Rhode Island
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+5.5#93
Expected Predictive Rating+11.0#58
Pace76.1#31
Improvement-2.7#317

Offense
Total Offense+3.0#95
First Shot+5.6#48
After Offensive Rebound-2.6#321
Layup/Dunks+2.5#93
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.4#257
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#175
Freethrows+4.5#9
Improvement-1.3#282

Defense
Total Defense+2.5#109
First Shot+1.9#114
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#135
Layups/Dunks-2.7#292
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.5#243
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.5#26
Freethrows+0.6#143
Improvement-1.4#288
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 8.3% 9.9% 5.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.8% 1.1% 0.3%
Average Seed 11.3 11.3 11.6
.500 or above 99.2% 99.7% 98.4%
.500 or above in Conference 80.7% 87.7% 70.2%
Conference Champion 9.3% 12.6% 4.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.0% 0.3% 1.9%
First Four0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
First Round7.9% 9.4% 5.7%
Second Round1.9% 2.3% 1.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.4% 0.5% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Away) - 60.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 1
Quad 23 - 43 - 4
Quad 311 - 414 - 9
Quad 48 - 022 - 9


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 297   Fairfield W 96-58 92%     1 - 0 +27.6 +8.6 +16.2
  Nov 08, 2024 313   Holy Cross W 91-77 93%     2 - 0 +2.5 +5.7 -3.9
  Nov 20, 2024 267   Lafayette W 86-72 90%     3 - 0 +5.3 +7.7 -2.8
  Nov 24, 2024 117   College of Charleston W 91-53 71%     4 - 0 +37.9 +13.0 +22.5
  Nov 27, 2024 321   Detroit Mercy W 81-75 91%     5 - 0 -3.0 +4.5 -7.5
  Nov 28, 2024 164   Texas Arlington W 83-78 71%     6 - 0 +4.7 +4.5 +0.0
  Dec 02, 2024 98   Yale W 84-78 63%     7 - 0 +8.0 +4.9 +2.7
  Dec 07, 2024 75   Providence W 69-63 54%     8 - 0 +10.5 +1.8 +8.9
  Dec 10, 2024 174   @ Brown L 80-84 2OT 62%     8 - 1 -1.6 -6.8 +5.9
  Dec 15, 2024 219   Central Connecticut St. W 77-69 86%     9 - 1 +1.9 +2.9 -1.1
  Dec 21, 2024 124   Temple W 85-79 62%     10 - 1 +8.3 +8.8 -0.9
  Dec 31, 2024 163   @ Duquesne W 73-70 60%    
  Jan 04, 2025 82   George Mason W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 08, 2025 136   George Washington W 82-75 75%    
  Jan 11, 2025 216   @ Richmond W 78-73 69%    
  Jan 15, 2025 121   @ Loyola Chicago L 75-76 50%    
  Jan 18, 2025 122   Davidson W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 21, 2025 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 72-73 47%    
  Jan 25, 2025 165   @ La Salle W 80-77 60%    
  Jan 29, 2025 203   Massachusetts W 84-74 83%    
  Feb 05, 2025 178   @ Fordham W 80-77 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 82   @ George Mason L 69-74 34%    
  Feb 12, 2025 87   St. Bonaventure W 73-71 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 165   La Salle W 83-74 79%    
  Feb 22, 2025 137   @ Saint Louis W 81-80 54%    
  Feb 26, 2025 48   Dayton L 74-76 42%    
  Mar 01, 2025 203   @ Massachusetts W 81-77 65%    
  Mar 05, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 75-79 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 178   Fordham W 83-74 80%    
Projected Record 21 - 8 11 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.6 2.9 1.9 0.6 0.1 9.3 1st
2nd 0.1 1.4 4.0 4.0 1.4 0.2 0.0 11.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 4.8 4.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 12.2 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 4.6 5.1 1.6 0.1 12.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 3.6 5.8 2.1 0.2 12.1 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 5.6 2.5 0.3 0.0 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.9 4.3 3.2 0.4 0.0 8.9 7th
8th 0.3 2.7 3.5 0.7 0.0 7.2 8th
9th 0.1 1.2 3.0 1.1 0.0 5.4 9th
10th 0.4 1.9 1.3 0.1 0.0 3.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.4 0.3 0.0 2.8 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 2.0 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.5 0.1 1.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 15th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.6 3.0 5.3 8.4 11.5 14.0 14.7 13.8 11.2 8.2 4.5 2.1 0.6 0.1 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 99.7% 0.6    0.6 0.0
16-2 91.4% 1.9    1.5 0.4 0.0
15-3 65.2% 2.9    1.6 1.1 0.2 0.0
14-4 31.9% 2.6    0.8 1.1 0.6 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.7% 1.0    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 9.3% 9.3 4.7 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 83.3% 35.4% 47.9% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 74.2%
17-1 0.6% 52.5% 27.8% 24.7% 9.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 34.2%
16-2 2.1% 33.2% 23.1% 10.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 1.4 13.2%
15-3 4.5% 21.8% 18.1% 3.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 3.5 4.5%
14-4 8.2% 17.1% 16.1% 1.0% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.0 0.4 0.0 6.8 1.1%
13-5 11.2% 13.7% 13.5% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.8 0.7 0.0 9.7 0.3%
12-6 13.8% 9.5% 9.5% 0.1% 11.7 0.0 0.5 0.8 0.0 12.5 0.1%
11-7 14.7% 6.2% 6.2% 11.8 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 13.8
10-8 14.0% 3.6% 3.6% 11.9 0.1 0.4 0.0 13.5
9-9 11.5% 2.6% 2.6% 12.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 11.2
8-10 8.4% 1.6% 1.6% 12.4 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 8.3
7-11 5.3% 0.9% 0.9% 12.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.3
6-12 3.0% 0.3% 0.3% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.0
5-13 1.6% 0.3% 0.3% 13.5 0.0 0.0 1.6
4-14 0.7% 0.3% 0.3% 15.0 0.0 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 8.3% 7.6% 0.7% 11.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 3.8 3.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 91.7 0.8%