Georgia Tech
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.1 140
Results Rating -0.5 166
Pace 76.0 23
Improvement -2.1 264

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C 188 C+ B- C- C- C-
Defense C+ 121 B- C C- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% 102 C+ 60% 121 +2.4 91
2 Pt. Jumpers 47% 78 D+ 35% 270 +0.8 132
Three Pointers 34% 318 B 37% 51 -2.0 251
Shot Selection/Accuracy C- -0.3 232 C+ +1.5 113
1st FG Attempt C+ 1.05 137
Second Chance C+ 32.1% 134 B 1.15 43 B- 0.37 68
Turnovers C- 17.9% 260
Freethrows C- 0.30 213 C- 71% 232 C- 0.21 216
Total Offense C -0.8 188

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots A- 62% 19 C- 12.1% 257
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B 35% 48 C- 6.2% 259
Three Pointers B 90% 49 C+ 0.8% 155
Total B+ 65% 31 D 6.8% 308

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 327 B 52% 44 -5.5 32
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 101 B 35% 63 +0.0 186
Three Pointers 45% 64 C 34% 194 +2.2 289
Shot Selection/Accuracy B -0.7 66 B- -2.7 72
1st FG Attempt B- 0.95 66
Second Chance C+ 28.9% 115 D+ 1.08 267 C 0.31 184
Turnovers C- 16.3% 207
Freethrows C+ 0.28 123 C 72% 178 C+ 0.21 122
Total Defense C+ +1.9 121

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 53% 272 B+ 16.7% 31
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 30% 266 C+ 6.2% 95
Three Pointers C+ 82% 114 C 0.9% 163
Total D+ 59% 267 B 7.2% 65

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 15.3 23 17.9 272
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 144 0.16 162
Improvement +3.2 #48 -5.3 #359

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 161 143 126
Results Rating Rank 196 162 144
Conference Record 2 - 16 3 - 15 4 - 14
Conference Finish 18 17 15
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 71% 46% 86%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Florida St. (Home) - 37.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 51 - 9
Quad 20 - 51 - 15
Quad 31 - 43 - 19
Quad 49 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 349 Maryland Eastern Shore W 56 - 52 OT 94% +0  54% 1 - 0 D- -12 F -25 F C+ D- A+ +12 A- C A-
 Fri, Nov 7 354 Bryant W 74 - 45 95% +19  99% 2 - 0 B+ +12 F -14 C- F F A+ +24 A+ A C
 Mon, Nov 10 287 SE Louisiana W 70 - 60 86% +0  37% 3 - 0 C -0 F -13 D- A F A+ +12 B- A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 32 @Georgia L 87 - 92 7% -3  22% 3 - 1 B+ +13 C+ +3 B C+ B- A +10 A+ D+ B
 Tue, Nov 18 266 Georgia Southern W 68 - 66 83% -1  43% 4 - 1 D+ -7 F -18 F C F A +11 A D- B+
 Sun, Nov 23 317 West Georgia W 82 - 66 89% +3  61% 5 - 1 C+ +3 C- -2 C+ A F+ B+ +5 B- B+ F+
 Fri, Nov 28 93 DePaul L 61 - 75 32% -1  38% 5 - 2 D+ -8 D -6 F A- A- C- -3 C C D+
 Sat, Nov 29 193 Drake L 74 - 84 62% -5  6% 5 - 3 D- -12 C+ +2 C+ C+ A+ F -14 C- F F
 Wed, Dec 3 74 Mississippi St. L 73 - 85 36% -8  8% 5 - 4 D+ -7 D -5 D D+ A+ C- -2 B F B
 Sat, Dec 6 199 Monmouth W 79 - 67 73% +2  70% 6 - 4 B- +7 C+ +2 B- C- D B +5 A C- F
 Tue, Dec 16 181 Marist W 87 - 76 70% +8  73% 7 - 4 B- +7 A+ +16 A+ A D- F+ -9 C- F D-
 Sat, Dec 20 322 Lafayette W 95 - 81 90% +7  90% 8 - 4 C +1 A +13 B- A+ B- F -12 F+ A F
 Sun, Dec 28 328 Florida A&M W 89 - 65 91% +17  99% 9 - 4 B +10 B- +4 A+ A+ F B +4 B- B- F
 Wed, Dec 31 2 @Duke L 79 - 85 2% -0  45% 9 - 5 0 - 1 A +22 A+ +16 A+ F F+ B+ +6 B+ A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 139 Boston College W 65 - 53 61% +2  64% 10 - 5 1 - 1 B +10 F+ -9 C+ F+ F A+ +19 A+ B C-
 Tue, Jan 6 73 Syracuse L 72 - 82 36% -9  6% 10 - 6 1 - 2 D+ -5 D- -7 D- C+ A+ B- +2 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 39 @Miami (FL) L 81 - 91 9% -10  0% 10 - 7 1 - 3 B- +6 B+ +8 B- B- C C -1 C B+ F
 Wed, Jan 14 98 Pittsburgh L 66 - 89 46% -15  2% 10 - 8 1 - 4 F -21 D- -7 D+ B+ F F -15 F+ F D-
 Sat, Jan 17 24 @North Carolina St. W 78 - 74 6% +1  54% 11 - 8 2 - 4 A +23 B +6 A+ B D A+ +17 A+ A+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 41 Clemson L 63 - 77 20% -6  15% 11 - 9 2 - 5 C- -4 C- -2 C C A+ C- -2 D+ A+ C+
 Tue, Jan 27 57 @Virginia Tech L 65 - 71 14% -5  19% 11 - 10 2 - 6 B- +7 D -4 C+ D+ D A+ +11 A+ C- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 27 North Carolina L 75 - 91 15% -12  1% 11 - 11 2 - 7 C- -4 C+ +2 B A D D -6 A F+ F
 Wed, Feb 4 70 @California L 85 - 90 17% -6  8% 11 - 12 2 - 8 B- +6 B +7 B+ A- A+ C -0 F A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 7 77 @Stanford L 72 - 95 19% -7  6% 11 - 13 2 - 9 D- -12 C -0 D+ A B- F -12 F F B-
 Wed, Feb 11 65 Wake Forest L 67 - 83 33% -8  10% 11 - 14 2 - 10 D -10 C- -2 D+ C+ A+ F+ -9 F C C-
 Sat, Feb 14 86 @Notre Dame L 74 - 89 21% -11  1% 11 - 15 2 - 11 D+ -5 B- +4 A- B- F F -10 D F B
 Wed, Feb 18 22 Virginia L 68 - 94 11% -26  0% 11 - 16 2 - 12 D- -12 F+ -8 D- A D- C -1 B- D+ B
 Sat, Feb 21 11 @Louisville L 70 - 87 4% -13  0% 11 - 17 2 - 13 B- +5 C +1 C- A+ F B+ +5 C- C A+
 Sat, Feb 28 80 Florida St. L 80 - 83 38%
 Wed, Mar 4 70 California L 75 - 79 35%
 Sat, Mar 7 41 @Clemson L 63 - 78 8%
Totals 12 - 19 3 - 15 +1 C -1 D+ C+ C- C+ +2 B C- C-



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C C+ D+ B C+ 41% 47% 34% C- C+ C+ B B- C- C- C- C- C+ B B C B- 32% 23% 45% B B- C+ D+ C C- C+ C C+
1.07 60% 35% 37% +2 0 1.05 32% 1.1 .37 18% .30 71% .21 1.06 52% 35% 34% -3 -1 0.95 29% 1.1 .31 16% .28 72% .21
Nov
3		 Maryland Eastern Shore F F A+ F F 37% 12% 51% B- F D A+ C+ D- D+ F F A+ A- C A+ A- 33% 28% 39% B A- B- D C A- C+ A+ B+
0.80 37% 67% 19% -16 +1 0.73 28% 1.4 .40 19% .32 50% .16 0.74 47% 38% 22% -11 -1 0.78 26% 1.0 .26 27% .22 55% .12
Nov
7		 Bryant F B F A C+ 39% 25% 37% F+ C- F C F F F F F A+ B B+ A+ A+ 23% 13% 64% B A+ A A A C C- A C+
1.00 64% 21% 43% +3 0 1.07 20% 1.0 .20 18% .16 60% .10 0.61 50% 29% 12% -24 0 0.53 20% 0.8 .16 22% .28 69% .19
Nov
10		 SE Louisiana F D D- C+ D- 36% 31% 33% D D- C- A+ A F A C- A- A+ A+ C+ C+ B- 26% 31% 43% A B- B+ A+ A+ A+ B+ F C
0.92 53% 31% 36% -3 -2 0.93 30% 1.6 .47 26% .46 73% .34 0.79 43% 35% 30% -7 -2 0.83 23% 0.4 .10 26% .27 80% .21
Nov
14		 Georgia C+ F+ C- A+ B- 49% 19% 32% B B B C- C+ B- A+ F A A D A+ A+ A+ 41% 17% 43% B- A+ D C D+ B F B- F
1.04 45% 36% 47% 0 +1 1.03 37% 0.8 .31 18% .41 61% .25 1.10 68% 11% 26% -5 +1 0.93 42% 1.1 .44 17% .63 73% .46
Nov
18		 Georgia Southern F A F F F 40% 16% 44% C- F B D C F A+ F A+ A A+ A- C- A+ 36% 5% 58% D A D- D+ D- B+ A A+ A+
0.90 71% 29% 16% -9 +1 0.86 41% 0.9 .38 29% .56 67% .38 0.88 20% 33% 34% -14 +2 0.78 33% 1.1 .37 19% .25 53% .13
Nov
23		 West Georgia C- B+ B D B- 50% 18% 32% C C+ B+ A- A F+ C- F F+ B+ D+ C+ A B- 25% 33% 42% B- B- A+ F B+ F+ C A+ B+
1.14 68% 44% 31% +5 +1 1.14 38% 1.2 .44 18% .32 58% .19 0.92 57% 37% 25% -6 -3 0.84 18% 1.4 .25 12% .27 53% .14
Nov
28		 DePaul D C+ F F F 43% 26% 31% C+ F B- A A- A- F+ A D+ C- B- F B C+ 41% 18% 41% D+ C B+ F C D+ B- F D+
0.91 57% 21% 12% -15 0 0.70 33% 1.2 .38 16% .25 79% .20 1.12 55% 56% 30% 0 0 1.02 27% 1.4 .37 15% .30 82% .25
Nov
29		 Drake C+ C+ F A+ C 40% 21% 40% B- C+ D+ A- C+ A+ C F F F C C C C+ 57% 11% 33% F C- D F F F F D F
1.14 62% 18% 43% +3 0 1.08 27% 1.1 .30 9% .30 39% .12 1.29 58% 40% 33% 0 +3 1.07 29% 1.7 .48 9% .46 74% .34
Dec
3		 Mississippi St. D F C+ B- D 35% 29% 37% C+ D B F D+ A+ B- F C- C- A F A B 35% 23% 42% C B A- F F B F+ F F
0.97 32% 39% 35% -8 -1 0.83 31% 0.6 .20 7% .29 65% .19 1.13 50% 67% 27% 0 -1 1.00 26% 1.8 .47 17% .35 77% .27
Dec
6		 Monmouth C+ C+ A- B+ B 48% 24% 28% C- B- C+ D+ C- D A+ A A+ B A+ A- C+ A 38% 28% 34% C+ A D+ C C- F A- A A
1.12 59% 45% 38% +4 0 1.11 33% 0.9 .30 21% .47 81% .38 0.95 39% 29% 33% -10 -1 0.80 33% 1.0 .33 8% .23 67% .15
Dec
16		 Marist A+ A A- A+ A+ 34% 44% 22% F A+ A+ C A D- D A C F+ A B- F D 24% 35% 41% A C- F+ F F D- C+ A+ A
1.27 71% 45% 73% +20 -3 1.36 42% 1.0 .42 22% .32 76% .24 1.11 46% 37% 41% +1 -3 0.98 32% 1.5 .49 15% .24 50% .12
Dec
20		 Lafayette A C- F A+ B 39% 31% 30% D B- B+ A+ A+ B- A+ A+ A+ F C- F C- F 30% 13% 57% C+ F+ B- A+ A F D- F F+
1.34 57% 29% 56% +7 -1 1.13 38% 1.5 .56 13% .48 87% .42 1.14 59% 57% 34% +3 0 1.09 23% 0.5 .11 11% .33 76% .25
Dec
28		 Florida A&M B- A B- A+ A+ 67% 16% 18% A A+ A+ B+ A+ F A- C+ A- B B- C- A- B- 25% 27% 48% B+ B- D A B- F B A+ A+
1.20 70% 43% 63% +16 +3 1.40 44% 1.1 .48 27% .41 77% .31 0.88 53% 38% 28% -6 -2 0.87 30% 0.6 .18 15% .25 38% .10
Dec
31		 Duke A+ A+ B- A+ A+ 29% 35% 35% D- A+ D+ F F F+ B A+ A B+ B F C+ B 30% 17% 52% A+ B+ F A+ A+ C+ F B F
1.10 80% 39% 56% +18 -3 1.33 19% 0.0 .00 24% .24 85% .20 1.18 57% 63% 33% +3 0 1.09 48% 0.7 .34 17% .58 69% .40
Jan
3		 Boston College F+ A+ F F+ C+ 44% 31% 24% D+ C+ A- F F+ F A+ B- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 28% 23% 49% C+ A+ B B- B C- D C D+
0.92 70% 21% 27% -2 -1 0.96 35% 0.4 .13 20% .51 69% .35 0.75 33% 25% 15% -24 -1 0.53 27% 0.9 .25 14% .33 65% .21
Jan
6		 Syracuse D- C+ F F D- 45% 27% 27% C- D- D+ A C+ A+ A D+ A- B- C+ A+ F A 31% 35% 35% A+ A+ F+ F F A- F F F
0.95 56% 20% 20% -12 0 0.78 27% 1.4 .37 12% .39 69% .27 1.09 60% 18% 41% -3 -2 0.92 38% 1.4 .51 20% .51 74% .38
Jan
10		 Miami (FL) B+ A C A A- 31% 45% 24% F B- C+ B- B- C A+ A+ A+ C F A+ D C- 35% 19% 46% B+ C A+ F B+ F F B F
1.09 67% 36% 42% +5 -4 1.04 26% 1.1 .29 19% .45 85% .38 1.22 78% 20% 38% +6 0 1.13 25% 1.4 .34 11% .48 66% .32
Jan
14		 Pittsburgh D- D- F C+ D- 49% 16% 35% B D+ A+ D+ B+ F C+ F D+ F C D- F F 37% 20% 43% B- F+ C+ F F D- A F B-
0.97 50% 25% 35% -5 +1 0.94 38% 0.9 .32 22% .28 67% .19 1.31 60% 45% 43% +8 0 1.19 34% 1.5 .50 13% .20 83% .17
Jan
17		 North Carolina St. B C A+ A+ A+ 43% 15% 43% B- A+ C- A+ B D A+ F B+ A+ A+ A+ C- A+ 39% 11% 50% D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C- D- A+ C
1.05 55% 57% 45% +9 +1 1.21 24% 1.4 .33 23% .49 50% .25 1.00 48% 0% 37% -6 +1 0.93 20% 1.0 .20 12% .38 64% .25
Jan
24		 Clemson C- F C- A B- 22% 37% 41% F C C+ D+ C A+ C+ D- C C- D+ C+ F D- 32% 19% 49% A- D+ C+ A+ A+ C+ A+ D A
0.95 36% 33% 40% -3 -3 0.90 24% 0.9 .22 14% .30 71% .21 1.16 65% 40% 42% +9 0 1.19 28% 0.4 .13 15% .23 77% .18
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Virginia Tech D B+ C F C+ 43% 28% 28% C C+ C+ F D+ D A- C- B+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ 31% 25% 44% B+ A+ C C- C- D- F C F
0.93 65% 38% 23% -2 -1 0.98 31% 0.8 .25 20% .30 71% .21 1.01 50% 15% 26% -13 -1 0.73 33% 1.1 .38 11% .42 73% .31
Jan
31		 North Carolina C+ D+ D A+ B+ 44% 40% 16% D+ B C+ A+ A D A A+ A+ D D+ B+ A+ A 37% 23% 40% B A C+ F F+ F A+ F A+
1.04 50% 30% 63% 0 -2 0.98 26% 1.3 .35 17% .28 82% .23 1.27 67% 33% 27% -2 0 0.97 33% 1.4 .47 3% .17 92% .16
Feb
4		 California B C+ A+ D+ B 48% 10% 43% A B+ D A+ A- A+ F F F C B C- F F 23% 32% 45% A F A- A+ A+ B+ F A- F
1.10 57% 50% 30% -2 +2 1.02 24% 1.6 .38 10% .20 50% .10 1.17 55% 40% 57% +15 -3 1.28 22% 0.5 .11 18% .62 72% .44
Feb
7		 Stanford C D F D+ D 52% 25% 23% B D+ B A+ A B- D- F F F F C F F 40% 15% 45% B+ F D F F B- C+ F D
0.99 52% 29% 31% -7 0 0.89 31% 1.3 .41 18% .29 65% .18 1.31 71% 38% 42% +10 +1 1.25 38% 1.4 .52 17% .31 89% .28
Feb
11		 Wake Forest C- F F A+ D+ 38% 27% 35% D D+ C B- C+ A+ F F F F+ C- D- F F 28% 13% 60% C F A- F C C- F+ A+ C
1.03 33% 20% 53% -5 -1 0.91 30% 1.1 .33 12% .16 56% .09 1.27 62% 50% 46% +14 0 1.30 26% 1.4 .37 14% .39 64% .25
Feb
14		 Notre Dame B- A+ D A- A 22% 18% 59% C- A- D- A+ B- F D+ A+ B F D- A- F F+ 22% 28% 50% A D F F F B D+ F F
1.07 73% 33% 38% +6 -1 1.12 18% 1.6 .29 22% .26 93% .24 1.29 70% 31% 48% +11 -2 1.20 42% 1.3 .55 19% .34 89% .30
Feb
18		 Virginia F+ C- D F D- 38% 33% 29% C- D- C- A+ A D- B- A+ B+ C B- A+ D- B- 38% 11% 51% C B- D- B- D+ B A+ A+ A+
0.86 50% 32% 18% -12 -2 0.74 24% 1.5 .37 20% .30 84% .25 1.19 57% 29% 39% +2 +1 1.08 45% 1.1 .48 18% .20 62% .12
Feb
21		 Louisville C A+ B+ F C 27% 42% 31% F C- B A+ A+ F F+ A+ C B+ A- F F D+ 28% 9% 64% B+ C- A+ F C A+ D F F
0.95 71% 41% 13% -5 -4 0.85 29% 1.7 .50 23% .21 92% .19 1.18 54% 75% 43% +11 +1 1.26 24% 1.5 .36 24% .36 95% .34



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 14th
15th 0.5 4.2 0.9 5.6 15th
16th 8.3 8.3 0.3 16.9 16th
17th 12.3 28.9 3.9 0.0 45.1 17th
18th 25.7 6.6 0.1 32.4 18th
Total 38.0 44.3 16.4 1.3 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13 1.3% 1.3
4-14 16.4% 16.4
3-15 44.3% 44.3
2-16 38.0% 38.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5%
Lose Out 38.0%