Oklahoma
Southeastern
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +10.9 #48
Expected Predictive Rating +11.0 #54
Pace 67.7 #227
Improvement -0.7 #222

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #32 B- A+ A+ C- B-
Defense #91 C+ C+ C- C+ B

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #171 1.20 #124 +1.0 #137
2 Pt. Jumpers 16% #259 0.90 #28 -0.2 #187
Three Pointers 45% #113 1.02 #180 +2.1 #115
1st FG Attempt 1.07 #104 +2.8 #104
Freethrows 16.5 #232 71% #225 11.7 #233
Second Chance 34.6% #77 1.28 #6 0.44 #23
Turnovers 11.9% #2
Total Offense +8.0 #32

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #289 1.00 #29 +5.0 #34
2 Pt. Jumpers 24% #81 0.69 #98 -0.4 #218
Three Pointers 42% #168 1.12 #315 -2.6 #286
1st FG Attempt 0.98 #117 +2.0 #115
Freethrows 16.0 #117 73% #209 11.7 #231
Second Chance 31.4% #209 0.98 #102 0.31 #150
Turnovers 15.8% #232
Total Defense +2.9 #91

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.1% #118 -1.4% #68
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 4.3% #117 -2.4% #137
Possession Length 16.4 #101 17.9 #292
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.16 #221 0.08 #6
Improvement -2.9 #339 +2.2 #58

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.7% 1.4% 0.3%
Top 6 Seed 5.0% 9.1% 3.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 38.9% 54.3% 31.6%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 38.4% 53.7% 31.1%
Average Seed 8.6 8.3 8.9
.500 or above 77.3% 90.1% 71.2%
.500 or above in Conference 30.2% 45.6% 22.8%
Conference Champion 0.6% 1.2% 0.3%
Last Place in Conference 10.5% 4.1% 13.6%
First Four7.5% 7.8% 7.4%
First Round35.1% 50.4% 27.8%
Second Round16.4% 24.1% 12.7%
Sweet Sixteen3.7% 5.6% 2.7%
Elite Eight1.1% 1.7% 0.8%
Final Four0.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Championship Game0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M (Away) - 32.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b4 - 55 - 11
Quad 24 - 39 - 14
Quad 32 - 011 - 14
Quad 47 - 018 - 14


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 361 St. Francis (PA) W 102 - 66 99%  +11  1 - 0 +17 +15 C+ A+ A- +1 C+ C C
 Sat, Nov 8 10 @Gonzaga L 68 - 83 13%  -13  1 - 1 +8 +1 C+ C D +8 A+ A F
 Tue, Nov 11 327 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 95 - 69 98%  +10  2 - 1 +13 +15 C+ A+ B+ -2 B+ C B+
 Sat, Nov 15 23 Nebraska L 99 - 105 32%  +3  2 - 2 +10 +32 A+ A+ A+ -23 F A+ F
 Thu, Nov 20 298 Oral Roberts W 95 - 71 97%  +19  3 - 2 +13 +17 C A+ A+ -4 B F A+
 Sun, Nov 23 346 Alcorn St. W 72 - 53 98%  +5  4 - 2 +4 -7 F F A+ +11 C A+ A+
 Fri, Nov 28 110 Marquette W 75 - 74 73%  -4  5 - 2 +5 +14 B+ A+ A+ -9 F A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 62 @Wake Forest W 86 - 68 46%  +4  6 - 2 +30 +17 A+ A+ A+ +12 A+ A+ C+
 Sat, Dec 6 88 Arizona St. L 70 - 86 66%  -16  6 - 3 -9 -4 F B B+ -5 C- F C+
 Sat, Dec 13 54 Oklahoma St. W 85 - 76 54%  +4  7 - 3 +19 +13 B B+ A+ +5 A+ A+ F
 Tue, Dec 16 343 UMKC W 89 - 67 98%  +19  8 - 3 +7 +11 D A+ A+ -4 D C- B+
 Mon, Dec 22 337 Stetson W 107 - 54 98%  +25  9 - 3 +39 +30 A+ A+ A+ +11 A+ D+ B+
 Mon, Dec 29 365 Mississippi Valley W 93 - 69 100%  +9  10 - 3 -3 +23 A+ A+ B+ -23 F F F
 Sat, Jan 3 71 Mississippi W 86 - 70 71%  +5  11 - 3 1 - 0 +21 +19 A+ A+ A+ +2 A B D-
 Wed, Jan 7 55 @Mississippi St. L 53 - 72 43%  -5  11 - 4 1 - 1 -6 -10 F D+ F +2 A+ F C-
 Sat, Jan 10 40 @Texas A&M L 79 - 84 32% 
 Tue, Jan 13 12 Florida L 74 - 79 34% 
 Sat, Jan 17 13 Alabama L 85 - 89 34% 
 Tue, Jan 20 72 @South Carolina L 73 - 74 50% 
 Sat, Jan 24 51 @Missouri L 76 - 79 40% 
 Tue, Jan 27 19 Arkansas L 81 - 84 40% 
 Sat, Jan 31 45 Texas W 81 - 78 60% 
 Wed, Feb 4 27 @Kentucky L 73 - 80 26% 
 Sat, Feb 7 7 @Vanderbilt L 73 - 86 12% 
 Sat, Feb 14 24 Georgia L 84 - 86 44% 
 Wed, Feb 18 16 @Tennessee L 69 - 79 19% 
 Sat, Feb 21 40 Texas A&M W 82 - 81 54% 
 Tue, Feb 24 33 Auburn L 79 - 80 50% 
 Sat, Feb 28 42 @LSU L 75 - 79 35% 
 Tue, Mar 3 51 Missouri W 79 - 76 62% 
 Sat, Mar 7 45 @Texas L 78 - 81 37% 
Totals 17 - 14 7 - 11 +11 +8 B- A+ A+ +3 C+ C+ C-




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.6 1st
2nd 0.1 0.5 0.4 0.2 0.0 1.3 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.7 0.9 0.2 0.0 1.9 3rd
4th 0.0 0.5 1.8 0.8 0.1 3.2 4th
5th 0.3 2.3 1.7 0.2 4.4 5th
6th 0.1 1.3 3.1 0.7 0.0 5.2 6th
7th 0.6 4.2 2.1 0.1 6.9 7th
8th 0.1 2.8 4.3 0.6 0.0 7.8 8th
9th 0.0 1.2 5.3 2.1 0.0 8.7 9th
10th 0.4 3.9 4.6 0.4 0.0 9.3 10th
11th 0.0 1.8 5.9 1.6 0.0 9.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.8 5.0 4.0 0.3 10.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.3 2.8 5.1 1.3 0.0 9.4 13th
14th 0.0 0.2 2.0 4.6 2.3 0.1 9.2 14th
15th 0.0 0.2 1.3 3.5 2.6 0.4 8.0 15th
16th 0.2 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 4.8 16th
Total 0.2 1.1 3.4 7.2 11.2 14.9 16.5 15.3 12.6 8.6 5.1 2.4 0.9 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 85.7% 0.1    0.1 0.0 0.0
14-4 51.9% 0.2    0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0
13-5 21.0% 0.2    0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.2% 0.0    0.0 0.0
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.6% 0.6 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.1% 100.0% 9.5% 90.5% 3.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 100.0%
14-4 0.4% 100.0% 4.9% 95.1% 4.7 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.9% 100.0% 8.6% 91.4% 5.3 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.3 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 2.4% 100.0% 7.4% 92.6% 6.2 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.8 0.2 0.0 100.0%
11-7 5.1% 98.9% 3.0% 95.9% 7.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.9 1.8 1.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 98.9%
10-8 8.6% 93.9% 2.0% 91.9% 8.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.6 1.7 2.9 2.0 0.6 0.1 0.5 93.8%
9-9 12.6% 84.4% 0.7% 83.7% 8.9 0.0 0.1 0.9 2.8 3.8 2.4 0.6 2.0 84.3%
8-10 15.3% 50.7% 0.8% 50.0% 10.2 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.7 3.4 0.1 7.5 50.4%
7-11 16.5% 19.3% 0.3% 19.0% 10.8 0.0 0.1 0.5 2.4 0.2 13.3 19.0%
6-12 14.9% 2.2% 0.2% 2.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 14.6 2.0%
5-13 11.2% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 11.2 0.0%
4-14 7.2% 7.2
3-15 3.4% 3.4
2-16 1.1% 1.1
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18
Total 100% 38.9% 0.9% 38.0% 8.6 61.1 38.4%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.2%