North Carolina St.
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+4.0#104
Expected Predictive Rating+1.5#139
Pace64.0#291
Improvement-5.7#346

Offense
Total Offense+1.1#141
First Shot-0.2#172
After Offensive Rebound+1.3#102
Layup/Dunks+5.2#30
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#207
3 Pt Jumpshots-5.6#337
Freethrows+0.8#129
Improvement-3.8#335

Defense
Total Defense+2.9#98
First Shot+2.9#79
After Offensive Rebounds-0.1#194
Layups/Dunks-2.5#277
2 Pt Jumpshots+2.0#32
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.9#19
Freethrows-1.5#286
Improvement-1.9#277
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
#1 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 2 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 4 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
Top 6 Seed 0.0% n/a n/a
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% n/a n/a
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% n/a n/a
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0.0% n/a n/a
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.0% n/a n/a
First Round0.0% n/a n/a
Second Round0.0% n/a n/a
Sweet Sixteen0.0% n/a n/a
Elite Eight0.0% n/a n/a
Final Four0.0% n/a n/a
Championship Game0.0% n/a n/a
National Champion0.0% n/a n/a

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 40 - 4
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 8
Quad 22 - 82 - 16
Quad 32 - 34 - 19
Quad 48 - 012 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 349   South Carolina Upstate W 97-66 95%     1 - 0 +15.5 +9.7 +3.7
  Nov 08, 2024 241   Presbyterian W 81-72 85%     2 - 0 +1.9 +7.7 -5.4
  Nov 13, 2024 317   Coastal Carolina W 82-70 92%     3 - 0 -0.1 +1.6 -1.8
  Nov 18, 2024 257   Colgate W 72-49 86%     4 - 0 +15.1 -8.1 +22.6
  Nov 22, 2024 234   William & Mary W 84-61 84%     5 - 0 +16.3 +0.2 +14.5
  Nov 28, 2024 16   Purdue L 61-71 11%     5 - 1 +7.2 +4.3 +1.2
  Nov 29, 2024 20   BYU L 61-72 12%     5 - 2 +5.5 -1.8 +6.3
  Dec 04, 2024 42   Texas L 59-63 31%     5 - 3 +5.1 +1.1 +3.2
  Dec 07, 2024 85   Florida St. W 84-74 OT 51%     6 - 3 1 - 0 +13.7 +15.5 -1.7
  Dec 10, 2024 361   Coppin St. W 66-56 97%     7 - 3 -9.4 -4.7 -3.7
  Dec 14, 2024 19   @ Kansas L 60-75 8%     7 - 4 +4.5 +6.3 -3.8
  Dec 22, 2024 303   Rider W 89-63 91%     8 - 4 +15.0 +13.5 +2.8
  Dec 31, 2024 99   @ Virginia L 67-70 37%     8 - 5 1 - 1 +4.3 +10.2 -6.5
  Jan 04, 2025 63   @ Wake Forest L 59-77 22%     8 - 6 1 - 2 -6.0 +0.2 -8.0
  Jan 08, 2025 95   Notre Dame W 66-65 56%     9 - 6 2 - 2 +3.5 +4.8 -1.1
  Jan 11, 2025 34   North Carolina L 61-63 25%     9 - 7 2 - 3 +8.9 -1.8 +10.5
  Jan 15, 2025 135   @ Virginia Tech L 76-79 49%     9 - 8 2 - 4 +1.2 +14.0 -13.1
  Jan 18, 2025 106   California L 62-65 61%     9 - 9 2 - 5 -1.9 -2.9 +0.6
  Jan 25, 2025 45   SMU L 57-63 32%     9 - 10 2 - 6 +2.7 -9.1 +11.4
  Jan 27, 2025 1   @ Duke L 64-74 2%     9 - 11 2 - 7 +19.5 +6.1 +13.1
  Feb 01, 2025 21   Clemson L 58-68 18%     9 - 12 2 - 8 +3.7 -0.4 +2.7
  Feb 05, 2025 106   @ California L 62-74 40%     9 - 13 2 - 9 -5.4 -5.1 -1.0
  Feb 08, 2025 81   @ Stanford L 73-74 29%     9 - 14 2 - 10 +8.6 +7.1 +1.4
  Feb 12, 2025 23   Louisville L 66-91 19%     9 - 15 2 - 11 -11.8 +1.0 -13.3
  Feb 15, 2025 168   Boston College W 70-62 76%     10 - 15 3 - 11 +4.7 -1.4 +6.5
  Feb 19, 2025 34   @ North Carolina L 73-97 12%     10 - 16 3 - 12 -7.6 +7.0 -14.7
  Feb 22, 2025 63   Wake Forest W 85-73 40%     11 - 16 4 - 12 +18.5 +18.5 +0.1
  Feb 26, 2025 102   @ Syracuse L 60-74 39%     11 - 17 4 - 13 -7.1 -5.7 -2.5
  Mar 01, 2025 94   @ Georgia Tech L 62-87 35%     11 - 18 4 - 14 -17.0 -3.8 -13.5
  Mar 05, 2025 62   Pittsburgh W 71-63 40%     12 - 18 5 - 14 +14.6 +3.7 +11.3
  Mar 08, 2025 173   @ Miami (FL) L 70-72 58%     12 - 19 5 - 15 +0.0 -6.4 +6.4
Projected Record 12 - 19 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 100.0 100.0 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15 100.0% 100.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%