Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +2.1 #127
Expected Predictive Rating -0.8 #179
Pace 66.5 #243
Improvement +3.1 #57

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #248 C- C- B- C- D+
Defense #55 A- B D+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #326 1.13 #211 -3.9 #307
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% #124 0.84 #63 +1.8 #85
Three Pointers 45% #111 0.92 #297 -0.3 #189
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #249 -2.4 #249
Freethrows 0.30 #181 66% #344 0.20 #256
Second Chance 30.5% #179 0.96 #274 0.29 #224
Turnovers 15.4% #105
Total Offense -2.9 #248

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #156 1.02 #39 +2.0 #109
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #59 0.72 #109 -1.1 #272
Three Pointers 36% #318 0.85 #17 +5.6 #7
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #24 +6.5 #24
Freethrows 0.28 #126 65% #1 0.18 #54
Second Chance 29.3% #124 0.90 #37 0.26 #59
Turnovers 15.0% #283
Total Defense +5.0 #55

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.4% #282 -0.9% #98
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -3.3% #232 -12.1% #18
Possession Length 17.5 #198 17.5 #241
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #295 0.13 #58
Improvement +2.2 #71 +0.8 #134

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.8% 5.8% 0.7%
.500 or above in Conference 0.6% 4.0% 0.5%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 38.8% 15.6% 39.1%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Duke (Away) - 1.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 22 - 73 - 15
Quad 33 - 36 - 18
Quad 46 - 212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 109 @Florida Atlantic L 78 - 83 OT 33% -2  0 - 1 +2 -1 D A+ C +4 C+ A+ D-
 Thu, Nov 6 344 The Citadel W 76 - 47 93% +11  1 - 1 +14 +0 F C A+ +16 A+ B+ C
 Tue, Nov 11 300 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 60 89% +4  1 - 2 -12 -16 F F+ D +4 C A B-
 Sat, Nov 15 143 @Temple W 76 - 71 42% +5  2 - 2 +9 +5 D+ B A- +4 A+ C- F
 Tue, Nov 18 251 Hampton W 63 - 52 83% +12  3 - 2 +3 -7 F C B- +11 A C- B
 Fri, Nov 21 117 Davidson L 49 - 59 46% -3  3 - 3 -7 -11 D- C- F +2 B+ A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 171 Tulane L 90 - 93 OT 61% -1  3 - 4 -4 +6 C- C A+ -10 C F F+
 Wed, Nov 26 165 Harvard W 73 - 60 70% +9  4 - 4 +10 +4 B F A+ +6 A+ C+ D
 Wed, Dec 3 49 LSU L 69 - 78 OT 28% -4  4 - 5 -1 -7 D+ D+ D- +7 A+ A D+
 Sat, Dec 6 334 New Haven W 67 - 63 92% -3  5 - 5 -10 -2 B+ F F -7 C+ C+ F+
 Wed, Dec 10 173 Massachusetts L 74 - 76 62% -3  5 - 6 -3 +1 F C- A- -4 A F B-
 Mon, Dec 22 343 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72 - 61 93% -2  6 - 6 -4 +3 C- A- A- -5 C+ B- F
 Sun, Dec 28 296 Le Moyne W 72 - 64 88% +2  7 - 6 -3 -9 C F C +6 B+ B+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 115 @Georgia Tech L 53 - 65 34% -2  7 - 7 0 - 1 -6 -15 F D+ C+ +9 B+ A+ B
 Tue, Jan 6 23 North Carolina St. L 71 - 79 14% -7  7 - 8 0 - 2 +5 +14 A+ B+ F -10 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 16 @Louisville L 62 - 75 5% +1  7 - 9 0 - 3 +8 -2 C+ F A+ +9 C+ A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 13 33 @Clemson L 50 - 74 9% -11  7 - 10 0 - 4 -7 -9 A- D- F +0 B D+ C
 Sat, Jan 17 68 Syracuse W 81 - 73 OT 38% -2  8 - 10 1 - 4 +13 +3 C+ D+ A+ +9 B- A+ A+
 Wed, Jan 21 93 Pittsburgh W 65 - 62 46% +1  9 - 10 2 - 4 +6 -1 C+ C B+ +7 A+ C F+
 Sat, Jan 24 81 @Notre Dame L 64 - 68 23% +4  9 - 11 2 - 5 +6 +2 D- A+ C+ +3 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 31 25 Virginia L 66 - 73 15% +1  9 - 12 2 - 6 +6 +3 B C+ B- +3 A- A+ F+
 Tue, Feb 3 3 @Duke L 56 - 81 1%
 Sat, Feb 7 40 Miami (FL) L 67 - 75 23%
 Wed, Feb 11 86 Stanford L 68 - 69 44%
 Sat, Feb 14 64 California L 67 - 71 37%
 Tue, Feb 17 101 @Florida St. L 70 - 76 30%
 Sat, Feb 21 39 @SMU L 66 - 80 9%
 Tue, Feb 24 75 Wake Forest L 69 - 72 39%
 Sat, Feb 28 40 @Miami (FL) L 64 - 78 10%
 Tue, Mar 3 60 @Virginia Tech L 64 - 74 17%
 Sat, Mar 7 81 Notre Dame L 66 - 68 44%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 13 +2 -3 C- C- B- +5 A- B D+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.2 0.3 8th
9th 0.1 0.8 0.2 1.1 9th
10th 0.1 1.2 0.9 0.0 2.2 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 2.3 0.3 3.4 11th
12th 0.1 3.5 2.2 0.0 5.9 12th
13th 1.7 5.9 0.7 0.0 8.2 13th
14th 0.1 6.2 3.9 0.1 10.3 14th
15th 0.0 2.6 9.7 0.8 13.2 15th
16th 1.1 10.7 5.7 0.1 17.6 16th
17th 0.7 7.1 10.5 0.9 19.2 17th
18th 5.3 10.5 2.6 0.0 18.4 18th
Total 6.0 18.8 26.6 24.4 15.0 6.5 2.2 0.5 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.5% 0.5
8-10 2.2% 2.2
7-11 6.5% 6.5
6-12 15.0% 15.0
5-13 24.4% 24.4
4-14 26.6% 26.6
3-15 18.8% 18.8
2-16 6.0% 6.0
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 6.0%