Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+13.9#32
Expected Predictive Rating+15.2#26
Pace62.2#339
Improvement+0.9#149

Offense
Total Offense+7.7#29
First Shot+6.5#36
After Offensive Rebound+1.2#113
Layup/Dunks+0.5#162
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#125
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.7#51
Freethrows+0.5#149
Improvement+2.1#72

Defense
Total Defense+6.2#40
First Shot+3.8#70
After Offensive Rebounds+2.4#22
Layups/Dunks+1.9#99
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.3#332
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.3#134
Freethrows+2.9#24
Improvement-1.2#255
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.5% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 4.0% 4.5% 1.0%
Top 6 Seed 14.0% 15.3% 5.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 78.0% 79.2% 69.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 75.8% 77.1% 67.6%
Average Seed 8.3 8.2 9.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 8.8% 9.7% 2.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four8.9% 8.3% 12.5%
First Round74.3% 75.8% 63.9%
Second Round41.3% 43.0% 30.1%
Sweet Sixteen13.4% 14.2% 8.2%
Elite Eight5.2% 5.6% 2.8%
Final Four2.1% 2.3% 0.7%
Championship Game0.8% 0.8% 0.2%
National Champion0.2% 0.3% 0.1%

Next Game: Georgia Tech (Home) - 87.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 31 - 3
Quad 1b2 - 14 - 4
Quad 27 - 311 - 7
Quad 39 - 119 - 8
Quad 46 - 025 - 8


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 285   Charleston Southern W 91-64 97%     1 - 0 +17.7 +14.5 +3.2
  Nov 08, 2024 336   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +12.0 +6.6 +4.8
  Nov 12, 2024 231   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 96%     3 - 0 +6.6 +2.4 +5.3
  Nov 17, 2024 51   @ Boise St. L 71-84 55%     3 - 1 -0.3 +2.4 -2.6
  Nov 21, 2024 204   Radford W 79-51 95%     4 - 1 +23.4 +8.7 +17.2
  Nov 25, 2024 72   San Francisco W 70-55 73%     5 - 1 +22.6 +11.0 +13.7
  Nov 26, 2024 50   Penn St. W 75-67 64%     6 - 1 +18.2 +7.1 +11.2
  Nov 29, 2024 340   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +13.9 +11.6 +3.9
  Dec 03, 2024 22   Kentucky W 70-66 53%     8 - 1 +17.2 +1.5 +15.9
  Dec 07, 2024 169   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 86%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +12.3 +0.0 +14.1
  Dec 14, 2024 41   Memphis L 82-87 OT 68%     9 - 2 +4.2 +9.5 -5.0
  Dec 17, 2024 79   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 65%     9 - 3 +6.8 +15.4 -8.3
  Dec 21, 2024 58   Wake Forest W 73-62 74%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +18.2 +6.5 +11.7
  Jan 01, 2025 78   Stanford W 85-71 80%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +18.9 +14.7 +4.4
  Jan 04, 2025 116   California W 80-68 89%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +12.4 +16.9 -2.8
  Jan 07, 2025 27   @ Louisville L 64-74 38%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +6.9 +2.5 +3.8
  Jan 11, 2025 82   Florida St. W 77-57 80%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +24.8 +16.6 +10.6
  Jan 14, 2025 99   @ Georgia Tech W 70-59 74%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +18.3 +7.2 +11.9
  Jan 18, 2025 47   @ Pittsburgh W 78-75 OT 52%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +16.3 +19.3 -2.6
  Jan 22, 2025 104   Syracuse W 86-72 87%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +15.9 +22.3 -5.1
  Jan 25, 2025 118   @ Virginia Tech W 72-57 80%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +20.1 +11.7 +10.8
  Feb 01, 2025 91   @ North Carolina St. W 68-58 69%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +18.6 +9.6 +10.5
  Feb 04, 2025 99   Georgia Tech W 76-64 87%    
  Feb 08, 2025 2   Duke L 64-71 28%    
  Feb 10, 2025 36   North Carolina W 76-72 65%    
  Feb 15, 2025 82   @ Florida St. W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 22, 2025 42   @ SMU L 72-73 47%    
  Feb 26, 2025 83   Notre Dame W 73-64 81%    
  Mar 01, 2025 97   @ Virginia W 65-59 71%    
  Mar 05, 2025 176   @ Boston College W 76-64 86%    
  Mar 08, 2025 118   Virginia Tech W 76-62 91%    
Projected Record 24 - 7 16 - 4




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.2 4.4 3.2 8.8 1st
2nd 0.0 0.4 4.0 14.3 21.0 9.9 49.6 2nd
3rd 0.3 4.2 11.3 12.6 3.8 32.1 3rd
4th 0.1 1.3 3.5 2.7 0.4 7.9 4th
5th 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.1 1.2 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.5 2.3 8.4 18.1 27.3 26.0 14.3 3.2 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 3.2    1.4 1.8
18-2 30.6% 4.4    1.0 2.8 0.6
17-3 4.6% 1.2    0.1 0.8 0.3 0.0
16-4 0.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 0.1% 0.0    0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10
Total 8.8% 8.8 2.5 5.4 0.9 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 3.2% 99.1% 17.1% 82.0% 4.6 0.1 0.2 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.5 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 98.9%
18-2 14.3% 96.8% 12.6% 84.1% 6.5 0.1 0.5 1.3 2.1 2.5 2.9 2.6 1.3 0.5 0.0 0.5 96.3%
17-3 26.0% 89.7% 10.4% 79.4% 8.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.3 4.3 5.2 5.6 3.6 0.8 2.7 88.6%
16-4 27.3% 78.6% 8.7% 69.9% 9.1 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.7 4.0 5.9 6.3 2.6 0.0 5.8 76.5%
15-5 18.1% 63.6% 6.6% 57.0% 9.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 1.0 2.9 4.1 3.1 0.1 6.6 61.0%
14-6 8.4% 47.9% 3.9% 43.9% 10.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.5 0.0 4.4 45.7%
13-7 2.3% 29.4% 1.8% 27.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.6 28.1%
12-8 0.5% 26.4% 5.7% 20.8% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.4 22.0%
11-9 0.0% 0.0
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 78.0% 9.0% 69.0% 8.3 0.1 0.3 1.1 2.5 4.0 6.0 9.5 13.1 16.5 16.2 8.6 0.1 22.0 75.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 2.6 20.4 22.2 38.9 14.8 3.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.1% 100.0% 4.2 9.4 24.5 26.4 21.7 14.2 2.8 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.7% 100.0% 5.2 1.4 1.4 8.5 22.5 21.1 19.7 22.5 2.8