Pittsburgh
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +6.0 #93
Expected Predictive Rating +2.4 #124
Pace 62.7 #331
Improvement +0.6 #156

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #84 C+ B- C+ D+ C+
Defense #109 C+ B C C- C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 39% #171 1.19 #129 +0.8 #149
2 Pt. Jumpers 18% #234 0.82 #79 -0.5 #201
Three Pointers 44% #132 1.03 #168 +1.6 #122
1st FG Attempt 1.06 #122 +1.9 #123
Freethrows 0.28 #248 67% #329 0.19 #283
Second Chance 36.9% #32 1.00 #220 0.37 #72
Turnovers 15.5% #113
Total Offense +3.9 #84

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 40% #144 1.09 #88 +0.5 #159
2 Pt. Jumpers 20% #186 0.77 #208 +0.0 #192
Three Pointers 40% #230 1.01 #172 +0.8 #141
1st FG Attempt 0.99 #135 +1.3 #134
Freethrows 0.30 #168 77% #350 0.23 #223
Second Chance 25.7% #30 0.97 #101 0.25 #39
Turnovers 17.1% #155
Total Defense +2.1 #109

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 0.8% #138 0.3% #191
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.9% #126 -2.8% #123
Possession Length 18.5 #298 17.8 #265
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.19 #121 0.15 #122
Improvement +0.7 #140 -0.1 #198

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.9 11.0 12.4
.500 or above 0.9% 4.3% 0.5%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 2.6% 0.2%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 28.5% 10.9% 30.6%
First Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Virginia (Away) - 10.5% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 60 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 61 - 12
Quad 23 - 44 - 16
Quad 33 - 37 - 19
Quad 45 - 112 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 225 Youngstown St. W 74 - 59 88% +3  1 - 0 +8 +3 D A+ F +6 C A+ C-
 Fri, Nov 7 264 Longwood W 78 - 60 91% +5  2 - 0 +9 +2 C C+ D+ +8 A+ A+ F
 Mon, Nov 10 237 Eastern Michigan W 78 - 66 89% +11  3 - 0 +5 +4 C C+ A +1 A- B- D
 Thu, Nov 13 57 @West Virginia L 49 - 71 27% -9  3 - 1 -10 -10 C F C- -2 B B+ F
 Mon, Nov 17 315 Bucknell W 84 - 50 95% +17  4 - 1 +22 +13 A A- D +11 A+ A+ A-
 Thu, Nov 20 44 Central Florida L 67 - 77 29% -5  4 - 2 +2 +6 D+ B+ D+ -5 B F B
 Sun, Nov 23 186 Quinnipiac L 75 - 83 84% -5  4 - 3 -13 +3 B B F -16 F C A
 Fri, Nov 28 36 Ohio St. W 67 - 66 33% +4  5 - 3 +12 +1 C F A+ +10 A+ B+ A
 Tue, Dec 2 27 Texas A&M L 73 - 81 26% -4  5 - 4 +5 +12 C+ A+ A- -8 B D+ D+
 Sun, Dec 7 126 Hofstra L 73 - 80 74% -7  5 - 5 -8 +9 A+ F+ D -17 F A+ F
 Sat, Dec 13 32 @Villanova L 61 - 79 15% -6  5 - 6 -1 +9 D A+ C -13 D- B+ F
 Wed, Dec 17 361 Binghamton W 103 - 63 98% +21  6 - 6 +21 +19 A+ F+ F+ +1 F B+ A+
 Sun, Dec 21 112 Penn St. W 80 - 46 60% +16  7 - 6 +37 +12 B+ C- A+ +28 A+ A+ A-
 Tue, Dec 30 40 @Miami (FL) L 69 - 76 18% +1  7 - 7 0 - 1 +9 +7 C- B+ A+ +1 A+ D C
 Sat, Jan 3 33 Clemson L 68 - 73 31% -2  7 - 8 0 - 2 +6 +6 B- C+ B +0 D- A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 10 68 Syracuse L 72 - 83 53% -11  7 - 9 0 - 3 -6 +5 C+ B- B- -12 F D+ B-
 Wed, Jan 14 115 @Georgia Tech W 89 - 66 49% +15  8 - 9 1 - 3 +29 +24 A+ A+ B +6 B+ C+ A-
 Sat, Jan 17 16 Louisville L 59 - 100 20% -27  8 - 10 1 - 4 -26 -4 C- C B+ -25 F F D
 Wed, Jan 21 127 @Boston College L 62 - 65 54% -1  8 - 11 1 - 5 +2 +2 D+ A- A- -0 D+ B- D+
 Sat, Jan 24 23 North Carolina St. L 72 - 81 24% +1  8 - 12 1 - 6 +4 +7 F+ A+ C+ -2 B+ A+ C-
 Tue, Jan 27 75 Wake Forest W 80 - 76 OT 55% -3  9 - 12 2 - 6 +9 +7 D A A+ +1 B- A B+
 Sat, Jan 31 33 @Clemson L 52 - 63 15% -10  9 - 13 2 - 7 +6 +3 C B F +1 A- F A-
 Tue, Feb 3 25 @Virginia L 64 - 77 10%
 Sat, Feb 7 39 SMU L 74 - 78 34%
 Tue, Feb 10 3 Duke L 63 - 78 9%
 Sat, Feb 14 29 @North Carolina L 69 - 81 12%
 Sat, Feb 21 81 Notre Dame W 70 - 68 58%
 Wed, Feb 25 86 @Stanford L 69 - 73 37%
 Sat, Feb 28 64 @California L 68 - 74 30%
 Wed, Mar 4 101 Florida St. W 78 - 74 65%
 Sat, Mar 7 68 @Syracuse L 70 - 75 31%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 13 +6 +4 C+ B- C+ +2 C+ B C




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.4 8th
9th 0.2 0.7 0.2 1.0 9th
10th 0.0 1.3 1.1 0.1 2.5 10th
11th 0.0 1.0 3.7 0.7 0.0 5.3 11th
12th 0.2 4.4 3.0 0.1 7.7 12th
13th 1.9 7.7 0.7 10.3 13th
14th 0.2 7.0 4.7 0.1 11.9 14th
15th 0.0 2.7 11.0 1.2 0.0 14.9 15th
16th 1.2 10.8 5.9 0.1 18.0 16th
17th 0.5 5.4 10.0 0.9 0.0 16.7 17th
18th 2.9 6.3 1.9 0.1 11.2 18th
Total 3.4 12.9 25.6 26.9 19.0 9.0 2.7 0.5 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6
11-7
10-8 0.0% 0.0
9-9 0.5% 3.3% 1.1% 2.2% 10.7 0.0 0.0 0.4 2.2%
8-10 2.7% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 2.7 0.2%
7-11 9.0% 0.1% 0.1% 11.0 0.0 9.0
6-12 19.0% 19.0
5-13 26.9% 0.0% 0.0% 15.0 0.0 26.9
4-14 25.6% 25.6
3-15 12.9% 12.9
2-16 3.4% 3.4
1-17
0-18
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 11.9 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%