Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#22
Expected Predictive Rating+17.9#10
Pace65.7#242
Improvement+0.6#169

Offense
Total Offense+6.6#44
First Shot-0.4#187
After Offensive Rebound+7.1#1
Layup/Dunks+1.9#110
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#329
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#232
Freethrows+2.2#63
Improvement+1.0#140

Defense
Total Defense+9.7#10
First Shot+9.3#9
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#137
Layups/Dunks+6.6#17
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#34
3 Pt Jumpshots+0.2#193
Freethrows+0.4#154
Improvement-0.4#217
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.4% 0.6% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 5.9% 8.6% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 73.1% 85.8% 46.4%
Top 6 Seed 98.9% 99.9% 96.7%
NCAA Tourney Bid 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Average Seed 3.9 3.6 4.6
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Second Round86.8% 88.7% 82.7%
Sweet Sixteen47.3% 49.5% 42.7%
Elite Eight15.9% 17.1% 13.3%
Final Four5.7% 5.9% 5.3%
Championship Game1.7% 1.5% 2.1%
National Champion0.6% 0.5% 0.9%

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 65 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 38 - 9
Quad 29 - 117 - 10
Quad 31 - 018 - 10
Quad 45 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 70   @ Central Florida L 61-64 70%     0 - 1 +7.9 -5.4 +13.1
  Nov 08, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +17.9 +12.4 +6.8
  Nov 11, 2024 176   Lamar W 97-71 96%     2 - 1 +22.2 +22.9 -1.5
  Nov 15, 2024 39   Ohio St. W 78-64 73%     3 - 1 +24.1 +12.4 +12.4
  Nov 20, 2024 240   Southern W 71-54 97%     4 - 1 +9.9 +3.3 +7.9
  Nov 26, 2024 35   Oregon L 70-80 60%     4 - 2 +3.6 +5.2 -1.8
  Nov 27, 2024 32   Creighton W 77-73 60%     5 - 2 +17.9 +9.4 +8.4
  Nov 30, 2024 65   Rutgers W 81-77 78%     6 - 2 +12.3 +3.2 +8.7
  Dec 03, 2024 63   Wake Forest W 57-44 82%     7 - 2 +19.5 -3.9 +25.0
  Dec 08, 2024 7   Texas Tech W 72-67 37%     8 - 2 +24.8 +11.0 +14.0
  Dec 14, 2024 16   Purdue W 70-66 47%     9 - 2 +21.2 +6.9 +14.6
  Dec 20, 2024 285   Houston Christian W 77-45 98%     10 - 2 +22.1 +10.7 +15.7
  Dec 28, 2024 211   Abilene Christian W 92-54 97%     11 - 2 +32.4 +21.8 +11.1
  Jan 04, 2025 42   Texas W 80-60 76%     12 - 2 1 - 0 +29.1 +13.3 +16.3
  Jan 08, 2025 38   @ Oklahoma W 80-78 52%     13 - 2 2 - 0 +17.7 +20.8 -2.8
  Jan 11, 2025 5   Alabama L 88-94 42%     13 - 3 2 - 1 +12.4 +10.9 +2.2
  Jan 14, 2025 14   @ Kentucky L 69-81 35%     13 - 4 2 - 2 +8.4 +0.9 +7.9
  Jan 18, 2025 86   LSU W 68-57 88%     14 - 4 3 - 2 +14.6 +1.8 +13.4
  Jan 22, 2025 29   @ Mississippi W 63-62 47%     15 - 4 4 - 2 +18.1 -4.5 +22.5
  Jan 25, 2025 42   @ Texas L 69-70 57%     15 - 5 4 - 3 +13.6 +12.7 +0.7
  Jan 28, 2025 38   Oklahoma W 75-68 72%     16 - 5 5 - 3 +17.2 +12.2 +5.7
  Feb 01, 2025 71   @ South Carolina W 76-72 70%     17 - 5 6 - 3 +14.8 +15.7 -0.6
  Feb 08, 2025 18   @ Missouri W 67-64 38%     18 - 5 7 - 3 +22.5 +3.6 +19.1
  Feb 11, 2025 33   Georgia W 69-53 70%     19 - 5 8 - 3 +27.0 +10.0 +18.7
  Feb 15, 2025 37   Arkansas W 69-61 72%     20 - 5 9 - 3 +18.3 +7.9 +10.9
  Feb 18, 2025 30   @ Mississippi St. L 54-70 47%     20 - 6 9 - 4 +1.0 -9.2 +9.5
  Feb 22, 2025 6   Tennessee L 69-77 46%     20 - 7 9 - 5 +9.5 +11.0 -2.0
  Feb 26, 2025 51   Vanderbilt L 84-86 78%     20 - 8 9 - 6 +6.2 +8.8 -2.6
  Mar 01, 2025 3   @ Florida L 70-89 18%     20 - 9 9 - 7 +7.3 +6.5 +1.3
  Mar 04, 2025 2   Auburn W 83-72 31%     21 - 9 10 - 7 +32.5 +27.8 +6.1
  Mar 08, 2025 86   @ LSU W 66-52 76%     22 - 9 11 - 7 +23.1 +6.3 +18.3
  Mar 13, 2025 42   Texas W 73-68 67%    
Projected Record 23 - 9 11 - 7





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 100.0 100.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 100.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 0.0%
10-8
9-9
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7 100.0% 100.0% 2.3% 97.8% 3.9 0.4 5.5 30.3 36.9 20.1 5.8 1.1 0.0 100.0%
10-8
9-9
8-10
7-11
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 100.0% 2.3% 97.8% 3.9 0.4 5.5 30.3 36.9 20.1 5.8 1.1 0.0 100.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid
Avg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 2.3% 100.0% 2.3 9.3 55.1 30.7 4.4 0.4
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 4.5% 100.0% 3.0 1.6 22.4 56.0 19.1 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 16.6% 100.0% 3.3 0.5 12.0 50.6 31.7 4.8 0.4
Lose Out 32.3% 100.0% 4.6 0.2 12.0 34.2 36.1 14.3 3.2 0.0