Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.7 #55
Expected Predictive Rating +6.7 #81
Pace 68.4 #192
Improvement -2.1 #275

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #49 B- A- B+ C C+
Defense #98 C+ C+ C C+ B-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% #216 1.18 #151 -0.4 #192
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #262 0.91 #28 -0.2 #187
Three Pointers 46% #74 1.05 #121 +3.4 #66
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #97 +2.8 #97
Freethrows 0.30 #185 74% #117 0.22 #159
Second Chance 35.1% #62 1.25 #8 0.44 #16
Turnovers 13.4% #23
Total Offense +7.1 #49

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 36% #258 1.06 #66 +3.3 #72
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #64 0.72 #110 -1.0 #266
Three Pointers 40% #229 1.05 #229 +0.1 #177
1st FG Attempt 0.97 #101 +2.3 #102
Freethrows 0.28 #103 73% #242 0.20 #120
Second Chance 29.2% #123 1.00 #134 0.29 #123
Turnovers 16.2% #214
Total Defense +2.6 #98

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #134 -1.3% #69
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.6% #96 -3.2% #114
Possession Length 16.5 #103 18.3 #315
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.15 #227 0.08 #5
Improvement -4.1 #346 +2.0 #71

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 1.6% 4.5% 0.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 1.5% 4.4% 0.8%
Average Seed 10.5 10.3 10.8
.500 or above 14.3% 31.8% 10.1%
.500 or above in Conference 0.1% 0.6% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 58.6% 34.3% 64.3%
First Four1.0% 2.6% 0.6%
First Round1.1% 3.4% 0.6%
Second Round0.4% 1.4% 0.2%
Sweet Sixteen0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Kentucky (Away) - 19.3% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 42 - 11
Quad 23 - 65 - 17
Quad 32 - 07 - 17
Quad 47 - 014 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 357 St. Francis (PA) W 102 - 66 99% +11  1 - 0 +19 +15 B- A+ B+ +1 B- C C
 Sat, Nov 8 11 @Gonzaga L 68 - 83 12% -13  1 - 1 +8 +3 C+ C+ C +5 B+ A F+
 Tue, Nov 11 331 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95 - 69 97% +9  2 - 1 +12 +16 B- A+ B+ -3 B- D B
 Sat, Nov 15 13 Nebraska L 99 - 105 20% +3  2 - 2 +12 +33 A+ A+ A+ -21 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 335 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 98% +19  3 - 2 +10 +15 C- A+ A+ -5 B- F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 348 Alcorn St. W 72 - 53 98% +5  4 - 2 +4 -6 F F+ A+ +11 C A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 95 Marquette W 75 - 74 65% -4  5 - 2 +7 +13 B A+ A+ -6 C- A- F
 Tue, Dec 2 75 @Wake Forest W 86 - 68 46% +4  6 - 2 +29 +16 A+ A+ A +12 A+ A+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 77 Arizona St. L 70 - 86 58% -16  6 - 3 -8 -4 F B- B+ -4 C F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 56 Oklahoma St. W 85 - 76 51% +4  7 - 3 +19 +13 B B- A+ +5 A A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 358 UMKC W 89 - 67 99% +19  8 - 3 +4 +10 D A A+ -5 C- D+ B+
 Mon, Dec 22 329 Stetson W 107 - 54 97% +25  9 - 3 +40 +31 A+ A+ A- +10 A+ D+ B-
 Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93 - 69 100% +9  10 - 3 -3 +24 A+ A+ A- -23 F D- F
 Sat, Jan 3 59 Mississippi W 86 - 70 63% +5  11 - 3 1 - 0 +22 +20 A+ A A+ +2 B+ B D+
 Wed, Jan 7 73 @Mississippi St. L 53 - 72 46% -5  11 - 4 1 - 1 -8 -10 F C- F +1 A+ F D+
 Sat, Jan 10 27 @Texas A&M L 76 - 83 20% -1  11 - 5 1 - 2 +12 +12 C A+ D- +0 B A+ D-
 Tue, Jan 13 5 Florida L 79 - 96 20% -16  11 - 6 1 - 3 +2 +15 A A+ C+ -13 C F F
 Sat, Jan 17 20 Alabama L 81 - 83 33% +2  11 - 7 1 - 4 +12 +7 C- A+ B +6 A B- B-
 Tue, Jan 20 91 @South Carolina L 76 - 85 52% -8  11 - 8 1 - 5 +0 +5 C- A+ C -5 D+ B B
 Sat, Jan 24 54 @Missouri L 87 - 88 OT 37% +0  11 - 9 1 - 6 +12 +13 A+ F B- -1 A+ D+ D+
 Tue, Jan 27 22 Arkansas L 79 - 83 36% +2  11 - 10 1 - 7 +9 +11 B B C -1 B+ C D-
 Sat, Jan 31 31 Texas L 69 - 79 42% +4  11 - 11 1 - 8 +2 +1 D A+ B- -0 F A A+
 Wed, Feb 4 26 @Kentucky L 72 - 81 19%
 Sat, Feb 7 12 @Vanderbilt L 74 - 86 13%
 Sat, Feb 14 34 Georgia L 84 - 85 45%
 Wed, Feb 18 18 @Tennessee L 68 - 79 15%
 Sat, Feb 21 27 Texas A&M L 80 - 83 39%
 Tue, Feb 24 28 Auburn L 78 - 81 40%
 Sat, Feb 28 49 @LSU L 75 - 80 34%
 Tue, Mar 3 54 Missouri W 79 - 76 60%
 Sat, Mar 7 31 @Texas L 76 - 84 23%
Totals 14 - 17 4 - 14 +10 +7 B- A- B+ +3 C+ C+ C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 0.0 0.0 5th
6th 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.0 7th
8th 0.0 0.0 0.1 8th
9th 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.5 0.4 0.0 1.0 10th
11th 0.0 0.8 1.2 0.1 2.1 11th
12th 0.0 0.9 3.3 1.1 0.0 5.3 12th
13th 1.0 5.4 4.0 0.3 10.7 13th
14th 0.0 0.8 7.6 8.2 1.2 0.0 17.9 14th
15th 1.3 9.3 13.2 3.4 0.2 27.4 15th
16th 3.9 12.7 13.5 4.8 0.3 35.2 16th
Total 3.9 14.0 23.7 26.6 18.2 9.4 3.1 0.9 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.1% 90.5% 90.5% 8.8 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 90.5%
8-10 0.9% 52.4% 1.2% 51.2% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.4 51.8%
7-11 3.1% 22.6% 0.5% 22.1% 10.7 0.1 0.1 0.6 0.0 2.4 22.2%
6-12 9.4% 2.8% 0.3% 2.5% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 9.2 2.5%
5-13 18.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 18.2 0.0%
4-14 26.6% 26.6
3-15 23.7% 23.7
2-16 14.0% 14.0
1-17 3.9% 3.9
0-18
Total 100% 1.6% 0.1% 1.5% 10.5 98.5 1.5%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.9%