South Carolina
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+8.5#62
Expected Predictive Rating+7.2#83
Pace65.0#282
Improvement+3.6#22

Offense
Total Offense+4.2#68
First Shot+1.0#146
After Offensive Rebound+3.1#24
Layup/Dunks+0.6#159
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.9#289
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#154
Freethrows+1.6#86
Improvement+2.5#33

Defense
Total Defense+4.3#65
First Shot+2.6#99
After Offensive Rebounds+1.7#60
Layups/Dunks-2.1#267
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.4#235
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#38
Freethrows+1.3#84
Improvement+1.0#108
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 1.9% 1.9% 0.5%
NCAA Tourney Bid 17.0% 17.5% 8.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 16.9% 17.3% 8.0%
Average Seed 8.8 8.8 9.2
.500 or above 46.3% 47.6% 21.8%
.500 or above in Conference 10.7% 11.0% 6.5%
Conference Champion 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 33.3% 32.8% 44.1%
First Four3.9% 4.0% 2.2%
First Round15.0% 15.4% 6.6%
Second Round6.9% 7.2% 2.9%
Sweet Sixteen1.9% 2.0% 0.7%
Elite Eight0.6% 0.6% 0.3%
Final Four0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Presbyterian (Home) - 94.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 92 - 9
Quad 1b2 - 44 - 13
Quad 23 - 27 - 15
Quad 32 - 09 - 15
Quad 46 - 116 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 207   North Florida L 71-74 90%     0 - 1 -8.3 -7.3 -1.0
  Nov 08, 2024 253   South Carolina St. W 86-64 93%     1 - 1 +14.0 +9.0 +4.5
  Nov 12, 2024 209   Towson W 80-54 90%     2 - 1 +20.6 +7.8 +13.1
  Nov 16, 2024 51   @ Indiana L 71-87 31%     2 - 2 -2.5 +2.7 -4.8
  Nov 21, 2024 235   Mercer W 84-72 92%     3 - 2 +4.9 +9.0 -3.9
  Nov 25, 2024 49   Xavier L 66-75 42%     3 - 3 +1.5 -3.1 +4.7
  Nov 27, 2024 138   Virginia Tech W 70-60 75%     4 - 3 +11.3 +5.9 +6.5
  Dec 03, 2024 167   @ Boston College W 73-51 72%     5 - 3 +24.6 +5.9 +20.1
  Dec 07, 2024 182   East Carolina W 75-68 88%     6 - 3 +3.0 +13.9 -9.6
  Dec 14, 2024 342   South Carolina Upstate W 73-53 97%     7 - 3 +5.5 -3.8 +9.9
  Dec 17, 2024 37   Clemson W 91-88 OT 48%     8 - 3 +12.0 +16.1 -4.3
  Dec 22, 2024 214   Radford W 74-48 90%     9 - 3 +20.3 +4.4 +18.4
  Dec 30, 2024 268   Presbyterian W 78-61 95%    
  Jan 04, 2025 24   @ Mississippi St. L 67-76 20%    
  Jan 08, 2025 9   Alabama L 76-82 27%    
  Jan 11, 2025 1   Auburn L 69-81 13%    
  Jan 15, 2025 50   @ Vanderbilt L 72-77 32%    
  Jan 18, 2025 35   @ Oklahoma L 68-75 27%    
  Jan 22, 2025 7   Florida L 71-79 24%    
  Jan 25, 2025 24   Mississippi St. L 70-73 40%    
  Jan 28, 2025 36   @ Georgia L 66-73 28%    
  Feb 01, 2025 25   Texas A&M L 66-69 41%    
  Feb 08, 2025 16   @ Kentucky L 72-82 18%    
  Feb 12, 2025 28   Mississippi L 70-72 43%    
  Feb 15, 2025 7   @ Florida L 68-82 11%    
  Feb 18, 2025 56   @ LSU L 70-74 36%    
  Feb 22, 2025 33   Texas L 69-70 46%    
  Feb 25, 2025 54   @ Missouri L 71-75 34%    
  Mar 01, 2025 31   Arkansas L 72-73 45%    
  Mar 04, 2025 36   Georgia L 69-70 48%    
  Mar 08, 2025 3   @ Tennessee L 60-75 9%    
Projected Record 15 - 16 5 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.3 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.2 0.0 1.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.2 0.9 0.5 0.1 1.6 5th
6th 0.1 0.9 1.1 0.2 2.2 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 1.7 0.6 0.0 2.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.8 1.6 0.2 0.0 3.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.1 0.6 0.0 4.7 9th
10th 0.3 3.1 2.3 0.1 5.8 10th
11th 0.1 2.0 4.3 0.8 0.0 7.2 11th
12th 0.0 1.0 4.9 2.7 0.1 8.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 4.2 5.2 0.7 0.0 10.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.6 3.6 6.4 2.1 0.1 12.7 14th
15th 0.1 1.0 4.2 7.2 3.8 0.4 0.0 16.6 15th
16th 0.7 3.0 6.0 7.1 3.9 0.7 0.0 21.4 16th
Total 0.7 3.0 7.0 11.9 15.2 16.0 14.9 11.8 8.7 5.2 3.0 1.5 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 37.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 13.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.1% 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.1% 100.0% 6.5% 93.5% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.2% 100.0% 3.3% 96.7% 5.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
12-6 0.6% 99.7% 3.4% 96.3% 5.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7%
11-7 1.5% 98.8% 2.8% 96.0% 6.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 98.8%
10-8 3.0% 95.1% 0.9% 94.2% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.8 1.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.1 95.1%
9-9 5.2% 85.5% 0.5% 85.0% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.3 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.8 85.5%
8-10 8.7% 54.1% 0.2% 53.9% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.8 1.7 1.7 0.1 4.0 54.0%
7-11 11.8% 17.9% 0.2% 17.7% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 0.2 9.7 17.7%
6-12 14.9% 2.6% 0.0% 2.6% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.1 14.5 2.6%
5-13 16.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.1 0.0 0.0 16.0 0.1%
4-14 15.2% 15.2
3-15 11.9% 11.9
2-16 7.0% 7.0
1-17 3.0% 3.0
0-18 0.7% 0.7
Total 100% 17.0% 0.2% 16.8% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 1.0 2.0 3.1 3.1 3.1 3.5 0.3 83.0 16.9%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.1%