Richmond
Atlantic 10
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating-3.2#220
Expected Predictive Rating-6.1#265
Pace64.1#296
Improvement+1.6#110

Offense
Total Offense-2.9#247
First Shot+1.8#121
After Offensive Rebound-4.7#361
Layup/Dunks-4.2#322
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#157
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.3#173
Freethrows+5.4#2
Improvement+0.6#155

Defense
Total Defense-0.3#179
First Shot+1.3#135
After Offensive Rebounds-1.6#304
Layups/Dunks+5.2#34
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.8#265
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#276
Freethrows-0.9#255
Improvement+1.0#129
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 16.0 16.0 16.0
.500 or above 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 64.4% 51.1% 75.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duquesne (Home) - 44.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 10 - 1
Quad 1b0 - 20 - 4
Quad 21 - 51 - 8
Quad 33 - 104 - 19
Quad 44 - 48 - 22


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 09, 2024 211   Marist L 72-79 57%     0 - 1 -12.1 +3.1 -15.5
  Nov 13, 2024 221   @ Charlotte L 48-65 41%     0 - 2 -17.8 -21.3 +2.0
  Nov 16, 2024 251   @ Bucknell L 76-80 2OT 48%     0 - 3 -6.8 -9.3 +3.2
  Nov 20, 2024 199   Maine W 70-66 54%     1 - 3 -0.2 +0.3 -0.4
  Nov 26, 2024 113   Louisiana Tech L 62-65 27%     1 - 4 +0.2 -3.0 +2.9
  Nov 27, 2024 255   Ball St. W 73-60 59%     2 - 4 +7.5 +4.6 +4.6
  Dec 08, 2024 1   @ Auburn L 54-98 1%     2 - 5 -18.3 -11.8 -4.5
  Dec 14, 2024 140   Belmont L 86-93 42%     2 - 6 -8.2 +1.7 -9.3
  Dec 18, 2024 208   @ William & Mary L 87-93 37%     2 - 7 -5.9 +16.1 -22.3
  Dec 21, 2024 304   VMI W 78-71 76%     3 - 7 -3.5 +5.7 -8.7
  Dec 28, 2024 164   Florida Gulf Coast L 57-75 46%     3 - 8 -20.3 -14.1 -7.3
  Dec 31, 2024 124   George Washington W 66-61 39%     4 - 8 1 - 0 +4.6 -2.3 +7.3
  Jan 04, 2025 152   @ Massachusetts W 72-64 27%     5 - 8 2 - 0 +11.2 +6.3 +5.3
  Jan 08, 2025 81   @ George Mason L 58-64 12%     5 - 9 2 - 1 +3.8 +5.0 -2.4
  Jan 11, 2025 121   Rhode Island L 64-67 OT 38%     5 - 10 2 - 2 -3.2 -10.4 +7.4
  Jan 15, 2025 95   @ St. Bonaventure L 49-63 15%     5 - 11 2 - 3 -6.2 -8.4 -1.1
  Jan 18, 2025 105   Saint Louis L 59-63 31%     5 - 12 2 - 4 -2.1 -14.1 +12.1
  Jan 25, 2025 126   Davidson L 66-72 39%     5 - 13 2 - 5 -6.4 -3.8 -3.0
  Jan 29, 2025 124   @ George Washington L 66-75 23%     5 - 14 2 - 6 -4.4 +2.0 -7.3
  Feb 01, 2025 38   @ Virginia Commonwealth L 49-90 6%     5 - 15 2 - 7 -26.6 -6.3 -27.7
  Feb 05, 2025 142   Duquesne L 63-65 45%    
  Feb 08, 2025 126   @ Davidson L 65-73 22%    
  Feb 11, 2025 128   Loyola Chicago L 66-69 42%    
  Feb 15, 2025 191   Fordham W 71-70 54%    
  Feb 19, 2025 193   @ La Salle L 68-72 32%    
  Feb 22, 2025 86   @ Saint Joseph's L 63-75 12%    
  Feb 25, 2025 38   Virginia Commonwealth L 60-73 13%    
  Mar 01, 2025 80   @ Dayton L 62-75 11%    
  Mar 08, 2025 81   George Mason L 58-66 24%    
Projected Record 8 - 21 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.1 0.0 0.1 6th
7th 0.2 0.1 0.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.1 1.8 0.4 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 1.5 2.4 0.1 4.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 5.3 1.3 7.3 12th
13th 0.4 6.1 5.8 0.4 12.6 13th
14th 1.6 10.2 13.5 2.2 0.0 27.5 14th
15th 6.2 16.0 17.3 4.6 0.1 44.1 15th
Total 6.2 17.6 27.9 24.8 15.0 6.5 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.3% 0.3
8-10 1.8% 1.8
7-11 6.5% 6.5
6-12 15.0% 0.1% 0.1% 16.0 0.0 15.0
5-13 24.8% 24.8
4-14 27.9% 27.9
3-15 17.6% 17.6
2-16 6.2% 6.2
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 4.7%