Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.7 #68
Expected Predictive Rating +11.0 #55
Pace 69.8 #170
Improvement -0.6 #216

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #74 B- B- B+ C+ D+
Defense #68 B C+ B- A+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #283 1.37 #18 +1.4 #129
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #113 0.69 #261 +0.5 #157
Three Pointers 42% #166 1.05 #128 +1.1 #139
1st FG Attempt 1.08 #100 +3.0 #100
Freethrows 18.8 #107 71% #228 13.4 #134
Second Chance 32.2% #139 1.13 #88 0.36 #93
Turnovers 14.4% #55
Total Offense +4.6 #74

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #232 1.12 #131 +1.7 #116
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #55 0.83 #289 -2.7 #343
Three Pointers 38% #264 0.86 #29 +4.5 #29
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #75 +3.5 #77
Freethrows 11.9 #8 71% #108 8.4 #356
Second Chance 30.1% #154 0.99 #113 0.30 #128
Turnovers 18.0% #96
Total Defense +4.2 #68

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #273 -1.4% #69
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 7.4% #70 -5.5% #83
Possession Length 16.7 #126 17.9 #290
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #233 0.08 #7
Improvement -1.0 #253 +0.4 #159

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.6% 0.8% 0.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 21.1% 24.9% 13.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 20.7% 24.4% 13.0%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 9.9
.500 or above 92.9% 96.8% 84.8%
.500 or above in Conference 26.6% 33.2% 12.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 1.3% 5.1%
First Four7.6% 8.5% 5.7%
First Round16.7% 19.9% 9.9%
Second Round6.1% 7.4% 3.5%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 1.1% 0.5%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: California (Home) - 67.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 9
Quad 24 - 38 - 12
Quad 34 - 112 - 14
Quad 47 - 019 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 225 Charleston Southern W 98 - 67 92%  +13  1 - 0 +24 +13 B A+ B+ +9 A A- B
 Sat, Nov 8 66 Providence W 107 - 101 OT 50%  +0  2 - 0 +15 +12 A+ A- A +1 A C B-
 Wed, Nov 12 185 Saint Joseph's W 94 - 59 89%  +20  3 - 0 +30 +15 A B A+ +13 A+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 16 166 Charlotte W 84 - 76 87%  +8  4 - 0 +4 +12 F B+ A+ -7 B- D F
 Wed, Nov 19 317 Bryant W 78 - 61 96%  +5  5 - 0 +5 +3 C A+ C- +2 C- B C
 Wed, Nov 26 94 Colorado St. W 66 - 64 61%  +3  6 - 0 +8 +1 B F B+ +7 A+ C- C
 Thu, Nov 27 41 St. Mary's L 66 - 77 36%  -8  6 - 1 +1 +1 D+ D B- -0 D+ C A+
 Fri, Nov 28 49 Virginia Commonwealth L 68 - 86 42%  -10  6 - 2 -7 -1 C C+ C -6 F A+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 72 @South Carolina W 86 - 83 OT 41%  +4  7 - 2 +14 +10 A A+ B+ +4 C+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 92 George Mason W 73 - 62 71%  +10  8 - 2 +14 +8 A D- B +7 A F A+
 Thu, Dec 11 283 Western Carolina W 96 - 74 95%  +15  9 - 2 +12 +15 A A+ C+ -4 C- C C
 Sun, Dec 14 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 82 - 53 97%  +10  10 - 2 +14 +11 A+ F A- +6 A- B- D+
 Sat, Dec 20 163 Elon W 82 - 81 OT 87%  -6  11 - 2 -3 +4 D- A+ D- -7 C F A+
 Wed, Dec 31 22 Virginia W 95 - 85 3OT 34%  +8  12 - 2 1 - 0 +23 +2 F A- C+ +19 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 62 @Wake Forest L 78 - 81 38%  -4  12 - 3 1 - 1 +9 +7 A C+ F +2 A+ F C-
 Wed, Jan 7 79 Stanford L 68 - 69 66%  +5  12 - 4 1 - 2 +4 +9 B- C- A+ -6 C C D+
 Sat, Jan 10 84 California W 77 - 72 67% 
 Wed, Jan 14 28 @SMU L 74 - 83 21% 
 Sat, Jan 17 59 Notre Dame W 71 - 68 60% 
 Wed, Jan 21 69 @Syracuse L 72 - 75 40% 
 Sat, Jan 24 15 @Louisville L 73 - 85 13% 
 Tue, Jan 27 114 Georgia Tech W 79 - 71 78% 
 Sat, Jan 31 6 Duke L 71 - 80 20% 
 Sat, Feb 7 34 @North Carolina St. L 73 - 81 23% 
 Wed, Feb 11 39 @Clemson L 66 - 73 25% 
 Sat, Feb 14 111 Florida St. W 84 - 77 75% 
 Tue, Feb 17 36 @Miami (FL) L 72 - 80 23% 
 Sat, Feb 21 62 Wake Forest W 77 - 74 60% 
 Sat, Feb 28 26 @North Carolina L 70 - 79 20% 
 Tue, Mar 3 151 Boston College W 76 - 64 86% 
 Sat, Mar 7 22 @Virginia L 69 - 79 18% 
Totals 18 - 13 7 - 11 +9 +5 B- B- B+ +4 B C+ B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.7 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.4 1.2 0.4 0.0 2.0 5th
6th 0.1 1.6 1.1 0.1 2.9 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 2.9 0.5 4.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 3.7 1.9 0.1 6.3 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 4.8 0.7 0.0 8.1 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.3 3.0 0.1 10.5 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.5 6.0 0.9 0.0 11.7 11th
12th 0.0 1.9 7.4 2.6 0.1 12.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.6 5.5 5.2 0.5 11.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 3.1 6.1 1.5 0.1 10.8 14th
15th 0.0 1.1 4.6 2.3 0.2 8.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 2.4 2.4 0.4 0.0 5.6 16th
17th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.4 0.0 2.7 17th
18th 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.8 18th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.6 5.1 11.1 16.5 20.0 18.6 13.6 7.6 3.6 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 33.3% 0.0    0.0
14-4 22.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 2.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 0.4% 98.7% 6.5% 92.2% 6.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.6%
12-6 1.3% 95.1% 3.0% 92.2% 7.7 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 95.0%
11-7 3.6% 86.5% 2.4% 84.1% 8.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.5 86.2%
10-8 7.6% 71.1% 1.2% 69.9% 9.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.4 2.1 1.0 0.0 2.2 70.8%
9-9 13.6% 45.6% 0.8% 44.8% 10.1 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.4 2.5 0.0 7.4 45.2%
8-10 18.6% 19.0% 0.3% 18.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.5 0.0 15.1 18.8%
7-11 20.0% 4.8% 0.1% 4.7% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.8 0.1 19.1 4.7%
6-12 16.5% 0.6% 0.1% 0.5% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 16.4 0.5%
5-13 11.1% 11.1
4-14 5.1% 5.1
3-15 1.6% 1.6
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 21.1% 0.5% 20.6% 9.7 78.9 20.7%