Marshall
Sun Belt
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating -1.0 176
Results Rating +0.5 152
Pace 72.3 77
Improvement -3.4 309

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 114 C+ B- C- D D
Defense D+ 268 C C- C D B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% 345 B+ 65% 45 -2.5 275
2 Pt. Jumpers 40% 147 C- 37% 221 +1.3 110
Three Pointers 44% 112 B- 36% 104 +3.0 82
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 313 B- +2.9 88
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.06 118
Second Chance C+ 31.4% 157 B- 1.11 71 B- 0.35 96
Turnovers C- 17.3% 216
Freethrows D- 0.26 325 C+ 73% 161 D 0.19 306
Total Offense C+ +2.1 114

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 64% 11 C 11.1% 184
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 21% 239 C+ 4.2% 119
Three Pointers D 78% 306 C- 1.1% 238
Total B- 60% 84 B- 4.9% 105

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% 291 C- 60% 250 -1.3 125
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 93 B 35% 68 +0.2 203
Three Pointers 42% 132 C- 35% 239 +1.4 253
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- -0.6 77 C- +0.8 216
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 188
Second Chance D 34.3% 322 B 0.94 60 C- 0.32 217
Turnovers C 17.0% 171
Freethrows D 0.36 318 C+ 72% 134 D 0.26 310
Total Defense D+ -3.1 268

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B- 45% 107 B- 13.8% 71
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 25% 178 B+ 8.8% 29
Three Pointers C+ 82% 113 C- 0.7% 202
Total C+ 54% 136 B- 7.1% 69

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.6 36 18.0 287
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 82 0.18 225
Improvement +2.3 #89 -5.7 #362

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 200 178 157
Results Rating Rank 181 159 120
Conference Record 10 - 8 12 - 6 12 - 6
Conference Finish 5 1 1
NCAA Tourney Seed None None 14
NCAA Tourney Finish None None 1st Round

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 19% 23% 9%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 14.1 14.1 14.4
.500 or above 100% 100% 100%
.500 or above in Conference 100% 100% 100%
Conference Champion 57% 78% 2%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round19% 23% 9%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Old Dominion (Home) - 72.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 00 - 1
Quad 20 - 20 - 3
Quad 37 - 47 - 7
Quad 412 - 519 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 185 @Massachusetts W 78 - 72 41% +5  87% 1 - 0 B- +7 F+ -9 B C F A+ +15 C+ A+ A
 Sat, Nov 8 161 @Toledo W 85 - 73 35% -1  34% 2 - 0 A- +15 B +7 A+ F+ D- A- +7 B B+ A-
 Wed, Nov 12 227 Elon W 96 - 89 71% +6  95% 3 - 0 C +0 B- +5 B+ A+ D D -6 C- C D-
 Sat, Nov 15 22 @Virginia L 78 - 104 4% -20  0% 3 - 1 D+ -6 B +7 C A+ D- F -11 D+ D- D-
 Thu, Nov 20 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 98 - 70 88% +5  50% 4 - 1 B+ +14 B +6 A+ F C+ B+ +5 A C B
 Sun, Nov 23 290 Mercyhurst W 69 - 60 82% +5  87% 5 - 1 C -2 D+ -3 B D- C+ B- +2 B+ C+ C
 Wed, Nov 26 188 Lipscomb L 67 - 90 64% -17  0% 5 - 2 F -28 F -17 F B- F F+ -9 F A- B
 Wed, Dec 3 108 @UNC Wilmington L 69 - 70 23% -1  31% 5 - 3 B- +6 B- +5 C- A+ F+ C +0 A+ C+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 209 @Ohio L 81 - 88 45% -6  0% 5 - 4 D+ -7 C+ +2 D+ B+ C F+ -9 D C+ D-
 Wed, Dec 10 147 Western Kentucky W 77 - 61 55% +7  71% 6 - 4 B+ +14 C+ +3 D+ B+ A+ A +11 B A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 13 153 Wright St. W 76 - 74 57% -1  28% 7 - 4 C -1 B +6 C+ A C- D- -7 D+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 20 152 @Troy L 63 - 70 34% -6  10% 7 - 5 0 - 1 C- -4 F -11 F D+ D- A- +7 A- B B
 Wed, Dec 31 289 Georgia St. W 84 - 80 82% +2  61% 8 - 5 1 - 1 D+ -7 C +0 C+ A F+ D- -7 D- F+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 173 Appalachian St. W 88 - 81 60% +8  92% 9 - 5 2 - 1 C+ +3 A +12 A+ F+ B F+ -8 D D- C
 Wed, Jan 7 201 @James Madison W 66 - 64 43% +8  96% 10 - 5 3 - 1 C+ +3 C- -1 F A- B+ B +4 A- D+ C+
 Sat, Jan 10 289 @Georgia St. L 73 - 81 63% +3  56% 10 - 6 3 - 2 D- -13 D -6 D B- F D- -6 B F B
 Wed, Jan 14 236 Coastal Carolina L 83 - 85 72% -5  17% 10 - 7 3 - 3 D -9 B+ +8 A D+ A- F -17 F B- B-
 Sat, Jan 17 201 James Madison W 77 - 72 66% -0  59% 11 - 7 4 - 3 C -0 C -0 D A- F C +0 B- F B+
 Thu, Jan 22 353 Louisiana Monroe W 115 - 60 92% +28  97% 12 - 7 5 - 3 A+ +38 A+ +24 A+ A+ D A+ +12 A+ C C-
 Wed, Jan 28 237 @Texas St. L 68 - 72 50% -4  21% 12 - 8 5 - 4 D+ -5 D -6 D- F+ A+ C+ +0 C F+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 143 @Arkansas St. W 70 - 61 32% +4  76% 13 - 8 6 - 4 B+ +13 C+ +3 C B F+ A +11 A+ A- C-
 Wed, Feb 4 241 Southern Miss W 81 - 77 73% -2  29% 14 - 8 7 - 4 C- -3 B+ +9 A B C+ F -12 D- D- B
 Sat, Feb 7 83 Miami (OH) L 74 - 90 32% -13  0% 14 - 9 D- -12 D+ -3 D C+ B F+ -9 C- F B+
 Wed, Feb 11 242 @Old Dominion W 81 - 79 51% -7  10% 15 - 9 8 - 4 C +1 B- +5 A+ F C+ D+ -4 D- D D-
 Sat, Feb 14 266 @Georgia Southern L 87 - 101 58% -11  13% 15 - 10 8 - 5 F+ -17 C +0 C- F B+ F -16 F C+ B-
 Mon, Feb 16 182 South Alabama W 84 - 80 63% +8  89% 16 - 10 9 - 5 C -0 A +14 B+ A- A+ F -14 F F B
 Thu, Feb 19 173 @Appalachian St. W 94 - 93 37% -6  8% 17 - 10 10 - 5 C+ +3 A+ +26 A+ B A+ F -23 F F F
 Sat, Feb 21 236 @Coastal Carolina L 75 - 79 50% -8  0% 17 - 11 10 - 6 D+ -5 D+ -3 F B+ C- C- -2 B- D+ B-
 Tue, Feb 24 242 Old Dominion W 83 - 77 73%
 Fri, Feb 27 266 Georgia Southern W 88 - 80 77%
Totals 18 - 12 11 - 7 -1 C+ +2 A B- D D+ -3 B- C+ D



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ B+ C- B- B- 31% 40% 44% D C+ C+ B- B- C- D- C+ D D+ C- B C- C- 35% 23% 42% B- C D B C- C D C+ D
1.12 65% 37% 36% +3 -1 1.06 31% 1.1 .35 17% .26 73% .19 1.13 60% 35% 35% +1 -1 1.02 34% 0.9 .32 17% .36 72% .18
Nov
3		 Massachusetts F+ A+ F C B+ 33% 14% 53% C+ B A- F C F D- C+ D A+ C+ D- B+ B- 43% 22% 35% C- C+ A- A+ A+ A F A F
0.96 82% 29% 33% +6 +1 1.16 36% 0.8 .29 32% .34 74% .25 0.88 57% 45% 29% -1 0 1.00 25% 0.4 .10 25% .58 58% .34
Nov
8		 Toledo B A+ F A+ A+ 25% 10% 65% C- A+ C+ F F+ D- D+ D- D A- A+ F C B+ 41% 29% 30% C+ B F A+ B+ A- D- D D-
1.20 85% 20% 44% +15 0 1.33 36% 0.7 .24 21% .21 67% .14 1.03 35% 69% 35% 0 -1 1.00 37% 0.6 .22 20% .33 79% .26
Nov
12		 Elon B- B C- A B+ 31% 15% 54% C+ B+ D- A+ A+ D B+ D B D F A B C- 37% 7% 56% C C- C C C D- D+ C- D+
1.26 63% 38% 43% +8 0 1.19 28% 2.1 .59 18% .35 68% .24 1.16 71% 25% 31% +2 +2 1.09 33% 1.0 .33 13% .33 73% .24
Nov
15		 Virginia B D A+ F C 28% 30% 42% D+ C B A+ A+ D- A+ A- A+ F B- C- F D+ 42% 13% 45% C- D+ B+ F D- D- F C F
1.03 47% 50% 23% -7 -2 0.85 31% 1.8 .56 20% .40 79% .31 1.37 57% 43% 44% +7 +1 1.18 35% 1.5 .51 12% .54 72% .39
Nov
20		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B A+ D A+ A+ 32% 26% 42% F A+ F+ F F C+ D- B+ D+ B+ F+ C+ A+ B 17% 50% 33% A+ A C C+ C B F D+ F
1.28 78% 33% 54% +18 -1 1.35 28% 0.6 .16 14% .32 81% .26 0.91 67% 35% 24% -5 -5 0.81 26% 0.9 .23 21% .43 77% .33
Nov
23		 Mercyhurst D+ D+ F A+ A- 25% 18% 57% D- B D+ F D- C+ D- A D+ B- C B A+ A 40% 34% 26% D+ B+ F+ A+ C+ C F A+ D+
1.09 55% 13% 48% +6 -1 1.14 30% 0.8 .24 17% .31 81% .25 0.95 55% 35% 15% -9 -2 0.80 32% 0.8 .27 16% .30 56% .17
Nov
26		 Lipscomb F D- F F F 35% 22% 43% C F C- A+ B- F A A- A F+ F+ C F F 37% 17% 46% B F A- A A- B F A+ F
0.86 53% 25% 17% -15 0 0.70 29% 1.3 .37 22% .36 77% .28 1.16 68% 33% 50% +14 0 1.31 18% 0.8 .15 19% .41 65% .27
Dec
3		 UNC Wilmington B- A+ C+ F C+ 17% 42% 42% F C- B A+ A+ F+ F A+ C- C F+ A+ B+ A+ 21% 38% 40% A+ A+ F A+ C+ F F D- F
1.11 88% 40% 25% 0 -4 0.94 31% 1.5 .47 18% .18 100% .18 1.12 67% 13% 29% -11 -3 0.74 43% 0.8 .33 10% .69 74% .51
Dec
6		 Ohio C+ A- D F D 48% 11% 41% A- D+ B- B+ B+ C C+ B- B- F+ A F F D- 33% 24% 43% C+ D B- C- C+ D- F C+ F
1.12 67% 33% 22% -4 +2 0.98 37% 1.2 .43 17% .33 75% .25 1.21 44% 54% 43% +5 -1 1.11 25% 1.0 .25 12% .46 69% .31
Dec
10		 Western Kentucky C+ D+ B- C+ C 26% 40% 34% F D+ B+ B B+ A+ F D F A B- A- B B- 35% 27% 38% A- B C- A+ A+ B- D- B D+
1.12 53% 43% 35% +1 -3 0.98 34% 1.0 .34 12% .25 67% .17 0.89 50% 29% 30% -8 -1 0.85 34% 0.4 .14 16% .36 71% .26
Dec
13		 Wright St. B A+ B D B- 25% 27% 48% F+ C+ A- B+ A C- C+ A+ B D- D A F D- 24% 29% 47% A+ D+ F A+ A+ F A+ A- A+
1.20 75% 46% 30% +4 -2 1.06 39% 1.2 .45 17% .31 81% .25 1.17 64% 29% 43% +5 -2 1.08 41% 0.5 .20 8% .10 67% .07
Dec
20		 Troy F A F F F 25% 26% 49% F+ F B F D+ D- D+ F+ D A- A+ A+ B- A+ 47% 4% 49% F+ A- C+ B+ B B F F F
0.90 69% 29% 19% -11 -2 0.77 37% 0.8 .28 20% .25 64% .16 1.00 42% 0% 32% -11 +3 0.86 32% 0.8 .27 19% .41 83% .33
Dec
31		 Georgia St. C A+ F D C+ 33% 16% 51% C- C+ D- A+ A F+ A- F B- D- F D B+ F+ 23% 38% 40% A D- F+ D- F+ C+ F F F
1.12 76% 25% 31% +2 0 1.06 27% 1.8 .48 20% .37 64% .23 1.07 67% 40% 29% -1 -3 0.94 32% 1.2 .38 17% .37 87% .32
Jan
3		 Appalachian St. A B- A A+ A+ 34% 26% 40% D A+ F+ D F+ B A+ C+ A+ F+ F+ F B- F+ 33% 27% 41% A D D D D- C F A F
1.25 59% 46% 55% +15 -1 1.30 21% 0.8 .18 11% .40 72% .29 1.15 69% 46% 30% +3 -1 1.06 33% 1.2 .38 16% .52 55% .29
Jan
7		 James Madison C- F A+ F F+ 29% 27% 43% F+ F B- A A- B+ F+ B D B C A+ A A 35% 19% 46% B- A- F B+ D+ C+ B A B+
1.07 33% 50% 27% -8 -2 0.82 33% 1.2 .41 10% .29 75% .21 1.03 59% 22% 27% -7 0 0.88 36% 0.9 .33 18% .26 62% .16
Jan
10		 Georgia St. D C F+ D D 34% 20% 46% D+ D B- C B- F A F B- D- B+ C- A+ B+ 31% 26% 43% D+ B F F F B F F+ F
0.99 59% 30% 30% -4 0 0.94 38% 1.0 .38 23% .39 59% .23 1.10 46% 36% 22% -12 -1 0.76 41% 1.4 .56 19% .66 85% .55
Jan
14		 Coastal Carolina B+ B- B- A+ A+ 20% 52% 28% F A B- F D+ A- D F F+ F F F F F 33% 24% 43% D F A+ F B- B- D F F
1.20 58% 42% 53% +10 -5 1.12 31% 0.8 .23 9% .25 63% .16 1.23 75% 58% 43% +16 -1 1.33 17% 1.3 .21 17% .30 88% .26
Jan
17		 James Madison C C F C+ D+ 35% 28% 37% D- D A+ D- A- F A+ A+ A+ C A+ C D C+ 26% 23% 51% A B- F D+ F B+ F+ B+ D
1.13 56% 23% 35% -4 -1 0.91 46% 0.9 .41 19% .51 82% .42 1.05 42% 36% 38% -2 -1 0.96 36% 1.1 .40 20% .37 65% .24
Jan
22		 Louisiana Monroe A+ C F A+ A+ 26% 7% 67% C A+ A+ A- A+ D F A F A+ A+ F A+ A+ 35% 19% 46% C A+ C+ C C C- F C F
1.55 63% 25% 51% +18 +1 1.39 54% 1.3 .71 18% .15 78% .11 0.81 28% 50% 17% -20 0 0.62 24% 1.0 .24 16% .47 72% .34
Jan
28		 Texas St. D A C- F D 40% 25% 35% D D- F C+ F+ A+ F F F C+ B+ A+ F C+ 48% 24% 28% F+ C B- F F+ C D- A D+
0.99 70% 36% 25% -1 0 1.00 17% 1.0 .17 10% .19 58% .11 1.05 50% 25% 43% -3 0 0.96 31% 1.3 .39 19% .34 68% .23
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
31		 Arkansas St. C+ C+ D A B- 27% 38% 35% F C A- C- B F+ D A C A D- A+ A+ A+ 32% 11% 57% C- A+ D- A+ A- C- F A+ F
1.10 62% 33% 41% +3 -3 1.02 35% 1.0 .35 19% .29 80% .23 0.96 67% 20% 19% -13 +1 0.79 42% 0.7 .28 19% .49 64% .31
Feb
4		 Southern Miss B+ A+ A B A+ 32% 30% 38% F A C+ A B C+ B+ C- B F F A+ F F 12% 35% 53% A+ D- F A D- B F B+ F
1.22 80% 50% 39% +13 -2 1.26 29% 1.2 .35 17% .40 68% .27 1.16 100% 13% 43% +4 -4 1.02 46% 0.8 .38 21% .57 70% .40
Feb
7		 Miami (OH) D+ A+ F F D 32% 20% 48% C D A F+ C+ B C F D- F+ F A+ F C- 40% 23% 36% B- C- F F F B+ D C D+
1.05 78% 27% 26% -2 0 0.98 39% 0.7 .28 16% .29 59% .17 1.28 79% 18% 41% +8 0 1.17 41% 1.6 .66 18% .37 76% .28
Feb
11		 Old Dominion B- A C A+ A+ 38% 25% 36% D+ A+ F F F C+ F+ F F D+ F+ F C+ F+ 32% 36% 32% A- D- B+ F D D- A A+ A
1.15 71% 36% 50% +13 -1 1.27 14% 0.5 .07 14% .28 65% .18 1.12 67% 45% 33% +5 -2 1.07 21% 1.6 .32 13% .21 62% .13
Feb
14		 Georgia Southern C F+ B+ B C- 34% 19% 47% D C- F+ F F B+ C+ B B- F D- A+ F F 37% 8% 56% C- F D A- C+ B- F F F
1.12 50% 45% 37% +1 0 1.03 27% 0.8 .22 15% .38 80% .31 1.30 63% 25% 48% +13 +2 1.31 31% 0.9 .28 17% .50 81% .40
Feb
16		 South Alabama A A+ F B- A 14% 12% 74% D B+ D+ A+ A- A+ F+ F F F F A C- F 47% 29% 24% A- F F A+ F B A- D B
1.30 100% 29% 36% +7 -1 1.14 29% 1.6 .47 11% .16 67% .10 1.24 83% 27% 33% +8 -1 1.18 41% 0.9 .38 15% .24 69% .16
Feb
19		 Appalachian St. A+ A- A+ A+ A+ 32% 25% 43% D A+ D+ A+ B A+ A- C B+ F C- F F F 35% 5% 60% F F F F F F F F+ F
1.41 65% 62% 48% +17 -1 1.34 27% 1.3 .35 8% .34 71% .24 1.40 60% 50% 38% +5 +2 1.16 39% 1.6 .64 11% .67 70% .47
Feb
21		 Coastal Carolina D+ D- D+ F F 34% 36% 30% D+ F C+ A B+ C- D+ A+ B C- C+ A- C B- 30% 34% 36% B- B- F A D+ B- F C+ F
1.00 48% 36% 22% -9 -2 0.79 30% 1.2 .36 13% .28 89% .24 1.05 53% 29% 33% -5 -2 0.88 36% 0.8 .27 17% .55 71% .38



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Sun Belt Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1.1 56.2 57.3 1st
2nd 8.5 8.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 17.2 17.2 3rd
4th 1.0 10.4 11.3 4th
5th 3.0 3.0 5th
6th 2.3 2.3 6th
7th 0.3 0.3 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
Total 6.6 37.2 56.2 Total



Sun Belt Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 100.0% 56.2    1.8 12.7 26.1 15.6
11-7 2.9% 1.1    0.0 0.4 0.6 0.1
10-8 0.0%
9-9
Total 57.3% 57.3 1.8 12.7 26.1 15.7 0.4 0.6 0.1



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 56.2% 26.0% 26.0% 14.1 0.0 2.2 9.1 3.2 0.0 41.6
11-7 37.2% 10.7% 10.7% 14.4 0.2 2.1 1.7 0.1 33.2
10-8 6.6% 3.2% 3.2% 14.4 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 6.4
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 18.8% 18.8% 0.0% 14.1 81.2 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 14.6% 100.0% 14.1 0.3 14.8 62.6 22.2 0.2
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 14.2%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 27.4%
Lose Out 2.4%