Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +12.6 #40
Expected Predictive Rating +12.7 #40
Pace 78.8 #18
Improvement +4.0 #24

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #39 A- B- B- B- B+
Defense #50 C C+ A C+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #117 1.26 #77 +3.5 #72
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #338 0.84 #63 -2.7 #311
Three Pointers 47% #65 1.11 #55 +5.6 #26
1st FG Attempt 1.14 #35 +6.4 #35
Freethrows 19.4 #82 73% #185 14.1 #96
Second Chance 34.9% #72 1.07 #161 0.37 #81
Turnovers 15.6% #117
Total Offense +7.4 #39

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #271 1.11 #119 +2.7 #89
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #201 0.80 #241 -0.2 #196
Three Pointers 45% #77 1.07 #257 -3.2 #304
1st FG Attempt 1.03 #200 -0.7 #201
Freethrows 16.7 #159 70% #96 11.7 #232
Second Chance 28.1% #93 1.09 #242 0.31 #148
Turnovers 20.4% #25
Total Defense +5.2 #50

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.6% #34 -0.2% #151
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.7% #45 1.6% #212
Possession Length 14.8 #19 17.6 #240
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #118 0.16 #149
Improvement +2.1 #59 +2.0 #67

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 2.4% 3.1% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 13.4% 16.4% 7.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 65.1% 71.7% 51.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 64.3% 71.0% 50.5%
Average Seed 8.1 8.0 8.6
.500 or above 96.8% 98.7% 92.8%
.500 or above in Conference 68.2% 76.9% 50.0%
Conference Champion 3.2% 4.3% 0.9%
Last Place in Conference 1.3% 0.6% 2.9%
First Four7.9% 7.5% 8.7%
First Round61.2% 67.9% 47.1%
Second Round32.5% 36.8% 23.6%
Sweet Sixteen8.9% 10.3% 5.9%
Elite Eight2.7% 3.1% 1.8%
Final Four0.8% 1.0% 0.3%
Championship Game0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
National Champion0.0% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Oklahoma (Home) - 67.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 9 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b2 - 45 - 9
Quad 25 - 310 - 12
Quad 33 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 288 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 97%  +19  1 - 0 +20 +12 D+ A- B- +6 B C+ A-
 Thu, Nov 6 335 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 98%  +12  2 - 0 +20 +16 A+ D+ A+ +1 F C A+
 Sun, Nov 9 54 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 49%  -14  2 - 1 -11 -7 F F F -3 C- B D
 Fri, Nov 14 50 Central Florida L 74 - 86 68%  +2  2 - 2 -4 -1 F A C- -2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 178 Montana W 86 - 81 93%  +10  3 - 2 +1 +11 A+ F C+ -10 F A C+
 Fri, Nov 21 311 Manhattan W 109 - 68 98%  +21  4 - 2 +29 +21 A+ D- A+ +5 D A A+
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100%  +23  5 - 2 +9 +14 A- C C -12 F B- A+
 Fri, Nov 28 111 Florida St. W 95 - 59 79%  +22  6 - 2 +40 +17 A+ A+ C+ +21 A+ A A+
 Tue, Dec 2 82 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 60%  +4  7 - 2 +18 +19 B+ A+ A- -0 B F C+
 Sun, Dec 7 28 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 43%  -5  7 - 3 +1 -2 C C- C +6 A+ D D
 Sun, Dec 14 328 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98%  +24  8 - 3 +24 +24 A+ A+ C -4 F B- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 324 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 98%  +22  9 - 3 +28 +22 A+ A+ C -1 A+ C C-
 Mon, Dec 29 306 Prairie View W 111 - 82 98%  +22  10 - 3 +17 +12 A- B- A- +0 C+ F B+
 Sat, Jan 3 42 LSU W 75 - 72 64%  +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +12 +3 A- C F +9 A- A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 33 @Auburn W 90 - 88 34%  -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +19 +18 A+ A+ C +1 A F A
 Sat, Jan 10 48 Oklahoma W 84 - 79 68% 
 Tue, Jan 13 16 @Tennessee L 74 - 82 22% 
 Sat, Jan 17 45 @Texas L 83 - 85 44% 
 Wed, Jan 21 55 Mississippi St. W 84 - 78 71% 
 Sat, Jan 24 72 South Carolina W 81 - 73 76% 
 Sat, Jan 31 24 @Georgia L 88 - 94 29% 
 Tue, Feb 3 13 @Alabama L 88 - 97 20% 
 Sat, Feb 7 12 Florida L 80 - 83 39% 
 Wed, Feb 11 51 Missouri W 85 - 80 67% 
 Sat, Feb 14 7 @Vanderbilt L 79 - 90 16% 
 Wed, Feb 18 71 Mississippi W 82 - 74 76% 
 Sat, Feb 21 48 @Oklahoma L 81 - 82 46% 
 Wed, Feb 25 19 @Arkansas L 84 - 91 26% 
 Sat, Feb 28 45 Texas W 86 - 82 65% 
 Tue, Mar 3 27 Kentucky W 81 - 80 53% 
 Sat, Mar 7 42 @LSU L 81 - 83 41% 
Totals 20 - 11 10 - 8 +13 +7 A- B- B- +5 C C+ A




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.2 0.8 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.0 3.2 1st
2nd 0.2 1.7 2.8 1.2 0.2 0.0 6.1 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.7 3.9 2.1 0.2 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 1.1 4.8 3.3 0.4 9.6 4th
5th 0.3 4.0 5.3 1.0 0.0 10.6 5th
6th 0.1 1.9 6.4 2.1 0.1 10.6 6th
7th 0.0 0.6 5.7 4.0 0.3 10.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 6.0 1.0 0.0 9.9 8th
9th 0.7 4.9 2.5 0.1 8.3 9th
10th 0.1 2.3 4.1 0.4 6.9 10th
11th 0.0 0.6 3.4 1.4 0.0 5.4 11th
12th 0.1 1.4 2.4 0.2 4.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 1.9 0.6 0.0 3.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 1.0 0.8 0.1 2.1 14th
15th 0.1 0.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 1.2 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.5 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 2.4 5.0 9.5 14.0 16.8 16.7 14.4 10.2 6.2 2.6 1.0 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 95.7% 0.2    0.2 0.0
15-3 80.3% 0.8    0.5 0.3 0.0
14-4 45.8% 1.2    0.5 0.5 0.2 0.0
13-5 13.6% 0.8    0.1 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.7% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.2% 3.2 1.3 1.1 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-2 0.2% 100.0% 23.4% 76.6% 3.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.0% 100.0% 13.0% 87.0% 4.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 2.6% 99.8% 8.3% 91.5% 5.1 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 99.8%
13-5 6.2% 99.6% 6.8% 92.8% 6.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.3 2.1 1.5 0.6 0.1 0.0 99.6%
12-6 10.2% 98.1% 5.4% 92.7% 7.0 0.0 0.2 1.0 2.3 3.2 2.3 0.8 0.2 0.2 98.0%
11-7 14.4% 94.3% 2.6% 91.7% 7.9 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 3.1 4.0 3.2 1.3 0.2 0.8 94.1%
10-8 16.7% 85.7% 1.9% 83.8% 8.8 0.1 0.4 1.5 3.7 4.4 3.3 1.0 2.4 85.4%
9-9 16.8% 68.1% 0.9% 67.3% 9.5 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.6 2.9 4.1 2.3 0.0 5.4 67.8%
8-10 14.0% 34.5% 0.7% 33.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 2.8 0.1 9.1 34.1%
7-11 9.5% 9.7% 0.4% 9.3% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.1 8.6 9.4%
6-12 5.0% 0.5% 0.5% 11.4 0.0 0.0 5.0 0.5%
5-13 2.4% 2.4
4-14 0.7% 0.7
3-15 0.2% 0.2
2-16 0.0% 0.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 65.1% 2.3% 62.8% 8.1 34.9 64.3%