Boston College
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +0.1 #151
Expected Predictive Rating -3.9 #232
Pace 65.7 #278
Improvement -0.6 #213

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #262 D- C- C+ C C-
Defense #87 A B- D- B- B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% #314 1.07 #280 -4.5 #319
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #163 0.83 #85 +1.1 #121
Three Pointers 46% #103 0.84 #336 -1.7 #244
1st FG Attempt 0.91 #319 -5.1 #319
Freethrows 18.2 #145 68% #301 12.4 #194
Second Chance 32.1% #141 0.94 #296 0.30 #217
Turnovers 16.0% #134
Total Offense -3.0 #262

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #167 0.97 #19 +3.2 #73
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #65 0.75 #179 -1.7 #291
Three Pointers 36% #305 0.86 #33 +5.3 #22
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #24 +6.8 #24
Freethrows 17.3 #190 65% #8 11.2 #273
Second Chance 31.2% #205 0.91 #37 0.28 #94
Turnovers 14.2% #318
Total Defense +3.1 #87

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -1.0% #250 -0.9% #91
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -9.1% #316 -12.7% #17
Possession Length 17.8 #230 17.7 #247
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.12 #310 0.15 #94
Improvement +1.6 #82 -2.2 #308

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.3% 1.9% 0.3%
.500 or above in Conference 0.3% 1.2% 0.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 65.2% 41.4% 65.9%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Louisville (Away) - 2.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 30 - 8
Quad 22 - 82 - 15
Quad 32 - 44 - 20
Quad 46 - 110 - 21


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 106 @Florida Atlantic L 78 - 83 OT 24%  -2  0 - 1 +2 -1 D- A+ C +4 B- A+ F
 Thu, Nov 6 360 The Citadel W 76 - 47 95%  +11  1 - 1 +11 -4 F D+ A+ +16 A+ A+ C-
 Tue, Nov 11 269 Central Connecticut St. L 59 - 60 81%  +4  1 - 2 -10 -15 F D D +5 C+ A+ B+
 Sat, Nov 15 143 @Temple W 76 - 71 35%  +5  2 - 2 +9 +4 D- A- B+ +5 A+ D F
 Tue, Nov 18 252 Hampton W 63 - 52 78%  +12  3 - 2 +3 -7 F C B- +11 A+ C- B
 Fri, Nov 21 125 Davidson L 49 - 59 42%  -3  3 - 3 -8 -12 D- C F +1 A- A+ F
 Sun, Nov 23 176 Tulane L 90 - 93 OT 55%  -1  3 - 4 -4 +6 D C- A+ -10 C F F
 Wed, Nov 26 196 Harvard W 73 - 60 70%  +9  4 - 4 +8 +4 B- F A+ +5 A+ B- F
 Wed, Dec 3 42 LSU L 69 - 78 OT 20%  -4  4 - 5 -0 -6 C- C- F +6 A+ A+ D+
 Sat, Dec 6 338 New Haven W 67 - 63 91%  -3  5 - 5 -11 -2 A- F F -8 C C- F
 Wed, Dec 10 167 Massachusetts L 74 - 76 53%  -3  5 - 6 -3 +2 F C A -4 A+ F B
 Mon, Dec 22 349 Fairleigh Dickinson W 72 - 61 92%  -2  6 - 6 -5 +2 D A A+ -5 B B- F
 Sun, Dec 28 291 Le Moyne W 72 - 64 83%  +2  7 - 6 -2 -11 C- F C +8 A A+ C+
 Sat, Jan 3 114 @Georgia Tech L 53 - 65 27%  -2  7 - 7 0 - 1 -5 -15 F D- B +9 B+ A+ B+
 Tue, Jan 6 34 North Carolina St. L 71 - 79 16%  -7  7 - 8 0 - 2 +3 +13 A+ A+ F -12 B- F F
 Sat, Jan 10 15 @Louisville L 64 - 84 3% 
 Tue, Jan 13 39 @Clemson L 57 - 73 6% 
 Sat, Jan 17 69 Syracuse L 66 - 71 31% 
 Wed, Jan 21 82 Pittsburgh L 65 - 69 36% 
 Sat, Jan 24 59 @Notre Dame L 59 - 71 13% 
 Sat, Jan 31 22 Virginia L 62 - 75 12% 
 Tue, Feb 3 6 @Duke L 58 - 82 1% 
 Sat, Feb 7 36 Miami (FL) L 66 - 76 17% 
 Wed, Feb 11 79 Stanford L 67 - 71 34% 
 Sat, Feb 14 84 California L 67 - 71 36% 
 Tue, Feb 17 111 @Florida St. L 71 - 78 25% 
 Sat, Feb 21 28 @SMU L 65 - 82 5% 
 Tue, Feb 24 62 Wake Forest L 67 - 73 29% 
 Sat, Feb 28 36 @Miami (FL) L 63 - 79 6% 
 Tue, Mar 3 68 @Virginia Tech L 64 - 76 14% 
 Sat, Mar 7 59 Notre Dame L 62 - 68 29% 
Totals 10 - 21 3 - 15 +0 -3 D- C- C+ +3 A B- D-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.5 10th
11th 0.1 0.5 0.2 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 0.7 0.1 1.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 1.6 0.6 0.0 2.5 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.0 1.9 0.1 4.2 14th
15th 0.2 2.0 3.6 0.8 0.0 6.5 15th
16th 0.2 2.4 6.6 3.0 0.2 12.4 16th
17th 0.7 5.1 9.9 6.6 0.8 0.0 23.2 17th
18th 5.4 14.7 17.1 8.8 1.9 0.1 48.0 18th
Total 5.4 15.5 22.4 21.4 17.2 9.9 5.1 2.2 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0%
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6 0.0% 0.0
11-7 0.0% 0.0
10-8 0.1% 0.1
9-9 0.2% 0.2
8-10 0.7% 0.7
7-11 2.2% 2.2
6-12 5.1% 5.1
5-13 9.9% 9.9
4-14 17.2% 17.2
3-15 21.4% 21.4
2-16 22.4% 22.4
1-17 15.5% 15.5
0-18 5.4% 5.4
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 5.4%