Texas Tech
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+14.9#18
Expected Predictive Rating+8.7#70
Pace66.3#251
Improvement+1.1#116

Offense
Total Offense+8.9#12
First Shot+7.8#18
After Offensive Rebound+1.1#113
Layup/Dunks-1.1#222
2 Pt Jumpshots+3.1#36
3 Pt Jumpshots+6.2#25
Freethrows-0.3#199
Improvement-0.4#204

Defense
Total Defense+6.0#38
First Shot+5.4#37
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#128
Layups/Dunks+8.2#11
2 Pt Jumpshots-5.1#358
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.1#184
Freethrows+2.1#48
Improvement+1.5#72
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
#1 Seed 1.6% 1.8% 0.5%
Top 2 Seed 5.0% 5.7% 1.2%
Top 4 Seed 17.9% 19.8% 7.9%
Top 6 Seed 36.2% 39.1% 20.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 79.8% 82.3% 66.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 78.4% 81.0% 64.4%
Average Seed 6.6 6.5 7.5
.500 or above 97.7% 98.5% 93.3%
.500 or above in Conference 81.5% 84.7% 63.5%
Conference Champion 7.4% 8.4% 2.2%
Last Place in Conference 0.5% 0.2% 1.9%
First Four4.6% 4.3% 6.3%
First Round77.9% 80.6% 63.2%
Second Round54.4% 57.0% 40.1%
Sweet Sixteen25.5% 27.2% 16.3%
Elite Eight11.7% 12.5% 7.0%
Final Four5.1% 5.5% 2.9%
Championship Game2.1% 2.3% 1.1%
National Champion0.9% 0.9% 0.5%

Next Game: Central Florida (Home) - 84.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 26 - 8
Quad 26 - 212 - 10
Quad 34 - 116 - 11
Quad 46 - 022 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 263   Bethune-Cookman W 94-61 97%     1 - 0 +24.6 +22.2 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 290   Northwestern St. W 86-65 98%     2 - 0 +11.0 +11.4 +0.3
  Nov 13, 2024 159   Wyoming W 96-49 94%     3 - 0 +44.0 +22.6 +21.8
  Nov 18, 2024 363   Arkansas Pine Bluff W 98-64 99.6%    4 - 0 +13.6 +8.8 +3.6
  Nov 21, 2024 86   Saint Joseph's L 77-78 79%     4 - 1 +5.6 +8.2 -2.6
  Nov 22, 2024 100   Syracuse W 79-74 83%     5 - 1 +9.8 +10.1 -0.1
  Nov 29, 2024 180   Northern Colorado W 89-64 95%     6 - 1 +21.0 +12.1 +8.9
  Dec 04, 2024 102   DePaul W 76-62 89%     7 - 1 +15.7 +8.1 +8.5
  Dec 08, 2024 25   Texas A&M L 67-72 53%     7 - 2 +9.1 +6.5 +2.3
  Dec 16, 2024 284   Oral Roberts W 86-50 98%     8 - 2 +26.3 +11.0 +17.3
  Dec 21, 2024 196   Lamar W 101-57 96%     9 - 2 +39.3 +28.9 +11.1
  Dec 31, 2024 81   Central Florida W 78-67 85%    
  Jan 04, 2025 65   @ Utah W 77-73 64%    
  Jan 07, 2025 42   @ BYU W 76-75 51%    
  Jan 11, 2025 6   Iowa St. L 74-76 44%    
  Jan 14, 2025 84   @ Kansas St. W 75-70 68%    
  Jan 18, 2025 11   Arizona W 77-75 57%    
  Jan 21, 2025 26   @ Cincinnati L 68-70 42%    
  Jan 26, 2025 96   Oklahoma St. W 82-69 87%    
  Jan 29, 2025 66   TCU W 75-65 82%    
  Feb 01, 2025 5   @ Houston L 62-70 24%    
  Feb 04, 2025 12   Baylor W 75-73 57%    
  Feb 08, 2025 11   @ Arizona L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 12, 2025 59   Arizona St. W 77-68 79%    
  Feb 15, 2025 96   @ Oklahoma St. W 79-72 72%    
  Feb 18, 2025 66   @ TCU W 72-68 64%    
  Feb 22, 2025 39   West Virginia W 73-67 71%    
  Feb 24, 2025 5   Houston L 65-67 44%    
  Mar 01, 2025 8   @ Kansas L 70-76 30%    
  Mar 05, 2025 76   Colorado W 76-66 83%    
  Mar 08, 2025 59   @ Arizona St. W 74-71 59%    
Projected Record 21 - 10 12 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.3 1.3 2.4 2.0 1.1 0.3 0.1 7.4 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 2.4 3.9 2.4 0.6 0.1 9.8 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 2.8 5.1 2.8 0.5 0.0 11.5 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 2.5 5.4 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.0 4th
5th 0.1 1.8 5.4 4.2 0.7 0.0 12.2 5th
6th 0.0 1.1 4.9 4.5 1.0 0.0 11.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.3 4.4 1.2 0.1 9.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.1 1.6 0.1 8.0 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 3.1 1.8 0.2 6.0 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 1.9 1.8 0.3 0.0 4.2 10th
11th 0.1 0.8 1.5 0.5 0.0 2.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.6 0.0 2.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.6 0.1 1.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.8 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.6 3.0 5.1 8.0 10.6 13.2 14.1 13.9 11.8 8.5 5.3 2.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
19-1 100.0% 0.3    0.3 0.0
18-2 94.4% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
17-3 75.9% 2.0    1.3 0.6 0.1 0.0
16-4 44.8% 2.4    0.9 1.0 0.4 0.0
15-5 14.9% 1.3    0.2 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-6 2.7% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 7.4% 7.4 3.7 2.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.1% 100.0% 25.0% 75.0% 1.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
19-1 0.3% 100.0% 34.3% 65.7% 1.5 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
18-2 1.1% 100.0% 23.8% 76.2% 1.8 0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 2.7% 100.0% 20.3% 79.7% 2.4 0.5 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 5.3% 100.0% 16.6% 83.4% 3.3 0.3 1.1 1.7 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-5 8.5% 100.0% 14.8% 85.2% 4.3 0.1 0.5 1.6 2.7 2.0 1.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 11.8% 99.7% 10.6% 89.1% 5.4 0.0 0.1 0.8 2.1 3.0 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
13-7 13.9% 98.9% 7.3% 91.6% 6.6 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.9 3.1 4.0 2.6 0.9 0.1 0.0 0.2 98.8%
12-8 14.1% 95.5% 4.8% 90.7% 7.6 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 3.4 3.8 2.5 1.0 0.1 0.6 95.2%
11-9 13.2% 86.3% 3.2% 83.1% 8.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.4 2.8 3.3 2.5 0.6 0.0 1.8 85.8%
10-10 10.6% 72.8% 2.0% 70.8% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.2 2.0 2.5 1.4 0.0 2.9 72.3%
9-11 8.0% 38.8% 1.3% 37.5% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.8 1.5 0.1 4.9 38.0%
8-12 5.1% 14.0% 0.7% 13.3% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.1 4.4 13.4%
7-13 3.0% 3.0% 0.4% 2.6% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 2.9 2.6%
6-14 1.6% 0.5% 0.1% 0.4% 11.3 0.0 0.0 1.6 0.4%
5-15 0.6% 0.6
4-16 0.3% 0.3
3-17 0.1% 0.1
2-18 0.0% 0.0
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 79.8% 6.8% 73.0% 6.6 1.6 3.4 5.3 7.7 8.5 9.8 11.7 11.2 9.3 7.1 4.1 0.2 20.2 78.4%