IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Missouri
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	+10.1	#54
Expected Predictive Rating	+12.9	#44

Pace	68.0	#207
Improvement	+0.0	#188

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#51	B	B+	D+	B-	B-
Defense	#81	B-	B	C+	C+	B+

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	43%	#56	1.34	#24	+6.7	#12
2 Pt. Jumpers	18%	#235	0.72	#236	-1.4	#254
Three Pointers	39%	#221	1.07	#102	+0.0	#177
1st FG Attempt			1.12	#47	+5.3	#48
Freethrows	0.36	#31	67%	#326	0.24	#98
Second Chance	35.0%	#65	1.19	#26	0.42	#27
Turnovers					18.0%	#265
Total Offense					+6.7	#51

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	30%	#351	1.00	#23	+7.5	#10
2 Pt. Jumpers	25%	#56	0.73	#138	-1.4	#290
Three Pointers	45%	#60	1.07	#264	-3.5	#319
1st FG Attempt			0.97	#93	+2.6	#93
Freethrows	0.28	#116	74%	#256	0.21	#139
Second Chance	28.8%	#106	0.91	#39	0.26	#54
Turnovers					17.5%	#128
Total Defense					+3.4	#81

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	1.4%	#90	-2.4%	#25
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	8.8%	#54	-2.7%	#124
Possession Length	16.5	#101	18.4	#331
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.22	#57	0.13	#64
Improvement	-1.9	#296	+1.9	#78

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.3%	0.5%	0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid	31.9%	40.7%	21.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	31.6%	40.3%	21.6%
Average Seed	9.9	9.9	10.1

.500 or above	97.6%	100.0%	94.8%
.500 or above in Conference	42.6%	57.1%	25.9%
Conference Champion	0.1%	0.2%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	0.3%	0.0%	0.7%

First Four	12.1%	14.6%	9.2%
First Round	25.0%	32.6%	16.3%
Second Round	8.3%	11.1%	5.0%
Sweet Sixteen	1.2%	1.7%	0.6%
Elite Eight	0.3%	0.4%	0.2%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: South Carolina (Away) - 53.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	2 - 5	2 - 5
Quad 1b	2 - 4	4 - 10
Quad 2	3 - 4	8 - 14
Quad 3	3 - 0	10 - 14
Quad 4	9 - 0	19 - 14

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Mon, Nov 3	253 @Howard	W	88 - 67	87%	+14	1 - 0		+19	+15	A	A+	D-	+3	C-	A+	D
Fri, Nov 7	238 Southeast Missouri St.	W	89 - 84	94%	+2	2 - 0		-2	+6	A+	D+	F	-8	F+	B	B+
Sun, Nov 9	356 VMI	W	106 - 68	99%	+11	3 - 0		+21	+15	D	A+	B-	+3	F+	A+	A+
Wed, Nov 12	76 Minnesota	W	83 - 60	70%	+3	4 - 0		+28	+24	A+	A+	A	+6	B	A-	C+
Mon, Nov 17	339 Prairie View	W	91 - 73	98%	+19	5 - 0		+4	+5	C	B	C	-3	B-	C	D-
Thu, Nov 20	285 South Dakota	W	102 - 68	96%	+14	6 - 0		+24	+16	A+	A-	F	+6	B	F+	A-
Tue, Nov 25	359 South Carolina St.	W	98 - 66	99%	+24	7 - 0		+14	+17	F	A+	B+	-3	B	B-	F
Fri, Nov 28	306 Cleveland St.	W	86 - 59	97%	+19	8 - 0		+16	+2	C+	A+	F	+13	B+	A+	A
Tue, Dec 2	81 @Notre Dame	L	71 - 76	51%	+1	8 - 1		+5	+4	C+	C	D	+0	C	A+	B+
Sun, Dec 7	14 @Kansas	L	60 - 80	14%	-8	8 - 2		+1	+2	C	C+	C-	-2	B+	D-	C
Thu, Dec 11	322 Alabama St.	W	85 - 77	97%	+11	9 - 2		-5	+17	A+	A+	C+	-21	F	F	F
Sun, Dec 14	236 Bethune-Cookman	W	82 - 60	94%	+15	10 - 2		+15	+10	B+	A+	F	+5	A-	F+	A+
Mon, Dec 22	7 Illinois	L	48 - 91	15%	-17	10 - 3		-22	-12	F+	D-	D-	-15	B-	F	A-
Sat, Jan 3	5 Florida	W	76 - 74	21%	+1	11 - 3	1 - 0	+21	+15	A+	A-	B-	+6	A-	A+	D-
Wed, Jan 7	26 @Kentucky	W	73 - 68	20%	-0	12 - 3	2 - 0	+24	+12	A+	D	C	+12	B+	A+	A-
Sat, Jan 10	59 @Mississippi	L	69 - 76	41%	+1	12 - 4	2 - 1	+5	+6	A+	D+	C-	-1	B	C+	D
Wed, Jan 14	28 Auburn	W	84 - 74	41%	+4	13 - 4	3 - 1	+23	+16	A+	C	C	+6	A+	B-	B
Sat, Jan 17	49 @LSU	L	70 - 78	34%	-7	13 - 5	3 - 2	+6	+11	D+	A+	F+	-6	A	F	D-
Tue, Jan 20	34 Georgia	L	72 - 74	46%	-2	13 - 6	3 - 3	+9	+6	B-	D+	B	+3	A-	A+	C+
Sat, Jan 24	55 Oklahoma	W	88 - 87 OT	63%	-0	14 - 6	4 - 3	+8	+10	C-	A+	C	-2	F+	A+	B
Tue, Jan 27	20 @Alabama	L	64 - 90	17%	-12	14 - 7	4 - 4	-6	-6	F+	A-	D-	+2	B	A+	D
Sat, Jan 31	73 Mississippi St.	W	84 - 79	69%	+8	15 - 7	5 - 4	+10	+11	A-	D+	C	-1	C-	A+	A-
Sat, Feb 7	91 @South Carolina	W	74 - 73	54%
Wed, Feb 11	27 @Texas A&M	L	76 - 84	21%
Sat, Feb 14	31 Texas	L	78 - 80	45%
Wed, Feb 18	12 Vanderbilt	L	76 - 82	30%
Sat, Feb 21	22 @Arkansas	L	78 - 87	19%
Tue, Feb 24	18 Tennessee	L	70 - 75	34%
Sat, Feb 28	73 @Mississippi St.	L	75 - 76	48%
Tue, Mar 3	55 @Oklahoma	L	76 - 79	40%
Sat, Mar 7	22 Arkansas	L	81 - 84	38%
Totals						18 - 13	8 - 10	+10	+7	B	B+	D+	+3	B-	B	C+

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Southeastern Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0	Total
1st													0.0	0.1	0.0					0.1	1st
2nd												0.0	0.3	0.3	0.0					0.7	2nd
3rd												0.4	0.8	0.1						1.3	3rd
4th											0.1	1.4	0.5	0.0						2.0	4th
5th											0.9	2.7	0.1							3.7	5th
6th										0.3	3.2	1.4	0.0							4.8	6th
7th									0.1	2.0	5.0	0.3								7.4	7th
8th								0.0	1.1	6.6	3.1	0.0								10.8	8th
9th								0.4	5.8	8.2	0.6									15.0	9th
10th							0.2	4.4	12.0	3.7	0.0									20.3	10th
11th						0.0	2.4	10.4	5.7	0.4										18.9	11th
12th						0.4	4.5	4.2	0.4											9.5	12th
13th						1.0	2.5	0.4												3.9	13th
14th						0.8	0.5	0.0												1.3	14th
15th						0.2	0.0													0.2	15th
16th																					16th

Total						2.5	10.0	19.8	25.1	21.2	13.0	6.1	1.8	0.5	0.1						Total

Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total	Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	70.0%	0.0	0.0	0.0		0.0
13-5	15.5%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0
12-6	1.1%	0.0				0.0	0.0
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total	0.1%	0.1	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4	0.1%									0.0	0.0	0.0
13-5	0.5%	99.0%	7.2%	91.8%	7.3				0.0	0.1	0.1	0.1	0.2	0.1	0.0							0.0	98.9%
12-6	1.8%	95.6%	1.6%	94.0%	8.4				0.0		0.1	0.2	0.6	0.7	0.2	0.0						0.1	95.6%
11-7	6.1%	85.8%	1.1%	84.7%	9.0						0.0	0.3	1.3	1.9	1.3	0.4						0.9	85.6%
10-8	13.0%	71.2%	0.4%	70.8%	9.9						0.0	0.1	0.6	2.2	3.8	2.5	0.0					3.7	71.1%
9-9	21.2%	49.4%	0.4%	49.0%	10.4							0.0	0.2	1.2	3.6	5.4	0.1					10.7	49.2%
8-10	25.1%	16.1%	0.4%	15.7%	10.9								0.0	0.1	0.6	3.0	0.3					21.1	15.8%
7-11	19.8%	3.0%	0.1%	2.9%	11.0										0.1	0.5	0.0					19.2	2.9%
6-12	10.0%	0.2%		0.2%	11.0											0.0						10.0	0.2%
5-13	2.5%																					2.5
4-14
3-15
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%	31.9%	0.4%	31.5%	9.9																	68.1	31.6%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.9%