Notre Dame
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +9.1 #59
Expected Predictive Rating +9.9 #63
Pace 63.0 #332
Improvement -1.3 #249

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #95 B C C+ C+ D+
Defense #41 A- A+ D B- B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #254 1.25 #84 -0.1 #184
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #119 0.79 #127 +1.6 #93
Three Pointers 41% #182 1.11 #57 +2.0 #116
1st FG Attempt 1.09 #87 +3.6 #86
Freethrows 17.7 #167 75% #124 13.2 #145
Second Chance 34.5% #80 0.90 #326 0.31 #201
Turnovers 15.7% #127
Total Offense +3.3 #95

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 29% #353 1.08 #90 +6.7 #16
2 Pt. Jumpers 22% #121 0.67 #80 +0.2 #169
Three Pointers 49% #24 0.91 #66 -1.6 #249
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #41 +5.3 #41
Freethrows 15.0 #68 74% #246 11.1 #282
Second Chance 21.9% #4 0.97 #90 0.21 #13
Turnovers 14.6% #299
Total Defense +5.8 #41

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.2% #266 -1.8% #47
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.4% #61 -8.8% #43
Possession Length 18.0 #253 18.2 #312
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.18 #152 0.14 #71
Improvement -2.8 #332 +1.5 #82

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.7% 1.2% 0.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 23.1% 31.4% 16.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 22.5% 30.7% 15.6%
Average Seed 9.5 9.4 9.7
.500 or above 82.7% 91.8% 74.9%
.500 or above in Conference 50.1% 64.4% 37.8%
Conference Champion 0.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 1.4% 0.5% 2.3%
First Four7.1% 8.6% 5.7%
First Round19.1% 26.5% 12.8%
Second Round7.4% 10.3% 5.0%
Sweet Sixteen1.2% 1.6% 0.9%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Home) - 46.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 44 - 10
Quad 24 - 38 - 13
Quad 34 - 112 - 13
Quad 46 - 118 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 209 LIU Brooklyn W 89 - 67 91%  +15  1 - 0 +16 +11 A A+ F +5 A+ B+ B-
 Fri, Nov 7 281 Detroit Mercy W 102 - 70 95%  +17  2 - 0 +22 +15 A A+ A+ +5 C- A+ B
 Tue, Nov 11 309 Eastern Illinois W 78 - 58 96%  +7  3 - 0 +8 +14 C A C+ -3 D A+ C-
 Sun, Nov 16 30 @Ohio St. L 63 - 64 22%  +3  3 - 1 +16 +0 A- F F +16 A+ A+ C-
 Wed, Nov 19 280 Bellarmine W 86 - 79 95%  +9  4 - 1 -3 +5 A A+ F -8 D+ A+ C+
 Mon, Nov 24 18 Kansas L 61 - 71 24%  -6  4 - 2 +7 +2 C+ F A+ +4 B+ A C-
 Tue, Nov 25 131 Rutgers W 68 - 63 76%  +8  5 - 2 +7 +5 A- A- F +3 B D A+
 Wed, Nov 26 11 Houston L 56 - 66 17%  -12  5 - 3 +9 +4 D- C A+ +3 A+ F F
 Tue, Dec 2 51 Missouri W 76 - 71 56%  -1  6 - 3 +13 +6 A- F D+ +7 A+ A+ C-
 Fri, Dec 5 44 @TCU W 87 - 85 OT 29%  -2  7 - 3 +17 +18 A+ F B+ -1 D A+ F
 Wed, Dec 10 195 Idaho W 80 - 65 90%  +5  8 - 3 +10 +13 A+ B C -1 C A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 263 Evansville W 82 - 58 94%  +11  9 - 3 +15 +12 A+ D- C +4 D A+ C
 Sun, Dec 21 243 Purdue Fort Wayne L 69 - 72 93%  -4  9 - 4 -11 -7 F F D -3 C A+ F
 Tue, Dec 30 79 @Stanford W 47 - 40 44%  +5  10 - 4 1 - 0 +18 -11 F C C +30 A+ A+ F
 Fri, Jan 2 84 @California L 71 - 72 47%  +2  10 - 5 1 - 1 +9 +11 B D- A+ -2 A- A F
 Sat, Jan 10 39 Clemson L 65 - 66 46% 
 Tue, Jan 13 36 Miami (FL) L 71 - 72 45% 
 Sat, Jan 17 68 @Virginia Tech L 68 - 71 40% 
 Wed, Jan 21 26 @North Carolina L 65 - 74 20% 
 Sat, Jan 24 151 Boston College W 71 - 59 87% 
 Tue, Jan 27 22 Virginia L 67 - 71 36% 
 Sat, Jan 31 69 @Syracuse L 68 - 70 41% 
 Wed, Feb 4 15 @Louisville L 68 - 79 15% 
 Sat, Feb 7 111 Florida St. W 79 - 71 76% 
 Tue, Feb 10 28 @SMU L 69 - 77 22% 
 Sat, Feb 14 114 Georgia Tech W 74 - 66 77% 
 Sat, Feb 21 82 @Pittsburgh L 67 - 68 46% 
 Tue, Feb 24 6 Duke L 66 - 75 20% 
 Sat, Feb 28 34 North Carolina St. L 70 - 72 44% 
 Wed, Mar 4 79 Stanford W 71 - 67 66% 
 Sat, Mar 7 151 @Boston College W 68 - 62 71% 
Totals 18 - 13 9 - 9 +9 +3 B C C+ +6 A- A+ D




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.5 1st
2nd 0.0 0.3 0.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 1.7 2nd
3rd 0.2 1.2 1.2 0.1 0.0 2.8 3rd
4th 0.1 1.1 2.1 0.5 0.0 3.8 4th
5th 0.0 0.6 2.9 1.4 0.1 5.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.8 3.5 0.3 6.8 6th
7th 0.0 1.4 5.2 1.6 0.0 8.3 7th
8th 0.0 0.6 4.9 4.2 0.3 10.0 8th
9th 0.1 2.7 6.4 1.2 0.0 10.5 9th
10th 0.0 0.9 5.9 3.4 0.2 10.4 10th
11th 0.2 3.5 5.5 0.8 0.0 9.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.4 5.4 2.1 0.1 9.0 12th
13th 0.3 3.4 3.5 0.3 0.0 7.5 13th
14th 0.1 1.4 3.2 0.9 0.0 5.5 14th
15th 0.0 0.4 2.2 1.4 0.1 4.1 15th
16th 0.1 1.0 1.2 0.2 0.0 2.5 16th
17th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.2 1.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.3 5.3 9.8 14.4 17.1 17.1 14.2 9.7 5.4 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 60.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 59.1% 0.1    0.1 0.1 0.0
14-4 23.3% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 4.1% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.5% 0.5 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.0% 0.0
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.2% 100.0% 11.4% 88.6% 6.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.9% 93.9% 3.9% 90.0% 7.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.6%
13-5 2.6% 93.2% 4.7% 88.5% 8.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.8 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.2 92.9%
12-6 5.4% 78.4% 3.3% 75.0% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.1 1.3 1.2 0.3 1.2 77.6%
11-7 9.7% 63.4% 1.1% 62.3% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 2.5 1.3 0.0 3.6 63.0%
10-8 14.2% 39.1% 0.9% 38.3% 10.2 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.3 2.3 0.0 8.7 38.6%
9-9 17.1% 17.1% 0.7% 16.5% 10.6 0.1 0.2 0.7 1.9 0.1 14.2 16.6%
8-10 17.1% 4.1% 0.2% 3.9% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.0 16.4 3.9%
7-11 14.4% 0.6% 0.2% 0.4% 11.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 14.3 0.4%
6-12 9.8% 9.8
5-13 5.3% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 5.3
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 0.7% 0.7
2-16 0.1% 0.1
1-17 0.0% 0.0
0-18
Total 100% 23.1% 0.8% 22.4% 9.5 76.9 22.5%