Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#121
Expected Predictive Rating+0.8#155
Pace70.5#139
Improvement-2.1#294

Offense
Total Offense-0.2#175
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebound+1.0#117
Layup/Dunks+4.0#50
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.2#339
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#225
Freethrows-0.5#215
Improvement-2.0#313

Defense
Total Defense+2.8#98
First Shot+2.1#109
After Offensive Rebounds+0.7#114
Layups/Dunks+1.0#129
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#111
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#157
Freethrows-0.9#246
Improvement-0.2#194
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 3.5% 1.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.1 12.0 12.2
.500 or above 71.3% 84.8% 63.8%
.500 or above in Conference 48.1% 65.0% 38.7%
Conference Champion 1.9% 3.9% 0.8%
Last Place in Conference 5.4% 1.9% 7.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.4% 3.5% 1.8%
Second Round0.4% 0.7% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia Commonwealth (Home) - 36.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 53 - 7
Quad 36 - 79 - 14
Quad 48 - 117 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 361   Chicago St. W 79-72 96%     1 - 0 -10.6 -3.9 -7.1
  Nov 07, 2024 321   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 91%     2 - 0 +10.0 +7.4 +2.1
  Nov 15, 2024 110   @ Princeton W 73-68 35%     3 - 0 +11.5 +0.6 +10.7
  Nov 19, 2024 228   Southern Utah W 76-72 81%     4 - 0 -2.6 +4.6 -6.9
  Nov 23, 2024 239   Tulsa W 89-53 83%     5 - 0 +28.6 +9.9 +17.5
  Dec 03, 2024 305   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 89%     6 - 0 +11.1 +5.6 +7.9
  Dec 07, 2024 169   South Florida W 74-72 72%     7 - 0 -1.5 -1.3 -0.2
  Dec 15, 2024 61   San Francisco L 66-76 29%     7 - 1 -1.5 -4.4 +3.5
  Dec 18, 2024 353   Canisius W 72-60 95%     8 - 1 -3.7 -4.6 +2.0
  Dec 22, 2024 183   Oakland L 71-72 64%     8 - 2 -2.2 +3.0 -5.3
  Dec 23, 2024 117   College of Charleston L 68-77 49%     8 - 3 -6.1 -8.7 +3.3
  Dec 25, 2024 133   Murray St. L 68-71 54%     8 - 4 -1.4 +0.9 -2.5
  Jan 04, 2025 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 66-70 36%    
  Jan 08, 2025 165   @ La Salle L 73-74 50%    
  Jan 11, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 15, 2025 93   Rhode Island W 76-75 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 48   @ Dayton L 65-76 15%    
  Jan 22, 2025 178   Fordham W 77-70 73%    
  Jan 29, 2025 82   @ George Mason L 64-71 24%    
  Feb 01, 2025 86   Saint Joseph's L 71-72 47%    
  Feb 04, 2025 87   St. Bonaventure L 67-68 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 163   @ Duquesne L 66-67 49%    
  Feb 11, 2025 216   @ Richmond W 73-70 59%    
  Feb 14, 2025 137   Saint Louis W 78-74 65%    
  Feb 18, 2025 122   @ Davidson L 70-73 40%    
  Feb 21, 2025 48   Dayton L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 26, 2025 136   George Washington W 76-72 65%    
  Mar 01, 2025 137   @ Saint Louis L 75-77 44%    
  Mar 05, 2025 122   Davidson W 73-70 61%    
  Mar 08, 2025 203   @ Massachusetts W 75-73 55%    
Projected Record 16 - 14 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 1.9 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.3 0.8 0.2 0.0 3.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.8 2.1 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.4 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 2.7 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 2.9 3.6 0.9 0.0 7.7 5th
6th 0.1 2.2 5.0 1.9 0.1 9.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.2 3.1 0.3 0.0 10.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.6 4.6 0.8 0.0 10.7 8th
9th 0.2 3.0 5.5 1.5 0.1 10.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.6 4.9 2.4 0.2 9.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.7 3.4 0.5 0.0 8.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.3 0.9 0.0 6.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.3 0.1 5.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 4.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.5 15th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.9 4.1 7.0 10.3 13.0 14.5 14.1 12.4 9.4 6.2 3.4 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-2 94.7% 0.2    0.1 0.0
15-3 76.1% 0.5    0.3 0.2 0.0
14-4 39.7% 0.7    0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 12.0% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 1.9% 1.9 0.8 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 21.3% 19.1% 2.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 2.6%
15-3 0.7% 15.5% 14.8% 0.6% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.6 0.7%
14-4 1.7% 11.2% 11.2% 11.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.6
13-5 3.4% 10.0% 10.0% 11.7 0.1 0.2 0.0 3.1
12-6 6.2% 7.7% 7.7% 12.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 5.7
11-7 9.4% 5.0% 5.0% 12.1 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 8.9
10-8 12.4% 2.3% 2.3% 12.3 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 12.1
9-9 14.1% 1.6% 1.6% 12.2 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 13.9
8-10 14.5% 0.9% 0.9% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 14.4
7-11 13.0% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 13.0
6-12 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 14.4 0.0 0.0 10.3
5-13 7.0% 0.3% 0.3% 14.9 0.0 0.0 6.9
4-14 4.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 4.1
3-15 1.9% 1.9
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 12.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 97.6 0.0%