Maryland
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +4.4 104
Results Rating +6.4 88
Pace 67.2 220
Improvement +2.8 77

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 109 C- B C- B C+
Defense C+ 115 C B- C B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 261 C- 57% 202 -2.0 253
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% 258 C 38% 166 -1.2 242
Three Pointers 47% 61 C- 33% 235 +2.1 109
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ +0.2 169 C- -1.3 219
1st FG Attempt C- 1.00 203
Second Chance B+ 36.0% 40 C+ 1.07 122 B 0.38 49
Turnovers C- 17.6% 232
Freethrows B+ 0.36 38 C 72% 194 B 0.26 56
Total Offense C+ +2.5 109

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots D- 38% 328 C+ 10.5% 148
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 32% 85 B- 3.6% 78
Three Pointers F+ 74% 344 D+ 1.4% 300
Total D+ 50% 299 C+ 5.1% 116

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% 251 C+ 55% 109 -2.1 103
2 Pt. Jumpers 19% 221 B- 36% 102 -1.0 113
Three Pointers 44% 77 C- 35% 242 +2.6 306
Shot Selection/Accuracy C +0.1 176 C -0.5 162
1st FG Attempt C 1.01 161
Second Chance B 27.0% 65 C 1.02 172 B- 0.28 75
Turnovers C 16.7% 187
Freethrows B- 0.28 112 B- 70% 67 B- 0.20 94
Total Defense C+ +2.0 115

Assists Blocks
Close Shots D+ 52% 263 C 11.3% 154
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C+ 22% 114 C- 4.4% 200
Three Pointers B 79% 56 C+ 1.1% 125
Total C- 57% 217 C 5.5% 184

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.5 186 17.6 241
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 301 0.17 194
Improvement +2.7 #70 +0.1 #177

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 119 105 93
Results Rating Rank 106 88 76
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 6 - 14
Conference Finish 16 15 13
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 3% 0% 3%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Nebraska (Away) - 4.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 110 - 11
Quad 1b1 - 22 - 14
Quad 23 - 34 - 16
Quad 32 - 37 - 20
Quad 45 - 012 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 363 Coppin St. W 83 - 61 97% +13  96% 1 - 0 C+ +4 B- +4 D C C- C+ +1 F+ D A+
 Fri, Nov 7 71 Georgetown L 60 - 70 48% -10  0% 1 - 1 D+ -5 F -13 F B D A- +7 A+ B+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 345 Alcorn St. W 84 - 64 96% +12  98% 2 - 1 C+ +4 C- -1 C- C F B+ +5 D- B- A+
 Sat, Nov 15 88 @Marquette W 89 - 82 31% +3  65% 3 - 1 A- +16 A- +10 A D- A- B+ +6 A+ F C
 Wed, Nov 19 284 Mount St. Mary's W 95 - 90 OT 91% +2  58% 4 - 1 D+ -5 B +7 C+ B- C F -13 F D B-
 Mon, Nov 24 118 UNLV W 74 - 67 56% -0  39% 5 - 1 B +10 D -6 F+ A- F A+ +15 A+ A+ B-
 Tue, Nov 25 12 Gonzaga L 61 - 100 9% -19  0% 5 - 2 F -20 D -5 F+ A F F -15 F D+ A-
 Wed, Nov 26 18 Alabama L 72 - 105 10% -20  0% 5 - 3 F+ -15 D -5 C D- B D- -7 F F+ B+
 Tue, Dec 2 320 Wagner W 89 - 63 94% +9  88% 6 - 3 B+ +13 C+ +2 F B- B+ A +9 B+ A+ A
 Sat, Dec 6 26 @Iowa L 64 - 83 10% -15  2% 6 - 4 0 - 1 C -0 D+ -3 D- A- D- B- +3 C B C-
 Sat, Dec 13 1 Michigan L 83 - 101 5% -3  35% 6 - 5 0 - 2 B- +6 A+ +20 A+ A+ B- F -14 F A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 20 22 @Virginia L 72 - 80 8% -4  18% 6 - 6 B+ +12 A- +10 A+ A- F B- +2 B- A+ D-
 Sun, Dec 28 242 Old Dominion W 73 - 58 86% +18  97% 7 - 6 B- +8 D+ -4 C- D- B+ A+ +12 A B- B+
 Fri, Jan 2 89 Oregon L 54 - 64 54% -5  2% 7 - 7 0 - 3 D+ -7 F -15 F C- B- A- +7 C- A+ A
 Wed, Jan 7 38 Indiana L 66 - 84 27% -6  25% 7 - 8 0 - 4 D+ -7 D -5 D- B+ C C- -3 A- D B-
 Sat, Jan 10 37 @UCLA L 55 - 67 13% -9  17% 7 - 9 0 - 5 C+ +5 F+ -10 F A+ C A+ +14 A+ A F
 Tue, Jan 13 56 @USC L 71 - 88 21% -4  23% 7 - 10 0 - 6 C- -4 B +6 B+ D C F -10 D B+ F
 Sun, Jan 18 115 Penn St. W 96 - 73 66% +15  92% 8 - 10 1 - 6 A+ +23 A+ +25 A+ A+ B C -0 D- A+ F+
 Wed, Jan 21 5 @Illinois L 70 - 89 4% -12  18% 8 - 11 1 - 7 B- +7 B- +5 C A- A+ C+ +1 B+ B- D
 Sat, Jan 24 10 @Michigan St. L 48 - 91 6% -24  0% 8 - 12 1 - 8 F -21 F+ -9 D- C+ C F -17 F F F
 Sun, Feb 1 7 Purdue L 63 - 93 10% -18  0% 8 - 13 1 - 9 D- -12 C- -1 F+ A- C- F -13 B- F C
 Thu, Feb 5 36 Ohio St. L 62 - 82 25% -11  4% 8 - 14 1 - 10 D -9 C- -2 B+ A F F+ -9 C+ F D
 Sun, Feb 8 59 @Minnesota W 67 - 62 24% -1  29% 9 - 14 2 - 10 A- +17 A+ +17 A- A- C C+ +2 C- C+ C
 Wed, Feb 11 26 Iowa W 77 - 70 22% +2  63% 10 - 14 3 - 10 A +20 A+ +17 A+ A+ C B +4 A+ B- F
 Sun, Feb 15 111 @Rutgers L 57 - 68 43% -4  11% 10 - 15 3 - 11 C- -5 F -11 F C- B B+ +6 A C- C+
 Wed, Feb 18 69 @Northwestern L 74 - 78 26% -4  14% 10 - 16 3 - 12 B- +7 B+ +8 A+ D F C -1 D+ B- C
 Sat, Feb 21 48 Washington W 64 - 60 36% -0  46% 11 - 16 4 - 12 B+ +12 B +7 C A+ B B+ +6 C+ A+ F
 Wed, Feb 25 13 @Nebraska L 62 - 80 5%
 Sun, Mar 1 111 Rutgers W 75 - 71 65%
 Wed, Mar 4 30 @Wisconsin L 71 - 84 10%
 Sun, Mar 8 5 Illinois L 68 - 83 8%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 15 +4 C+ +2 B+ C- C+ C+ +2 C- C B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ C- C C- C- 36% 30% 47% C+ C- B+ C+ B C- B+ C B C+ C+ B- C- C 36% 19% 44% C C B C B- C B- B- B-
1.12 57% 38% 33% -1 0 1.00 36% 1.1 .38 18% .36 72% .26 1.06 55% 36% 35% -1 0 1.01 27% 1.0 .28 17% .28 70% .25
Nov
3		 Coppin St. B- A F D- D- 40% 6% 54% B+ D C- B- C C- A A+ A+ C+ A- D+ F D- 44% 18% 38% F F+ B- F D A+ C F+ D+
1.22 74% 0% 31% +1 +2 1.08 34% 1.2 .41 18% .44 92% .41 0.89 45% 38% 41% -2 +1 1.00 26% 1.3 .32 29% .33 75% .25
Nov
7		 Georgetown F F F F F 43% 15% 41% A F C- A+ B D A+ A A+ A- B A A+ A+ 46% 15% 39% F A+ A- C B+ B F C F
0.87 30% 29% 16% -25 +1 0.54 29% 1.3 .36 19% .66 81% .53 1.01 52% 29% 22% -11 +1 0.83 28% 1.1 .31 16% .53 74% .40
Nov
11		 Alcorn St. C- A+ D- D C 33% 13% 54% D+ C- A- F C F A+ C+ A+ B+ F A+ F F 26% 30% 44% A- D- C A- B- A+ B- B+ B
1.17 81% 33% 31% +5 +1 1.13 45% 1.0 .45 24% .49 74% .36 0.89 77% 20% 41% +4 -2 1.06 26% 0.8 .19 29% .22 64% .14
Nov
15		 Marquette A- A A+ C A 49% 10% 41% A A F A+ D- A- A+ A+ A+ B+ B+ F A+ A+ 42% 3% 55% C- A+ F F F C D+ C+ C-
1.15 68% 60% 33% +7 +2 1.20 14% 1.5 .21 17% .42 85% .36 1.06 50% 50% 24% -12 +3 0.84 39% 1.3 .49 14% .33 68% .23
Nov
19		 Mount St. Mary's B F A A+ C 40% 13% 47% B+ C+ B C- B- C A+ B+ A+ F F+ A+ F F 26% 16% 59% A- F F C+ D B- B C- B-
1.21 32% 50% 45% -1 +1 1.02 34% 1.0 .34 14% .70 79% .55 1.15 67% 11% 47% +10 0 1.21 35% 1.0 .35 24% .27 69% .18
Nov
24		 UNLV D D- A+ F F 37% 8% 55% B+ F+ A C+ A- F B- C C+ A+ A+ F B+ A+ 44% 9% 47% F A+ A A+ A+ B- C- B- C
1.01 50% 75% 22% -10 +2 0.86 40% 1.1 .45 27% .39 71% .28 0.92 42% 60% 31% -7 +2 0.91 25% 0.5 .13 18% .37 68% .25
Nov
25		 Gonzaga D F B+ F F 39% 26% 35% B F+ A+ B- A F A+ C A+ F F F F F 36% 9% 55% F F F A D+ A- B F C
0.87 33% 42% 25% -13 -1 0.74 35% 0.9 .33 26% .44 70% .31 1.43 79% 60% 45% +18 +1 1.42 46% 1.0 .46 17% .26 80% .21
Nov
26		 Alabama D F A+ B C- 39% 22% 39% B C C- F D- B F D F D- F A+ F F 43% 7% 50% D F D- D F+ B+ A- F+ B
0.94 32% 50% 36% -6 0 0.89 25% 0.6 .16 12% .16 64% .10 1.37 84% 0% 45% +17 +2 1.40 39% 1.3 .50 16% .28 83% .23
Dec
2		 Wagner C+ C F F F 50% 12% 38% B F A F+ B- B+ A+ C- A+ A B+ D+ A+ B+ 33% 23% 44% C+ B+ A A+ A+ A D F F
1.20 58% 17% 25% -8 +2 0.90 42% 0.9 .38 11% .68 71% .49 0.85 47% 42% 26% -8 -1 0.85 24% 0.7 .16 24% .32 83% .27
Dec
6		 Iowa D+ F F B+ D- 38% 23% 40% C- D- A C+ A- D- A+ F A+ B- A F F C- 46% 25% 30% B C A+ F B C- A+ A+ A+
0.91 47% 11% 38% -8 0 0.85 35% 1.0 .35 26% .73 63% .46 1.18 50% 64% 47% +9 0 1.19 24% 1.3 .29 14% .20 50% .10
Dec
13		 Michigan A+ C B A+ A+ 27% 29% 44% C A+ A A+ A+ B- C+ D+ C F C F F F 57% 8% 36% D F A+ A A+ D+ C+ F D
1.19 50% 40% 43% +5 -2 1.08 35% 1.6 .58 17% .22 69% .16 1.45 63% 50% 63% +20 +3 1.47 25% 1.2 .29 13% .36 86% .31
Dec
20		 Virginia A- B- C A+ A+ 21% 26% 53% C- A+ A+ F A- F A+ C- A+ B- C+ A+ D- B 53% 13% 34% D B- C A+ A+ D- D A+ C
1.07 56% 36% 43% +7 -2 1.12 49% 0.7 .34 28% .46 73% .33 1.19 57% 29% 39% +1 +2 1.08 40% 0.6 .25 12% .35 62% .22
Dec
28		 Old Dominion D+ F F A+ C 33% 20% 47% D+ C- F B+ D- B+ F+ A D+ A+ C- A A+ A 29% 37% 33% A A D A+ B- B+ D- A+ C-
1.07 50% 18% 42% -1 0 1.00 21% 1.1 .24 12% .28 82% .23 0.85 60% 26% 24% -9 -3 0.78 28% 0.8 .23 19% .35 63% .22
Jan
2		 Oregon F F B F F 28% 21% 51% C+ F B- D- C- B- C- B- C A- C- F B- C- 48% 14% 38% D C- A+ B+ A+ A F A+ C-
0.83 27% 45% 19% -19 -1 0.62 33% 0.8 .24 15% .26 79% .20 0.99 60% 50% 31% +1 +1 1.07 25% 1.0 .25 22% .41 62% .26
Jan
7		 Indiana D A- A- F F+ 37% 22% 41% B D- B A- B+ C C- F D C- B- F B+ A 52% 2% 46% F A- F A- D B- F F+ F
0.96 63% 45% 10% -12 0 0.78 31% 1.3 .38 16% .29 65% .19 1.22 58% 100% 30% -1 +3 1.06 40% 0.9 .37 16% .45 85% .38
Jan
10		 UCLA F+ D- F F F 29% 23% 48% C- F A+ A+ A+ C C F D- A+ B- B- A+ A+ 35% 30% 35% C+ A+ A+ F A F F A+ D-
0.84 50% 18% 9% -25 -1 0.50 45% 1.2 .55 20% .29 60% .17 1.02 56% 36% 25% -6 -2 0.87 15% 1.8 .27 9% .45 67% .30
Jan
13		 USC B F+ A+ B+ A 21% 35% 44% F B+ F A+ D C A+ B- A+ F F B- C+ D 39% 19% 42% D+ D D A+ B+ F A+ D+ A+
1.05 44% 53% 37% +4 -3 1.05 15% 1.3 .19 18% .48 78% .38 1.30 77% 36% 33% +7 0 1.16 39% 0.8 .30 9% .26 75% .19
Jan
18		 Penn St. A+ C F A+ A+ 24% 14% 63% C- A+ A+ B- A+ B A D- A- C D- B F F+ 35% 17% 48% C+ D- A+ A A+ F+ D+ A C+
1.47 58% 29% 53% +17 0 1.35 41% 1.3 .55 17% .31 71% .22 1.11 69% 38% 41% +9 0 1.20 13% 1.0 .13 11% .36 67% .24
Jan
21		 Illinois B- A+ C- F+ B- 15% 36% 49% D- C C- A+ A- A+ A F C+ C+ B+ F C B 17% 19% 64% A+ B+ C+ C+ B- D F A F
1.03 78% 33% 28% -3 -4 0.88 22% 1.4 .32 7% .25 50% .13 1.31 56% 50% 35% +3 -1 1.06 41% 1.2 .49 10% .46 71% .33
Jan
24		 Michigan St. F+ B- B- F D+ 14% 37% 49% F D- B+ D+ C+ C D F F F F F F F 24% 39% 37% A+ F B F F F C C+ C+
0.77 57% 39% 21% -9 -4 0.76 26% 0.7 .17 18% .21 55% .12 1.45 82% 50% 47% +18 -3 1.30 38% 1.9 .71 13% .35 74% .26
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Feb
1		 Purdue C- F D C- F 36% 27% 36% B- F+ C+ A+ A- C- A+ A+ A+ F B C- F B- 33% 15% 52% D B- C F F C F F+ F
0.98 38% 33% 31% -10 -1 0.80 24% 1.5 .35 19% .48 76% .36 1.44 60% 43% 42% +7 0 1.17 38% 1.7 .66 12% .44 80% .35
Feb
5		 Ohio St. C- A+ A D+ B+ 24% 20% 56% B- B+ A B A F B F D F+ C F C+ C+ 41% 29% 29% C C+ C+ F F D F A+ F
1.01 70% 50% 30% +2 -1 1.05 39% 1.1 .43 26% .33 53% .18 1.33 65% 58% 33% +8 -1 1.17 35% 1.8 .62 13% .56 60% .34
Feb
8		 Minnesota A+ A+ A+ F A 22% 27% 51% D A- A- A- A- C A+ C- A+ C+ A+ F F C 24% 2% 73% D+ C- C C+ C+ C B A+ A
1.22 78% 73% 24% +6 -2 1.10 34% 1.0 .34 18% .38 71% .27 1.13 40% 100% 40% +4 +1 1.12 30% 1.0 .30 16% .31 57% .17
Feb
11		 Iowa A+ A+ A+ B- A+ 37% 15% 49% B- A+ A+ B+ A+ C A+ D- A+ B D+ A A+ A+ 42% 12% 46% D+ A+ B- B- B- F B C B
1.24 80% 50% 35% +11 +1 1.24 42% 1.1 .46 23% .58 68% .39 1.13 67% 33% 26% -2 +1 1.00 31% 1.0 .31 6% .29 76% .22
Feb
15		 Rutgers F C- F F F 31% 20% 49% C F B+ F C- B C- F F B+ A+ B- B+ A- 22% 41% 37% A+ A B+ F C- C+ F F+ F
0.88 56% 10% 28% -10 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11 1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35
Feb
18		 Northwestern B+ B- A+ A- A+ 41% 11% 48% A- A+ A F D F A+ A+ A+ C A+ B+ F D+ 41% 20% 39% D+ D+ A+ F B- C F A+ D+
1.12 61% 60% 38% +7 +1 1.18 42% 0.5 .23 23% .41 86% .35 1.18 42% 33% 56% +5 0 1.13 21% 1.7 .34 12% .43 64% .28
Feb
21		 Washington B B+ F A+ C+ 31% 33% 36% D+ C A+ B+ A+ B D+ B C- B+ F F+ A+ C+ 31% 25% 44% C C+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F A+
1.13 64% 7% 44% -3 -2 0.91 42% 1.1 .48 14% .23 73% .16 1.06 80% 50% 24% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.5 .08 11% .14 100% .14



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 0.1 0.0 0.1 11th
12th 0.3 0.4 0.0 0.8 12th
13th 0.4 3.6 0.5 4.5 13th
14th 34.7 9.1 0.2 43.9 14th
15th 9.6 19.5 0.2 29.3 15th
16th 16.1 2.4 18.5 16th
17th 2.8 0.0 2.8 17th
18th 0.0 0.0 18th
Total 28.5 57.1 13.2 1.2 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.1% 0.1
7-13 1.2% 1.2
6-14 13.2% 13.2
5-15 57.1% 57.1
4-16 28.5% 28.5
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 28.5%