D- -8 F+ B C F+ -8 D+ C- D+
 Sat, Jan 10 82 @George Washington L 66 - 101 7% -20  0% 5 - 12 1 - 3 F -25 F -13 C+ F F F+ -9 D- A F
 Tue, Jan 13 105 George Mason L 74 - 82 22% +3  75% 5 - 13 1 - 4 D+ -7 B +7 A A- B F -14 C F F
 Fri, Jan 16 87 @Dayton L 51 - 78 7% -6  22% 5 - 14 1 - 5 F+ -17 F -17 F D F C -1 D+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 20 142 @St. Bonaventure L 70 - 84 16% +3  69% 5 - 15 1 - 6 D -10 D -5 B+ F F D -5 B+ B+ F
 Sat, Jan 24 110 Duquesne L 59 - 71 24% -4  11% 5 - 16 1 - 7 D- -12 F -14 F D+ B- B- +2 C A D-
 Tue, Jan 27 133 Saint Joseph's L 64 - 85 29% -20  0% 5 - 17 1 - 8 F -22 D -4 C- D+ C F -19 F F F
 Fri, Jan 30 46 @Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 89 4% -0  44% 5 - 18 1 - 9 C +0 B +7 B- A D D- -7 C C F
 Tue, Feb 3 200 La Salle W 71 - 61 44% +1  48% 6 - 18 2 - 9 C+ +5 D+ -2 C- B+ D A- +7 C+ A+ C-
 Fri, Feb 6 113 @Davidson L 64 - 84 12% -16  0% 6 - 19 2 - 10 D- -14 C- -1 A C F F -15 F A+ D
 Fri, Feb 13 23 Saint Louis L 59 - 86 4% -12  1% 6 - 20 2 - 11 D- -14 F -12 C+ F C+ C -1 D+ B- B
 Wed, Feb 18 155 @Fordham L 59 - 62 17% -9  3% 6 - 21 2 - 12 C +0 F+ -9 C- D- F A +9 A- C- B+
 Sat, Feb 21 133 @Saint Joseph's L 61 - 75 14% -10  0% 6 - 22 2 - 13 D -9 D -4 C+ F D- D -5 C- D- F
 Sat, Feb 28 130 Richmond L 72 - 78 29%
 Wed, Mar 4 23 @Saint Louis L 64 - 90 1%
 Sat, Mar 7 82 George Washington L 72 - 83 15%
Totals 6 - 25 2 - 16 -7 D+ -4 C C- B D+ -3 C- D C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings D+ C- C C- C- 38% 21% 51% B C C+ D C- D C D C- D+ B D D- C- 37% 22% 41% C+ C- C+ C- C F+ C+ F C
1.04 56% 39% 32% -2 +1 1.01 31% 0.9 .29 19% .31 68% .21 1.13 53% 42% 38% +1 0 1.05 29% 1.1 .31 13% .29 78% .24
Nov
3		 Cleveland St. C+ F+ A C+ D- 34% 7% 59% B D F+ D+ F+ A A C- A- F B+ F C+ C- 32% 21% 46% B- C- F B+ F B- F+ F F
1.27 53% 50% 36% +1 +1 1.07 29% 1.0 .29 10% .39 76% .29 1.22 50% 67% 35% +4 -1 1.09 50% 0.9 .44 19% .40 91% .36
Nov
6		 Mercyhurst F D+ F F+ F 45% 6% 49% B+ D- D- F F D- A- C+ B+ D- B F D F+ 40% 22% 38% F F+ D- B C- B F D F
0.96 55% 0% 29% -7 +2 0.92 27% 0.7 .19 21% .43 74% .32 1.08 50% 60% 35% +2 0 1.07 31% 1.0 .31 18% .38 76% .29
Nov
9		 North Texas D+ D+ F F F 39% 11% 50% B+ F B- F D+ B+ A+ D+ A+ B- C A+ D+ C+ 50% 21% 29% C+ C+ C- A+ A+ C+ F F F
0.94 53% 20% 18% -16 +1 0.73 36% 0.8 .30 20% .59 68% .40 0.97 57% 11% 33% -7 +1 0.90 35% 0.5 .16 18% .50 81% .41
Nov
13		 Wichita St. A- B F A+ A 40% 17% 44% A A+ B F F+ C B+ A+ A+ F B- A+ F D- 33% 18% 49% C D B- F F F B- C- C+
1.13 63% 13% 48% +7 +1 1.17 32% 0.5 .15 17% .33 83% .28 1.46 53% 10% 46% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.6 .58 3% .30 68% .21
Nov
16		 Colorado St. C C A+ A- A- 32% 8% 61% A- A C+ F D F A+ C A+ F A+ F F C- 29% 16% 56% B- C F F+ F D- D F F+
1.11 58% 67% 39% +7 +1 1.18 29% 0.9 .25 22% .47 68% .32 1.33 46% 57% 44% +8 0 1.18 40% 1.3 .50 15% .37 84% .31
Nov
21		 Northern Illinois F D- F A- D 45% 6% 49% B+ C- F+ F F F F F F F C- B- F F 32% 12% 56% C+ F F C- F F A+ F A-
0.96 52% 0% 39% -1 +2 1.04 24% 0.9 .21 21% .14 57% .08 1.24 56% 33% 43% +6 +1 1.16 46% 0.8 .38 16% .19 80% .16
Nov
25		 Northern Iowa F F F C F 34% 16% 50% C+ F B+ C+ B C B F C- D- C+ C F+ D+ 27% 23% 50% A+ C A+ F B- F C- B- C
0.83 20% 29% 32% -16 0 0.70 32% 0.9 .29 18% .30 60% .18 1.17 57% 42% 38% +4 -1 1.08 12% 1.8 .21 5% .26 67% .17
Nov
26		 San Jose St. F D+ D- B- D+ 34% 17% 49% C- D+ D+ B C F C- F F+ C B+ F A+ C+ 36% 29% 36% C- C+ C A+ A D- D- B D+
0.87 58% 33% 35% 0 0 1.03 32% 1.3 .41 36% .27 60% .16 1.08 50% 62% 25% -1 -1 0.98 33% 0.7 .24 12% .33 71% .23
Dec
2		 Central Michigan B+ B- D+ F D 43% 14% 43% B- D D A+ A- A A+ C A+ D C- F C- F+ 42% 33% 25% B- D- A+ F C D- D+ F D
1.25 63% 33% 26% -3 +1 0.98 31% 1.7 .53 12% .57 70% .39 1.08 60% 50% 33% +5 -1 1.08 17% 1.8 .31 15% .30 76% .23
Dec
6		 Princeton C A F F C 48% 9% 43% A- C+ D+ A+ A+ C A+ D- A+ C- B D+ B B 30% 13% 57% C- B- C- B- C+ F B F D+
1.14 71% 25% 26% 0 +2 1.07 25% 2.1 .54 14% .47 65% .31 1.06 50% 43% 30% -5 0 0.92 28% 0.9 .26 8% .27 94% .25
Dec
14		 Chicago St. F F F F F 23% 4% 72% C F A+ C+ A+ F B+ F C F D B F F 33% 40% 27% B D- F A C- D- F F F
1.04 45% 0% 26% -13 +1 0.79 51% 1.1 .58 24% .40 64% .25 1.16 59% 33% 43% +2 -3 1.00 39% 0.7 .28 12% .46 90% .41
Dec
17		 San Francisco B A F F D- 47% 19% 35% B D B B- B+ A A+ C- A+ F A F F F 33% 16% 51% C F A F B- F F B- F
1.17 70% 13% 20% -7 +1 0.91 32% 1.2 .38 8% .59 73% .43 1.40 47% 71% 52% +15 0 1.33 25% 1.3 .32 7% .46 69% .32
Dec
20		 Santa Clara A D A+ A- A+ 28% 15% 57% D+ A+ C F D A+ B+ A- A B- A+ F B+ A+ 38% 20% 42% B- A+ C- F+ F+ F+ D- D F+
1.18 54% 86% 38% +10 0 1.22 30% 0.8 .22 13% .39 78% .31 1.15 43% 55% 30% -5 0 0.93 39% 1.3 .50 12% .30 78% .23
Dec
31		 Rhode Island D C- A+ A A 44% 8% 49% A- A A+ F B F F A+ D A+ A+ C- A+ A+ 38% 21% 40% B A+ D+ B C+ C- B C+ B
0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22 0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22
Jan
3		 Dayton C- D A+ C B 41% 12% 47% A B+ A+ F C C- F F F B- A A+ A+ A+ 49% 10% 41% D A+ A F B F C F D
1.01 50% 83% 35% +3 +1 1.10 43% 0.7 .30 22% .10 60% .06 1.04 50% 20% 25% -11 +2 0.84 21% 1.4 .29 9% .41 84% .34
Jan
7		 Davidson D- F A+ F F 50% 13% 38% A+ F+ B B- B C A F B- F+ A+ F F D 32% 16% 52% C- D+ C C- C- D+ C- C+ C-
0.96 42% 67% 22% -11 +2 0.83 35% 1.1 .38 18% .39 57% .22 1.19 31% 75% 46% +7 0 1.16 31% 1.1 .34 15% .30 65% .19
Jan
10		 George Washington F A+ C- F C+ 32% 11% 57% B- C+ B- F F F F+ F F F+ C F F D- 40% 5% 55% C D- B- A+ A F B- F D
0.86 82% 33% 27% +1 +1 1.06 33% 0.4 .14 26% .21 50% .11 1.32 60% 67% 41% +8 +2 1.23 34% 0.8 .29 10% .28 95% .26
Jan
13		 George Mason B A- A+ F+ B+ 50% 8% 42% A+ A C+ A+ A- B A F C F B B F C- 43% 32% 26% B+ C F F F F F D- F
1.17 68% 75% 29% +4 +2 1.16 29% 1.3 .36 14% .33 56% .18 1.29 55% 33% 50% +3 -1 1.06 43% 1.4 .60 11% .46 77% .35
Jan
16		 Dayton F F F F F 43% 20% 36% B F A- F D F C+ F D C C+ A F D 37% 18% 45% B D+ A A+ A+ C- F+ D+ F
0.75 42% 22% 25% -15 0 0.73 37% 0.6 .23 28% .32 56% .18 1.14 58% 22% 43% +4 0 1.10 21% 0.7 .15 16% .49 79% .38
Jan
20		 St. Bonaventure D B F A+ B+ 35% 13% 52% B- B+ C- F F F C D C- D B- A+ D- B+ 32% 27% 41% B- B+ A+ F B+ F D F F
1.02 65% 17% 44% +7 +1 1.19 28% 0.2 .06 23% .28 73% .21 1.22 56% 27% 39% -1 -1 0.98 22% 1.3 .27 6% .31 95% .29
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
24		 Duquesne F B F F F 33% 17% 50% B- F F A+ D+ B- C C+ C B- B A- F C 43% 15% 43% B- C A+ F+ A D- D+ B C
0.87 63% 25% 21% -11 0 0.81 18% 1.3 .24 16% .33 74% .25 1.05 55% 29% 40% +1 +1 1.06 16% 1.2 .19 15% .38 68% .26
Jan
27		 Saint Joseph's D B- C+ D- C 19% 25% 57% D+ C- B F D+ C D+ B- C- F F B F+ F 44% 18% 38% C+ F C F F F A+ A+ A+
0.97 60% 38% 30% -3 -2 0.92 35% 0.7 .26 15% .20 73% .14 1.29 75% 30% 38% +8 +1 1.20 32% 1.8 .57 12% .10 50% .05
Jan
30		 Virginia Commonwealth B D+ F B+ C+ 48% 12% 40% A- B- A A- A D C D+ C- D- D A+ C- C 38% 13% 48% C+ C B- D+ C F F F F
1.10 52% 17% 38% -3 +2 1.00 38% 1.2 .44 19% .29 69% .20 1.31 65% 29% 36% +3 +1 1.10 32% 1.2 .38 10% .47 83% .39
Feb
3		 La Salle D+ D+ A+ D D 33% 4% 63% B+ C- D+ A+ B+ D A+ F A+ A- A+ F B- C+ 38% 28% 34% B- C+ A+ B A+ C- C B- C+
1.04 53% 50% 31% -4 +2 0.98 26% 1.6 .42 19% .45 60% .27 0.90 39% 54% 31% -4 -1 0.91 18% 0.8 .15 18% .34 68% .23
Feb
6		 Davidson C- C A A+ A 46% 20% 34% B+ A B D C F A+ F B+ F F F F F 30% 21% 49% B- F B A+ A+ D A+ F B
1.02 58% 50% 43% +7 +1 1.17 34% 0.9 .31 24% .44 57% .25 1.34 75% 64% 46% +19 -1 1.40 28% 0.6 .16 14% .19 80% .15
Feb
13		 Saint Louis F D- A+ D B- 21% 15% 64% C C+ F F F C+ D+ F F C A- F F D+ 45% 5% 50% C D+ C+ B- B- B A+ D+ A+
0.81 45% 50% 29% -5 -1 0.91 15% 0.3 .05 15% .29 50% .15 1.18 52% 67% 50% +11 +2 1.29 31% 1.0 .31 19% .14 75% .10
Feb
18		 Fordham F+ C- A+ F D- 39% 4% 57% A+ C- F A- D- F A+ D A+ A A+ B B+ A 36% 24% 40% B- A- A F C- B+ F A+ F
0.88 56% 50% 27% -6 +2 0.93 15% 1.2 .18 21% .41 64% .26 0.92 44% 36% 28% -9 -1 0.82 27% 1.3 .35 21% .51 59% .30
Feb
21		 Saint Joseph's D F C+ B+ C 36% 16% 48% B+ C+ D- F F D- B C+ B D B F C+ C- 45% 12% 43% D C- B+ F D- F C- F F+
0.93 44% 38% 38% -2 0 0.98 24% 0.4 .11 18% .26 71% .19 1.14 52% 50% 32% -3 +2 1.00 28% 1.4 .41 12% .29 88% .26



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.0 0.0 11th
12th 0.5 0.0 0.5 12th
13th 4.5 2.5 0.0 7.0 13th
14th 60.2 30.1 2.2 0.0 92.4 14th
Total 60.2 34.6 5.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14 5.2% 5.2
3-15 34.6% 34.6
2-16 60.2% 60.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 49.0%