Clemson
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +13.0 #39
Expected Predictive Rating +17.4 #18
Pace 63.1 #331
Improvement +0.7 #140

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #66 A- C- A- A- A-
Defense #22 A B+ C C B+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 42% #88 1.34 #26 +5.9 #25
2 Pt. Jumpers 12% #325 0.90 #31 -2.2 #282
Three Pointers 46% #98 1.01 #191 +2.3 #112
1st FG Attempt 1.13 #43 +6.0 #42
Freethrows 20.7 #35 75% #121 15.5 #34
Second Chance 29.9% #213 1.00 #241 0.30 #228
Turnovers 14.0% #39
Total Offense +5.4 #66

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #305 1.05 #59 +4.6 #49
2 Pt. Jumpers 25% #57 0.70 #109 -1.1 #262
Three Pointers 41% #177 0.84 #24 +3.4 #66
1st FG Attempt 0.88 #23 +6.9 #23
Freethrows 17.1 #175 75% #290 12.9 #158
Second Chance 24.1% #17 1.06 #207 0.25 #42
Turnovers 17.2% #142
Total Defense +7.6 #22

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 2.6% #33 -1.9% #45
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 8.9% #55 -11.9% #24
Possession Length 16.5 #112 19.4 #363
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #243 0.10 #21
Improvement -2.2 #314 +3.0 #34

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.3% 0.5% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 5.5% 7.9% 2.7%
Top 6 Seed 28.0% 36.7% 17.9%
NCAA Tourney Bid 88.8% 93.6% 83.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 88.2% 93.2% 82.5%
Average Seed 7.5 7.1 8.0
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 99.9%
.500 or above in Conference 96.6% 98.8% 94.0%
Conference Champion 12.3% 17.3% 6.4%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four4.8% 2.9% 7.0%
First Round86.4% 92.2% 79.7%
Second Round47.6% 53.6% 40.5%
Sweet Sixteen13.3% 16.3% 9.9%
Elite Eight3.8% 4.6% 2.9%
Final Four1.1% 1.4% 0.8%
Championship Game0.3% 0.4% 0.2%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Notre Dame (Away) - 53.7% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 8 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 41 - 4
Quad 1b4 - 25 - 7
Quad 27 - 213 - 9
Quad 34 - 117 - 10
Quad 46 - 023 - 10


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 344 New Hampshire W 88 - 38 99%  +26  1 - 0 +35 +11 A F A+ +25 A+ A+ C
 Fri, Nov 7 363 Gardner-Webb W 97 - 59 99%  +21  2 - 0 +19 +15 D A- A+ +4 C+ B A-
 Tue, Nov 11 308 Morehead St. W 83 - 56 98%  +17  3 - 0 +15 +19 B- B A+ +1 A+ F C
 Sat, Nov 15 103 @Georgetown L 74 - 79 69%  -1  3 - 1 +3 +5 C D A- -2 D+ A+ C
 Mon, Nov 17 293 North Alabama W 81 - 61 98%  +14  4 - 1 +10 +13 C A+ F -1 B- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 67 West Virginia W 70 - 67 66%  -2  5 - 1 +12 +7 A+ F C+ +5 A+ C D
 Sun, Nov 23 24 Georgia W 97 - 94 OT 40%  -0  6 - 1 +19 +15 A+ A+ A +3 C A+ A
 Fri, Nov 28 303 Alabama A&M W 92 - 56 98%  +25  7 - 1 +25 +14 A- B+ C +11 C+ A+ C-
 Wed, Dec 3 13 @Alabama L 84 - 90 21%  -9  7 - 2 +15 +15 A+ F A+ +0 B B- C
 Tue, Dec 9 8 BYU L 64 - 67 24%  +5  7 - 3 +17 +10 A- B- D +7 A+ F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 160 Mercer W 70 - 63 93%  -0  8 - 3 +4 +2 A- F A+ +3 C- A+ C-
 Tue, Dec 16 72 South Carolina W 68 - 61 78%  +6  9 - 3 +12 +1 C+ C A- +12 A+ A- A+
 Sun, Dec 21 58 Cincinnati W 68 - 65 64%  +13  10 - 3 +12 +8 A+ D- B+ +4 A D B
 Wed, Dec 31 69 @Syracuse W 64 - 61 56%  +4  11 - 3 1 - 0 +14 +1 A+ F C+ +13 A- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 82 @Pittsburgh W 73 - 68 61%  +2  12 - 3 2 - 0 +15 +8 A+ D- F +8 A B+ C
 Wed, Jan 7 28 SMU W 74 - 70 56%  +7  13 - 3 3 - 0 +15 +9 B C+ A+ +7 A+ D A+
 Sat, Jan 10 59 @Notre Dame W 66 - 65 54% 
 Tue, Jan 13 151 Boston College W 73 - 57 94% 
 Sat, Jan 17 36 Miami (FL) W 72 - 70 59% 
 Tue, Jan 20 34 North Carolina St. W 72 - 70 59% 
 Sat, Jan 24 114 @Georgia Tech W 73 - 67 72% 
 Sat, Jan 31 82 Pittsburgh W 72 - 63 79% 
 Wed, Feb 4 79 @Stanford W 70 - 68 59% 
 Sat, Feb 7 84 @California W 71 - 68 61% 
 Wed, Feb 11 68 Virginia Tech W 73 - 66 75% 
 Sat, Feb 14 6 @Duke L 65 - 76 15% 
 Wed, Feb 18 62 @Wake Forest W 71 - 70 54% 
 Sat, Feb 21 111 Florida St. W 81 - 69 86% 
 Sat, Feb 28 15 Louisville L 73 - 75 45% 
 Tue, Mar 3 26 @North Carolina L 67 - 72 32% 
 Sat, Mar 7 114 Georgia Tech W 76 - 64 87% 
Totals 22 - 9 12 - 6 +13 +5 A- C- A- +8 A B+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.5 2.7 4.5 3.4 1.1 0.1 12.3 1st
2nd 0.0 0.8 5.3 8.4 4.3 0.8 0.0 19.6 2nd
3rd 0.4 4.3 8.2 3.5 0.4 16.8 3rd
4th 0.1 2.4 7.7 3.5 0.3 13.9 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 5.2 4.7 0.5 0.0 11.0 5th
6th 0.1 2.4 4.9 1.0 0.0 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.7 3.9 1.8 0.1 6.5 7th
8th 0.1 1.7 2.3 0.3 4.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.8 0.7 0.0 2.9 9th
10th 0.0 0.8 0.9 0.1 1.9 10th
11th 0.2 0.6 0.2 1.0 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 0.3 0.0 0.6 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.4 13th
14th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 14th
15th 0.1 0.0 0.1 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.0 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.8 2.4 5.5 10.1 15.0 18.6 18.0 14.9 9.1 4.2 1.1 0.1 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.1    0.1
17-1 96.0% 1.1    0.9 0.2
16-2 80.6% 3.4    2.2 1.0 0.1
15-3 49.1% 4.5    1.9 2.0 0.6 0.0
14-4 18.3% 2.7    0.5 1.2 0.8 0.2 0.0
13-5 2.9% 0.5    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 12.3% 12.3 5.7 4.4 1.6 0.4 0.1 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.1% 100.0% 18.2% 81.8% 3.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-1 1.1% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 3.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 4.2% 100.0% 12.5% 87.5% 4.6 0.1 0.4 1.3 1.5 0.7 0.1 100.0%
15-3 9.1% 100.0% 9.9% 90.1% 5.5 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.0 3.0 1.2 0.3 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 14.9% 99.4% 8.8% 90.5% 6.3 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.9 4.5 4.3 1.7 0.5 0.1 0.1 99.3%
13-5 18.0% 98.1% 6.5% 91.6% 7.2 0.0 0.2 1.2 3.6 5.5 4.5 2.1 0.5 0.0 0.4 97.9%
12-6 18.6% 94.5% 4.1% 90.4% 8.1 0.0 0.3 1.3 3.6 5.5 4.8 1.8 0.3 1.0 94.3%
11-7 15.0% 87.4% 2.1% 85.3% 8.9 0.1 0.2 1.2 2.8 4.4 3.5 0.9 0.0 1.9 87.1%
10-8 10.1% 74.4% 1.5% 72.9% 9.6 0.0 0.3 0.8 2.0 3.0 1.5 2.6 74.0%
9-9 5.5% 55.1% 0.5% 54.7% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.1 0.0 2.5 54.9%
8-10 2.4% 26.8% 0.6% 26.2% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.0 1.7 26.3%
7-11 0.8% 4.4% 4.4% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.8 4.4%
6-12 0.2% 0.2
5-13 0.0% 0.0
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 88.8% 5.4% 83.5% 7.5 11.2 88.2%