Loyola Chicago
Atlantic 10
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.3#106
Expected Predictive Rating+9.6#65
Pace70.5#140
Improvement+0.3#159

Offense
Total Offense+0.5#154
First Shot-2.1#238
After Offensive Rebound+2.6#42
Layup/Dunks+3.3#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#328
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#209
Freethrows-1.5#271
Improvement-1.1#274

Defense
Total Defense+3.8#81
First Shot+3.6#73
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#159
Layups/Dunks+1.8#102
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#194
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#80
Freethrows-0.9#253
Improvement+1.4#77
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 5.7% 6.6% 3.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.5% 0.7% 0.1%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 11.6
.500 or above 93.2% 96.0% 85.9%
.500 or above in Conference 64.7% 68.3% 55.2%
Conference Champion 4.9% 5.7% 2.9%
Last Place in Conference 2.8% 2.2% 4.4%
First Four0.4% 0.5% 0.1%
First Round5.5% 6.3% 3.2%
Second Round1.3% 1.6% 0.6%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Oakland (Neutral) - 72.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 00 - 0
Quad 1b0 - 10 - 2
Quad 23 - 43 - 6
Quad 37 - 410 - 10
Quad 49 - 119 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 360   Chicago St. W 79-72 97%     1 - 0 -10.2 -4.1 -6.5
  Nov 07, 2024 323   Detroit Mercy W 87-65 93%     2 - 0 +9.9 +7.2 +2.3
  Nov 15, 2024 117   @ Princeton W 73-68 44%     3 - 0 +10.8 +0.3 +10.4
  Nov 19, 2024 218   Southern Utah W 76-72 82%     4 - 0 -1.6 +5.1 -6.4
  Nov 23, 2024 252   Tulsa W 89-53 87%     5 - 0 +28.0 +9.5 +17.3
  Dec 03, 2024 317   Eastern Michigan W 76-54 92%     6 - 0 +10.2 +5.8 +6.9
  Dec 07, 2024 180   South Florida W 74-72 78%     7 - 0 -2.0 -1.6 -0.5
  Dec 15, 2024 59   San Francisco L 66-76 31%     7 - 1 -0.7 -3.7 +3.7
  Dec 18, 2024 350   Canisius W 72-60 96%     8 - 1 -3.3 -4.2 +1.8
  Dec 22, 2024 206   Oakland W 70-64 72%    
  Jan 04, 2025 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 67-69 42%    
  Jan 08, 2025 164   @ La Salle W 74-72 56%    
  Jan 11, 2025 96   @ Saint Joseph's L 70-74 34%    
  Jan 15, 2025 99   Rhode Island W 76-74 57%    
  Jan 18, 2025 46   @ Dayton L 65-74 20%    
  Jan 22, 2025 169   Fordham W 77-69 76%    
  Jan 29, 2025 87   @ George Mason L 64-69 32%    
  Feb 01, 2025 96   Saint Joseph's W 73-71 56%    
  Feb 04, 2025 89   St. Bonaventure W 68-67 54%    
  Feb 08, 2025 200   @ Duquesne W 69-66 60%    
  Feb 11, 2025 216   @ Richmond W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 14, 2025 143   Saint Louis W 80-74 73%    
  Feb 18, 2025 122   @ Davidson L 71-72 45%    
  Feb 21, 2025 46   Dayton L 68-71 38%    
  Feb 26, 2025 136   George Washington W 77-71 70%    
  Mar 01, 2025 143   @ Saint Louis W 77-76 52%    
  Mar 05, 2025 122   Davidson W 74-69 66%    
  Mar 08, 2025 191   @ Massachusetts W 76-73 59%    
Projected Record 18 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic 10 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 4.9 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.8 2.2 0.6 0.0 6.9 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.2 3.5 2.7 0.6 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 3.7 3.6 0.7 0.0 8.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 4.8 1.4 0.1 9.8 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.1 5.4 2.5 0.2 0.0 10.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.1 5.1 3.5 0.5 10.2 7th
8th 0.0 0.4 3.6 4.3 0.8 0.0 9.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 1.5 0.1 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 3.7 2.1 0.2 0.0 7.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.5 2.3 2.6 0.4 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.1 0.7 0.0 4.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 0.8 0.1 3.1 13th
14th 0.1 0.4 0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0 2.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.1 1.2 15th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 4.3 6.4 9.5 11.8 13.5 13.8 12.7 10.1 7.0 4.4 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0 Total



Atlantic 10 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2 0.0
16-2 95.1% 0.7    0.6 0.1 0.0
15-3 70.9% 1.5    0.9 0.5 0.1
14-4 35.9% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0
13-5 10.3% 0.7    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.3% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 4.9% 4.9 2.3 1.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 85.7% 47.6% 38.1% 6.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 72.7%
17-1 0.2% 64.1% 31.6% 32.5% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 47.5%
16-2 0.8% 44.0% 26.0% 18.0% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 24.3%
15-3 2.1% 27.9% 19.7% 8.2% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 1.5 10.2%
14-4 4.4% 18.4% 16.4% 2.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.6 0.2 3.6 2.4%
13-5 7.0% 14.6% 14.3% 0.3% 11.6 0.0 0.4 0.6 0.0 6.0 0.4%
12-6 10.1% 9.6% 9.6% 11.7 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.0 9.1
11-7 12.7% 6.1% 6.1% 0.0% 11.8 0.2 0.6 0.0 12.0 0.0%
10-8 13.8% 3.7% 3.7% 12.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 13.3
9-9 13.5% 2.0% 2.0% 12.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 13.3
8-10 11.8% 1.3% 1.3% 12.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 11.7
7-11 9.5% 0.5% 0.5% 12.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 9.4
6-12 6.4% 0.4% 0.4% 13.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.4
5-13 4.3% 0.1% 0.1% 14.0 0.0 4.3
4-14 2.0% 2.0
3-15 0.9% 0.9
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 5.7% 5.2% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 2.2 2.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 94.3 0.5%