Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+16.4#21
Expected Predictive Rating+17.1#13
Pace61.9#334
Improvement+2.7#80

Offense
Total Offense+9.0#19
First Shot+7.5#26
After Offensive Rebound+1.4#95
Layup/Dunks+0.8#144
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.9#118
3 Pt Jumpshots+5.1#40
Freethrows+0.7#133
Improvement+2.2#81

Defense
Total Defense+7.5#25
First Shot+4.9#50
After Offensive Rebounds+2.6#20
Layups/Dunks+2.4#88
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#323
3 Pt Jumpshots+1.7#113
Freethrows+3.0#22
Improvement+0.5#164
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 3.2% 4.6% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 40.2% 56.0% 4.6%
Top 6 Seed 75.1% 92.0% 37.3%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% 100.0% 99.4%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% 100.0% 99.4%
Average Seed 5.1 4.5 6.7
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round99.8% 100.0% 99.4%
Second Round78.1% 82.9% 67.3%
Sweet Sixteen38.4% 44.2% 25.4%
Elite Eight14.5% 16.1% 11.1%
Final Four5.6% 6.3% 4.2%
Championship Game1.9% 2.1% 1.3%
National Champion0.6% 0.7% 0.4%

Projected Seeding 5 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 22 - 2
Quad 1b3 - 15 - 3
Quad 28 - 213 - 5
Quad 38 - 122 - 6
Quad 46 - 027 - 6


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 307   Charleston Southern W 91-64 99%     1 - 0 +15.7 +13.3 +2.4
  Nov 08, 2024 315   St. Francis (PA) W 88-62 99%     2 - 0 +14.0 +7.4 +5.9
  Nov 12, 2024 195   Eastern Kentucky W 75-62 96%     3 - 0 +8.3 +3.5 +5.9
  Nov 17, 2024 52   @ Boise St. L 71-84 61%     3 - 1 +0.7 +3.2 -2.4
  Nov 21, 2024 170   Radford W 79-51 96%     4 - 1 +24.7 +9.3 +17.9
  Nov 25, 2024 64   San Francisco W 70-55 78%     5 - 1 +23.3 +11.9 +13.5
  Nov 26, 2024 58   Penn St. W 75-67 74%     6 - 1 +17.9 +7.3 +10.7
  Nov 29, 2024 326   Florida A&M W 86-58 99%     7 - 1 +15.3 +10.6 +6.3
  Dec 03, 2024 14   Kentucky W 70-66 56%     8 - 1 +18.9 +3.1 +15.9
  Dec 07, 2024 173   @ Miami (FL) W 65-55 91%     9 - 1 1 - 0 +12.0 +0.1 +13.7
  Dec 14, 2024 50   Memphis L 82-87 OT 78%     9 - 2 +3.3 +9.4 -5.8
  Dec 17, 2024 71   @ South Carolina L 88-91 OT 71%     9 - 3 +7.8 +15.3 -7.3
  Dec 21, 2024 63   Wake Forest W 73-62 82%     10 - 3 2 - 0 +17.5 +5.3 +12.2
  Jan 01, 2025 81   Stanford W 85-71 87%     11 - 3 3 - 0 +18.1 +15.5 +2.7
  Jan 04, 2025 106   California W 80-68 92%     12 - 3 4 - 0 +13.1 +17.9 -3.0
  Jan 07, 2025 23   @ Louisville L 64-74 41%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +8.7 +4.4 +3.7
  Jan 11, 2025 85   Florida St. W 77-57 88%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +23.7 +17.0 +9.1
  Jan 14, 2025 94   @ Georgia Tech W 70-59 79%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +19.0 +8.4 +11.5
  Jan 18, 2025 62   @ Pittsburgh W 78-75 OT 66%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +15.1 +19.8 -4.2
  Jan 22, 2025 102   Syracuse W 86-72 91%     16 - 4 8 - 1 +15.4 +21.2 -4.5
  Jan 25, 2025 135   @ Virginia Tech W 72-57 87%     17 - 4 9 - 1 +19.2 +12.8 +8.8
  Feb 01, 2025 104   @ North Carolina St. W 68-58 82%     18 - 4 10 - 1 +16.7 +9.1 +9.0
  Feb 04, 2025 94   Georgia Tech L 86-89 3OT 90%     18 - 5 10 - 2 -0.5 +1.4 -1.4
  Feb 08, 2025 1   Duke W 77-71 23%     19 - 5 11 - 2 +30.0 +23.4 +7.3
  Feb 10, 2025 34   North Carolina W 85-65 70%     20 - 5 12 - 2 +30.9 +15.7 +15.2
  Feb 15, 2025 85   @ Florida St. W 72-46 76%     21 - 5 13 - 2 +35.2 +12.0 +25.6
  Feb 22, 2025 45   @ SMU W 79-69 59%     22 - 5 14 - 2 +24.2 +21.6 +3.8
  Feb 26, 2025 95   Notre Dame W 83-68 90%     23 - 5 15 - 2 +17.5 +19.1 -0.2
  Mar 01, 2025 99   @ Virginia W 71-58 81%     24 - 5 16 - 2 +20.3 +10.3 +11.8
  Mar 05, 2025 168   @ Boston College W 78-69 90%     25 - 5 17 - 2 +11.2 +10.0 +1.6
  Mar 08, 2025 135   Virginia Tech W 65-47 94%     26 - 5 18 - 2 +16.7 +0.2 +18.8
  Mar 13, 2025 45   SMU W 75-70 69%    
Projected Record 27 - 5 18 - 2




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 100.0 100.0 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2 0.0%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2 100.0% 99.8% 8.1% 91.7% 5.1 0.3 2.8 14.0 23.0 19.3 15.7 15.7 7.4 1.6 0.0 0.2 99.8%
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.8% 8.1% 91.7% 5.1 0.3 2.8 14.0 23.0 19.3 15.7 15.7 7.4 1.6 0.0 0.2 99.8%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 8.1% 100.0% 3.1 1.8 19.6 47.2 26.4 4.4 0.5
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 32.2% 100.0% 4.0 0.5 3.6 25.6 41.4 21.2 6.4 1.3 0.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 28.9% 99.9% 5.3 0.0 0.2 6.4 21.6 28.8 25.2 14.9 2.6 0.1
Lose Out 30.8% 99.4% 6.7 0.3 4.3 12.2 20.5 35.6 21.5 5.0 0.1