Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.0 #141
Expected Predictive Rating -1.0 #182
Pace 66.9 #240
Improvement -5.6 #362

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #199 C C F C+ B-
Defense #105 C C- A+ D+ C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #130 1.20 #129 +1.8 #114
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #279 0.83 #82 -1.2 #231
Three Pointers 44% #126 0.93 #278 -0.2 #190
1st FG Attempt 1.02 #168 +0.4 #169
Freethrows 18.4 #132 73% #177 13.3 #135
Second Chance 34.8% #74 0.96 #281 0.33 #149
Turnovers 20.5% #350
Total Offense -1.2 #199

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #151 1.10 #110 +0.4 #163
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #236 0.63 #40 +1.8 #58
Three Pointers 42% #160 1.09 #283 -2.0 #266
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #167 +0.3 #166
Freethrows 20.0 #310 69% #46 13.7 #107
Second Chance 34.0% #292 1.02 #156 0.34 #243
Turnovers 21.7% #9
Total Defense +2.2 #105

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.5% #85 0.8% #236
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -0.7% #180 -1.2% #159
Possession Length 17.6 #206 17.8 #268
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.24 #44 0.16 #126
Improvement -4.4 #359 -1.1 #253

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.6 12.4 12.8
.500 or above 45.7% 63.2% 36.3%
.500 or above in Conference 14.1% 24.0% 8.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 15.0% 6.8% 19.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.4% 0.6% 0.4%
Second Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Davidson (Away) - 35.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 3
Quad 22 - 63 - 9
Quad 34 - 57 - 14
Quad 49 - 316 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 337 Stetson W 93 - 62 92%  +17  1 - 0 +17 +8 C A+ D- +7 C+ B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 7 81 Tulsa L 65 - 82 28%  -9  1 - 1 -10 -3 C C+ F -8 C F A+
 Tue, Nov 11 340 Stonehill W 80 - 57 92%  +12  2 - 1 +8 +2 C C- F +6 A D- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 322 Albany W 80 - 61 90%  +6  3 - 1 +6 +4 F B C +3 A+ F A+
 Tue, Nov 18 80 @Yale W 86 - 77 19%  +0  4 - 1 +19 +18 A+ B- D+ +1 A+ F A+
 Mon, Nov 24 175 Towson L 55 - 62 59%  -2  4 - 2 -8 -9 F A+ F -0 C- B+ A-
 Tue, Nov 25 198 Vermont W 80 - 65 63%  +7  5 - 2 +13 +12 C+ A+ F +3 B+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 143 Temple W 90 - 75 50%  +7  6 - 2 +16 +15 A+ C A+ +1 B C B+
 Tue, Dec 2 247 Brown W 66 - 56 80%  +4  7 - 2 +2 -2 D- C+ D- +5 A+ C B-
 Sat, Dec 6 66 @Providence L 71 - 90 16%  -5  7 - 3 -7 +1 A+ F F -8 F D+ A+
 Tue, Dec 9 87 McNeese St. L 64 - 66 40%  -2  7 - 4 +2 -6 A+ F F +8 B+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 16 331 Canisius W 62 - 45 91%  +3  8 - 4 +3 -9 F F F +15 A- A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 22 233 Northeastern W 85 - 77 78%  +6  9 - 4 +1 +14 A A+ C+ -12 F B+ B
 Wed, Dec 31 251 Loyola Chicago L 57 - 61 81%  -7  9 - 5 0 - 1 -12 -17 F C- F +5 F D- A+
 Sat, Jan 3 92 @George Mason L 50 - 61 22%  -4  9 - 6 0 - 2 -2 -13 D+ F F +9 C A C-
 Wed, Jan 7 217 La Salle L 72 - 79 75%  -2  9 - 7 0 - 3 -13 +3 A C F -17 F F B-
 Sat, Jan 10 125 @Davidson L 66 - 70 35% 
 Wed, Jan 14 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 70 - 77 26% 
 Wed, Jan 21 115 @Richmond L 70 - 76 30% 
 Sat, Jan 24 92 George Mason L 67 - 69 43% 
 Tue, Jan 27 75 @Dayton L 64 - 74 18% 
 Sun, Feb 1 129 @Duquesne L 74 - 78 36% 
 Sat, Feb 7 115 Richmond W 74 - 73 51% 
 Tue, Feb 10 70 @George Washington L 71 - 81 17% 
 Sat, Feb 14 203 Fordham W 69 - 63 72% 
 Tue, Feb 17 29 Saint Louis L 70 - 80 17% 
 Sat, Feb 21 217 @La Salle W 69 - 68 54% 
 Wed, Feb 25 119 @St. Bonaventure L 69 - 74 34% 
 Sat, Feb 28 185 Saint Joseph's W 73 - 67 70% 
 Wed, Mar 4 129 Duquesne W 77 - 75 58% 
 Sat, Mar 7 203 @Fordham W 67 - 66 51% 
Totals 15 - 16 6 - 12 +1 -1 C C F +2 C C- A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 3rd
4th 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.5 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 2.4 1.7 0.2 4.8 6th
7th 0.4 3.1 3.2 0.5 0.0 7.2 7th
8th 0.2 3.0 5.5 1.6 0.1 10.4 8th
9th 0.2 2.3 6.8 2.9 0.2 12.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.6 7.3 4.6 0.5 0.0 14.1 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 6.3 6.3 1.0 0.0 14.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.9 6.7 1.5 0.0 14.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.8 3.6 4.9 1.4 0.1 11.0 13th
14th 0.1 0.9 2.3 2.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 7.3 14th
Total 0.1 0.9 3.1 7.2 12.1 16.4 17.7 15.8 12.5 7.8 3.9 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 33.3% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.0% 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.1% 0.0 0.1
12-6 0.5% 4.9% 4.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.5
11-7 1.8% 2.0% 2.0% 11.9 0.0 0.0 1.7
10-8 3.9% 1.2% 1.2% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.8
9-9 7.8% 1.3% 1.3% 12.3 0.1 0.0 7.7
8-10 12.5% 0.8% 0.8% 12.6 0.0 0.1 12.4
7-11 15.8% 0.3% 0.3% 13.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 15.8
6-12 17.7% 0.2% 0.2% 14.2 0.0 0.0 17.7
5-13 16.4% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 16.4
4-14 12.1% 12.1
3-15 7.2% 7.2
2-16 3.1% 3.1
1-17 0.9% 0.5% 0.5% 16.0 0.0 0.9
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 0.4% 0.4% 0.0% 12.6 99.6 0.0%