Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +2.6 124
Results Rating +2.4 124
Pace 65.4 264
Improvement -1.6 245

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 189 C C D B B-
Defense B- 78 C+ C A D D+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% 138 C+ 60% 120 +1.5 117
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 273 C+ 40% 105 -1.3 252
Three Pointers 44% 124 D+ 32% 270 +0.2 173
Shot Selection/Accuracy B- +0.6 98 C -0.3 180
1st FG Attempt C 1.03 160
Second Chance C+ 32.6% 115 D 0.94 304 C 0.31 188
Turnovers D 19.2% 322
Freethrows B+ 0.36 30 C 72% 184 B 0.26 43
Total Offense C -0.9 189

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 37% 335 C- 12.1% 255
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 22% 217 C+ 4.3% 130
Three Pointers C+ 85% 166 A- 0.1% 9
Total D+ 50% 304 C 5.6% 188

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 131 B 53% 60 -0.8 144
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% 259 B+ 32% 19 -1.9 38
Three Pointers 41% 167 D 37% 298 +1.8 276
Shot Selection/Accuracy D+ +0.5 251 C+ -1.4 124
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.00 140
Second Chance C- 31.0% 209 C+ 1.00 146 C 0.31 182
Turnovers A 21.4% 13
Freethrows D 0.36 320 B- 70% 82 D 0.25 297
Total Defense B- +3.5 78

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C+ 45% 121 B+ 16.2% 34
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 131 C+ 5.8% 109
Three Pointers C 85% 196 D 0.2% 318
Total C 56% 191 B 7.7% 42

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.7 215 17.9 275
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 32 0.14 86
Improvement -2.2 #295 +0.7 #144

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 145 124 106
Results Rating Rank 153 126 103
Conference Record 6 - 12 8 - 10 10 - 8
Conference Finish 10 9 5
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed 12.4 12.1 12.7
.500 or above 96% 100% 92%
.500 or above in Conference 38% 61% 18%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round1% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: St. Bonaventure (Away) - 45.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 1
Quad 22 - 64 - 7
Quad 36 - 410 - 12
Quad 47 - 318 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 326 Stetson W 93 - 62 93% +17  97% 1 - 0 A- +17 B- +5 C+ A+ F+ A +11 B B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 76 Tulsa L 65 - 82 32% -9  5% 1 - 1 D -9 D -6 C- B F D -5 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 341 Stonehill W 80 - 57 94% +12  88% 2 - 1 B- +8 C+ +2 C+ C- F+ B+ +6 B+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 14 316 Albany W 80 - 61 91% +6  64% 3 - 1 B- +7 C+ +2 F+ A- C+ B+ +5 A+ F A
 Tue, Nov 18 85 @Yale W 86 - 77 25% +0  42% 4 - 1 A +19 A+ +15 A B D+ B +4 A F A
 Mon, Nov 24 170 Towson L 55 - 62 62% -2  34% 4 - 2 D+ -8 F -10 F A+ F B- +2 C- B+ B
 Tue, Nov 25 229 Vermont W 80 - 65 73% +7  83% 5 - 2 B +11 A- +10 B A- F B- +3 B F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 156 Temple W 90 - 75 60% +7  81% 6 - 2 A- +15 A +14 A+ D+ A+ C+ +1 C B- B
 Tue, Dec 2 267 Brown W 66 - 56 86% +4  80% 7 - 2 C +1 D -5 F+ B D+ A- +7 A+ C C+
 Sat, Dec 6 61 @Providence L 71 - 90 19% -5  18% 7 - 3 D+ -7 D+ -3 A+ F F D+ -5 F C A+
 Tue, Dec 9 81 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 45% -2  6% 7 - 4 C+ +2 D- -8 B D F A +10 C+ A+ B
 Tue, Dec 16 344 Canisius W 62 - 45 94% +3  45% 8 - 4 C +2 F -12 F+ F F A+ +15 B+ A- A+
 Mon, Dec 22 292 Northeastern W 85 - 77 89% +6  89% 9 - 4 C- -3 B+ +9 B+ A C F -11 F B+ B+
 Wed, Dec 31 282 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 88% -7  11% 9 - 5 0 - 1 D- -14 F -19 F C- F B +5 F F+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 105 @George Mason L 50 - 61 32% -4  7% 9 - 6 0 - 2 C- -4 F -16 D+ F F A +11 C+ A D+
 Wed, Jan 7 200 La Salle L 72 - 79 77% -2  38% 9 - 7 0 - 3 D- -12 C+ +3 B B- F F -16 F F B
 Sat, Jan 10 113 @Davidson W 70 - 45 37% +14  99% 10 - 7 1 - 3 A+ +31 B+ +9 A+ F B- A+ +26 A+ A+ A
 Wed, Jan 14 46 Virginia Commonwealth L 75 - 84 29% -8  0% 10 - 8 1 - 4 C -1 B- +5 A+ F D D -6 C- D+ F
 Wed, Jan 21 130 @Richmond W 69 - 68 41% -2  13% 11 - 8 2 - 4 B- +6 D+ -4 D C- F A +10 C- B A
 Sat, Jan 24 105 George Mason W 74 - 65 55% +5  93% 12 - 8 3 - 4 B +10 A +12 C+ C+ A+ C +0 B F+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 87 @Dayton W 81 - 76 OT 25% -3  30% 13 - 8 4 - 4 A- +15 B +7 C+ D- B- A- +8 F A A+
 Sun, Feb 1 110 @Duquesne L 61 - 76 35% -8  3% 13 - 9 4 - 5 D -9 D- -6 C- D+ D D+ -3 D- D A-
 Sat, Feb 7 130 Richmond W 82 - 77 64% -0  49% 14 - 9 5 - 5 C+ +4 B +7 D+ A+ C+ C- -3 D+ A B+
 Tue, Feb 10 82 @George Washington L 70 - 75 24% -7  0% 14 - 10 5 - 6 B- +5 C- -1 C- C- D+ B+ +6 D A- A
 Sat, Feb 14 155 Fordham L 66 - 70 OT 70% +6  85% 14 - 11 5 - 7 D+ -7 D- -7 D+ D C- C -0 C+ D+ C+
 Tue, Feb 17 23 Saint Louis W 81 - 76 16% +4  91% 15 - 11 6 - 7 A +18 B+ +7 A+ F+ D- A +11 A+ A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 200 @La Salle L 46 - 59 57% -8  10% 15 - 12 6 - 8 D- -12 F -20 F C B B+ +6 A+ C- A
 Wed, Feb 25 142 @St. Bonaventure L 72 - 73 46%
 Sat, Feb 28 133 Saint Joseph's W 69 - 65 63%
 Wed, Mar 4 110 Duquesne W 74 - 72 58%
 Sat, Mar 7 155 @Fordham L 63 - 64 48%
Totals 17 - 14 8 - 10 +3 C -1 B- C B- B- +4 D+ C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ C+ D+ C 40% 29% 44% B- C C+ D C D B+ C B B- B B+ D C+ 41% 18% 41% D+ C+ C- C+ C A D B- D
1.07 60% 40% 32% 0 +1 1.03 33% 0.9 .31 19% .36 72% .26 1.04 53% 32% 37% -1 0 1.00 31% 1.0 .31 21% .36 70% .25
Nov
3		 Stetson B- A+ A F C+ 40% 16% 44% C+ C+ A+ A- A+ F+ A+ A A+ A A D- B A- 38% 15% 48% F+ B D+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ D+
1.26 80% 50% 27% +6 +1 1.16 48% 1.3 .65 19% .40 79% .32 0.84 44% 43% 30% -7 +1 0.90 28% 0.6 .18 27% .41 55% .22
Nov
7		 Tulsa D C+ F D D+ 43% 19% 38% C+ C- B+ C B F A+ A- A+ D C A+ F C 47% 16% 38% B- C F F F A+ F A+ D
1.00 61% 25% 31% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.1 .36 25% .39 79% .30 1.26 57% 14% 47% +3 +1 1.11 45% 1.6 .72 21% .47 63% .29
Nov
11		 Stonehill C+ B+ A+ F C 55% 14% 31% A- C+ C+ F+ C- F+ A A+ A+ B+ A A+ B+ A- 28% 14% 58% C B+ D- C- D A+ F D+ F
1.12 64% 57% 19% -1 +2 1.04 30% 0.9 .27 15% .37 82% .30 0.80 42% 17% 28% -13 0 0.77 32% 0.9 .29 29% .42 71% .30
Nov
14		 Albany C+ D D+ F F 51% 12% 37% B+ F+ A- B- A- C+ A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ 37% 15% 48% C- A+ F F F A D B D+
1.21 52% 33% 28% -7 +2 0.92 43% 1.3 .54 14% .49 89% .44 0.92 41% 57% 14% -18 +1 0.67 44% 1.2 .54 24% .28 64% .18
Nov
18		 Yale A+ F A+ A+ A 46% 14% 40% B+ A A D- B D+ A B A B B C- A- A+ 52% 15% 33% F+ A F D F A F F F
1.29 48% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 40% 0.9 .37 17% .36 75% .27 1.16 52% 43% 31% -4 +2 0.98 42% 1.3 .55 20% .41 86% .36
Nov
24		 Towson F C A+ F F 34% 17% 49% C+ F C+ A+ A+ F A- F B- B- F B D- D- 23% 52% 25% A+ C- C+ A B+ B F C F
0.90 57% 71% 5% -16 0 0.71 29% 1.7 .50 24% .35 63% .22 1.01 70% 35% 36% +2 -5 0.95 34% 0.6 .22 20% .39 68% .26
Nov
25		 Vermont A- A- F D+ C+ 52% 5% 43% A+ B A+ F A- F A+ D- A+ B- C- F A- B+ 29% 9% 62% D+ B D F F A+ F B F
1.25 68% 0% 33% +3 +3 1.14 48% 0.8 .39 17% .72 68% .49 1.02 62% 50% 29% -3 +1 0.98 27% 1.4 .39 22% .46 70% .32
Nov
26		 Temple A A+ C+ A+ A+ 30% 19% 52% C- A+ F A+ D+ A+ B+ F C C+ D+ A- C C 39% 22% 39% C- C A+ F B- B F C F
1.29 81% 40% 43% +14 0 1.30 17% 1.6 .27 9% .36 61% .22 1.07 61% 30% 33% -1 0 1.00 18% 1.3 .24 16% .56 76% .43
Dec
2		 Brown D C+ F+ F F 44% 20% 36% C+ F+ B- B B D+ A C- A- A- A+ A+ B- A+ 52% 27% 21% B- A+ F A+ C C+ F+ F F
1.00 60% 33% 19% -8 +1 0.87 34% 1.1 .37 20% .42 73% .30 0.85 40% 15% 30% -17 0 0.69 43% 0.7 .30 21% .33 76% .25
Dec
6		 Providence D+ D F A+ A+ 32% 14% 54% B A+ C F F F C- F F D+ F F F F 32% 13% 55% C+ F B- D+ C A+ C B C+
1.02 50% 29% 52% +11 0 1.24 28% 0.4 .11 24% .26 50% .13 1.29 80% 50% 50% +22 +1 1.47 33% 1.3 .42 21% .35 74% .26
Dec
9		 McNeese St. D- A- A+ D- B- 42% 11% 47% B+ B F A+ D F A+ A+ A+ A A D+ D+ B 51% 14% 35% F+ C+ B A+ A+ B D A+ C+
0.94 67% 50% 29% +2 +1 1.08 17% 1.8 .30 31% .57 85% .48 0.96 48% 43% 35% -4 +2 0.98 31% 0.5 .15 16% .33 63% .21
Dec
16		 Canisius F D- F D F 37% 8% 56% B F+ A F F F D- A+ C A+ A+ B- C A- 43% 29% 29% C B+ C+ A+ A- A+ D C- D
0.98 53% 25% 31% -5 +2 0.94 40% 0.5 .19 21% .26 85% .22 0.71 33% 33% 33% -12 -1 0.76 26% 0.6 .14 30% .32 71% .23
Dec
22		 Northeastern B+ C A+ C A- 36% 24% 40% D- B+ A+ C A C D D D- F B- A+ F F 49% 2% 49% F F D- A+ B+ B+ F F F
1.31 61% 83% 35% +13 -1 1.26 47% 1.0 .47 17% .30 69% .20 1.19 55% 0% 50% +9 +3 1.27 32% 0.7 .21 20% .48 76% .37
Dec
31		 Loyola Chicago F F C F F 38% 21% 40% C F B+ F C- F B- F C B B- F F F 44% 8% 49% D F F B F+ A+ A- F C-
0.87 44% 40% 21% -13 0 0.77 35% 0.8 .30 18% .32 71% .22 0.93 53% 67% 42% +6 +2 1.18 46% 0.8 .38 37% .24 90% .22
Jan
3		 George Mason F B+ F D D+ 26% 19% 55% C D+ D- F F F F+ F F A B A+ F C 38% 24% 38% C+ C+ A+ F A D+ F A+ C-
0.80 67% 22% 31% -4 -1 0.94 20% 0.4 .08 21% .18 33% .06 0.98 56% 10% 50% +2 0 1.05 13% 1.5 .20 14% .49 58% .28
Jan
7		 La Salle C+ B+ F A B+ 24% 11% 64% C B A+ F B- F A+ C A F D- B F F 56% 9% 35% F F D+ F F B F B+ F
1.12 64% 0% 41% +4 0 1.11 44% 0.8 .36 25% .37 67% .25 1.23 63% 33% 50% +11 +3 1.29 36% 1.9 .68 20% .65 67% .43
Jan
10		 Davidson B+ A+ A+ B- A+ 42% 20% 38% B A+ F C- F B- F B F A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ 53% 10% 38% F A+ A+ A+ A+ A F B- F
1.16 79% 67% 35% +15 0 1.33 14% 1.0 .14 17% .20 70% .14 0.75 57% 0% 13% -16 +2 0.75 13% 0.8 .10 22% .40 63% .25
Jan
14		 Virginia Commonwealth B- B+ A+ C+ A+ 39% 14% 47% B- A+ D+ F F D A+ F A D C- A+ D- C 42% 4% 54% D- C- A+ F D+ F F+ A+ C
1.11 63% 71% 35% +7 +1 1.18 27% 0.5 .13 19% .44 63% .28 1.25 60% 0% 38% +3 +2 1.13 26% 1.6 .42 7% .45 64% .29
Jan
21		 Richmond D+ C C F F+ 48% 17% 35% A D A- F C- F A+ A- A+ A C C- D- C- 31% 21% 48% D- C- A- C+ B A C- A+ A-
1.00 59% 38% 19% -8 +1 0.89 39% 0.9 .33 22% .48 77% .37 0.99 60% 40% 39% +5 -1 1.10 20% 1.0 .20 19% .34 58% .20
Jan
24		 George Mason A B+ F D- C 48% 14% 39% A C+ D A+ C+ A+ A+ B A+ C A F A- B+ 44% 22% 34% C- B C- F F+ C- F F+ F
1.24 67% 17% 29% -1 +2 1.02 22% 1.3 .28 7% .52 76% .40 1.09 50% 56% 29% -2 0 0.98 32% 1.2 .39 15% .47 79% .38
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Dayton B F B A+ C+ 43% 26% 30% C+ C+ C+ F D- B- A+ A- A+ A- F+ B F F 44% 18% 38% B- F B- A+ A A+ F C F
1.08 40% 42% 50% 0 0 1.02 30% 0.7 .21 20% .60 78% .47 1.01 71% 29% 47% +11 +1 1.26 27% 0.9 .23 31% .64 76% .48
Feb
1		 Duquesne D- B- F B- C 29% 22% 49% C- C- C- D D+ D C F F D+ B+ A+ F D 41% 2% 56% D- D- F+ C+ D A- F F F
0.94 62% 20% 36% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.9 .24 20% .35 50% .17 1.17 53% 0% 43% +5 +3 1.17 36% 1.0 .36 22% .43 91% .39
Feb
7		 Richmond B D+ F D+ D 43% 19% 38% A- D+ B A+ A+ C+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ F F D 21% 30% 49% B+ D+ B- A+ A B+ A- F B-
1.21 56% 25% 31% -5 +1 0.93 35% 1.5 .52 16% .74 81% .60 1.13 45% 50% 42% +7 -2 1.11 23% 0.7 .16 18% .27 87% .23
Feb
10		 George Washington C- A+ C F+ C+ 27% 29% 44% F+ C- B- F C- D+ B- F C- B+ F A+ C+ D- 43% 9% 48% C+ D F A+ A- A F+ B D
1.03 77% 36% 29% +1 -2 1.00 32% 0.8 .27 19% .31 59% .18 1.11 79% 25% 33% +7 +2 1.20 44% 0.7 .31 22% .38 70% .27
Feb
14		 Fordham D- F B+ C C- 24% 28% 48% D D+ F+ B D C- A+ F+ A+ C A+ F C- B- 44% 13% 44% F C+ A+ F D+ C+ F A+ F
0.95 42% 43% 33% -3 -2 0.92 18% 1.1 .21 17% .46 62% .28 1.01 43% 50% 33% -6 +1 0.94 26% 1.4 .37 19% .41 61% .25
Feb
17		 Saint Louis B+ F A+ A+ A+ 36% 12% 52% B+ A+ C- F F+ D- A+ A+ A+ A A+ F D A+ 54% 4% 42% D A+ A- A- A A+ F D F
1.09 33% 67% 46% +4 +1 1.12 24% 0.4 .11 19% .45 85% .38 1.02 46% 50% 40% -2 +3 1.04 27% 0.9 .24 24% .46 77% .35
Feb
21		 La Salle F C+ F F F 37% 28% 35% D- F C C+ C B A+ F A- B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 41% 27% 32% C+ A+ F A- C- A F B F
0.75 59% 0% 6% -25 -1 0.50 29% 1.2 .33 15% .38 60% .23 0.96 35% 9% 38% -15 -1 0.71 44% 0.8 .34 23% .65 68% .44



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 0.5 0.5 3rd
4th 0.0 2.8 2.9 4th
5th 1.1 4.1 5.2 5th
6th 0.0 6.5 1.3 7.8 6th
7th 0.0 2.0 13.2 0.1 15.3 7th
8th 0.2 10.6 6.9 17.7 8th
9th 0.0 3.0 17.3 0.9 21.3 9th
10th 2.4 16.1 6.0 0.0 24.5 10th
11th 2.5 2.1 4.6 11th
12th 0.3 0.0 0.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.0 13th
14th 14th
Total 5.1 21.4 35.9 28.7 8.8 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 8.8% 1.7% 1.7% 11.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 8.7
9-9 28.7% 0.7% 0.7% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 28.5
8-10 35.9% 0.4% 0.4% 12.6 0.1 0.1 0.0 35.8
7-11 21.4% 0.4% 0.4% 13.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 21.3
6-12 5.1% 0.5% 0.5% 13.3 0.0 0.0 5.1
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.6% 0.6% 0.0% 12.4 99.4 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.2% 100.0% 11.8 28.9 62.2 8.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.4%
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 2.5%
Lose Out 2.2%