IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating	-0.4	#167
Expected Predictive Rating	+1.9	#139

Pace	67.4	#224
Improvement	-1.3	#265

Offense
Total Offense	+0.1	#168

First Shot	-2.6	#252
After Offensive Rebound	+2.7	#36

Layup/Dunks	-3.5	#302
2 Pt Jumpshots	+1.7	#86
3 Pt Jumpshots	-0.3	#188
Freethrows	-0.5	#219

Improvement	+1.6	#71

Defense
Total Defense	-0.6	#186

First Shot	-2.9	#271
After Offensive Rebounds	+2.3	#31

Layups/Dunks	-1.7	#243
2 Pt Jumpshots	+0.9	#113
3 Pt Jumpshots	-1.0	#235
Freethrows	-1.0	#257

Improvement	-3.0	#344

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Average Seed	11.7	11.7	n/a

.500 or above	11.0%	12.0%	3.0%
.500 or above in Conference	2.2%	2.4%	1.0%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	42.1%	40.8%	52.0%

First Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
First Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Second Round	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Sweet Sixteen	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Fairleigh Dickinson (Home) - 88.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	0 - 3	0 - 3
Quad 1b	0 - 3	1 - 5
Quad 2	2 - 9	3 - 14
Quad 3	4 - 4	7 - 17
Quad 4	6 - 1	13 - 19

Date	Opponent		Result/Prediction			Record	Conf		Rating	Offense	Defense
Nov 04, 2024	354	The Citadel	W	69-60	92%	1 - 0			-6.7	-8.9	+2.4
Nov 08, 2024	57	Virginia Commonwealth	L	55-80	18%	1 - 1			-15.6	-12.2	-2.8
Nov 15, 2024	124	Temple	W	72-69	51%	2 - 1			+2.3	+5.0	-2.5
Nov 19, 2024	322	Loyola Maryland	W	82-61	86%	3 - 1			+8.9	+10.0	+0.5
Nov 24, 2024	308	Old Dominion	W	82-52	77%	4 - 1			+21.9	+9.5	+14.0
Nov 25, 2024	171	Missouri St.	W	76-74 OT	50%	5 - 1			+1.4	+1.7	-0.3
Nov 26, 2024	58	Boise St.	W	63-61	18%	6 - 1			+11.4	-3.7	+15.1
Nov 29, 2024	280	Dartmouth	L	83-88	80%	6 - 2			-14.4	+2.2	-16.3
Dec 03, 2024	63	South Carolina	L	51-73	28%	6 - 3			-16.5	-15.7	-2.3
Dec 07, 2024	89	@ Wake Forest	L	66-72	18%	6 - 4	0 - 1		+3.3	+4.2	-1.4
Dec 15, 2024	323	Stonehill	W	73-69	86%	7 - 4			-8.1	+3.3	-10.8
Dec 21, 2024	40	SMU	L	77-103	20%	7 - 5	0 - 2		-17.5	+4.7	-21.7
Dec 28, 2024	333	Fairleigh Dickinson	W	84-71	89%
Jan 01, 2025	103	Miami (FL)	L	73-75	42%
Jan 04, 2025	112	@ Georgia Tech	L	70-77	26%
Jan 11, 2025	100	Syracuse	L	75-77	42%
Jan 13, 2025	83	@ Notre Dame	L	65-75	17%
Jan 18, 2025	2	Duke	L	60-79	4%
Jan 21, 2025	92	@ Virginia	L	56-65	20%
Jan 25, 2025	22	@ North Carolina	L	70-88	5%
Feb 01, 2025	70	Florida St.	L	72-77	31%
Feb 05, 2025	44	Louisville	L	70-78	22%
Feb 08, 2025	100	@ Syracuse	L	72-80	23%
Feb 12, 2025	83	Notre Dame	L	68-72	34%
Feb 15, 2025	79	@ North Carolina St.	L	65-76	16%
Feb 18, 2025	137	Virginia Tech	W	70-69	55%
Feb 22, 2025	112	Georgia Tech	L	73-74	48%
Feb 26, 2025	94	@ Stanford	L	69-78	21%
Mar 01, 2025	128	@ California	L	73-78	31%
Mar 05, 2025	37	Clemson	L	66-75	20%
Mar 08, 2025	30	@ Pittsburgh	L	65-82	7%
Projected Record						13 - 18	5 - 15

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-20	1-19	2-18	3-17	4-16	5-15	6-14	7-13	8-12	9-11	10-10	11-9	12-8	13-7	14-6	15-5	16-4	17-3	18-2	19-1	20-0		Total
1st																								1st
2nd																0.0							0.0	2nd
3rd														0.0	0.0								0.0	3rd
4th													0.0	0.0	0.0								0.1	4th
5th											0.0	0.0	0.1	0.0									0.1	5th
6th										0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.0									0.3	6th
7th										0.0	0.2	0.2	0.0										0.5	7th
8th									0.0	0.3	0.5	0.1	0.0										0.9	8th
9th									0.2	0.8	0.4	0.0											1.3	9th
10th								0.1	0.9	1.0	0.2												2.1	10th
11th							0.0	0.5	1.8	0.6	0.0												3.0	11th
12th						0.0	0.3	2.0	1.8	0.1	0.0												4.2	12th
13th						0.1	1.6	3.4	0.8	0.0													5.9	13th
14th					0.0	1.1	4.3	2.5	0.2	0.0													8.1	14th
15th				0.0	0.8	4.4	4.7	0.8	0.0														10.7	15th
16th			0.0	0.9	4.6	6.5	2.0	0.1														14.1	16th
17th		0.2	1.7	6.0	8.1	3.9	0.4	0.0														20.2	17th
18th	1.4	4.9	9.1	8.6	3.7	0.6	0.0															28.5	18th

Total	1.4	5.1	10.9	15.6	17.2	16.5	13.3	9.2	5.6	2.9	1.4	0.6	0.2	0.1	0.0	0.0							Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%
14-6	0.0%
13-7	0.0%
12-8	0.0%
11-9	0.0%
10-10	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance		Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed		1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid		At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5	0.0%																							0.0
14-6	0.0%																							0.0
13-7	0.1%		11.1%	3.7%	7.4%	11.3												0.0	0.0					0.0		7.7%
12-8	0.2%																							0.2
11-9	0.6%		0.4%		0.4%	10.0											0.0							0.6		0.4%
10-10	1.4%																							1.4
9-11	2.9%																							2.9
8-12	5.6%		0.0%	0.0%		12.0													0.0					5.6
7-13	9.2%																							9.2
6-14	13.3%		0.0%	0.0%		14.0															0.0			13.3
5-15	16.5%																							16.5
4-16	17.2%																							17.2
3-17	15.6%																							15.6
2-18	10.9%																							10.9
1-19	5.1%																							5.1
0-20	1.4%																							1.4

Total	100%		0.0%	0.0%	0.0%	11.7											0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0			100.0		0.0%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	0.3%