LSU
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +11.9 #42
Expected Predictive Rating +11.4 #51
Pace 69.7 #172
Improvement -4.6 #355

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #41 B+ A- B+ A B-
Defense #65 B A- D+ B+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 44% #49 1.34 #28 +7.2 #13
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #214 0.82 #94 -0.5 #200
Three Pointers 38% #257 1.03 #170 -1.5 #240
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #47 +5.2 #51
Freethrows 19.9 #63 79% #14 15.8 #24
Second Chance 33.9% #96 1.22 #21 0.41 #36
Turnovers 14.4% #50
Total Offense +7.3 #41

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #277 1.03 #49 +4.1 #61
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #178 0.67 #83 +0.8 #142
Three Pointers 44% #90 1.01 #176 -1.6 #247
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #78 +3.3 #79
Freethrows 14.9 #60 67% #28 10.0 #330
Second Chance 28.4% #101 0.86 #18 0.25 #32
Turnovers 15.0% #281
Total Defense +4.6 #65

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #93 -0.5% #124
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.3% #50 -6.1% #75
Possession Length 16.3 #90 18.2 #308
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #106 0.12 #31
Improvement -2.4 #320 -2.2 #306

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 1.0% 3.2% 0.6%
Top 6 Seed 6.2% 14.8% 4.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 45.0% 67.0% 41.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 44.3% 66.2% 40.8%
Average Seed 8.7 8.1 8.9
.500 or above 93.5% 98.5% 92.7%
.500 or above in Conference 25.1% 46.4% 21.7%
Conference Champion 0.3% 1.2% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 13.7% 5.0% 15.1%
First Four9.7% 9.0% 9.8%
First Round40.1% 62.3% 36.6%
Second Round20.0% 33.9% 17.8%
Sweet Sixteen4.8% 10.5% 3.9%
Elite Eight1.6% 2.9% 1.3%
Final Four0.4% 0.8% 0.3%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Vanderbilt (Away) - 13.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 34 - 10
Quad 25 - 39 - 12
Quad 33 - 112 - 13
Quad 47 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 172 Tarleton St. W 96 - 60 92%  +19  1 - 0 +32 +24 A+ A+ C +9 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 236 New Orleans W 93 - 58 95%  +17  2 - 0 +28 +11 B+ C A+ +15 A+ A+ F
 Thu, Nov 13 164 Florida International W 98 - 81 92%  +10  3 - 0 +13 +13 C+ A+ B+ -1 A- B- F
 Tue, Nov 18 346 Alcorn St. W 107 - 81 99%  +7  4 - 0 +11 +22 D A+ B+ -13 D+ F D-
 Fri, Nov 21 257 Nebraska Omaha W 99 - 73 96%  +16  5 - 0 +17 +10 A+ F D+ +5 B- A+ D+
 Fri, Nov 28 169 Drake W 71 - 62 88%  +9  6 - 0 +8 -1 C F A+ +10 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Nov 29 102 DePaul W 96 - 63 75%  +23  7 - 0 +38 +30 A+ A+ F +8 B A+ B
 Wed, Dec 3 151 @Boston College W 78 - 69 OT 80%  +4  8 - 0 +12 +4 D+ C+ B- +8 C A- A-
 Sun, Dec 7 17 Texas Tech L 58 - 82 32%  -18  8 - 1 -7 -9 F D A+ +2 C+ A+ A+
 Sat, Dec 13 28 SMU W 89 - 77 40%  +7  9 - 1 +26 +28 A+ A+ C+ -1 C B C+
 Fri, Dec 19 260 SE Louisiana W 78 - 65 96%  +12  10 - 1 +4 +14 A+ F A+ -8 C+ F D-
 Mon, Dec 22 306 Prairie View W 104 - 90 97%  +2  11 - 1 +2 +19 C A+ A+ -17 F B- C-
 Mon, Dec 29 201 Southern Miss W 90 - 62 94%  +14  12 - 1 +23 +15 B- A+ A+ +8 A+ A+ F
 Sat, Jan 3 40 @Texas A&M L 72 - 75 36%  -4  12 - 2 0 - 1 +13 +4 C- C+ D +9 B A+ A+
 Tue, Jan 6 72 South Carolina L 68 - 78 75%  -16  12 - 3 0 - 2 -5 +4 C+ C F -10 F A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 7 @Vanderbilt L 74 - 85 14% 
 Wed, Jan 14 27 Kentucky W 77 - 76 50% 
 Sat, Jan 17 51 Missouri W 80 - 76 65% 
 Tue, Jan 20 12 @Florida L 72 - 81 19% 
 Sat, Jan 24 19 @Arkansas L 79 - 87 24% 
 Wed, Jan 28 55 Mississippi St. W 79 - 74 69% 
 Sat, Jan 31 72 @South Carolina W 74 - 73 53% 
 Sat, Feb 7 24 Georgia L 85 - 86 47% 
 Tue, Feb 10 19 Arkansas L 82 - 84 44% 
 Sat, Feb 14 16 @Tennessee L 69 - 78 21% 
 Tue, Feb 17 45 @Texas L 78 - 80 42% 
 Sat, Feb 21 13 Alabama L 85 - 88 37% 
 Wed, Feb 25 71 @Mississippi W 74 - 73 53% 
 Sat, Feb 28 48 Oklahoma W 79 - 75 65% 
 Tue, Mar 3 33 @Auburn L 77 - 82 32% 
 Sat, Mar 7 40 Texas A&M W 83 - 81 59% 
Totals 19 - 12 7 - 11 +12 +7 B+ A- B+ +5 B A- D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.5 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.5 3rd
4th 0.5 1.4 0.4 0.0 2.3 4th
5th 0.2 1.8 1.3 0.1 3.4 5th
6th 0.0 1.3 2.7 0.6 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.5 3.6 1.8 0.1 6.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.5 3.9 0.5 7.0 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 5.2 1.9 0.0 8.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 3.9 4.8 0.4 9.4 10th
11th 0.1 1.9 5.8 1.8 0.0 9.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 4.9 4.2 0.3 10.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 3.1 5.9 1.2 0.0 10.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.1 5.0 2.6 0.2 10.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 1.5 3.7 3.1 0.5 0.0 9.0 15th
16th 0.1 0.5 1.5 2.4 2.0 0.4 0.0 6.9 16th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.2 8.1 12.4 16.1 16.5 15.2 11.3 7.5 3.9 1.6 0.6 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 53.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 17.7% 0.1    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 3.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3 0.0% 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 17.9% 82.1% 3.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.6% 100.0% 12.4% 87.6% 4.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 1.6% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 5.5 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 3.9% 99.2% 5.2% 94.0% 6.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.1 1.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 99.2%
10-8 7.5% 97.0% 3.7% 93.3% 7.4 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.1 2.2 1.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 96.9%
9-9 11.3% 91.9% 2.1% 89.9% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 3.0 1.7 0.3 0.9 91.8%
8-10 15.2% 72.9% 0.9% 72.1% 9.7 0.1 0.3 1.2 2.7 4.4 2.5 0.0 4.1 72.7%
7-11 16.5% 43.8% 0.6% 43.2% 10.4 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.3 4.0 0.1 9.3 43.4%
6-12 16.1% 15.2% 0.3% 14.9% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.9 0.1 13.7 15.0%
5-13 12.4% 2.1% 0.2% 1.9% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.1 12.2 1.9%
4-14 8.1% 8.1
3-15 4.2% 4.2
2-16 1.7% 1.7
1-17 0.5% 0.5
0-18 0.1% 0.1
Total 100% 45.0% 1.3% 43.7% 8.7 55.0 44.3%