Penn St.
Big Ten
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.9#58
Expected Predictive Rating+7.6#75
Pace73.6#52
Improvement-5.2#344

Offense
Total Offense+5.5#57
First Shot+5.1#58
After Offensive Rebound+0.5#153
Layup/Dunks+5.9#21
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.1#174
3 Pt Jumpshots-4.4#315
Freethrows+3.7#19
Improvement-2.9#310

Defense
Total Defense+4.4#68
First Shot+4.1#61
After Offensive Rebounds+0.2#160
Layups/Dunks+2.2#91
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#142
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#122
Freethrows-0.2#200
Improvement-2.3#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b0 - 42 - 10
Quad 23 - 35 - 13
Quad 34 - 29 - 15
Quad 47 - 016 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 308   Binghamton W 108-66 97%     1 - 0 +30.5 +25.4 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 302   Maryland Baltimore Co. W 103-54 96%     2 - 0 +38.2 +7.2 +24.5
  Nov 12, 2024 315   St. Francis (PA) W 92-62 97%     3 - 0 +18.0 +1.4 +12.6
  Nov 15, 2024 135   Virginia Tech W 86-64 79%     4 - 0 +23.5 +10.4 +12.1
  Nov 20, 2024 165   Purdue Fort Wayne W 102-89 88%     5 - 0 +10.0 +23.8 -14.2
  Nov 25, 2024 222   Fordham W 85-66 89%     6 - 0 +15.7 +8.3 +7.0
  Nov 26, 2024 21   Clemson L 67-75 26%     6 - 1 +8.4 +2.4 +6.0
  Dec 01, 2024 346   Buffalo W 87-64 98%     7 - 1 +7.8 +8.2 -0.4
  Dec 05, 2024 16   Purdue W 81-70 33%     8 - 1 1 - 0 +25.5 +10.0 +15.3
  Dec 10, 2024 65   @ Rutgers L 76-80 46%     8 - 2 1 - 1 +7.0 +3.7 +3.5
  Dec 14, 2024 361   Coppin St. W 99-51 99%     9 - 2 +28.6 +12.2 +12.0
  Dec 21, 2024 181   @ Drexel W 75-64 79%     10 - 2 +12.4 +11.6 +1.9
  Dec 29, 2024 281   Penn W 86-66 95%     11 - 2 +10.5 +3.2 +6.6
  Jan 02, 2025 49   Northwestern W 84-80 56%     12 - 2 2 - 1 +12.3 +13.1 -0.9
  Jan 05, 2025 43   Indiana L 71-77 53%     12 - 3 2 - 2 +3.1 +3.6 -0.6
  Jan 08, 2025 17   @ Illinois L 52-91 18%     12 - 4 2 - 3 -19.4 -19.1 +4.5
  Jan 12, 2025 35   Oregon L 81-82 46%     12 - 5 2 - 4 +9.9 +11.9 -2.0
  Jan 15, 2025 8   @ Michigan St. L 85-90 13%     12 - 6 2 - 5 +17.3 +22.1 -4.7
  Jan 20, 2025 65   Rutgers W 80-72 66%     13 - 6 3 - 5 +13.5 +9.1 +4.6
  Jan 24, 2025 60   @ Iowa L 75-76 40%     13 - 7 3 - 6 +11.4 +6.5 +4.9
  Jan 27, 2025 31   @ Michigan L 72-76 25%     13 - 8 3 - 7 +12.9 +9.6 +3.2
  Jan 30, 2025 39   Ohio St. L 64-83 49%     13 - 9 3 - 8 -8.9 -2.3 -7.3
  Feb 04, 2025 84   Minnesota L 61-69 72%     13 - 10 3 - 9 -4.3 -1.7 -3.6
  Feb 08, 2025 24   @ UCLA L 54-78 21%     13 - 11 3 - 10 -5.6 -4.2 -3.5
  Feb 11, 2025 61   @ USC L 67-92 41%     13 - 12 3 - 11 -12.8 -0.8 -12.5
  Feb 15, 2025 105   Washington L 73-75 80%     13 - 13 3 - 12 -0.8 -0.2 -0.5
  Feb 19, 2025 57   Nebraska W 89-72 60%     14 - 13 4 - 12 +24.3 +22.3 +2.3
  Feb 22, 2025 84   @ Minnesota W 69-60 53%     15 - 13 5 - 12 +18.2 +7.2 +11.8
  Feb 26, 2025 43   @ Indiana L 78-83 33%     15 - 14 5 - 13 +9.6 +14.1 -4.6
  Mar 01, 2025 11   Maryland L 64-68 29%     15 - 15 5 - 14 +11.5 -0.7 +12.3
  Mar 08, 2025 15   @ Wisconsin W 86-75 17%     16 - 15 6 - 14 +31.1 +17.0 +13.6
Projected Record 16 - 15 6 - 14




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 100.0 100.0 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14 100.0% 100.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%