Texas A&M
Southeastern
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +15.5 #27
Expected Predictive Rating +16.5 #27
Pace 76.9 #19
Improvement +7.6 #3

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws
Shot Selection
Offense #33 B+ C+ B- B B+
Defense #27 C+ B A- C+ C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 41% #106 1.23 #90 +3.3 #72
2 Pt. Jumpers 9% #350 0.91 #27 -3.6 #341
Three Pointers 49% #30 1.14 #33 +7.2 #14
1st FG Attempt 1.16 #25 +6.9 #25
Freethrows 0.33 #102 76% #53 0.25 #69
Second Chance 34.9% #66 0.98 #248 0.34 #113
Turnovers 14.9% #73
Total Offense +8.5 #33

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #287 1.06 #71 +3.8 #61
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #156 0.76 #188 -0.3 #209
Three Pointers 44% #90 1.03 #211 -1.8 #266
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #124 +1.7 #124
Freethrows 0.28 #113 73% #203 0.20 #124
Second Chance 27.7% #76 0.94 #66 0.26 #53
Turnovers 20.5% #20
Total Defense +7.1 #27

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 3.3% #17 -0.7% #110
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 9.9% #41 -2.6% #130
Possession Length 14.8 #13 17.7 #256
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 #82 0.14 #80
Improvement +3.6 #26 +4.0 #19

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.4% 0.8% 0.2%
Top 4 Seed 9.2% 16.7% 5.7%
Top 6 Seed 39.7% 56.7% 31.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 95.7% 98.7% 94.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 95.4% 98.6% 94.0%
Average Seed 6.8 6.1 7.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 99.1% 99.9% 98.8%
Conference Champion 23.7% 39.6% 16.3%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four1.5% 0.3% 2.1%
First Round95.0% 98.5% 93.4%
Second Round61.9% 70.4% 57.9%
Sweet Sixteen21.9% 27.9% 19.1%
Elite Eight8.2% 10.4% 7.2%
Final Four2.9% 3.7% 2.6%
Championship Game1.0% 1.3% 0.8%
National Champion0.3% 0.4% 0.2%

Next Game: Alabama (Away) - 31.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 7 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 44 - 4
Quad 1b2 - 36 - 7
Quad 25 - 211 - 9
Quad 34 - 016 - 10
Quad 47 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA
2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 270 Northwestern St. W 98 - 68 98% +19  1 - 0 +21 +12 C- B- B- +6 B B- B+
 Thu, Nov 6 309 Texas Southern W 104 - 70 99% +12  2 - 0 +22 +15 A- C A+ +4 F+ C A+
 Sun, Nov 9 56 @Oklahoma St. L 63 - 87 61% -14  2 - 1 -11 -7 F D- D- -3 C B- D
 Fri, Nov 14 44 Central Florida L 74 - 86 74% +2  2 - 2 -3 -1 F+ A C- -1 F A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 18 158 Montana W 86 - 81 95% +10  3 - 2 +2 +12 A+ F C+ -10 F A- C
 Fri, Nov 21 327 Manhattan W 109 - 68 99% +21  4 - 2 +28 +20 A+ D A+ +5 D- A+ A
 Tue, Nov 25 365 Mississippi Valley W 120 - 84 100% +20  5 - 2 +9 +15 B C+ B- -12 F D A+
 Fri, Nov 28 101 Florida St. W 95 - 59 84% +22  6 - 2 +41 +17 A+ A C- +21 A+ B+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 93 @Pittsburgh W 81 - 73 74% +4  7 - 2 +17 +18 B- A A- -1 C+ F+ C+
 Sun, Dec 7 39 SMU L 80 - 93 OT 58% -5  7 - 3 +0 -3 C C- C +5 A D D+
 Sun, Dec 14 295 Jacksonville W 112 - 75 98% +24  8 - 3 +26 +26 A+ A+ C -3 F A A+
 Sun, Dec 21 311 East Texas A&M W 118 - 77 99% +22  9 - 3 +29 +23 A+ A+ C+ -1 A- C+ C+
 Mon, Dec 29 339 Prairie View W 111 - 82 99% +22  10 - 3 +15 +11 B C+ B -2 C+ F B-
 Sat, Jan 3 49 LSU W 75 - 72 76% +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +11 +2 B+ D+ F +9 B+ A- A+
 Tue, Jan 6 28 @Auburn W 90 - 88 39% -0  12 - 3 2 - 0 +21 +20 A+ A+ C +1 A- F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 55 Oklahoma W 83 - 76 80% +1  13 - 3 3 - 0 +14 +11 B F+ A+ +3 B- D A+
 Tue, Jan 13 18 @Tennessee L 82 - 87 2OT 31% +3  13 - 4 3 - 1 +16 +7 B+ F+ B +9 A+ B- A-
 Sat, Jan 17 31 @Texas W 74 - 70 42% +3  14 - 4 4 - 1 +22 +15 A- B- A+ +7 A A+ D+
 Wed, Jan 21 73 Mississippi St. W 88 - 68 84% +10  15 - 4 5 - 1 +25 +18 B C A+ +7 C- A+ B+
 Sat, Jan 24 91 South Carolina W 92 - 69 88% +15  16 - 4 6 - 1 +26 +21 A+ A- B +5 A- A+ C
 Sat, Jan 31 34 @Georgia W 92 - 77 44% +11  17 - 4 7 - 1 +32 +18 A+ B+ B- +12 A+ A D+
 Wed, Feb 4 20 @Alabama L 88 - 93 32%
 Sat, Feb 7 5 Florida L 80 - 83 38%
 Wed, Feb 11 54 Missouri W 84 - 76 79%
 Sat, Feb 14 12 @Vanderbilt L 80 - 86 28%
 Wed, Feb 18 59 Mississippi W 80 - 71 81%
 Sat, Feb 21 55 @Oklahoma W 83 - 80 61%
 Wed, Feb 25 22 @Arkansas L 85 - 89 36%
 Sat, Feb 28 31 Texas W 85 - 81 65%
 Tue, Mar 3 26 Kentucky W 81 - 78 59%
 Sat, Mar 7 49 @LSU W 81 - 80 55%
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +16 +8 B+ C+ B- +7 C+ B A-





Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.




Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.3 4.5 10.1 6.6 2.1 0.2 23.7 1st
2nd 0.1 3.7 11.6 4.8 0.3 20.4 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.2 9.9 5.2 0.3 16.6 3rd
4th 0.1 4.8 7.5 0.6 0.0 13.1 4th
5th 0.0 0.9 6.7 1.8 0.0 9.4 5th
6th 0.1 3.2 3.6 0.1 7.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.5 0.7 4.7 7th
8th 0.0 1.0 1.5 0.0 2.6 8th
9th 0.2 1.2 0.2 1.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 11th
12th 0.0 0.0 0.1 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
Total 0.1 0.8 3.2 9.4 17.1 23.2 21.9 15.2 6.9 2.1 0.2 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1 100.0% 0.2    0.2
16-2 100.0% 2.1    2.0 0.1
15-3 95.7% 6.6    4.8 1.7 0.1
14-4 66.1% 10.1    3.8 4.5 1.6 0.1
13-5 20.4% 4.5    0.3 1.6 1.5 0.9 0.1
12-6 1.3% 0.3    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 23.7% 23.7 11.1 7.8 3.3 1.1 0.2 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid
AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1 0.2% 100.0% 14.7% 85.3% 3.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 100.0%
16-2 2.1% 100.0% 17.7% 82.3% 3.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.7 0.4 0.1 100.0%
15-3 6.9% 100.0% 13.1% 86.9% 4.6 0.1 0.9 2.2 2.2 1.1 0.4 100.0%
14-4 15.2% 99.9% 10.6% 89.4% 5.5 0.0 0.5 2.1 5.0 4.5 2.7 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-5 21.9% 99.5% 8.8% 90.7% 6.3 0.2 1.2 3.8 6.2 7.3 2.6 0.4 0.1 0.1 99.5%
12-6 23.2% 98.4% 7.0% 91.4% 7.2 0.0 0.2 1.7 3.8 7.6 6.1 2.8 0.6 0.0 0.4 98.3%
11-7 17.1% 95.3% 3.9% 91.4% 8.1 0.0 0.3 1.2 3.4 5.5 4.2 1.5 0.2 0.8 95.1%
10-8 9.4% 86.2% 1.4% 84.8% 9.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.8 2.6 2.2 0.8 1.3 86.0%
9-9 3.2% 67.7% 0.9% 66.8% 9.7 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.9 0.5 1.0 67.4%
8-10 0.8% 26.9% 26.9% 10.5 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.6 26.9%
7-11 0.1% 0.1
6-12
5-13
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 95.7% 7.3% 88.4% 6.8 4.3 95.4%