Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+14.1#25
Expected Predictive Rating+17.2#16
Pace66.0#256
Improvement+1.4#101

Offense
Total Offense+5.7#46
First Shot-1.2#211
After Offensive Rebound+7.0#1
Layup/Dunks+1.5#131
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.9#330
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.2#244
Freethrows+2.4#54
Improvement-0.7#238

Defense
Total Defense+8.3#10
First Shot+7.6#12
After Offensive Rebounds+0.8#112
Layups/Dunks+6.3#22
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#68
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#203
Freethrows+0.0#188
Improvement+2.2#36
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.3% 0.3% 0.1%
#1 Seed 2.3% 2.3% 0.6%
Top 2 Seed 8.0% 8.2% 2.5%
Top 4 Seed 31.5% 32.0% 15.2%
Top 6 Seed 56.8% 57.5% 35.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.4% 88.9% 73.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.1% 88.5% 73.3%
Average Seed 5.8 5.8 6.9
.500 or above 96.1% 96.5% 84.6%
.500 or above in Conference 61.1% 61.6% 45.7%
Conference Champion 3.0% 3.1% 1.4%
Last Place in Conference 3.4% 3.3% 7.1%
First Four5.8% 5.7% 8.0%
First Round85.7% 86.2% 70.4%
Second Round61.6% 62.2% 44.4%
Sweet Sixteen29.7% 30.1% 19.6%
Elite Eight12.4% 12.5% 7.6%
Final Four5.0% 5.1% 2.1%
Championship Game1.9% 2.0% 0.9%
National Champion0.7% 0.7% 0.4%

Next Game: Abilene Christian (Home) - 96.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a5 - 75 - 7
Quad 1b5 - 39 - 10
Quad 26 - 115 - 12
Quad 31 - 016 - 12
Quad 45 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 81   @ Central Florida L 61-64 64%     0 - 1 +7.2 -2.9 +10.0
  Nov 08, 2024 356   Texas A&M - Commerce W 87-55 99%     1 - 1 +16.0 +11.1 +6.2
  Nov 11, 2024 195   Lamar W 97-71 95%     2 - 1 +21.3 +20.5 +0.0
  Nov 15, 2024 29   Ohio St. W 78-64 64%     3 - 1 +24.3 +12.6 +12.3
  Nov 20, 2024 240   Southern W 71-54 97%     4 - 1 +9.6 +2.1 +8.7
  Nov 26, 2024 23   Oregon L 70-80 48%     4 - 2 +4.6 +5.5 -1.2
  Nov 27, 2024 45   Creighton W 77-73 62%     5 - 2 +14.9 +7.5 +7.3
  Nov 30, 2024 64   Rutgers W 81-77 71%     6 - 2 +12.4 +4.7 +7.3
  Dec 03, 2024 89   Wake Forest W 57-44 84%     7 - 2 +16.3 -5.2 +23.0
  Dec 08, 2024 20   Texas Tech W 72-67 47%     8 - 2 +19.9 +9.4 +10.8
  Dec 14, 2024 27   Purdue W 70-66 51%     9 - 2 +17.9 +6.1 +12.1
  Dec 20, 2024 346   Houston Christian W 77-45 99%     10 - 2 +17.2 +6.4 +15.1
  Dec 28, 2024 212   Abilene Christian W 79-59 97%    
  Jan 04, 2025 33   Texas W 71-67 66%    
  Jan 08, 2025 35   @ Oklahoma L 70-71 45%    
  Jan 11, 2025 9   Alabama L 78-79 47%    
  Jan 14, 2025 16   @ Kentucky L 75-79 34%    
  Jan 18, 2025 56   LSU W 75-67 76%    
  Jan 22, 2025 28   @ Mississippi L 69-71 41%    
  Jan 25, 2025 33   @ Texas L 68-70 44%    
  Jan 28, 2025 35   Oklahoma W 73-68 67%    
  Feb 01, 2025 63   @ South Carolina W 69-66 59%    
  Feb 08, 2025 54   @ Missouri W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 11, 2025 36   Georgia W 71-66 68%    
  Feb 15, 2025 31   Arkansas W 74-70 65%    
  Feb 18, 2025 24   @ Mississippi St. L 69-72 38%    
  Feb 22, 2025 3   Tennessee L 65-68 39%    
  Feb 26, 2025 50   Vanderbilt W 78-71 73%    
  Mar 01, 2025 7   @ Florida L 70-78 23%    
  Mar 04, 2025 1   Auburn L 71-77 28%    
  Mar 08, 2025 56   @ LSU W 72-70 56%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 9 - 9




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.9 0.9 0.5 0.2 0.0 3.0 1st
2nd 0.1 1.1 2.2 1.7 0.5 0.1 5.8 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.3 3.6 2.5 0.6 0.0 8.0 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 4.0 3.5 0.7 0.0 9.1 4th
5th 0.4 3.7 4.4 1.0 0.0 9.6 5th
6th 0.1 2.3 5.4 1.7 0.1 9.5 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.9 3.0 0.3 0.0 9.0 7th
8th 0.1 2.7 4.8 0.7 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.9 4.7 1.9 0.1 7.6 9th
10th 0.2 2.8 3.5 0.4 0.0 6.8 10th
11th 0.0 1.1 3.9 1.0 0.0 6.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 2.7 2.1 0.2 5.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 1.2 2.4 0.6 0.0 4.3 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 0.9 0.0 3.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.1 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.5 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.1 0.0 1.5 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.0 2.3 4.4 7.4 10.5 13.0 14.7 13.8 11.9 9.4 5.9 3.3 1.4 0.5 0.2 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.1 0.0
16-2 88.5% 0.5    0.3 0.1 0.0
15-3 61.2% 0.9    0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0
14-4 28.5% 0.9    0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0
13-5 8.1% 0.5    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.9% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 3.0% 3.0 1.3 1.1 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 20.0% 80.0% 1.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.5% 100.0% 12.2% 87.8% 1.5 0.3 0.2 0.0 100.0%
15-3 1.4% 100.0% 16.0% 84.0% 1.8 0.5 0.7 0.2 0.0 100.0%
14-4 3.3% 100.0% 9.8% 90.2% 2.2 0.7 1.4 1.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
13-5 5.9% 100.0% 7.9% 92.1% 2.8 0.4 1.7 2.5 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-6 9.4% 100.0% 6.1% 93.9% 3.5 0.2 1.1 3.6 3.1 1.1 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 11.9% 100.0% 3.9% 96.1% 4.3 0.1 0.4 2.6 3.8 3.3 1.4 0.2 0.0 100.0%
10-8 13.8% 100.0% 2.2% 97.8% 5.2 0.0 0.1 1.0 2.8 4.4 3.8 1.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-9 14.7% 99.9% 1.1% 98.8% 6.1 0.0 0.3 1.1 3.2 4.7 3.6 1.5 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
8-10 13.0% 98.7% 0.8% 97.9% 7.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.9 3.1 3.5 2.5 0.8 0.1 0.2 98.7%
7-11 10.5% 89.4% 0.5% 88.9% 9.3 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.6 1.3 2.3 2.9 1.9 0.0 1.1 89.3%
6-12 7.4% 59.8% 0.3% 59.5% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.7 0.2 3.0 59.7%
5-13 4.4% 16.5% 0.1% 16.4% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 3.7 16.4%
4-14 2.3% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 2.3 0.1%
3-15 1.0% 1.0
2-16 0.3% 0.3
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 88.4% 2.8% 85.6% 5.8 2.3 5.8 11.2 12.3 13.0 12.3 9.0 6.6 5.5 4.8 5.2 0.4 11.6 88.1%