Virginia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+1.3#137
Expected Predictive Rating-3.6#228
Pace65.0#283
Improvement-1.5#271

Offense
Total Offense+0.3#164
First Shot-2.0#229
After Offensive Rebound+2.3#51
Layup/Dunks-2.7#283
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.9#233
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.3#104
Freethrows-0.7#228
Improvement+1.1#102

Defense
Total Defense+1.0#135
First Shot-1.1#209
After Offensive Rebounds+2.1#39
Layups/Dunks+1.9#98
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#52
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.1#328
Freethrows-0.6#235
Improvement-2.6#337
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 12.5 n/a 12.5
.500 or above 3.7% 16.4% 3.5%
.500 or above in Conference 7.0% 27.1% 6.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.3% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 26.5% 8.6% 26.7%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 1.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 30 - 3
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 7
Quad 22 - 103 - 16
Quad 33 - 46 - 20
Quad 45 - 111 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 327   Delaware St. W 83-60 89%     1 - 0 +10.6 +3.4 +6.9
  Nov 08, 2024 342   South Carolina Upstate W 93-74 92%     2 - 0 +4.5 +11.2 -7.3
  Nov 11, 2024 190   Winthrop W 58-52 71%     3 - 0 +1.5 -11.3 +13.4
  Nov 15, 2024 32   Penn St. L 64-86 15%     3 - 1 -9.3 -5.7 -2.6
  Nov 20, 2024 211   Jacksonville L 64-74 74%     3 - 2 -15.5 -8.1 -7.5
  Nov 25, 2024 19   Michigan L 63-75 11%     3 - 3 +2.9 -2.6 +5.5
  Nov 27, 2024 63   South Carolina L 60-70 25%     3 - 4 -1.5 -2.0 -0.7
  Dec 04, 2024 50   Vanderbilt L 64-80 28%     3 - 5 -8.5 -3.7 -5.6
  Dec 07, 2024 30   Pittsburgh L 59-64 20%     3 - 6 0 - 1 +5.2 -5.2 +10.0
  Dec 12, 2024 324   N.C. A&T W 95-67 89%     4 - 6 +15.8 +7.7 +5.8
  Dec 15, 2024 319   Navy W 80-72 89%     5 - 6 -3.9 +13.1 -15.7
  Dec 21, 2024 86   Saint Joseph's L 62-82 30%     5 - 7 -13.4 -3.3 -11.2
  Dec 31, 2024 2   @ Duke L 56-79 1%    
  Jan 04, 2025 103   Miami (FL) L 72-73 49%    
  Jan 08, 2025 94   @ Stanford L 68-75 25%    
  Jan 11, 2025 128   @ California L 71-75 37%    
  Jan 15, 2025 79   North Carolina St. L 67-70 39%    
  Jan 18, 2025 89   Wake Forest L 66-68 43%    
  Jan 22, 2025 112   @ Georgia Tech L 68-73 32%    
  Jan 25, 2025 37   Clemson L 64-72 24%    
  Jan 29, 2025 70   @ Florida St. L 68-78 19%    
  Feb 01, 2025 92   @ Virginia L 56-63 25%    
  Feb 05, 2025 40   SMU L 71-78 26%    
  Feb 08, 2025 83   @ Notre Dame L 63-72 21%    
  Feb 15, 2025 92   Virginia L 59-60 46%    
  Feb 18, 2025 167   @ Boston College L 69-70 45%    
  Feb 22, 2025 103   @ Miami (FL) L 69-75 29%    
  Feb 25, 2025 44   Louisville L 69-76 27%    
  Mar 01, 2025 100   Syracuse L 73-74 48%    
  Mar 04, 2025 22   North Carolina L 72-82 18%    
  Mar 08, 2025 37   @ Clemson L 61-75 11%    
Projected Record 11 - 20 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.5 5th
6th 0.1 0.5 0.3 0.0 0.9 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.2 8th
9th 0.3 1.6 1.2 0.1 0.0 3.3 9th
10th 0.1 1.3 2.2 0.5 0.0 4.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 2.8 1.4 0.1 5.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.7 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.4 12th
13th 0.1 2.0 4.7 1.4 0.1 8.3 13th
14th 0.0 1.2 4.7 3.3 0.3 0.0 9.6 14th
15th 0.0 0.7 4.3 5.0 1.1 0.0 11.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.8 4.2 6.5 2.2 0.1 13.9 16th
17th 0.1 1.3 4.8 6.8 3.4 0.3 0.0 16.7 17th
18th 0.6 2.5 4.9 5.2 2.4 0.4 0.0 16.1 18th
Total 0.6 2.7 6.2 10.8 14.1 16.0 14.5 12.7 9.2 6.2 3.7 2.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 66.7% 0.0    0.0
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.1
13-7 0.3% 1.2% 1.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3
12-8 0.8% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 0.8
11-9 2.0% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 2.0
10-10 3.7% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 3.7
9-11 6.2% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 6.2
8-12 9.2% 0.0% 0.0% 14.0 0.0 9.2
7-13 12.7% 12.7
6-14 14.5% 0.0% 0.0% 15.5 0.0 0.0 14.5
5-15 16.0% 16.0
4-16 14.1% 14.1
3-17 10.8% 10.8
2-18 6.2% 6.2
1-19 2.7% 2.7
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 12.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%