Kansas St.
Big 12
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +6.0 #92
Expected Predictive Rating +5.6 #89
Pace 76.9 #22
Improvement -5.8 #355

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #93 B B- C+ D+ B-
Defense #95 B- D B- C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #93 1.26 #74 +4.0 #56
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #255 0.69 #286 -1.9 #280
Three Pointers 41% #178 1.16 #22 +3.2 #75
1st FG Attempt 1.12 #48 +5.2 #49
Freethrows 0.26 #298 72% #197 0.19 #284
Second Chance 34.1% #83 1.06 #129 0.36 #82
Turnovers 16.2% #145
Total Offense +3.3 #93

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #219 1.08 #81 +2.2 #102
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #100 0.76 #192 -0.6 #235
Three Pointers 40% #215 0.93 #63 +2.3 #94
1st FG Attempt 0.95 #63 +3.9 #59
Freethrows 0.28 #108 71% #118 0.20 #100
Second Chance 32.2% #250 1.16 #330 0.37 #318
Turnovers 18.4% #79
Total Defense +2.8 #95

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.4% #92 -0.7% #109
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.7% #57 -6.5% #60
Possession Length 15.2 #23 17.7 #254
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.27 #11 0.15 #125
Improvement -5.3 #358 -0.5 #218

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.8 10.8 11.0
.500 or above 2.8% 8.3% 0.9%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 49.6% 27.9% 56.9%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: TCU (Away) - 25.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 41 - 12
Quad 25 - 66 - 18
Quad 32 - 18 - 19
Quad 45 - 013 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Tue, Nov 4 312 UNC Greensboro W 93 - 64 94% +7  1 - 0 +17 +0 B B+ F +13 B+ B- A+
 Sat, Nov 8 305 Bellarmine W 98 - 71 94% +11  2 - 0 +16 +12 A+ A+ F +3 A+ F B-
 Thu, Nov 13 64 California W 99 - 96 51% +14  3 - 0 +9 +19 A+ A+ F -11 F F A+
 Mon, Nov 17 69 Tulsa W 84 - 83 53% +3  4 - 0 +6 +3 D+ A+ B+ +3 A+ B D
 Thu, Nov 20 73 Mississippi St. W 98 - 77 43% +8  5 - 0 +29 +23 A+ C B+ +4 B- A B+
 Fri, Nov 21 13 Nebraska L 85 - 86 13% -4  5 - 1 +17 +16 A- A+ B+ +2 C- D B+
 Tue, Nov 25 30 @Indiana L 69 - 86 14% -13  5 - 2 +1 -2 A- F F +4 C C- A+
 Mon, Dec 1 151 Bowling Green L 66 - 82 79% -9  5 - 3 -19 -1 F+ B+ A+ -19 D+ F D-
 Sat, Dec 6 53 Seton Hall L 67 - 78 46% -8  5 - 4 -4 -4 C D B +2 A D+ C
 Mon, Dec 8 365 Mississippi Valley W 108 - 49 99% +32  6 - 4 +32 +17 A+ A D+ +11 A+ B B+
 Sat, Dec 13 58 @Creighton W 83 - 76 27% +8  7 - 4 +19 +18 B- A- A+ +2 A- C D-
 Sat, Dec 20 285 South Dakota W 106 - 76 93% +22  8 - 4 +20 +18 A+ B+ C -0 B D+ D+
 Sun, Dec 28 360 Louisiana Monroe W 94 - 85 98% +6  9 - 4 -9 +1 C+ F+ C- -11 F B B-
 Sat, Jan 3 15 BYU L 73 - 83 19% -6  9 - 5 0 - 1 +5 -1 B- F+ B +8 A+ D+ A+
 Wed, Jan 7 2 @Arizona L 76 - 101 4% -14  9 - 6 0 - 2 +2 +5 D B- A+ +0 A F F+
 Sat, Jan 10 77 @Arizona St. L 84 - 87 33% -0  9 - 7 0 - 3 +8 +7 D A- B+ +1 A+ F B+
 Wed, Jan 14 44 Central Florida L 73 - 82 40% -7  9 - 8 0 - 4 -0 -2 C- C C+ +2 C A- D+
 Sat, Jan 17 56 @Oklahoma St. L 83 - 84 27% -2  9 - 9 0 - 5 +12 +14 A A+ F -2 A+ F F
 Tue, Jan 20 104 Utah W 81 - 78 68% +2  10 - 9 1 - 5 +4 +7 A+ F+ C+ -3 C+ F+ D+
 Sat, Jan 24 14 Kansas L 62 - 86 19% -5  10 - 10 1 - 6 -9 +2 C B B -12 B F B-
 Tue, Jan 27 57 @West Virginia L 54 - 59 27% -0  10 - 11 1 - 7 +7 -3 C F B +10 A+ D- A-
 Sun, Feb 1 4 Iowa St. L 61 - 95 12% -23  10 - 12 1 - 8 -15 -3 C C- A- -11 F B- B-
 Sat, Feb 7 51 @TCU L 74 - 81 25%
 Wed, Feb 11 52 Cincinnati L 73 - 74 46%
 Sat, Feb 14 6 @Houston L 65 - 84 4%
 Tue, Feb 17 47 Baylor L 80 - 83 40%
 Sat, Feb 21 17 @Texas Tech L 73 - 88 8%
 Wed, Feb 25 72 @Colorado L 80 - 85 33%
 Sat, Feb 28 51 TCU L 77 - 78 45%
 Tue, Mar 3 57 West Virginia L 70 - 71 49%
 Sat, Mar 7 14 @Kansas L 70 - 85 7%
Totals 13 - 18 4 - 14 +6 +3 B B- C+ +3 B- D B-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big 12 Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 0.1 0.0 0.9 9th
10th 0.0 1.2 0.7 0.0 2.0 10th
11th 0.6 2.6 0.3 3.4 11th
12th 0.0 3.3 1.8 0.0 5.2 12th
13th 2.0 6.6 0.7 9.4 13th
14th 1.8 10.5 4.8 0.1 17.3 14th
15th 0.5 5.2 15.9 11.8 0.6 34.0 15th
16th 4.9 12.3 9.2 1.1 0.0 27.5 16th
Total 5.4 17.5 26.9 25.5 15.9 6.6 1.8 0.3 0.0 Total



Big 12 Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8
9-9 0.0% 0.0 0.0
8-10 0.3% 9.8% 9.8% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.3 9.8%
7-11 1.8% 1.8
6-12 6.6% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 6.6 0.2%
5-13 15.9% 15.9
4-14 25.5% 25.5
3-15 26.9% 26.9
2-16 17.5% 17.5
1-17 5.4% 5.4
0-18
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0% 0.1% 10.8 100.0 0.1%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.4%