Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+3.7#108
Expected Predictive Rating+4.9#99
Pace67.9#186
Improvement+4.4#24

Offense
Total Offense+0.9#148
First Shot-0.4#182
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#109
Layup/Dunks+4.5#41
2 Pt Jumpshots-3.4#345
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#211
Freethrows-0.4#196
Improvement+1.9#96

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#97
First Shot+2.0#111
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#109
Layups/Dunks+0.9#138
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.0#94
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#153
Freethrows-0.8#243
Improvement+2.5#60
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4.5% 8.7% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.3 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round4.5% 8.7% 0.0%
Second Round0.4% 0.8% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 3
Quad 22 - 42 - 7
Quad 310 - 412 - 11
Quad 49 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 362   Chicago St. W 79-72 97%     1 - 0 -12.6 -6.5 -6.6
  Nov 07, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 94%     2 - 0 +7.7 +7.6 -0.3
  Nov 15, 2024 187   @ Princeton W 73-68 59%     3 - 0 +6.3 +0.2 +6.0
  Nov 19, 2024 304   Southern Utah W 76-72 91%     4 - 0 -7.0 +5.0 -11.7
  Nov 23, 2024 250   Tulsa W 89-53 85%     5 - 0 +28.4 +10.3 +16.9
  Dec 03, 2024 274   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 88%     6 - 0 +12.9 +5.5 +9.9
  Dec 07, 2024 189   South Florida W 74-72 78%     7 - 0 -2.3 +0.6 -2.9
  Dec 15, 2024 64   San Francisco L 66-76 33%     7 - 1 -1.7 -5.8 +4.7
  Dec 18, 2024 356   Canisius W 72-60 96%     8 - 1 -5.4 -5.8 +1.4
  Dec 22, 2024 184   Oakland L 71-72 69%     8 - 2 -2.4 +3.1 -5.6
  Dec 23, 2024 147   College of Charleston L 68-77 61%     8 - 3 -8.2 -9.6 +2.2
  Dec 25, 2024 145   Murray St. L 68-71 61%     8 - 4 -2.1 +1.4 -3.7
  Jan 04, 2025 36   Virginia Commonwealth L 65-84 25%     8 - 5 0 - 1 -8.1 +2.3 -11.9
  Jan 08, 2025 216   @ La Salle W 79-68 65%     9 - 5 1 - 1 +10.7 +11.2 +0.2
  Jan 11, 2025 75   @ Saint Joseph's L 57-93 27%     9 - 6 1 - 2 -25.8 -11.3 -14.0
  Jan 15, 2025 151   Rhode Island W 81-77 72%     10 - 6 2 - 2 +1.8 +8.8 -6.9
  Jan 18, 2025 74   @ Dayton L 81-83 OT 27%     10 - 7 2 - 3 +8.3 +6.5 +1.9
  Jan 22, 2025 222   Fordham W 70-66 82%     11 - 7 3 - 3 -2.1 -0.6 -1.2
  Jan 29, 2025 89   @ George Mason L 53-58 OT 32%     11 - 8 3 - 4 +3.5 -7.8 +11.0
  Feb 01, 2025 75   Saint Joseph's W 58-55 46%     12 - 8 4 - 4 +7.7 -9.0 +16.9
  Feb 04, 2025 110   St. Bonaventure W 77-53 61%     13 - 8 5 - 4 +25.0 +10.4 +15.7
  Feb 08, 2025 121   @ Duquesne L 56-69 45%     13 - 9 5 - 5 -7.8 -9.5 +0.8
  Feb 11, 2025 223   @ Richmond W 87-80 OT 66%     14 - 9 6 - 5 +6.4 +17.4 -10.8
  Feb 14, 2025 100   Saint Louis W 78-69 58%     15 - 9 7 - 5 +10.7 +6.7 +4.0
  Feb 18, 2025 140   @ Davidson W 77-69 49%     16 - 9 8 - 5 +11.9 +8.5 +3.7
  Feb 21, 2025 74   Dayton W 76-72 46%     17 - 9 9 - 5 +8.8 +3.0 +5.8
  Feb 26, 2025 116   George Washington W 77-57 62%     18 - 9 10 - 5 +20.6 +9.4 +12.0
  Mar 01, 2025 100   @ Saint Louis L 67-98 37%     18 - 10 10 - 6 -23.8 +2.5 -28.5
  Mar 05, 2025 140   Davidson W 82-72 70%     19 - 10 11 - 6 +8.4 +5.1 +3.0
  Mar 08, 2025 196   @ Massachusetts W 74-51 61%     20 - 10 12 - 6 +23.8 +8.6 +16.9
Projected Record 20 - 10 12 - 6




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 100.0 100.0 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 4.5% 4.5% 12.3 0.0 3.0 1.4 0.1 95.5
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 4.5% 4.5% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 3.0 1.4 0.1 95.5 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 4.5% 100.0% 12.3 0.9 66.9 29.8 2.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 6.8%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 41.0%
Lose Out 47.6%