West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.4 #57
Expected Predictive Rating +9.7 #63
Pace 60.3 #359
Improvement +0.6 #155

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #108 C+ B- C+ C C+
Defense #28 B B B- B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #169 1.16 #166 +0.4 #160
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #259 0.79 #128 -1.2 #243
Three Pointers 44% #119 1.07 #100 +2.8 #83
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #116 +2.1 #117
Freethrows 0.31 #148 68% #306 0.21 #201
Second Chance 31.8% #143 1.13 #63 0.36 #86
Turnovers 15.9% #128
Total Offense +2.4 #108

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #221 1.05 #49 +2.9 #85
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #157 0.52 #1 +2.3 #29
Three Pointers 42% #161 1.00 #164 -0.1 #185
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #42 +5.1 #42
Freethrows 0.24 #26 72% #134 0.17 #27
Second Chance 25.4% #25 0.98 #112 0.25 #38
Turnovers 18.1% #90
Total Defense +7.0 #28

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #117 -0.3% #136
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #124 -9.7% #38
Possession Length 18.9 #329 18.4 #329
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #242 0.13 #52
Improvement -0.1 #189 +0.8 #141

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.5% 27.4% 12.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.4% 27.3% 12.0%
Average Seed 10.2 10.1 10.4
.500 or above 94.2% 99.1% 91.5%
.500 or above in Conference 56.5% 76.6% 45.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.3% 10.9% 6.8%
First Round12.8% 21.5% 8.0%
Second Round4.2% 7.0% 2.7%
Sweet Sixteen0.6% 1.1% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Cincinnati (Away) - 35.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 51 - 5
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 9
Quad 24 - 47 - 13
Quad 33 - 110 - 14
Quad 48 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 289 Mount St. Mary's W 70 - 54 96% +6  1 - 0 +6 -2 C- F C+ +9 A+ D A+
 Thu, Nov 6 212 Campbell W 73 - 65 92% +6  2 - 0 +2 -3 F C+ C+ +5 A C C
 Sun, Nov 9 301 Lehigh W 69 - 47 96% +18  3 - 0 +11 -2 C C+ F+ +15 B+ A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 93 Pittsburgh W 71 - 49 73% +9  4 - 0 +25 +7 C C+ A+ +21 B+ A+ A-
 Mon, Nov 17 310 Lafayette W 81 - 59 97% +11  5 - 0 +10 +7 B B- C +4 D+ B- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 33 Clemson L 67 - 70 32% +2  5 - 1 +11 +7 C- B+ A+ +4 C A+ B+
 Sun, Nov 23 83 Xavier L 68 - 78 60% -3  5 - 2 -3 +1 D C+ B- -4 D- A- B
 Sun, Nov 30 304 Mercyhurst W 70 - 38 96% +18  6 - 2 +21 +5 C B+ C+ +21 A+ B- A+
 Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. W 91 - 49 99% +14  7 - 2 +19 +7 D+ C- A+ +12 A+ B C-
 Sat, Dec 6 75 Wake Forest L 66 - 75 56% -6  7 - 3 -1 +7 C A F -10 F+ B B+
 Tue, Dec 9 292 Arkansas Little Rock W 90 - 58 96% +22  8 - 3 +21 +22 A+ C A- +3 A D+ D+
 Sat, Dec 13 36 Ohio St. L 88 - 89 2OT 34% +4  8 - 4 +13 +5 B+ C+ D+ +8 A+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 86 - 51 100% +20  9 - 4 +8 +20 B A+ A+ -5 A- D- F
 Fri, Jan 2 4 @Iowa St. L 59 - 80 8% -10  9 - 5 0 - 1 +4 +8 C+ B- A- -8 F B- B+
 Tue, Jan 6 52 Cincinnati W 62 - 60 58% +3  10 - 5 1 - 1 +9 +4 A+ F+ F +5 B+ B D
 Sat, Jan 10 14 Kansas W 86 - 75 28% +1  11 - 5 2 - 1 +26 +25 A+ A+ C+ +2 A B+ F+
 Tue, Jan 13 6 @Houston L 48 - 77 9% -16  11 - 6 2 - 2 -4 -6 C+ D C -2 A- F C-
 Sat, Jan 17 72 Colorado W 72 - 61 66% +6  12 - 6 3 - 2 +16 +13 B A+ C +6 A+ A- D-
 Wed, Jan 21 77 @Arizona St. W 75 - 63 45% -1  13 - 6 4 - 2 +23 +11 A C+ C +13 B B+ A
 Sat, Jan 24 2 @Arizona L 53 - 88 6% -19  13 - 7 4 - 3 -8 -5 D C- B -4 D+ A+ F
 Tue, Jan 27 92 Kansas St. W 59 - 54 73% +0  14 - 7 5 - 3 +8 -4 D- B D+ +13 A+ A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 47 Baylor L 53 - 63 53% -5  14 - 8 5 - 4 -1 -9 D C F +6 B- B- A+
 Thu, Feb 5 52 @Cincinnati L 61 - 65 36%
 Sun, Feb 8 17 Texas Tech L 67 - 72 31%
 Sat, Feb 14 44 @Central Florida L 68 - 73 31%
 Wed, Feb 18 104 Utah W 74 - 66 77%
 Sat, Feb 21 51 @TCU L 64 - 68 36%
 Tue, Feb 24 56 @Oklahoma St. L 71 - 74 38%
 Sat, Feb 28 15 BYU L 68 - 74 29%
 Tue, Mar 3 92 @Kansas St. W 71 - 70 51%
 Fri, Mar 6 44 Central Florida W 71 - 70 52%
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +9 +2 C+ B- C+ +7 B B B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.1 0.1 0.1 2nd
3rd 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.6 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.4 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.0 1.5 0.0 5.3 5th
6th 0.9 5.2 4.2 0.4 10.7 6th
7th 0.7 6.7 9.0 1.5 17.9 7th
8th 0.0 1.1 11.2 14.6 3.2 0.1 30.2 8th
9th 0.3 5.2 9.2 2.2 0.1 16.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 5.6 1.7 0.1 8.6 10th
11th 0.0 2.2 2.3 0.2 4.6 11th
12th 0.3 1.3 0.3 0.0 1.8 12th
13th 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.7 13th
14th 0.1 0.0 0.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.8 5.4 14.5 22.9 24.4 18.3 9.3 3.5 0.8 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 9.1% 0.0    0.0
13-5 0.0%
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4 0.1% 90.9% 90.9% 7.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.9%
13-5 0.8% 89.2% 89.2% 8.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 89.2%
12-6 3.5% 76.8% 0.3% 76.6% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.5 0.8 76.8%
11-7 9.3% 56.0% 0.3% 55.7% 10.1 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.2 1.8 4.1 55.9%
10-8 18.3% 31.1% 0.1% 31.0% 10.5 0.1 0.4 1.6 3.5 0.1 12.6 31.0%
9-9 24.4% 10.8% 0.1% 10.7% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 2.1 0.2 21.8 10.8%
8-10 22.9% 1.5% 0.0% 1.5% 11.2 0.0 0.3 0.1 22.6 1.5%
7-11 14.5% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 14.4 0.2%
6-12 5.4% 5.4
5-13 0.8% 0.8
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 17.5% 0.1% 17.4% 10.2 82.5 17.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.6%