Massachusetts
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating-1.9#203
Expected Predictive Rating-6.0#272
Pace74.6#51
Improvement-1.9#287

Offense
Total Offense-1.7#219
First Shot-3.3#272
After Offensive Rebound+1.6#96
Layup/Dunks+2.3#103
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#219
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.0#330
Freethrows+0.3#159
Improvement-2.3#328

Defense
Total Defense-0.2#175
First Shot-0.2#174
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#192
Layups/Dunks-1.3#219
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.7#13
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#210
Freethrows-1.2#267
Improvement+0.5#151
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.6% 0.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 14.1 13.4 14.3
.500 or above 2.9% 8.4% 2.0%
.500 or above in Conference 14.8% 32.2% 12.0%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.6% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 22.6% 9.8% 24.6%
First Four0.1% 0.0% 0.1%
First Round0.3% 0.6% 0.2%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Saint Joseph's (Away) - 13.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 4
Quad 21 - 71 - 10
Quad 34 - 85 - 19
Quad 45 - 210 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 355   New Hampshire W 103-74 90%     1 - 0 +13.1 +11.8 -2.2
  Nov 08, 2024 39   @ West Virginia L 69-75 7%     1 - 1 +8.7 +2.3 +6.6
  Nov 13, 2024 102   Louisiana Tech L 66-76 27%     1 - 2 -5.4 -4.6 -0.7
  Nov 16, 2024 149   Hofstra L 71-75 OT 53%     1 - 3 -6.7 -2.7 -3.9
  Nov 23, 2024 124   Temple L 80-87 34%     1 - 4 -4.7 +5.2 -9.5
  Nov 24, 2024 70   Florida St. L 59-92 18%     1 - 5 -25.2 -11.7 -12.3
  Nov 27, 2024 243   @ Harvard W 62-54 49%     2 - 5 +6.4 -5.6 +12.6
  Dec 01, 2024 352   NJIT W 80-68 89%     3 - 5 -3.6 +5.8 -8.9
  Dec 04, 2024 219   Central Connecticut St. L 69-73 66%     3 - 6 -10.1 -2.9 -7.3
  Dec 07, 2024 144   Umass Lowell L 83-96 52%     3 - 7 -15.4 -5.8 -7.6
  Dec 18, 2024 170   Northeastern W 77-72 56%     4 - 7 +1.5 -3.7 +4.6
  Dec 21, 2024 59   Arizona St. L 62-78 15%     4 - 8 -6.7 -6.6 +0.2
  Dec 31, 2024 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 69-80 14%    
  Jan 04, 2025 216   Richmond W 76-72 65%    
  Jan 08, 2025 48   Dayton L 68-78 18%    
  Jan 11, 2025 82   @ George Mason L 64-76 13%    
  Jan 15, 2025 178   @ Fordham L 75-79 36%    
  Jan 19, 2025 165   La Salle W 77-76 56%    
  Jan 22, 2025 135   George Washington L 77-78 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 93   @ Rhode Island L 74-84 17%    
  Feb 01, 2025 163   @ Duquesne L 67-72 33%    
  Feb 04, 2025 136   Saint Louis L 78-79 50%    
  Feb 09, 2025 165   @ La Salle L 74-79 35%    
  Feb 12, 2025 122   Davidson L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 15, 2025 87   St. Bonaventure L 68-73 32%    
  Feb 19, 2025 57   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 64-78 10%    
  Feb 22, 2025 135   @ George Washington L 74-80 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 93   Rhode Island L 77-81 35%    
  Mar 05, 2025 87   @ St. Bonaventure L 65-76 16%    
  Mar 08, 2025 114   Loyola Chicago L 73-75 43%    
Projected Record 10 - 20 6 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.0 1.4 4th
5th 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.1 1.1 1.6 0.4 0.0 3.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.0 4.6 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 3.1 2.3 0.2 0.0 6.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.3 2.8 4.0 0.7 0.0 7.9 9th
10th 0.1 1.9 5.1 1.9 0.1 9.2 10th
11th 0.1 1.3 5.4 4.0 0.4 0.0 11.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 4.6 5.6 1.3 0.0 12.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.7 3.9 6.4 2.4 0.1 13.5 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 3.7 5.9 3.1 0.4 0.0 14.1 14th
15th 0.3 1.7 3.8 4.6 2.3 0.4 0.0 13.2 15th
Total 0.3 1.8 4.7 9.1 13.0 15.8 16.0 13.9 10.6 7.0 4.1 2.2 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 71.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 20.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.7% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 2.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 17.2% 17.2% 11.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1
13-5 0.4% 3.4% 3.4% 11.8 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-6 1.0% 4.3% 4.3% 12.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.0
11-7 2.2% 2.2% 2.2% 13.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2.1
10-8 4.1% 1.1% 1.1% 13.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.1
9-9 7.0% 0.5% 0.5% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.9
8-10 10.6% 0.3% 0.3% 15.5 0.0 0.0 10.5
7-11 13.9% 0.2% 0.2% 15.9 0.0 0.0 13.9
6-12 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 16.0
5-13 15.8% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 15.8
4-14 13.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.0
3-15 9.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 9.1
2-16 4.7% 4.7
1-17 1.8% 1.8
0-18 0.3% 0.3
Total 100% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0% 14.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 99.7 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%