West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.9#39
Expected Predictive Rating+14.9#33
Pace63.2#311
Improvement-1.1#240

Offense
Total Offense+3.5#79
First Shot+5.3#51
After Offensive Rebound-1.8#290
Layup/Dunks-2.9#287
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.5#136
3 Pt Jumpshots+7.9#8
Freethrows-0.2#186
Improvement-1.6#283

Defense
Total Defense+8.4#11
First Shot+8.8#7
After Offensive Rebounds-0.4#223
Layups/Dunks+8.0#9
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#213
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.9#103
Freethrows-0.9#257
Improvement+0.5#159
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.5% 2.4% 0.4%
Top 6 Seed 9.9% 14.1% 4.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 83.3% 90.2% 75.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 83.1% 90.1% 75.0%
Average Seed 8.5 8.2 8.9
.500 or above 99.4% 99.9% 98.7%
.500 or above in Conference 70.5% 82.9% 55.9%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four10.9% 8.1% 14.1%
First Round77.5% 86.1% 67.5%
Second Round36.0% 41.6% 29.4%
Sweet Sixteen9.3% 11.5% 6.7%
Elite Eight3.0% 3.9% 1.9%
Final Four0.9% 1.2% 0.4%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 54.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 74 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 36 - 9
Quad 24 - 311 - 12
Quad 34 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 194   Robert Morris W 87-59 92%     1 - 0 +23.9 +11.4 +12.0
  Nov 08, 2024 152   Massachusetts W 75-69 89%     2 - 0 +4.2 +0.0 +3.9
  Nov 15, 2024 47   @ Pittsburgh L 62-86 44%     2 - 1 -10.7 -8.8 -1.0
  Nov 20, 2024 256   Iona W 86-43 96%     3 - 1 +35.0 +13.5 +22.1
  Nov 27, 2024 11   Gonzaga W 86-78 OT 29%     4 - 1 +25.7 +11.1 +13.9
  Nov 28, 2024 27   Louisville L 70-79 OT 40%     4 - 2 +5.4 +0.7 +5.0
  Nov 29, 2024 10   Arizona W 83-76 OT 28%     5 - 2 +24.8 +15.1 +9.4
  Dec 06, 2024 85   Georgetown W 73-60 76%     6 - 2 +17.6 +8.4 +9.7
  Dec 10, 2024 295   NC Central W 79-45 97%     7 - 2 +24.2 +9.1 +19.3
  Dec 14, 2024 279   Bethune-Cookman W 84-61 96%     8 - 2 +14.0 +9.6 +4.2
  Dec 22, 2024 353   Mercyhurst W 67-46 99%     9 - 2 +5.4 -7.4 +14.4
  Dec 31, 2024 7   @ Kansas W 62-61 18%     10 - 2 1 - 0 +22.5 +11.2 +11.4
  Jan 04, 2025 102   Oklahoma St. W 69-50 82%     11 - 2 2 - 0 +21.1 +0.5 +21.2
  Jan 07, 2025 10   Arizona L 56-75 37%     11 - 3 2 - 1 -3.7 -4.4 -1.1
  Jan 12, 2025 98   @ Colorado W 78-70 67%     12 - 3 3 - 1 +15.4 +12.4 +3.2
  Jan 15, 2025 3   @ Houston L 54-70 11%     12 - 4 3 - 2 +9.2 +9.9 -5.3
  Jan 18, 2025 8   Iowa St. W 64-57 36%     13 - 4 4 - 2 +22.5 +3.3 +19.6
  Jan 21, 2025 61   Arizona St. L 57-65 70%     13 - 5 4 - 3 -1.5 -4.1 +1.7
  Jan 25, 2025 55   @ Kansas St. L 60-73 48%     13 - 6 4 - 4 -0.6 -2.9 +1.5
  Jan 29, 2025 3   Houston L 49-63 22%     13 - 7 4 - 5 +6.2 -0.2 +2.8
  Feb 02, 2025 59   @ Cincinnati W 63-50 49%     14 - 7 5 - 5 +25.2 +8.2 +18.7
  Feb 05, 2025 68   @ TCU W 65-63 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 84   Utah W 72-65 77%    
  Feb 11, 2025 33   BYU W 70-69 54%    
  Feb 15, 2025 20   @ Baylor L 65-71 26%    
  Feb 19, 2025 59   Cincinnati W 64-59 69%    
  Feb 22, 2025 12   @ Texas Tech L 63-71 21%    
  Feb 25, 2025 68   TCU W 67-60 75%    
  Mar 01, 2025 33   @ BYU L 67-71 33%    
  Mar 04, 2025 84   @ Utah W 70-68 57%    
  Mar 08, 2025 62   Central Florida W 74-69 71%    
Projected Record 19 - 12 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.5 0.9 0.1 1.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 2.2 0.7 0.0 3.6 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.9 3.1 0.1 7.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.8 5.6 7.6 1.3 0.0 15.5 6th
7th 0.3 6.0 10.5 3.3 0.1 20.1 7th
8th 0.2 4.9 12.4 4.9 0.3 22.7 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 7.8 3.8 0.2 13.3 9th
10th 0.2 3.9 3.4 0.3 7.8 10th
11th 0.9 2.6 0.5 4.1 11th
12th 0.1 1.3 0.7 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.3 0.5 0.1 0.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.0 0.7 3.1 8.9 16.9 23.4 22.0 15.8 7.2 1.8 0.3 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.3% 100.0% 100.0% 3.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 100.0%
14-6 1.8% 100.0% 6.6% 93.4% 4.9 0.3 0.3 0.7 0.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-7 7.2% 99.6% 2.9% 96.7% 6.4 0.0 0.2 0.3 1.2 2.0 2.4 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.6%
12-8 15.8% 99.2% 1.8% 97.3% 7.5 0.2 0.6 2.1 4.6 5.2 2.5 0.4 0.0 0.1 99.2%
11-9 22.0% 96.6% 1.1% 95.5% 8.4 0.0 0.3 1.0 3.4 6.6 6.5 3.2 0.3 0.7 96.6%
10-10 23.4% 90.7% 0.7% 90.0% 9.1 0.2 1.1 4.6 7.5 6.3 1.7 2.2 90.7%
9-11 16.9% 72.4% 0.5% 71.9% 10.2 0.1 0.6 1.8 4.1 5.6 0.1 4.7 72.2%
8-12 8.9% 38.3% 38.3% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 0.3 5.5 38.3%
7-13 3.1% 8.5% 8.5% 11.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 2.8 8.5%
6-14 0.7% 0.7
5-15 0.0% 0.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 83.3% 1.1% 82.2% 8.5 0.0 0.5 1.0 2.8 5.6 11.8 17.8 18.6 14.5 10.2 0.5 16.7 83.1%