Nebraska
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +15.7 #23
Expected Predictive Rating +29.3 #3
Pace 68.6 #203
Improvement +1.7 #95

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #42 A C- A- C- B-
Defense #16 A- A+ B+ A+ A+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #285 1.53 #1 +4.2 #54
2 Pt. Jumpers 14% #312 0.58 #349 -3.6 #338
Three Pointers 51% #19 1.06 #121 +6.5 #19
1st FG Attempt 1.15 #24 +7.1 #24
Freethrows 15.8 #268 76% #67 12.0 #214
Second Chance 28.7% #245 1.03 #202 0.30 #237
Turnovers 13.6% #28
Total Offense +7.3 #42

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 19% #365 1.17 #195 +11.5 #2
2 Pt. Jumpers 28% #18 0.67 #72 -1.8 #303
Three Pointers 53% #7 0.92 #68 -3.6 #315
1st FG Attempt 0.89 #32 +6.1 #33
Freethrows 12.0 #10 72% #176 8.7 #353
Second Chance 24.8% #21 0.85 #14 0.21 #12
Turnovers 19.1% #59
Total Defense +8.4 #16

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #116 -5.0% #3
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 12.5% #25 -7.3% #63
Possession Length 16.2 #85 18.6 #341
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.13 #292 0.08 #5
Improvement -1.4 #271 +3.1 #29

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.3% 0.2%
#1 Seed 2.8% 4.6% 1.6%
Top 2 Seed 12.7% 20.2% 8.0%
Top 4 Seed 61.8% 75.7% 52.9%
Top 6 Seed 91.9% 96.9% 88.8%
NCAA Tourney Bid 99.8% 100.0% 99.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 99.8% 100.0% 99.6%
Average Seed 4.2 3.6 4.5
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 97.2% 99.2% 95.9%
Conference Champion 5.1% 9.1% 2.5%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.2% 0.0% 0.3%
First Round99.7% 99.9% 99.5%
Second Round82.6% 87.5% 79.4%
Sweet Sixteen41.3% 47.1% 37.7%
Elite Eight14.3% 17.1% 12.4%
Final Four4.9% 5.7% 4.4%
Championship Game1.8% 2.3% 1.4%
National Champion0.5% 0.7% 0.4%

Next Game: Indiana (Away) - 39.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 4 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 54 - 5
Quad 1b4 - 18 - 6
Quad 27 - 115 - 7
Quad 34 - 019 - 7
Quad 46 - 025 - 7


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 297 West Georgia W 86 - 53 98%  +11  1 - 0 +22 +7 C- A+ B +15 A+ B C+
 Sat, Nov 8 164 Florida International W 96 - 66 95%  +21  2 - 0 +26 +12 A+ D+ C+ +12 A+ B A+
 Tue, Nov 11 341 Maryland Eastern Shore W 69 - 50 99%  +15  3 - 0 +4 -5 F D A+ +11 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Nov 15 48 Oklahoma W 105 - 99 68%  -3  4 - 0 +17 +33 A+ F A+ -16 F C+ B
 Thu, Nov 20 56 New Mexico W 84 - 72 72%  +11  5 - 0 +22 +6 A+ F D +14 A- A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 21 74 Kansas St. W 86 - 85 77%  +4  6 - 0 +9 +10 A+ C B+ -1 B+ C C+
 Tue, Nov 25 152 Winthrop W 80 - 73 95%  +2  7 - 0 +4 +4 D+ F A+ +0 D- A B-
 Sat, Nov 29 287 South Carolina Upstate W 72 - 63 98%  +2  8 - 0 -1 -6 C- D- F +5 B A D
 Sun, Dec 7 37 Creighton W 71 - 50 70%  +14  9 - 0 +31 +10 A+ C B+ +24 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Dec 10 43 Wisconsin W 90 - 60 75%  +14  10 - 0 1 - 0 +39 +22 A+ A- B+ +17 A+ A+ A-
 Sat, Dec 13 9 @Illinois W 83 - 80 23%  +6  11 - 0 2 - 0 +26 +29 A+ A- A -2 B- F C-
 Sun, Dec 21 319 North Dakota W 78 - 55 99%  +3  12 - 0 +10 +3 C- F A+ +9 C+ A+ B-
 Tue, Dec 30 344 New Hampshire W 86 - 55 99%  +10  13 - 0 +16 +10 D+ A+ C+ +7 B- A- A+
 Fri, Jan 2 14 Michigan St. W 58 - 56 52%  +1  14 - 0 3 - 0 +17 +1 C+ C+ A+ +16 A+ A+ A+
 Mon, Jan 5 30 @Ohio St. W 72 - 69 44%  +5  15 - 0 4 - 0 +20 +8 A- F D+ +12 A- A+ F
 Sat, Jan 10 25 @Indiana L 73 - 76 39% 
 Tue, Jan 13 65 Oregon W 78 - 68 82% 
 Sat, Jan 17 60 @Northwestern W 76 - 72 63% 
 Wed, Jan 21 47 Washington W 78 - 70 77% 
 Sat, Jan 24 76 @Minnesota W 70 - 65 68% 
 Tue, Jan 27 1 @Michigan L 71 - 85 10% 
 Sun, Feb 1 9 Illinois L 74 - 76 44% 
 Sat, Feb 7 131 @Rutgers W 76 - 65 84% 
 Tue, Feb 10 4 Purdue L 71 - 75 36% 
 Sat, Feb 14 60 Northwestern W 79 - 69 81% 
 Tue, Feb 17 20 @Iowa L 67 - 71 36% 
 Sat, Feb 21 105 Penn St. W 81 - 67 90% 
 Wed, Feb 25 107 Maryland W 79 - 65 91% 
 Sat, Feb 28 46 @USC W 77 - 75 55% 
 Tue, Mar 3 38 @UCLA L 72 - 73 48% 
 Sun, Mar 8 20 Iowa W 70 - 68 58% 
Totals 25 - 6 14 - 6 +16 +7 A C- A- +8 A- A+ B+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.9 1.5 0.5 0.0 5.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.6 3.3 5.2 3.0 0.6 0.0 12.7 2nd
3rd 0.1 1.0 5.5 8.1 4.3 0.7 0.0 19.6 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 5.7 8.9 3.8 0.4 0.0 19.6 4th
5th 0.4 4.1 7.5 3.1 0.3 0.0 15.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.8 5.5 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.5 3.2 2.7 0.4 6.8 7th
8th 0.1 1.4 2.5 0.5 0.0 4.6 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 1.4 0.7 0.0 2.6 9th
10th 0.1 0.8 0.7 0.1 1.6 10th
11th 0.0 0.2 0.6 0.1 0.9 11th
12th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 12th
13th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 13th
14th 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 14th
15th 0.0 0.0 0.0 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.7 2.0 4.3 8.7 13.7 17.4 18.3 15.6 10.9 5.6 2.2 0.6 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
19-1 93.6% 0.5    0.4 0.1
18-2 69.5% 1.5    0.8 0.6 0.1
17-3 34.5% 1.9    0.6 1.0 0.3 0.0
16-4 8.8% 1.0    0.2 0.4 0.3 0.1 0.0
15-5 0.8% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.1% 0.0    0.0 0.0
13-7 0.0%
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 5.1% 5.1 2.0 2.1 0.8 0.2 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0 0.0% 0.0 0.0
19-1 0.6% 100.0% 11.8% 88.2% 1.7 0.2 0.3 0.0 100.0%
18-2 2.2% 100.0% 10.6% 89.4% 2.0 0.6 1.1 0.5 0.1 100.0%
17-3 5.6% 100.0% 8.2% 91.8% 2.4 0.7 2.5 2.0 0.4 100.0%
16-4 10.9% 100.0% 5.7% 94.3% 2.8 0.7 2.8 5.2 2.0 0.1 100.0%
15-5 15.6% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 3.3 0.4 2.1 6.8 5.1 1.1 0.1 100.0%
14-6 18.3% 100.0% 3.4% 96.6% 3.8 0.1 0.9 5.8 7.5 3.4 0.6 0.0 100.0%
13-7 17.4% 100.0% 1.6% 98.4% 4.4 0.2 2.8 6.3 5.7 2.0 0.2 0.0 100.0%
12-8 13.7% 99.9% 0.8% 99.1% 5.1 0.0 0.8 2.9 5.4 3.6 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
11-9 8.7% 99.8% 0.6% 99.2% 5.8 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.2 1.5 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.8%
10-10 4.3% 99.3% 0.1% 99.2% 6.6 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 1.4 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.3%
9-11 2.0% 97.5% 97.5% 8.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.1 97.5%
8-12 0.7% 92.4% 92.4% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.1 92.4%
7-13 0.1% 62.1% 62.1% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 62.1%
6-14 0.0% 0.0 0.0
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 99.8% 3.1% 96.7% 4.2 0.2 99.8%