Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+2.6#118
Expected Predictive Rating+3.0#127
Pace64.4#290
Improvement+1.7#106

Offense
Total Offense+2.6#107
First Shot+0.8#149
After Offensive Rebound+1.8#80
Layup/Dunks-1.1#220
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.2#253
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.5#75
Freethrows-0.4#204
Improvement+4.3#12

Defense
Total Defense+0.0#169
First Shot-2.0#243
After Offensive Rebounds+2.0#42
Layups/Dunks+1.0#132
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#49
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#324
Freethrows-0.6#230
Improvement-2.6#307
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.3 12.0 12.5
.500 or above 6.6% 14.2% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 17.8% 34.3% 11.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: SMU (Home) - 28.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 6
Quad 23 - 84 - 14
Quad 33 - 47 - 18
Quad 46 - 114 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 314   Delaware St. W 83-60 90%     1 - 0 +11.7 +4.0 +7.4
  Nov 08, 2024 346   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 93%     2 - 0 +4.5 +9.8 -5.8
  Nov 11, 2024 205   Winthrop W 58-52 76%     3 - 0 +1.3 -12.6 +14.6
  Nov 15, 2024 50   Penn St. L 64-86 23%     3 - 1 -11.8 -7.5 -3.3
  Nov 20, 2024 179   Jacksonville L 64-74 72%     3 - 2 -13.4 -7.3 -6.3
  Nov 25, 2024 18   Michigan L 63-75 11%     3 - 3 +4.1 -2.4 +6.5
  Nov 27, 2024 79   South Carolina L 60-70 32%     3 - 4 -2.7 -0.9 -2.9
  Dec 04, 2024 57   Vanderbilt L 64-80 32%     3 - 5 -8.7 -2.8 -6.6
  Dec 07, 2024 47   Pittsburgh L 59-64 29%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +3.4 -7.4 +10.4
  Dec 12, 2024 333   N.C. A&T W 95-67 92%     4 - 6 +14.6 +6.9 +5.4
  Dec 15, 2024 263   Navy W 80-72 84%     5 - 6 -0.2 +15.7 -14.6
  Dec 21, 2024 86   Saint Joseph's L 62-82 35%     5 - 7 -13.3 -3.0 -11.4
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Duke L 65-88 3%     5 - 8 0 - 2 +2.5 +10.9 -10.4
  Jan 04, 2025 169   Miami (FL) W 86-85 69%     6 - 8 1 - 2 -1.6 +10.5 -12.1
  Jan 08, 2025 78   @ Stanford L 59-70 24%     6 - 9 1 - 3 -1.1 -4.7 +2.6
  Jan 11, 2025 116   @ California W 71-68 39%     7 - 9 2 - 3 +8.3 +6.7 +2.0
  Jan 15, 2025 91   North Carolina St. W 79-76 46%     8 - 9 3 - 3 +6.6 +17.1 -10.1
  Jan 18, 2025 58   Wake Forest L 63-72 33%     8 - 10 3 - 4 -1.8 +0.4 -2.7
  Jan 22, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech L 64-71 32%     8 - 11 3 - 5 +0.3 -0.5 +0.5
  Jan 25, 2025 32   Clemson L 57-72 20%     8 - 12 3 - 6 -3.6 -1.9 -4.0
  Jan 29, 2025 82   @ Florida St. W 76-66 25%     9 - 12 4 - 6 +19.8 +10.4 +9.6
  Feb 01, 2025 97   @ Virginia W 75-74 32%     10 - 12 5 - 6 +8.4 +18.6 -10.1
  Feb 05, 2025 42   SMU L 71-78 29%    
  Feb 08, 2025 83   @ Notre Dame L 67-74 23%    
  Feb 15, 2025 97   Virginia W 64-63 53%    
  Feb 18, 2025 176   @ Boston College W 73-72 51%    
  Feb 22, 2025 169   @ Miami (FL) W 76-75 49%    
  Feb 25, 2025 27   Louisville L 69-78 20%    
  Mar 01, 2025 104   Syracuse W 74-73 54%    
  Mar 04, 2025 36   North Carolina L 72-80 26%    
  Mar 08, 2025 32   @ Clemson L 62-76 9%    
Projected Record 13 - 18 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.6 5th
6th 0.3 1.4 0.6 0.1 2.2 6th
7th 0.2 2.2 1.7 0.2 4.3 7th
8th 0.0 2.3 5.0 1.3 0.0 8.6 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 9.1 3.7 0.2 15.4 9th
10th 0.7 8.2 7.5 0.6 17.0 10th
11th 0.0 2.8 9.7 2.0 0.0 14.6 11th
12th 0.2 7.1 5.1 0.2 12.6 12th
13th 1.8 7.0 1.1 0.0 9.8 13th
14th 0.2 4.0 3.0 0.1 7.3 14th
15th 0.9 3.6 0.6 5.1 15th
16th 1.1 0.8 0.0 2.0 16th
17th 0.4 0.1 0.5 17th
18th 18th
Total 2.5 10.5 21.3 26.7 21.3 11.8 4.7 1.1 0.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.2% 0.2
12-8 1.1% 1.1
11-9 4.7% 0.2% 0.2% 12.0 0.0 4.7
10-10 11.8% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 11.8
9-11 21.3% 0.0% 0.0% 13.0 0.0 21.3
8-12 26.7% 26.7
7-13 21.3% 21.3
6-14 10.5% 10.5
5-15 2.5% 2.5
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.3 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 2.4%