LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.2 53
Results Rating +8.1 75
Pace 67.3 218
Improvement -7.1 361

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B+ 48 B B+ B B+ C+
Defense B- 93 B- B C- C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% 50 B 64% 52 +5.7 19
2 Pt. Jumpers 35% 213 C+ 39% 121 -0.4 199
Three Pointers 37% 265 C+ 35% 126 -1.3 229
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.5 113 B +3.5 74
1st FG Attempt B 1.10 65
Second Chance B 34.7% 60 A- 1.18 26 B+ 0.41 29
Turnovers B 14.5% 49
Freethrows B 0.35 44 B+ 77% 33 B+ 0.27 27
Total Offense B+ +7.2 48

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C+ 52% 119 A- 6.4% 14
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C- 23% 193 C+ 4.7% 160
Three Pointers B 90% 50 C- 1.0% 225
Total C+ 58% 128 B+ 4.1% 32

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 268 B 53% 52 -3.5 68
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% 117 B 34% 54 -0.2 172
Three Pointers 42% 141 C- 35% 221 +1.0 233
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.4 104 B- -2.3 88
1st FG Attempt B- 0.97 92
Second Chance C+ 29.1% 130 B+ 0.92 39 B 0.27 66
Turnovers C- 15.9% 234
Freethrows C 0.30 187 A 67% 10 C+ 0.20 115
Total Defense B- +3.0 93

Assists Blocks
Close Shots B 42% 58 B- 14.1% 65
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 23% 137 A- 9.6% 18
Three Pointers A 73% 9 D+ 0.5% 259
Total B 50% 62 B 7.4% 55

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.6 95 18.6 333
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 72 0.12 32
Improvement -3.2 #321 -3.9 #338

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 64 54 46
Results Rating Rank 96 69 57
Conference Record 2 - 16 4 - 14 5 - 13
Conference Finish 16 15 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 1% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 1% 0%
Average Seed 11.1 11.1 11.2
.500 or above 60% 84% 38%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 56% 31% 78%
First Four0% 1% 0%
First Round0% 1% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Mississippi (Away) - 47.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 31 - 11
Quad 23 - 35 - 13
Quad 33 - 27 - 15
Quad 49 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 230 Tarleton St. W 96 - 60 93% +19  96% 1 - 0 A+ +29 A+ +23 A+ A+ C+ A- +8 A+ B+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 206 New Orleans W 93 - 58 92% +17  99% 2 - 0 A+ +30 A- +10 B C+ A+ A+ +18 A+ A- F
 Thu, Nov 13 184 Florida International W 98 - 81 91% +10  90% 3 - 0 B+ +12 A- +11 C- A+ B C -0 B C F
 Tue, Nov 18 345 Alcorn St. W 107 - 81 98% +7  67% 4 - 0 B +10 A+ +20 D A+ B+ F -10 D- F D+
 Fri, Nov 21 239 Nebraska Omaha W 99 - 73 94% +16  99% 5 - 0 A +19 B+ +8 A+ F+ C A- +8 B- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 193 Drake W 71 - 62 87% +9  96% 6 - 0 B- +7 D -5 C F A A+ +12 A A+ F+
 Sat, Nov 29 93 DePaul W 96 - 63 66% +23  99% 7 - 0 A+ +39 A+ +27 A+ A+ D+ A+ +12 B- A+ B-
 Wed, Dec 3 139 @Boston College W 78 - 69 OT 72% +4  76% 8 - 0 B+ +13 C+ +2 D B B A +10 B A- B+
 Sun, Dec 7 14 Texas Tech L 58 - 82 21% -18  0% 8 - 1 D+ -5 F+ -10 F D+ A B +5 C+ A- A
 Sat, Dec 13 31 SMU W 89 - 77 33% +7  86% 9 - 1 A+ +27 A+ +25 A+ A+ C B- +3 C+ B- C+
 Fri, Dec 19 287 SE Louisiana W 78 - 65 96% +12  98% 10 - 1 C+ +3 A +11 A+ F+ A+ D- -7 C+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 22 331 Prairie View W 104 - 90 98% +2  64% 11 - 1 C -0 A+ +15 C- A+ A- F -17 F B- C-
 Mon, Dec 29 241 Southern Miss W 90 - 62 94% +14  96% 12 - 1 A +21 A +13 C+ A A+ A- +8 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 34 @Texas A&M L 72 - 75 24% -4  9% 12 - 2 0 - 1 B+ +14 C +2 C+ B D A+ +13 B- A A+
 Tue, Jan 6 92 South Carolina L 68 - 78 75% -16  0% 12 - 3 0 - 2 D+ -7 C +1 C C- F F+ -8 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 16 @Vanderbilt L 73 - 84 14% -11  0% 12 - 4 0 - 3 B +11 B +6 B+ C+ C B +5 B A+ D-
 Wed, Jan 14 25 Kentucky L 74 - 75 40% +8  89% 12 - 5 0 - 4 B+ +12 B+ +8 A+ B C- B +4 B+ A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 49 Missouri W 78 - 70 59% +7  99% 13 - 5 1 - 4 A- +16 A +14 C- A+ A+ B- +3 A+ D+ B-
 Tue, Jan 20 4 @Florida L 61 - 79 7% -10  7% 13 - 6 1 - 5 B +9 C+ +2 C A+ C+ B+ +5 A C+ C-
 Sat, Jan 24 17 @Arkansas L 81 - 85 15% +1  66% 13 - 7 1 - 6 A- +17 A +14 C A+ A B- +3 F A+ C
 Wed, Jan 28 74 Mississippi St. L 66 - 80 70% -18  0% 13 - 8 1 - 7 D -9 D -5 C C A- D -5 F D A+
 Sat, Jan 31 92 @South Carolina W 92 - 87 OT 55% +3  70% 14 - 8 2 - 7 B+ +14 A+ +15 A+ C C+ C -1 A F F
 Sat, Feb 7 32 Georgia L 71 - 83 44% -1  45% 14 - 9 2 - 8 C -0 C+ +3 D+ A D+ D+ -4 D- F+ B
 Tue, Feb 10 17 Arkansas L 62 - 91 31% -18  0% 14 - 10 2 - 9 D- -14 F -13 F D C- C+ +2 B- A B-
 Sat, Feb 14 15 @Tennessee L 63 - 73 14% -5  9% 14 - 11 2 - 10 B+ +12 A +12 B F+ A+ C- -2 A+ F D
 Tue, Feb 17 29 @Texas L 85 - 88 23% -6  18% 14 - 12 2 - 11 A- +15 A+ +15 A F+ A+ C -0 C- D D-
 Sat, Feb 21 18 Alabama L 83 - 90 31% -6  10% 14 - 13 2 - 12 B +8 A- +9 C+ A+ C C -1 A- C+ C-
 Wed, Feb 25 72 @Mississippi L 73 - 74 48%
 Sat, Feb 28 52 Oklahoma W 80 - 77 60%
 Tue, Mar 3 33 @Auburn L 76 - 83 25%
 Sat, Mar 7 34 Texas A&M L 80 - 81 46%
Totals 16 - 15 4 - 14 +10 B+ +7 C+ B C+ B- +3 C+ B+ B+



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B+ B C+ C+ B 44% 35% 37% C+ B B A- B+ B B B+ B+ B- B B C- B- 36% 22% 42% C+ B- C+ B+ B C- C A C+
1.19 64% 39% 35% +4 +1 1.10 35% 1.2 .41 14% .35 77% .27 1.04 53% 34% 35% -2 0 0.97 29% 0.9 .27 16% .30 67% .24
Nov
5		 Tarleton St. A+ A+ A A+ A+ 54% 10% 37% A A+ A A A+ C+ A+ B- A+ A- A A+ B+ A+ 43% 17% 40% F A+ B- A B+ F B- B B-
1.41 95% 50% 47% +28 +3 1.63 44% 1.3 .56 22% .55 76% .41 0.88 43% 11% 29% -14 +1 0.75 27% 0.8 .23 13% .30 72% .22
Nov
10		 New Orleans A- B F A B- 46% 11% 44% B+ B A- D C+ A+ A- B- A- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ 35% 23% 42% C A+ A+ D+ A- F A B+ A+
1.28 62% 0% 40% +2 +2 1.09 43% 0.9 .38 10% .43 75% .32 0.80 40% 8% 25% -19 -1 0.63 24% 1.1 .26 12% .27 71% .19
Nov
13		 Florida International A- A D+ F C 43% 25% 31% D C- B- A+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C B F A+ B+ 48% 13% 38% D- B C+ C- C F C A- B-
1.26 68% 38% 25% 0 0 1.02 39% 1.8 .68 18% .53 88% .47 1.04 52% 50% 26% -6 +2 0.93 31% 1.1 .33 13% .31 62% .19
Nov
18		 Alcorn St. A+ C- F F+ 61% 0% 39% A+ D A+ A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ F A- F D- F 27% 27% 46% B+ D- F F F D+ B+ A+ A+
1.47 61% 28% -2 +4 1.07 56% 1.6 .88 15% .63 79% .50 1.11 47% 53% 38% +4 -2 1.07 35% 1.3 .46 18% .18 45% .08
Nov
21		 Nebraska Omaha B+ A- A A+ A+ 38% 7% 55% B+ A+ D- F+ F+ C A- C+ B+ A- C+ F B+ C+ 28% 21% 52% B- B- C A+ A+ D+ F A+ B
1.28 71% 50% 45% +15 +2 1.36 23% 0.9 .20 14% .36 75% .27 0.94 56% 50% 30% -1 -1 0.98 26% 0.5 .13 15% .38 48% .18
Nov
28		 Drake D C A+ F D 62% 4% 35% A+ C F F F A B+ F+ B- A+ A+ F A A+ 32% 14% 54% D A A+ A+ A+ F+ A F+ A-
1.04 59% 50% 28% -2 +4 1.06 15% 0.6 .09 10% .36 64% .23 0.91 44% 50% 27% -9 0 0.86 14% 0.8 .12 10% .21 77% .16
Nov
29		 DePaul A+ A+ A+ B A+ 60% 13% 28% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A C+ 29% 27% 45% A- B- A+ A+ A+ B- F A+ C+
1.39 79% 67% 38% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.8 .74 22% .48 81% .39 0.91 43% 69% 27% -1 -1 0.98 22% 0.6 .14 19% .41 52% .21
Dec
3		 Boston College C+ C C F D+ 40% 33% 28% D- D B+ C+ B B C+ A+ A A B- A+ D+ B- 31% 27% 42% B- B B+ A A- B+ D- C- D
1.03 57% 37% 19% -7 -1 0.84 33% 0.9 .31 13% .30 85% .26 0.91 53% 27% 35% -4 -1 0.91 26% 0.8 .21 18% .34 67% .23
Dec
7		 Texas Tech F+ B- D F F+ 18% 44% 38% F F D+ C- D+ A B D C+ B B A+ F C+ 34% 19% 47% D+ C+ C A+ A- A D C+ D
0.82 60% 33% 19% -10 -4 0.73 20% 0.9 .18 13% .31 63% .19 1.16 56% 30% 48% +8 0 1.17 35% 0.8 .27 20% .32 72% .23
Dec
13		 SMU A+ B- A+ A+ A+ 42% 28% 30% C+ A+ A+ A+ A+ C D+ A+ C+ B- C+ D+ F B- 41% 27% 33% C C+ F+ A+ B- C+ C- A+ B+
1.38 62% 57% 47% +13 -1 1.26 43% 1.9 .83 19% .23 83% .19 1.20 60% 46% 44% +8 -1 1.16 43% 0.8 .35 16% .31 59% .18
Dec
19		 SE Louisiana A A+ F A+ A+ 34% 17% 49% C+ A+ D- D F+ A+ A+ D- A D- C F A+ C+ 33% 22% 45% C- C+ D+ F F D- B F+ C+
1.27 79% 29% 45% +13 0 1.29 24% 1.0 .24 13% .50 70% .36 1.06 56% 45% 23% -7 -1 0.88 30% 1.4 .42 15% .29 73% .21
Dec
22		 Prairie View A+ D+ A+ F+ D+ 53% 9% 38% A C- A A+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F D A+ F F 27% 31% 42% C+ F C+ B- B- C- F F F
1.39 54% 100% 29% +1 +3 1.09 47% 1.4 .63 15% .77 88% .67 1.20 62% 20% 60% +12 -2 1.21 21% 1.0 .21 15% .44 93% .41
Dec
29		 Southern Miss A A+ A- D+ B+ 20% 35% 44% F C+ C+ A+ A A+ B B- B A- C A+ A+ A 24% 49% 27% A+ A+ C A+ A+ F F B- F
1.28 82% 47% 33% +8 -3 1.11 29% 1.4 .41 9% .39 72% .28 0.88 58% 25% 23% -11 -5 0.71 31% 0.5 .15 14% .48 72% .35
Jan
3		 Texas A&M C A+ F C B- 33% 29% 38% D C+ D- A+ B D A- A A A+ F A+ B C+ 40% 16% 44% A- B- D- A+ A A+ D B D+
1.00 75% 21% 33% 0 -1 1.00 23% 1.4 .33 22% .36 80% .28 1.04 80% 13% 32% +3 +1 1.10 39% 0.5 .21 21% .37 71% .26
Jan
6		 South Carolina C F+ C B+ C 39% 22% 39% C+ C A+ F C- F C A+ B+ F+ A+ D F F 36% 23% 40% B F A A+ A+ F D+ B C-
1.07 47% 36% 37% -3 0 0.96 43% 0.6 .28 22% .28 86% .24 1.22 47% 45% 58% +12 -1 1.26 22% 0.7 .16 9% .36 76% .28
Jan
10		 Vanderbilt B D A+ C+ B 46% 19% 35% B+ B+ B- C- C+ C D+ D D B C- F A+ B+ 38% 15% 47% C- B C A+ A+ D- F C- F
1.02 50% 50% 33% -2 +1 1.00 29% 0.9 .26 20% .30 71% .21 1.18 65% 75% 24% +1 +1 1.06 32% 0.6 .19 10% .45 79% .36
Jan
14		 Kentucky B+ F A+ A+ A+ 38% 20% 43% B A+ C- A+ B C- A+ D- A+ B A A F B+ 35% 22% 43% B B+ A+ F A- D+ D B+ C-
1.11 33% 63% 53% +8 0 1.18 24% 1.1 .28 18% .51 68% .35 1.12 50% 27% 41% -1 0 1.00 22% 1.6 .34 13% .38 68% .26
Jan
17		 Missouri A B+ F C C- 28% 28% 43% D+ C- A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ B A+ B- C A+ A+ A+ 40% 23% 38% B+ A+ B+ F D+ B- F F F
1.26 62% 23% 35% -3 -2 0.93 43% 1.3 .57 11% .42 78% .33 1.13 63% 22% 27% -6 0 0.90 32% 1.4 .46 19% .60 80% .48
Jan
20		 Florida C+ B+ F+ F+ C+ 35% 43% 22% F+ C C A+ A+ C+ C D+ C- B+ F A+ A- A- 34% 22% 44% A+ A F A C+ C- F A+ C+
0.91 59% 29% 27% -6 -3 0.84 21% 1.4 .30 16% .27 67% .18 1.18 76% 18% 27% -3 0 0.96 51% 0.9 .45 15% .47 52% .25
Jan
24		 Arkansas A C+ B+ F B- 33% 40% 27% F C A A+ A+ A A+ A+ A+ B- F F F F 38% 24% 38% B F A+ A+ A+ C B- A+ A+
1.18 59% 43% 21% -3 -3 0.90 39% 1.5 .61 13% .42 88% .37 1.24 79% 67% 42% +19 0 1.40 26% 1.0 .26 12% .30 39% .12
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
28		 Mississippi St. D C- A+ F C- 44% 22% 34% A- C D A C A- A+ F C D D A+ F F 38% 19% 43% D F F A D A+ F C- F
0.97 55% 55% 18% -6 0 0.90 21% 1.3 .26 10% .38 52% .20 1.18 67% 22% 50% +10 0 1.23 45% 0.8 .38 24% .39 70% .27
Jan
31		 South Carolina A+ A+ F A+ A+ 41% 22% 37% C+ A+ C+ D C C+ A+ A+ A+ C A+ B- F+ A 34% 29% 38% A A F+ F F F F A F+
1.23 86% 8% 45% +11 0 1.24 31% 0.9 .28 15% .39 84% .33 1.16 37% 38% 38% -5 -1 0.89 35% 1.3 .45 8% .45 71% .32
Feb
7		 Georgia C+ A F F D 39% 17% 43% B- D+ A B+ A D+ A+ A+ A+ D+ D C+ F D- 40% 11% 49% C D- F+ D+ F+ B F A+ C+
1.08 67% 13% 25% -7 0 0.89 41% 1.0 .41 21% .46 83% .39 1.26 67% 40% 41% +9 +1 1.22 44% 1.1 .50 17% .44 54% .24
Feb
10		 Arkansas F F+ F F F 50% 15% 35% A- F A+ F D C- A+ D- A+ C+ D+ B A+ B+ 64% 16% 20% F B- A C+ A B- D- C D
0.83 46% 25% 11% -20 +2 0.65 43% 0.6 .27 19% .45 63% .28 1.22 69% 33% 27% +4 +2 1.15 27% 1.3 .33 13% .37 75% .28
Feb
14		 Tennessee A C- F A+ B+ 36% 21% 43% C+ B C- F F+ A+ B+ B- B+ C- A- B- B+ A+ 40% 28% 33% A- A+ D F F D F D F
1.08 53% 20% 40% -2 0 0.98 22% 0.5 .11 5% .34 68% .23 1.25 50% 36% 31% -5 -1 0.90 50% 1.4 .69 15% .46 74% .34
Feb
17		 Texas A+ D+ A+ A+ A 53% 29% 17% B- A D+ F F+ A+ D+ A+ C+ C C+ A- F D+ 44% 27% 29% B- C- A+ F D D- F A F
1.24 52% 59% 50% +7 0 1.16 21% 0.6 .12 7% .30 84% .25 1.28 60% 33% 54% +8 0 1.18 29% 1.9 .54 12% .56 68% .38
Feb
21		 Alabama A- B- F A C+ 38% 30% 32% C- C+ A+ A A+ C A B+ A+ C A+ D D+ A 35% 8% 56% C A- D A- C+ C- F D F
1.17 57% 18% 39% -4 -1 0.91 41% 1.2 .48 14% .36 73% .26 1.27 47% 50% 37% 0 +1 1.04 38% 1.0 .38 11% .59 81% .48



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.2 0.2 11th
12th 4.7 2.9 7.6 12th
13th 5.7 12.3 0.8 18.9 13th
14th 1.0 17.5 2.8 0.0 21.3 14th
15th 13.6 11.9 0.2 25.6 15th
16th 9.6 15.7 1.2 26.5 16th
Total 9.6 30.2 36.3 20.0 3.9 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12 3.9% 8.6% 0.3% 8.3% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 3.5 8.4%
5-13 20.0% 0.8% 0.1% 0.6% 11.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 19.9 0.6%
4-14 36.3% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 36.3 0.0%
3-15 30.2% 30.2
2-16 9.6% 9.6
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.5% 0.0% 0.5% 11.1 99.5 0.5%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.2% 40.0% 10.9 5.5 32.7 1.8
Lose Out 9.6%