Syracuse
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +8.4 #69
Expected Predictive Rating +8.2 #74
Pace 69.7 #175
Improvement -0.8 #230

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #98 B- C+ B C C+
Defense #56 A+ D+ B+ B- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #101 1.26 #76 +4.0 #56
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #187 0.71 #234 -0.7 #209
Three Pointers 39% #234 1.06 #123 -0.4 #196
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #102 +2.9 #103
Freethrows 20.2 #53 64% #352 12.9 #166
Second Chance 33.0% #117 1.06 #169 0.35 #121
Turnovers 14.7% #66
Total Offense +3.2 #98

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #119 0.97 #18 +2.6 #90
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #116 0.50 #2 +2.1 #43
Three Pointers 37% #284 0.90 #53 +4.1 #45
1st FG Attempt 0.84 #6 +8.9 #6
Freethrows 15.2 #72 72% #154 10.9 #291
Second Chance 30.6% #167 1.18 #316 0.36 #275
Turnovers 19.2% #56
Total Defense +5.1 #56

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.6% #149 -0.1% #158
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 5.1% #105 -17.4% #5
Possession Length 16.4 #95 18.0 #298
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #64 0.15 #116
Improvement +0.2 #172 -1.0 #244

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 11.7% 17.6% 7.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 11.3% 16.9% 6.9%
Average Seed 9.9 9.8 10.0
.500 or above 71.0% 84.2% 60.7%
.500 or above in Conference 35.3% 50.6% 23.4%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 0.6% 4.3%
First Four4.7% 6.7% 3.2%
First Round9.1% 14.0% 5.3%
Second Round3.4% 5.3% 1.9%
Sweet Sixteen0.5% 0.8% 0.3%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Pittsburgh (Away) - 43.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 33 - 10
Quad 24 - 36 - 13
Quad 33 - 29 - 15
Quad 48 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 359 Binghamton W 85 - 47 98%  +19  1 - 0 +20 +4 D+ B+ A+ +16 A+ F A+
 Sat, Nov 8 352 Delaware St. W 83 - 43 98%  +23  2 - 0 +24 +6 A C+ C+ +17 A+ F B
 Sat, Nov 15 248 Drexel W 80 - 50 89%  +10  3 - 0 +25 +13 A- B- A +15 A+ B A+
 Tue, Nov 18 194 Monmouth W 78 - 73 89%  +5  4 - 0 -0 +3 C+ B- C+ -3 B- C+ C+
 Mon, Nov 24 11 Houston L 74 - 78 OT 15%  -2  4 - 1 +15 +6 A D+ A+ +9 A+ F A
 Tue, Nov 25 18 Kansas L 60 - 71 22%  -7  4 - 2 +6 +1 F A- A+ +4 A+ F A+
 Wed, Nov 26 3 Iowa St. L 64 - 95 9%  -11  4 - 3 -8 +2 B D- D -9 F A- D+
 Tue, Dec 2 16 Tennessee W 62 - 60 28%  +2  5 - 3 +17 -2 B+ D F +18 A+ A+ A+
 Thu, Dec 11 185 Saint Joseph's W 71 - 63 89%  +2  6 - 3 +3 -2 C- C+ B +6 A+ C A-
 Sat, Dec 13 109 Hofstra L 69 - 70 75%  -0  6 - 4 +0 +10 A- A- C -10 D F C
 Wed, Dec 17 307 Mercyhurst W 76 - 62 96%  +13  7 - 4 +2 -2 C A+ F +4 B- D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 20 233 Northeastern W 91 - 83 92%  +7  8 - 4 +1 +13 A+ B- B+ -12 D+ F C+
 Mon, Dec 22 340 Stonehill W 77 - 48 97%  +12  9 - 4 +14 +10 A- C A +8 A+ F A-
 Wed, Dec 31 39 Clemson L 61 - 64 44%  -4  9 - 5 0 - 1 +7 -2 B F F +9 B+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 114 @Georgia Tech W 82 - 72 57%  +9  10 - 5 1 - 1 +17 +9 C A+ F +7 A+ C- F
 Sat, Jan 10 82 @Pittsburgh L 70 - 72 44% 
 Tue, Jan 13 111 Florida St. W 83 - 76 74% 
 Sat, Jan 17 151 @Boston College W 71 - 66 69% 
 Wed, Jan 21 68 Virginia Tech W 75 - 72 60% 
 Sat, Jan 24 36 Miami (FL) L 74 - 76 41% 
 Tue, Jan 27 34 @North Carolina St. L 71 - 79 22% 
 Sat, Jan 31 59 Notre Dame W 70 - 68 59% 
 Mon, Feb 2 26 @North Carolina L 69 - 79 18% 
 Sat, Feb 7 22 @Virginia L 67 - 78 17% 
 Wed, Feb 11 84 California W 75 - 71 66% 
 Sat, Feb 14 28 SMU L 76 - 79 39% 
 Mon, Feb 16 6 @Duke L 66 - 82 8% 
 Sat, Feb 21 26 North Carolina L 72 - 76 37% 
 Sat, Feb 28 62 @Wake Forest L 73 - 77 37% 
 Tue, Mar 3 15 @Louisville L 72 - 84 14% 
 Sat, Mar 7 82 Pittsburgh W 73 - 69 65% 
Totals 17 - 14 8 - 10 +8 +3 B- C+ B +5 A+ D+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.5 0.0 0.0 1.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.8 1.1 0.2 0.0 2.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.8 0.0 3.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.1 2.0 2.2 0.2 4.5 6th
7th 0.0 1.2 3.8 0.9 0.0 6.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 4.0 3.1 0.2 7.7 8th
9th 0.1 2.5 5.3 1.0 0.0 8.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.0 5.8 2.9 0.1 9.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.3 4.0 5.6 0.7 10.6 11th
12th 0.0 1.7 6.1 2.4 0.0 10.3 12th
13th 0.5 4.4 4.6 0.4 9.9 13th
14th 0.1 2.3 5.3 1.2 0.0 8.9 14th
15th 0.1 1.0 4.0 2.3 0.2 0.0 7.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 2.1 2.0 0.3 0.0 4.8 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.2 0.3 0.0 2.6 17th
18th 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.2 1.0 18th
Total 0.1 0.5 1.7 4.6 9.1 14.3 17.2 17.2 14.3 10.6 6.1 2.9 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2
15-3 52.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 32.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 1.8% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2
15-3 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 97.8% 2.2% 95.7% 7.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.8%
13-5 1.1% 86.3% 4.0% 82.4% 8.5 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.2 85.8%
12-6 2.9% 75.1% 3.3% 71.8% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.7 74.3%
11-7 6.1% 49.3% 1.6% 47.7% 9.9 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.2 0.9 3.1 48.5%
10-8 10.6% 29.8% 1.1% 28.7% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.6 0.0 7.4 29.0%
9-9 14.3% 12.0% 0.5% 11.5% 10.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 0.1 12.6 11.6%
8-10 17.2% 2.1% 0.3% 1.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.0 16.8 1.8%
7-11 17.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 11.0 0.1 17.1 0.2%
6-12 14.3% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 14.3 0.0%
5-13 9.1% 0.1% 0.1% 13.0 0.0 9.1
4-14 4.6% 4.6
3-15 1.7% 1.7
2-16 0.5% 0.5
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 11.7% 0.5% 11.2% 9.9 88.3 11.3%