West Virginia
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.7 #67
Expected Predictive Rating +5.7 #90
Pace 61.2 #353
Improvement +0.7 #139

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #92 C+ C+ B C+ B-
Defense #49 B+ B B A- B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #164 1.17 #166 +0.4 #162
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #266 0.73 #216 -1.8 #265
Three Pointers 45% #117 1.08 #96 +3.4 #76
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #123 +2.0 #123
Freethrows 20.0 #62 67% #311 13.5 #120
Second Chance 31.7% #150 1.09 #127 0.35 #129
Turnovers 14.8% #69
Total Offense +3.3 #92

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #243 1.02 #40 +3.7 #67
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #68 0.51 #3 +1.4 #85
Three Pointers 39% #239 1.08 #274 -0.2 #191
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #48 +4.9 #49
Freethrows 13.1 #26 75% #265 9.8 #336
Second Chance 26.6% #56 0.99 #117 0.26 #53
Turnovers 18.5% #75
Total Defense +5.4 #49

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.2% #111 -1.3% #73
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.8% #140 -8.4% #50
Possession Length 18.5 #308 18.8 #354
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #241 0.14 #62
Improvement +2.7 #34 -2.0 #299

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 9.8% 17.0% 6.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 9.6% 16.8% 6.2%
Average Seed 9.7 9.6 9.9
.500 or above 63.7% 80.1% 55.7%
.500 or above in Conference 28.2% 44.3% 20.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 4.9% 1.6% 6.5%
First Four3.4% 5.1% 2.6%
First Round7.9% 14.3% 4.8%
Second Round2.9% 5.2% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.9% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kansas (Home) - 32.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 53 - 11
Quad 23 - 46 - 15
Quad 33 - 19 - 16
Quad 48 - 017 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 292 Mount St. Mary's W 70 - 54 95%  +6  1 - 0 +6 -3 D+ F C +9 A+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 6 199 Campbell W 73 - 65 90%  +6  2 - 0 +3 -1 F C B- +4 A B- C-
 Sun, Nov 9 320 Lehigh W 69 - 47 97%  +18  3 - 0 +9 -2 C C F +14 B A+ A+
 Thu, Nov 13 82 Pittsburgh W 71 - 49 67%  +9  4 - 0 +26 +7 C B- A+ +21 A+ A+ A
 Mon, Nov 17 318 Lafayette W 81 - 59 96%  +11  5 - 0 +10 +6 B B D +5 D B+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 39 Clemson L 67 - 70 34%  +2  5 - 1 +10 +6 C B+ A+ +4 C A+ A
 Sun, Nov 23 97 Xavier L 68 - 78 63%  -3  5 - 2 -5 +0 D- C+ B+ -5 F A A-
 Sun, Nov 30 307 Mercyhurst W 70 - 38 96%  +18  6 - 2 +20 +4 C A B- +21 A+ A A+
 Wed, Dec 3 364 Coppin St. W 91 - 49 99%  +14  7 - 2 +19 +9 D- C A+ +10 A+ B+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 62 Wake Forest L 66 - 75 49%  -6  7 - 3 -0 +8 C A+ F -10 F B+ B
 Tue, Dec 9 299 Arkansas Little Rock W 90 - 58 95%  +22  8 - 3 +21 +23 A+ C A- +2 A+ D+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 30 Ohio St. L 88 - 89 2OT 30%  +4  8 - 4 +13 +6 A+ D+ F +7 A+ F F
 Mon, Dec 22 365 Mississippi Valley W 86 - 51 100%  +22  9 - 4 +8 +20 A- A+ A+ -5 A+ F F
 Fri, Jan 2 3 @Iowa St. L 59 - 80 6%  -10  9 - 5 0 - 1 +5 +10 C+ C+ A+ -8 F C+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 58 Cincinnati W 62 - 60 59%  +3  10 - 5 1 - 1 +8 +4 A+ F F +5 A- B F
 Sat, Jan 10 18 Kansas L 65 - 70 33% 
 Tue, Jan 13 11 @Houston L 57 - 71 10% 
 Sat, Jan 17 77 Colorado W 74 - 70 65% 
 Wed, Jan 21 88 @Arizona St. L 71 - 72 47% 
 Sat, Jan 24 2 @Arizona L 63 - 81 5% 
 Tue, Jan 27 74 Kansas St. W 76 - 72 64% 
 Sat, Jan 31 32 Baylor L 71 - 73 42% 
 Thu, Feb 5 58 @Cincinnati L 63 - 67 37% 
 Sun, Feb 8 17 Texas Tech L 67 - 72 32% 
 Sat, Feb 14 50 @Central Florida L 70 - 75 32% 
 Wed, Feb 18 117 Utah W 76 - 67 79% 
 Sat, Feb 21 44 @TCU L 64 - 70 29% 
 Tue, Feb 24 54 @Oklahoma St. L 73 - 77 35% 
 Sat, Feb 28 8 BYU L 66 - 75 22% 
 Tue, Mar 3 74 @Kansas St. L 73 - 75 42% 
 Fri, Mar 6 50 Central Florida W 73 - 72 53% 
Totals 16 - 15 7 - 11 +9 +3 C+ C+ B +5 B+ B B




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.9 0.8 0.3 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.4 2.0 0.7 0.1 4.5 5th
6th 0.2 1.9 3.4 1.4 0.1 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 4.5 2.5 0.2 0.0 8.5 7th
8th 0.5 4.9 4.3 0.7 0.0 10.4 8th
9th 0.1 3.0 6.1 1.4 0.0 10.6 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 6.6 3.4 0.2 11.3 10th
11th 0.3 4.5 5.3 0.6 0.0 10.8 11th
12th 0.0 2.2 6.3 1.8 0.0 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 1.0 4.6 3.0 0.2 8.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.6 0.5 0.0 7.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.6 2.6 0.8 0.0 5.3 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.4 0.0 1.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.7 2.9 6.9 11.6 15.7 17.3 16.6 12.5 8.2 4.5 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 50.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 2.6% 0.0    0.0
13-5 1.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 94.7% 2.6% 92.1% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 94.6%
13-5 0.8% 93.8% 1.2% 92.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.7%
12-6 2.0% 78.2% 1.8% 76.4% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.4 77.8%
11-7 4.5% 55.5% 0.1% 55.4% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.5 1.0 0.6 2.0 55.5%
10-8 8.2% 34.1% 0.2% 33.9% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 1.2 0.0 5.4 34.0%
9-9 12.5% 12.8% 0.2% 12.6% 10.6 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.0 10.9 12.6%
8-10 16.6% 1.5% 0.1% 1.4% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 16.3 1.4%
7-11 17.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.0 0.0 17.3 0.3%
6-12 15.7% 15.7
5-13 11.6% 0.0% 0.0% 12.0 0.0 11.6
4-14 6.9% 6.9
3-15 2.9% 2.9
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 9.8% 0.1% 9.6% 9.7 90.3 9.6%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%