Oklahoma St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+6.6#86
Expected Predictive Rating+9.9#54
Pace74.9#55
Improvement+0.4#131

Offense
Total Offense+3.1#94
First Shot+3.2#84
After Offensive Rebound-0.1#190
Layup/Dunks+2.4#97
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#214
Freethrows+2.4#69
Improvement+0.8#71

Defense
Total Defense+3.5#79
First Shot+4.4#58
After Offensive Rebounds-0.9#246
Layups/Dunks+7.2#15
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-8.8#358
Freethrows+5.9#4
Improvement-0.4#249
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Top 4 Seed 1.3% 2.2% 0.5%
Top 6 Seed 4.1% 6.7% 1.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 18.1% 25.8% 11.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 17.8% 25.4% 11.4%
Average Seed 8.4 8.1 8.8
.500 or above 36.2% 49.3% 25.0%
.500 or above in Conference 16.8% 22.0% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 24.1% 18.9% 28.5%
First Four4.0% 5.0% 3.2%
First Round15.9% 23.1% 9.8%
Second Round7.9% 11.8% 4.5%
Sweet Sixteen2.4% 3.8% 1.3%
Elite Eight0.8% 1.2% 0.5%
Final Four0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
Championship Game0.1% 0.2% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Florida Atlantic (Neutral) - 46.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 43 - 11
Quad 24 - 47 - 15
Quad 33 - 110 - 16
Quad 44 - 014 - 16


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 252   Green Bay W 89-76 90%     1 - 0 +5.4 +5.2 -0.6
  Nov 10, 2024 163   St. Thomas W 80-71 83%     2 - 0 +5.6 -1.2 +6.2
  Nov 14, 2024 132   Southern Illinois W 85-78 77%     3 - 0 +5.8 +9.0 -3.5
  Nov 21, 2024 75   Florida Atlantic L 81-82 46%    
  Dec 04, 2024 147   @ Tulsa W 81-78 60%    
  Dec 08, 2024 88   @ Seton Hall L 63-65 41%    
  Dec 14, 2024 51   Oklahoma L 72-75 40%    
  Dec 18, 2024 317   Tarleton St. W 83-65 95%    
  Dec 22, 2024 250   Oral Roberts W 83-69 90%    
  Dec 30, 2024 4   Houston L 64-74 19%    
  Jan 04, 2025 76   @ West Virginia L 73-77 36%    
  Jan 07, 2025 66   Kansas St. W 74-73 54%    
  Jan 11, 2025 54   @ Utah L 74-80 31%    
  Jan 14, 2025 34   @ BYU L 74-82 23%    
  Jan 18, 2025 70   Colorado W 75-73 55%    
  Jan 21, 2025 13   Arizona L 78-84 30%    
  Jan 26, 2025 14   @ Texas Tech L 68-80 16%    
  Jan 29, 2025 66   @ Kansas St. L 71-76 34%    
  Feb 01, 2025 54   Utah W 78-77 51%    
  Feb 04, 2025 4   @ Houston L 61-77 8%    
  Feb 09, 2025 53   Arizona St. W 76-75 51%    
  Feb 12, 2025 60   @ TCU L 74-79 32%    
  Feb 15, 2025 14   Texas Tech L 71-77 31%    
  Feb 19, 2025 71   Central Florida W 76-74 56%    
  Feb 22, 2025 6   @ Kansas L 69-84 10%    
  Feb 25, 2025 12   Iowa St. L 69-76 29%    
  Mar 01, 2025 11   @ Baylor L 68-81 13%    
  Mar 05, 2025 71   @ Central Florida L 73-77 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 18   Cincinnati L 73-77 35%    
Projected Record 13 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.0 1.6 4th
5th 0.1 0.7 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 2.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.5 1.5 0.8 0.1 3.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.5 0.3 0.0 4.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 1.8 2.3 0.5 0.0 4.9 8th
9th 0.0 0.1 1.5 3.1 1.2 0.1 6.0 9th
10th 0.1 1.1 3.5 2.2 0.2 7.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.7 3.3 3.4 0.7 0.0 8.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.4 2.9 4.4 1.5 0.1 9.3 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.9 2.4 0.2 0.0 10.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.5 2.5 5.3 3.3 0.5 0.0 12.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.9 3.1 5.1 3.6 0.8 0.1 13.6 15th
16th 0.6 2.5 4.4 4.9 2.6 0.6 0.1 15.7 16th
Total 0.6 2.6 5.2 8.5 10.6 12.4 12.7 11.9 10.4 8.3 6.3 4.4 2.8 1.7 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
18-2 80.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 77.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 42.6% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 17.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 3.4% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.1% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.3% 0.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.1% 100.0% 16.1% 83.9% 2.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.2% 100.0% 10.3% 89.7% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 0.4% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 0.9% 100.0% 5.0% 95.0% 5.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-7 1.7% 99.3% 4.0% 95.3% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.3%
12-8 2.8% 96.3% 2.1% 94.3% 7.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.1 0.1 96.3%
11-9 4.4% 86.2% 0.8% 85.4% 8.4 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.8 0.9 0.6 0.4 0.0 0.6 86.1%
10-10 6.3% 66.2% 0.8% 65.4% 9.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.6 0.9 1.0 1.1 0.1 2.1 65.9%
9-11 8.3% 35.0% 0.2% 34.8% 10.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.6 1.4 0.3 0.0 5.4 34.8%
8-12 10.4% 10.6% 0.1% 10.5% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.0 9.3 10.5%
7-13 11.9% 1.6% 0.0% 1.5% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 11.7 1.5%
6-14 12.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 12.7 0.1%
5-15 12.4% 12.4
4-16 10.6% 10.6
3-17 8.5% 8.5
2-18 5.2% 5.2
1-19 2.6% 2.6
0-20 0.6% 0.6
Total 100% 18.1% 0.4% 17.8% 8.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.7 1.2 1.6 2.1 2.3 2.6 2.6 3.8 0.7 0.0 81.9 17.8%