Massachusetts
Mid-American
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating -0.7 #167
Expected Predictive Rating -2.5 #212
Pace 78.0 #20
Improvement -0.7 #223

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #212 C B+ D C C
Defense #132 C B+ C F D

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #82 1.17 #164 +2.4 #105
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #122 0.74 #186 +1.0 #129
Three Pointers 34% #310 0.96 #242 -4.2 #309
1st FG Attempt 1.00 #197 -0.9 #197
Freethrows 18.3 #138 69% #281 12.7 #174
Second Chance 31.8% #148 1.23 #18 0.39 #60
Turnovers 18.8% #303
Total Offense -1.7 #212

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #42 1.26 #293 -5.4 #339
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #268 0.76 #193 +1.0 #120
Three Pointers 39% #250 0.85 #27 +4.4 #35
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #174 +0.0 #174
Freethrows 22.2 #346 72% #145 15.9 #29
Second Chance 25.8% #36 1.01 #151 0.26 #50
Turnovers 16.6% #185
Total Defense +1.0 #132

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -0.1% #202 1.6% #310
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -1.5% #195 -1.6% #148
Possession Length 16.0 #68 16.6 #77
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #97 0.24 #342
Improvement +2.6 #37 -3.3 #346

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 2.4% 2.6% 1.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 13.8 13.8 14.0
.500 or above 78.8% 82.4% 57.0%
.500 or above in Conference 35.0% 38.5% 13.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 1.9% 1.2% 6.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round2.4% 2.6% 1.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.1%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Ball St. (Home) - 86.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 21 - 21 - 3
Quad 34 - 75 - 10
Quad 411 - 417 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 159 Marshall L 72 - 78 60%  -5  0 - 1 -9 -13 C F F +5 F A- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 322 Albany W 83 - 62 87%  +7  1 - 1 +8 -2 F A+ F +9 A C A+
 Thu, Nov 13 291 Le Moyne W 94 - 80 82%  +11  2 - 1 +4 +7 A A F -4 C+ B- F
 Sun, Nov 16 269 Central Connecticut St. W 84 - 77 79%  +12  3 - 1 -2 -3 F A+ F -0 C+ C B-
 Fri, Nov 21 149 College of Charleston L 65 - 69 45%  +1  3 - 2 -4 -6 C+ B+ F +2 A- F D-
 Sat, Nov 22 249 Green Bay L 75 - 79 66%  -4  3 - 3 -9 +1 F A+ D -10 D+ B- F
 Mon, Nov 24 182 Oregon St. W 73 - 65 53%  +2  4 - 3 +6 +3 F A+ C- +4 D- A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 3 196 Harvard W 78 - 71 67%  +10  5 - 3 +2 -0 A- F F +2 B+ B- D+
 Sat, Dec 6 286 Umass Lowell W 80 - 60 81%  +8  6 - 3 +10 -6 D D- F +14 B+ A- A+
 Wed, Dec 10 151 Boston College W 76 - 74 47%  +3  7 - 3 +2 +6 C- A+ F -4 A- C+ D-
 Sat, Dec 13 111 Florida St. W 103 - 95 31%  +5  8 - 3 +12 +17 A+ A+ A+ -6 F A+ C
 Sat, Dec 20 138 Kent St. L 59 - 69 54%  -5  8 - 4 0 - 1 -12 -17 F F F +5 A- A- C
 Tue, Dec 30 197 @Eastern Michigan L 74 - 80 44%  -2  8 - 5 0 - 2 -5 -0 F C A+ -5 C B- F
 Sat, Jan 3 132 Bowling Green L 100 - 101 OT 52%  -0  8 - 6 0 - 3 -2 +7 A+ B D -10 F A+ F
 Tue, Jan 6 170 @Ohio L 83 - 86 40%  -3  8 - 7 0 - 4 -1 +7 A- F C -8 F B- C
 Sat, Jan 10 312 Ball St. W 78 - 67 86% 
 Tue, Jan 13 265 @Western Michigan W 80 - 78 59% 
 Sat, Jan 17 325 @Northern Illinois W 80 - 74 73% 
 Tue, Jan 20 180 Toledo W 83 - 79 63% 
 Sat, Jan 24 179 @Buffalo L 77 - 79 41% 
 Tue, Jan 27 93 @Miami (OH) L 76 - 86 18% 
 Sat, Jan 31 197 Eastern Michigan W 76 - 71 67% 
 Tue, Feb 3 323 Central Michigan W 82 - 70 88% 
 Sat, Feb 7 270 @Coastal Carolina W 77 - 74 59% 
 Sat, Feb 14 64 @Akron L 79 - 92 12% 
 Tue, Feb 17 93 Miami (OH) L 79 - 83 37% 
 Sat, Feb 21 179 Buffalo W 80 - 76 63% 
 Tue, Feb 24 312 @Ball St. W 75 - 70 69% 
 Sat, Feb 28 132 @Bowling Green L 75 - 80 31% 
 Tue, Mar 3 170 Ohio W 81 - 78 62% 
Totals 16 - 14 8 - 10 -1 -2 C B+ D +1 C B+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Mid-American Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.6 3rd
4th 0.1 1.4 2.2 0.6 0.0 4.4 4th
5th 0.0 1.4 4.0 1.8 0.1 7.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 5.8 4.3 0.4 0.0 11.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 6.4 6.8 1.1 0.0 15.5 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 6.4 8.9 2.5 0.1 18.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.3 6.6 8.7 3.0 0.2 19.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.7 4.1 5.1 1.8 0.1 11.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 1.7 2.5 1.0 0.1 5.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0 2.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 13th
Total 0.1 0.3 1.3 3.5 8.4 13.7 18.0 19.7 16.9 10.9 5.1 1.7 0.4 0.0 Total



Mid-American Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 20.0% 0.0    0.0
13-5 5.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0
13-5 0.4% 14.1% 14.1% 12.4 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.7% 12.9% 12.9% 12.8 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.5
11-7 5.1% 5.8% 5.8% 13.3 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 4.8
10-8 10.9% 6.2% 6.2% 13.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 10.2
9-9 16.9% 3.9% 3.9% 13.9 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 16.2
8-10 19.7% 1.8% 1.8% 14.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 19.3
7-11 18.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 18.0
6-12 13.7% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.7
5-13 8.4% 8.4
4-14 3.5% 3.5
3-15 1.3% 1.3
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 2.4% 2.4% 0.0% 13.8 97.6 0.0%