Ohio St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +13.6 #36
Expected Predictive Rating +12.5 #47
Pace 67.7 #215
Improvement -0.7 #227

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #22 A- B- B- A- D+
Defense #69 B C+ C C A-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #250 1.45 #4 +3.8 #61
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #98 1.00 #3 +4.5 #18
Three Pointers 40% #215 1.04 #132 -0.2 #184
1st FG Attempt 1.18 #16 +8.1 #14
Freethrows 0.35 #41 78% #17 0.27 #19
Second Chance 35.1% #63 1.04 #162 0.36 #78
Turnovers 15.0% #83
Total Offense +9.6 #22

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 31% #342 1.08 #80 +5.6 #27
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #18 0.80 #268 -3.5 #360
Three Pointers 41% #191 0.88 #27 +3.0 #67
1st FG Attempt 0.92 #43 +5.0 #43
Freethrows 0.28 #127 75% #299 0.21 #156
Second Chance 28.7% #102 1.01 #151 0.29 #115
Turnovers 16.7% #179
Total Defense +4.0 #69

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.3% #272 -3.0% #16
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 17.4% #6 -7.0% #57
Possession Length 16.4 #93 18.5 #334
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.14 #249 0.10 #23
Improvement +1.8 #87 -2.5 #313

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Top 6 Seed 3.5% 4.3% 1.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 59.0% 63.2% 47.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 58.7% 62.9% 46.9%
Average Seed 9.2 9.1 9.5
.500 or above 98.5% 99.5% 95.7%
.500 or above in Conference 71.8% 79.7% 49.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four13.6% 13.4% 14.4%
First Round53.1% 57.4% 40.6%
Second Round26.0% 28.8% 17.7%
Sweet Sixteen6.4% 7.3% 4.0%
Elite Eight2.4% 2.8% 1.3%
Final Four0.8% 0.9% 0.4%
Championship Game0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Maryland (Away) - 74.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 11 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 81 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 11
Quad 26 - 29 - 13
Quad 35 - 014 - 13
Quad 46 - 020 - 13


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 340 IU Indianapolis W 118 - 102 99% +13  1 - 0 +1 +14 A+ C C- -16 F+ D D+
 Fri, Nov 7 216 Purdue Fort Wayne W 94 - 68 96% +14  2 - 0 +20 +15 A+ B- F +4 A- D+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 172 Appalachian St. W 75 - 53 94% +6  3 - 0 +18 +13 C- A A+ +8 A D C-
 Sun, Nov 16 81 Notre Dame W 64 - 63 82% -3  4 - 0 +5 -4 C F C +9 B A+ B+
 Thu, Nov 20 273 Western Michigan W 91 - 58 97% +25  5 - 0 +24 +8 A- D+ D- +14 A+ B A-
 Tue, Nov 25 289 Mount St. Mary's W 113 - 60 98% +25  6 - 0 +43 +33 A+ A+ B+ +8 B- A+ F
 Fri, Nov 28 93 @Pittsburgh L 66 - 67 67% -4  6 - 1 +8 +1 C C+ D +6 B+ A+ F
 Sat, Dec 6 63 @Northwestern W 86 - 82 57% +0  7 - 1 1 - 0 +16 +16 A+ C B- -0 B+ F A+
 Tue, Dec 9 7 Illinois L 80 - 88 33% -4  7 - 2 1 - 1 +10 +13 B+ A A -3 C A+ C
 Sat, Dec 13 57 West Virginia W 89 - 88 2OT 66% -4  8 - 2 +10 +9 D+ A+ A+ +1 C B- B-
 Sat, Dec 20 29 North Carolina L 70 - 71 44% -4  8 - 3 +14 +8 B- D+ A+ +6 A B- D+
 Tue, Dec 23 287 Grambling St. W 89 - 63 98% +13  9 - 3 +16 +17 A+ F+ D+ -0 A F B-
 Fri, Jan 2 114 @Rutgers W 80 - 73 76% -1  10 - 3 2 - 1 +13 +20 A+ C+ C- -6 C+ D- D+
 Mon, Jan 5 13 Nebraska L 69 - 72 43% -5  10 - 4 2 - 2 +12 +6 A F A+ +6 A A A-
 Thu, Jan 8 82 @Oregon W 72 - 62 65% +8  11 - 4 3 - 2 +20 +12 C+ A+ F+ +9 A+ B F
 Sun, Jan 11 41 @Washington L 74 - 81 44% -0  11 - 5 3 - 3 +8 +15 B B C -7 C B- F+
 Sat, Jan 17 35 UCLA W 86 - 74 60% +9  12 - 5 4 - 3 +23 +29 A A+ A- -4 B B- F
 Tue, Jan 20 76 Minnesota W 82 - 74 OT 80% +2  13 - 5 5 - 3 +13 +12 B+ A+ A +1 B+ B+ D-
 Fri, Jan 23 1 @Michigan L 62 - 74 9% -2  13 - 6 5 - 4 +16 +9 B A- C- +6 A+ F A+
 Mon, Jan 26 112 Penn St. W 84 - 78 89% +8  14 - 6 6 - 4 +6 +10 A+ F A+ -4 C- F A+
 Sat, Jan 31 37 @Wisconsin L 82 - 92 39% -4  14 - 7 6 - 5 +7 +15 C A- A+ -9 D+ B- F
 Thu, Feb 5 107 @Maryland W 80 - 73 74%
 Sun, Feb 8 1 Michigan L 77 - 85 22%
 Wed, Feb 11 48 USC W 81 - 76 68%
 Sat, Feb 14 25 Virginia L 74 - 77 41%
 Tue, Feb 17 37 Wisconsin W 82 - 79 62%
 Sun, Feb 22 10 @Michigan St. L 67 - 77 19%
 Wed, Feb 25 21 @Iowa L 70 - 76 27%
 Sun, Mar 1 8 Purdue L 75 - 79 34%
 Wed, Mar 4 112 @Penn St. W 83 - 76 75%
 Sat, Mar 7 30 Indiana W 79 - 77 56%
Totals 19 - 12 10 - 10 +14 +10 A- B- B- +4 B C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.4 0.4 0.0 0.9 4th
5th 0.8 2.6 0.6 4.0 5th
6th 1.0 5.3 2.7 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.3 5.5 6.3 0.5 12.7 7th
8th 0.0 2.6 9.7 2.2 0.0 14.6 8th
9th 0.9 9.9 6.1 0.3 17.1 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 6.6 9.8 1.4 0.0 18.2 10th
11th 0.2 3.4 8.0 2.9 0.1 14.6 11th
12th 0.1 1.5 3.9 2.2 0.1 7.8 12th
13th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.8 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.2 2.3 7.9 17.8 25.6 23.7 14.9 6.3 1.2 0.1 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.0%
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 1.2% 100.0% 3.2% 96.8% 6.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-7 6.3% 96.9% 2.0% 94.9% 7.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 1.8 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.2 96.8%
12-8 14.9% 91.9% 0.9% 91.0% 8.5 0.0 0.2 0.6 2.1 3.8 3.7 2.5 0.8 1.2 91.8%
11-9 23.7% 78.4% 0.9% 77.5% 9.4 0.0 0.2 0.9 2.9 5.1 6.0 3.4 0.1 5.1 78.2%
10-10 25.6% 56.3% 0.5% 55.8% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.0 2.5 4.5 5.9 0.1 11.2 56.1%
9-11 17.8% 24.7% 0.1% 24.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 3.1 0.2 13.4 24.7%
8-12 7.9% 6.2% 0.1% 6.1% 11.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 7.4 6.1%
7-13 2.3% 1.1% 1.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 2.2 1.1%
6-14 0.2% 0.2
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 59.0% 0.7% 58.3% 9.2 41.0 58.7%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%