Miami (FL)
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.6#104
Expected Predictive Rating-8.4#303
Pace65.8#258
Improvement-2.8#326

Offense
Total Offense+6.4#40
First Shot+6.9#28
After Offensive Rebound-0.5#215
Layup/Dunks+1.9#118
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.5#53
3 Pt Jumpshots+2.8#86
Freethrows-0.3#200
Improvement-4.0#360

Defense
Total Defense-1.8#222
First Shot-2.2#250
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#150
Layups/Dunks+1.1#128
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.1#323
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.6#287
Freethrows+1.5#77
Improvement+1.2#99
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.4% 0.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.3 12.1
.500 or above 7.3% 10.5% 2.8%
.500 or above in Conference 23.5% 31.5% 12.4%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 8.5% 3.5% 15.3%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.2% 0.3% 0.1%
Second Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Boston College (Away) - 57.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 50 - 5
Quad 1b0 - 31 - 8
Quad 22 - 73 - 15
Quad 34 - 38 - 18
Quad 44 - 212 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 333   Fairleigh Dickinson W 113-72 94%     1 - 0 +27.8 +24.9 +0.4
  Nov 10, 2024 302   Binghamton W 88-64 92%     2 - 0 +13.2 +12.3 +1.4
  Nov 17, 2024 362   Coppin St. W 93-63 98%     3 - 0 +9.9 +18.4 -7.2
  Nov 21, 2024 80   Drake L 69-80 40%     3 - 1 -3.7 +9.9 -15.1
  Nov 22, 2024 96   Oklahoma St. L 74-80 47%     3 - 2 -0.7 +8.6 -9.6
  Nov 24, 2024 57   Virginia Commonwealth L 70-77 32%     3 - 3 +2.4 +11.2 -9.5
  Nov 30, 2024 298   Charleston Southern L 79-83 91%     3 - 4 -14.4 +3.1 -17.6
  Dec 03, 2024 31   Arkansas L 73-76 31%     3 - 5 +6.9 +8.0 -1.2
  Dec 07, 2024 37   Clemson L 55-65 33%     3 - 6 0 - 1 -1.0 -3.2 +0.4
  Dec 10, 2024 3   Tennessee L 62-75 8%     3 - 7 +7.1 +3.4 +3.3
  Dec 15, 2024 268   Presbyterian W 94-75 89%     4 - 7 +10.2 +24.8 -12.9
  Dec 21, 2024 234   Mount St. Mary's L 74-78 OT 86%     4 - 8 -11.0 -8.4 -2.3
  Jan 01, 2025 167   @ Boston College W 75-73 58%    
  Jan 04, 2025 138   @ Virginia Tech W 73-72 51%    
  Jan 07, 2025 70   Florida St. L 77-78 49%    
  Jan 11, 2025 89   Wake Forest W 72-71 55%    
  Jan 14, 2025 2   @ Duke L 62-82 3%    
  Jan 18, 2025 41   SMU L 77-81 36%    
  Jan 22, 2025 94   @ Stanford L 74-78 36%    
  Jan 25, 2025 128   @ California L 78-79 49%    
  Jan 29, 2025 92   Virginia W 64-62 58%    
  Feb 01, 2025 83   Notre Dame W 73-72 52%    
  Feb 10, 2025 45   @ Louisville L 72-81 20%    
  Feb 11, 2025 100   Syracuse W 80-77 61%    
  Feb 15, 2025 30   @ Pittsburgh L 70-82 15%    
  Feb 19, 2025 70   @ Florida St. L 75-81 29%    
  Feb 22, 2025 138   Virginia Tech W 75-69 72%    
  Feb 25, 2025 2   Duke L 65-79 10%    
  Mar 01, 2025 22   @ North Carolina L 75-88 12%    
  Mar 04, 2025 112   @ Georgia Tech L 75-77 45%    
  Mar 08, 2025 79   North Carolina St. W 73-72 51%    
Projected Record 12 - 19 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.2 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.3 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.3 1.0 0.7 0.1 0.0 2.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 1.4 1.5 0.3 0.0 3.4 6th
7th 0.1 1.5 2.6 0.7 0.0 4.9 7th
8th 0.0 0.9 3.5 1.8 0.2 0.0 6.4 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 3.0 3.4 0.5 0.0 7.3 9th
10th 0.1 2.0 4.7 1.5 0.1 8.4 10th
11th 0.0 0.9 4.9 3.2 0.3 0.0 9.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 3.4 4.8 0.8 0.0 9.3 12th
13th 0.1 1.9 5.4 2.2 0.1 9.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.9 4.6 3.7 0.4 0.0 9.7 14th
15th 0.0 0.5 3.0 4.3 1.1 0.0 8.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 2.2 3.9 1.7 0.1 8.2 16th
17th 0.0 0.2 1.3 2.8 1.7 0.2 6.3 17th
18th 0.0 0.4 1.0 1.5 1.0 0.2 0.0 4.2 18th
Total 0.0 0.4 1.3 3.1 6.5 9.8 13.1 14.6 14.8 12.9 10.3 6.6 3.7 1.8 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
16-4 14.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
15-5 2.5% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0%
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0
18-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
17-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
16-4 0.1% 25.0% 7.1% 17.9% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 19.2%
15-5 0.2% 11.5% 6.6% 4.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 5.3%
14-6 0.7% 4.5% 2.5% 2.0% 10.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.7 2.0%
13-7 1.8% 1.7% 1.3% 0.3% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 1.8 0.3%
12-8 3.7% 1.0% 1.0% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 3.7
11-9 6.6% 0.4% 0.4% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.6
10-10 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 12.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 10.3
9-11 12.9% 0.1% 0.1% 13.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 12.9
8-12 14.8% 0.1% 0.1% 15.0 0.0 14.8
7-13 14.6% 0.1% 0.1% 15.4 0.0 0.0 14.6
6-14 13.1% 0.0% 0.0% 16.0 0.0 13.1
5-15 9.8% 9.8
4-16 6.5% 6.5
3-17 3.1% 3.1
2-18 1.3% 1.3
1-19 0.4% 0.4
0-20 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 0.3% 0.2% 0.1% 11.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.7 0.1%