Nebraska
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+11.5#40
Expected Predictive Rating+15.1#30
Pace71.1#115
Improvement+2.9#38

Offense
Total Offense+4.6#62
First Shot+6.5#31
After Offensive Rebound-1.9#299
Layup/Dunks+3.4#65
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#195
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.2#184
Freethrows+3.8#16
Improvement+2.4#38

Defense
Total Defense+6.9#24
First Shot+6.5#21
After Offensive Rebounds+0.4#143
Layups/Dunks+13.5#1
2 Pt Jumpshots-2.7#338
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.7#351
Freethrows+1.3#82
Improvement+0.5#150
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.1%
Top 2 Seed 1.0% 1.0% 0.3%
Top 4 Seed 6.9% 7.1% 1.5%
Top 6 Seed 19.8% 20.3% 7.6%
NCAA Tourney Bid 64.5% 65.3% 44.5%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 63.5% 64.3% 43.7%
Average Seed 7.6 7.6 8.4
.500 or above 94.3% 94.8% 79.1%
.500 or above in Conference 52.6% 53.2% 37.1%
Conference Champion 2.3% 2.4% 1.3%
Last Place in Conference 1.7% 1.7% 3.2%
First Four7.2% 7.2% 7.8%
First Round60.8% 61.6% 39.6%
Second Round34.4% 35.0% 19.6%
Sweet Sixteen11.7% 11.9% 5.8%
Elite Eight4.2% 4.3% 1.9%
Final Four1.4% 1.4% 0.7%
Championship Game0.5% 0.5% 0.3%
National Champion0.1% 0.1% 0.0%

Next Game: Southern (Home) - 96.2% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 10 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a2 - 62 - 6
Quad 1b4 - 36 - 9
Quad 25 - 211 - 12
Quad 34 - 015 - 12
Quad 46 - 020 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 227   UT Rio Grande Valley W 87-67 94%     1 - 0 +13.4 +2.7 +9.0
  Nov 09, 2024 263   Bethune-Cookman W 63-58 96%     2 - 0 -3.4 -14.5 +10.8
  Nov 13, 2024 333   Fairleigh Dickinson W 86-60 98%     3 - 0 +12.8 +2.0 +10.0
  Nov 17, 2024 53   St. Mary's L 74-77 55%     3 - 1 +7.3 +12.3 -5.2
  Nov 22, 2024 46   @ Creighton W 74-63 41%     4 - 1 +24.9 +5.8 +18.9
  Nov 27, 2024 236   South Dakota W 96-79 95%     5 - 1 +9.8 +6.7 +1.8
  Dec 01, 2024 207   North Florida W 103-72 93%     6 - 1 +25.7 +14.1 +8.7
  Dec 07, 2024 14   @ Michigan St. L 52-89 25%     6 - 2 0 - 1 -18.3 -11.4 -6.6
  Dec 13, 2024 51   Indiana W 85-68 65%     7 - 2 1 - 1 +24.5 +16.8 +8.0
  Dec 22, 2024 133   Murray St. W 66-49 82%     8 - 2 +18.6 -1.7 +21.4
  Dec 23, 2024 166   @ Hawaii W 69-55 80%     9 - 2 +16.6 +7.2 +11.1
  Dec 25, 2024 69   Oregon St. W 78-66 64%     10 - 2 +19.9 +17.0 +4.0
  Dec 30, 2024 240   Southern W 80-61 96%    
  Jan 04, 2025 20   UCLA L 67-68 48%    
  Jan 07, 2025 43   @ Iowa L 79-82 39%    
  Jan 12, 2025 27   @ Purdue L 71-76 31%    
  Jan 16, 2025 63   Rutgers W 78-72 71%    
  Jan 19, 2025 13   @ Maryland L 70-77 24%    
  Jan 22, 2025 71   USC W 76-69 73%    
  Jan 26, 2025 34   @ Wisconsin L 72-76 36%    
  Jan 30, 2025 21   Illinois L 75-76 49%    
  Feb 02, 2025 23   @ Oregon L 70-76 29%    
  Feb 05, 2025 95   @ Washington W 75-72 62%    
  Feb 08, 2025 29   Ohio St. W 73-72 54%    
  Feb 13, 2025 13   Maryland L 73-74 45%    
  Feb 16, 2025 55   @ Northwestern L 67-68 46%    
  Feb 19, 2025 32   @ Penn St. L 74-78 35%    
  Feb 24, 2025 19   Michigan L 73-74 49%    
  Mar 01, 2025 111   Minnesota W 71-60 84%    
  Mar 04, 2025 29   @ Ohio St. L 70-75 33%    
  Mar 09, 2025 43   Iowa W 82-79 62%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 10 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.8 0.7 0.3 0.1 0.0 2.3 1st
2nd 0.1 0.7 1.5 1.0 0.3 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.4 1.9 1.5 0.4 0.0 4.2 3rd
4th 0.1 1.8 2.5 0.6 0.0 5.0 4th
5th 0.0 0.7 3.5 1.4 0.1 0.0 5.7 5th
6th 0.2 2.6 3.1 0.4 0.0 6.3 6th
7th 0.0 1.0 4.3 1.4 0.0 6.7 7th
8th 0.2 3.2 3.5 0.3 7.2 8th
9th 0.0 1.4 4.8 1.5 0.0 7.7 9th
10th 0.0 0.4 3.7 3.7 0.2 8.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 1.8 5.0 1.3 0.0 8.2 11th
12th 0.0 0.7 4.0 3.2 0.2 8.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.5 4.0 0.8 0.0 7.6 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.4 3.5 1.8 0.1 0.0 6.9 14th
15th 0.1 0.8 2.4 2.1 0.3 0.0 5.6 15th
16th 0.0 0.0 0.4 1.4 1.7 0.5 0.0 4.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.3 0.7 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 2.2 17th
18th 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.7 18th
Total 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.5 3.3 6.1 9.3 12.4 14.4 14.3 13.0 10.5 6.9 4.2 2.2 0.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
18-2 100.0% 0.1    0.1 0.0
17-3 94.8% 0.3    0.2 0.0 0.0
16-4 68.6% 0.7    0.4 0.2 0.1 0.0
15-5 36.0% 0.8    0.3 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.0
14-6 10.4% 0.4    0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.0% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 2.3% 2.3 1.0 0.7 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1 0.0% 0.0 0.0
18-2 0.1% 100.0% 24.3% 75.7% 1.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
17-3 0.3% 100.0% 17.0% 83.0% 2.3 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
16-4 0.9% 100.0% 16.7% 83.3% 2.9 0.1 0.3 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
15-5 2.2% 100.0% 13.4% 86.6% 3.8 0.0 0.2 0.7 0.8 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-6 4.2% 100.0% 12.0% 88.0% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.2 1.3 0.7 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9%
13-7 6.9% 99.8% 8.2% 91.6% 5.7 0.0 0.4 0.9 1.7 2.1 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.0 99.7%
12-8 10.5% 99.0% 4.2% 94.7% 6.7 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.6 3.1 2.0 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.1 98.9%
11-9 13.0% 96.3% 2.6% 93.7% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.4 2.9 3.7 2.7 1.0 0.1 0.5 96.2%
10-10 14.3% 88.8% 1.6% 87.2% 8.7 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.4 3.1 3.9 2.8 0.8 0.0 1.6 88.6%
9-11 14.4% 66.5% 0.8% 65.7% 9.8 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.0 3.6 2.6 0.1 4.8 66.2%
8-12 12.4% 32.3% 0.4% 31.9% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.9 2.5 0.2 8.4 32.0%
7-13 9.3% 7.1% 0.0% 7.0% 11.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 8.6 7.0%
6-14 6.1% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 6.1 0.1%
5-15 3.3% 3.3
4-16 1.5% 1.5
3-17 0.5% 0.5
2-18 0.1% 0.1
1-19 0.0% 0.0
0-20
Total 100% 64.5% 2.8% 61.8% 7.6 0.2 0.8 2.3 3.6 5.4 7.5 9.2 10.3 9.7 8.5 6.5 0.4 0.0 35.5 63.5%