Florida
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.1#21
Expected Predictive Rating+11.9#32
Pace77.2#29
Improvement--

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#13
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebound--
Layup/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--

Defense
Total Defense+3.9#70
First Shot--
After Offensive Rebounds--
Layups/Dunks--
2 Pt Jumpshots--
3 Pt Jumpshots--
Freethrows--
Improvement--
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
#1 Seed 3.4% 4.8% 1.4%
Top 2 Seed 8.7% 11.6% 4.4%
Top 4 Seed 25.0% 31.1% 15.7%
Top 6 Seed 42.3% 50.5% 29.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 72.7% 80.4% 61.2%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 71.2% 79.1% 59.7%
Average Seed 6.0 5.7 6.7
.500 or above 89.7% 94.7% 82.0%
.500 or above in Conference 65.6% 71.1% 57.3%
Conference Champion 5.7% 7.0% 3.8%
Last Place in Conference 2.7% 1.8% 4.1%
First Four5.3% 4.6% 6.3%
First Round70.2% 78.2% 58.1%
Second Round48.6% 55.6% 37.9%
Sweet Sixteen24.1% 28.4% 17.5%
Elite Eight11.1% 13.2% 7.8%
Final Four4.9% 6.1% 3.0%
Championship Game2.1% 2.7% 1.2%
National Champion0.8% 1.0% 0.5%

Next Game: Florida St. (Away) - 60.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a3 - 63 - 6
Quad 1b3 - 25 - 8
Quad 25 - 211 - 11
Quad 35 - 116 - 11
Quad 45 - 020 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 120   South Florida W 98-83 82%     1 - 0 +18.1 +18.4 -1.6
  Nov 07, 2024 232   Jacksonville W 81-60 95%     2 - 0 +14.6 +9.7 +5.8
  Nov 11, 2024 241   Grambling St. W 86-62 96%     3 - 0 +17.2 +8.5 +7.6
  Nov 15, 2024 80   @ Florida St. W 82-79 60%    
  Nov 19, 2024 355   Florida A&M W 92-62 99.7%   
  Nov 22, 2024 161   Southern Illinois W 82-66 93%    
  Nov 28, 2024 62   Wake Forest W 83-79 66%    
  Dec 04, 2024 78   Virginia W 71-62 78%    
  Dec 14, 2024 72   Arizona St. W 81-76 69%    
  Dec 17, 2024 10   North Carolina L 83-86 38%    
  Dec 21, 2024 140   North Florida W 92-77 91%    
  Dec 29, 2024 322   Stetson W 90-65 99%    
  Jan 04, 2025 12   @ Kentucky L 83-89 30%    
  Jan 07, 2025 9   Tennessee L 77-78 47%    
  Jan 11, 2025 19   @ Arkansas L 79-82 38%    
  Jan 14, 2025 71   Missouri W 83-75 77%    
  Jan 18, 2025 23   Texas W 80-77 61%    
  Jan 22, 2025 64   @ South Carolina W 77-76 55%    
  Jan 25, 2025 68   Georgia W 85-77 76%    
  Feb 01, 2025 9   @ Tennessee L 74-81 29%    
  Feb 04, 2025 83   Vanderbilt W 86-77 78%    
  Feb 08, 2025 3   @ Auburn L 78-87 21%    
  Feb 11, 2025 26   @ Mississippi St. L 79-82 41%    
  Feb 15, 2025 64   South Carolina W 80-73 74%    
  Feb 18, 2025 52   Oklahoma W 81-74 72%    
  Feb 22, 2025 48   @ LSU W 81-80 51%    
  Feb 25, 2025 68   @ Georgia W 82-80 57%    
  Mar 01, 2025 28   Texas A&M W 79-76 62%    
  Mar 05, 2025 7   @ Alabama L 82-90 25%    
  Mar 08, 2025 61   Mississippi W 81-74 74%    
Projected Record 20 - 10 10 - 8




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.6 1.8 1.1 0.4 0.0 5.7 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 2.5 0.9 0.1 0.0 7.5 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.9 3.4 3.0 0.9 0.1 8.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 3.5 3.8 1.0 0.1 8.9 4th
5th 0.2 2.6 4.8 1.6 0.1 9.3 5th
6th 0.0 1.2 4.9 2.6 0.3 0.0 8.9 6th
7th 0.5 3.8 3.7 0.6 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.3 4.6 1.3 0.1 8.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.8 4.0 2.4 0.1 0.0 7.4 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 2.6 3.0 0.4 0.0 6.3 10th
11th 0.1 1.2 3.3 1.1 0.0 5.7 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 2.3 1.8 0.1 0.0 4.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.9 0.4 0.0 3.9 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 0.8 1.4 0.6 0.0 3.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.3 15th
16th 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.5 0.3 0.1 1.2 16th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.1 6.3 9.0 11.1 12.7 13.0 12.6 10.2 7.6 5.0 2.8 1.2 0.4 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 98.4% 0.4    0.4 0.0
16-2 90.2% 1.1    0.9 0.2 0.0
15-3 64.3% 1.8    0.9 0.8 0.1 0.0
14-4 32.3% 1.6    0.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0
13-5 8.0% 0.6    0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
12-6 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0    0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 5.7% 5.7 2.8 1.9 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-1 0.4% 100.0% 32.8% 67.2% 1.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-2 1.2% 100.0% 27.4% 72.6% 1.5 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-3 2.8% 100.0% 22.5% 77.5% 2.0 1.0 1.1 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 5.0% 100.0% 15.9% 84.1% 2.6 0.8 1.6 1.6 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 7.6% 100.0% 12.8% 87.2% 3.5 0.4 1.2 2.3 2.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.9%
12-6 10.2% 99.8% 8.4% 91.4% 4.6 0.1 0.6 1.9 2.6 2.3 1.5 0.8 0.2 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
11-7 12.6% 98.6% 5.2% 93.4% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.0 2.8 2.7 2.0 1.0 0.6 0.2 0.1 0.2 98.5%
10-8 13.0% 94.1% 2.6% 91.6% 6.9 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.8 1.7 2.5 2.5 1.8 1.4 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.8 94.0%
9-9 12.7% 85.5% 1.7% 83.8% 8.2 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.2 1.8 2.0 2.1 1.4 1.2 0.2 1.8 85.2%
8-10 11.1% 60.5% 1.1% 59.4% 9.6 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.9 1.2 1.5 2.0 0.4 4.4 60.0%
7-11 9.0% 28.2% 0.6% 27.6% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.5 1.1 0.4 0.0 6.5 27.8%
6-12 6.3% 9.8% 0.1% 9.7% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.2 5.7 9.7%
5-13 4.1% 1.3% 0.1% 1.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 1.2%
4-14 2.3% 2.3
3-15 1.1% 1.1
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 72.7% 5.1% 67.6% 6.0 3.4 5.3 7.6 8.6 8.8 8.5 7.6 6.1 5.7 4.7 5.2 1.1 0.0 27.3 71.2%