Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +3.3 111
Results Rating +4.2 103
Pace 65.5 262
Improvement +2.9 74

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense C+ 110 D+ B B B F+
Defense C+ 146 C C C+ B C+

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 33% 316 D+ 54% 275 -4.2 326
2 Pt. Jumpers 51% 45 C+ 40% 90 +4.8 16
Three Pointers 35% 299 C- 33% 220 -3.3 298
Shot Selection/Accuracy F+ -1.7 343 C- -0.9 202
1st FG Attempt D+ 0.97 262
Second Chance B- 33.4% 90 B 1.14 45 B 0.38 52
Turnovers B 15.0% 71
Freethrows B 0.34 64 C+ 73% 153 B 0.25 65
Total Offense C+ +2.4 110

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots C 50% 157 D+ 12.5% 274
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots C 26% 161 C+ 4.4% 135
Three Pointers B 89% 68 B- 0.5% 75
Total C- 53% 232 C 5.7% 200

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 226 C 58% 173 -1.0 134
2 Pt. Jumpers 23% 107 B 34% 42 -0.2 171
Three Pointers 40% 197 D+ 36% 274 +1.0 235
Shot Selection/Accuracy C+ -0.3 111 C +0.1 183
1st FG Attempt C 1.02 170
Second Chance C- 31.6% 235 B- 0.97 80 C 0.31 166
Turnovers C+ 17.6% 128
Freethrows B+ 0.25 25 D 74% 298 B 0.18 47
Total Defense C+ +0.9 146

Assists Blocks
Close Shots C 48% 173 C 11.8% 139
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots B- 22% 111 B 7.3% 59
Three Pointers C 84% 177 C- 0.7% 206
Total C 56% 183 C+ 6.3% 128

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 17.2 159 18.3 315
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.21 83 0.16 126
Improvement +3.0 #60 -0.2 #203

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 132 115 101
Results Rating Rank 138 105 92
Conference Record 4 - 16 5 - 15 7 - 13
Conference Finish 16 14 12
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0% 0% 0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0% 0% 0%
Average Seed n/a n/a n/a
.500 or above 0% 0% 0%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 4% 0% 6%
First Four0% 0% 0%
First Round0% 0% 0%
Second Round0% 0% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Washington (Home) - 32.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 90 - 9
Quad 1b0 - 40 - 13
Quad 21 - 42 - 17
Quad 35 - 17 - 18
Quad 46 - 112 - 19


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 356 Rider W 81 - 53 97% +14  93% 1 - 0 B +10 C +1 F B+ A- A +11 A+ D+ A-
 Mon, Nov 10 343 Maine W 72 - 60 95% +11  98% 2 - 0 C- -3 C +1 C+ A F+ C- -3 F C+ A+
 Fri, Nov 14 307 Lehigh W 84 - 72 91% +4  73% 3 - 0 C +0 B- +4 C+ A- B- D+ -3 C+ C F
 Tue, Nov 18 253 American W 80 - 71 85% +1  49% 4 - 0 C +1 C +1 F+ A+ B+ C +0 A- C F
 Fri, Nov 21 303 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 91% -5  11% 4 - 1 F -24 F -21 F F+ F+ D+ -5 C A- F
 Mon, Nov 24 15 Tennessee L 60 - 85 8% -19  1% 4 - 2 D+ -6 D+ -2 D+ B- D- D -5 D+ F B-
 Tue, Nov 25 86 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 37% -8  6% 4 - 3 C+ +2 C- -2 D A+ F B- +3 C- F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 118 UNLV W 80 - 65 52% +3  58% 5 - 3 A +18 B- +4 F A- B+ A+ +14 A A F
 Tue, Dec 2 7 Purdue L 65 - 81 9% -12  7% 5 - 4 0 - 1 C+ +2 C +1 B+ D A C+ +0 B+ C+ B-
 Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60 - 101 2% -22  0% 5 - 5 0 - 2 D- -11 D+ -2 D+ A+ F+ D- -7 F C C
 Sat, Dec 13 54 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 18% -11  0% 5 - 6 D -9 C- -2 F A+ D- D- -8 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 169 Penn W 70 - 69 74% -4  7% 6 - 6 C- -3 D -4 F+ F A+ B- +2 A+ F A-
 Mon, Dec 29 361 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 97% +9  90% 7 - 6 D+ -5 F -13 F A+ F A +8 B- C B
 Fri, Jan 2 36 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 22% +1  46% 7 - 7 0 - 3 C+ +4 A- +10 C A+ A D- -7 D+ B- A-
 Mon, Jan 5 89 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 50% -1  40% 8 - 7 1 - 3 B- +6 A- +10 C+ D+ A+ D+ -4 C+ F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 5 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3% -17  2% 8 - 8 1 - 4 C -0 D- -7 D C B B +4 D+ A+ D+
 Sun, Jan 11 69 Northwestern W 77 - 75 OT 42% -4  11% 9 - 8 2 - 4 B- +7 C+ +3 C+ D+ A+ B +5 A+ B+ F+
 Sat, Jan 17 30 @Wisconsin L 87 - 96 9% -13  3% 9 - 9 2 - 5 B +9 A+ +15 A A B D -5 B F C
 Tue, Jan 20 26 @Iowa L 62 - 68 8% -1  34% 9 - 10 2 - 6 B+ +13 C +0 B- D F A+ +12 A- A+ A-
 Fri, Jan 23 38 Indiana L 59 - 82 24% -13  0% 9 - 11 2 - 7 D- -12 C- -2 D- C+ A+ F -15 F B- F
 Tue, Jan 27 10 Michigan St. L 79 - 88 OT 12% +5  80% 9 - 12 2 - 8 B- +7 A +12 B B- A+ D+ -4 B- F A-
 Sat, Jan 31 56 @USC L 75 - 78 18% -10  3% 9 - 13 2 - 9 B +10 B +7 D- A+ A+ B- +3 F A A+
 Tue, Feb 3 37 @UCLA L 66 - 98 11% -14  3% 9 - 14 2 - 10 F+ -15 B- +5 B- C A+ F -24 F F+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 13 Nebraska L 68 - 80 12% -10  3% 9 - 15 2 - 11 C+ +4 B- +5 A B D+ C -1 B B+ F
 Sun, Feb 15 104 Maryland W 68 - 57 57% +4  80% 10 - 15 3 - 11 B+ +12 C- -1 F A B- A+ +15 A+ A D
 Wed, Feb 18 115 @Penn St. W 85 - 72 40% +13  100% 11 - 15 4 - 11 A +19 A +12 A- C- B- A- +7 D A A+
 Sat, Feb 21 59 @Minnesota L 61 - 80 21% -10  8% 11 - 16 4 - 12 D+ -7 B- +4 C+ C A+ F -15 F C- C+
 Tue, Feb 24 48 Washington L 70 - 75 33%
 Sun, Mar 1 104 @Maryland L 71 - 75 35%
 Thu, Mar 5 10 @Michigan St. L 61 - 80 4%
 Sun, Mar 8 115 Penn St. W 77 - 74 62%
Totals 12 - 19 5 - 15 +3 C+ +2 C+ C- F+ C+ +1 C- C+ B



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings C+ D+ C+ C- C- 33% 51% 35% F+ D+ B- B B B B C+ B C+ C B D+ C 37% 23% 40% C+ C C- B- C C+ B+ D B
1.12 54% 40% 33% -1 -2 0.97 33% 1.1 .38 15% .34 73% .25 1.07 58% 34% 36% 0 0 1.02 32% 1.0 .31 18% .25 74% .26
Nov
5		 Rider C F C- B- F 42% 11% 47% C F A C- B+ A- A+ D- A+ A B+ A+ A+ A+ 38% 30% 32% D+ A+ F A D+ A- F F F
1.22 42% 40% 38% -4 +2 0.98 44% 1.0 .42 11% .55 64% .35 0.80 44% 14% 13% -22 -1 0.55 44% 0.7 .31 21% .34 83% .29
Nov
10		 Maine C B- F+ A- B- 43% 25% 33% D+ C+ A- B A F+ A+ F A+ C- B+ D F F 23% 32% 45% A+ F D+ A C+ A+ B A+ A-
1.13 65% 30% 38% +3 0 1.08 45% 1.1 .52 22% .58 62% .36 0.94 50% 43% 45% +7 -3 1.11 21% 0.8 .17 28% .28 54% .15
Nov
14		 Lehigh B- C+ A+ F B- 45% 31% 24% D+ C+ A- B A- B- A+ D A+ D+ C C- C+ C 29% 27% 44% B- C+ B- F C F C B- C+
1.20 59% 60% 25% +4 -1 1.08 42% 1.1 .45 14% .45 70% .32 1.03 56% 40% 33% 0 -2 0.98 18% 1.1 .21 13% .26 69% .18
Nov
18		 American C C F C- F+ 44% 29% 27% D+ F+ C- A+ A+ B+ A+ A A+ C A+ A+ D A 39% 15% 46% C A- C C C F B D+ B-
1.14 60% 23% 33% -4 -1 0.93 30% 1.8 .53 16% .50 80% .40 1.01 39% 22% 37% -8 +1 0.88 25% 0.9 .23 11% .22 79% .18
Nov
21		 Central Connecticut St. F F+ F F F 35% 29% 37% F F D F F+ F+ F+ F F D+ C+ B+ F C 31% 37% 33% B- C F+ A+ A- F C A- B-
0.87 47% 29% 28% -10 -1 0.80 26% 0.8 .21 16% .19 70% .13 1.08 56% 32% 41% +1 -3 0.98 33% 0.5 .18 11% .25 71% .18
Nov
24		 Tennessee D+ C- F C- C- 33% 31% 36% D D+ B C B- D- A+ C+ A+ D B- A+ F D 39% 17% 43% C D+ C F F B- B+ C B
0.90 53% 21% 31% -8 -2 0.82 28% 0.9 .26 21% .46 67% .30 1.27 56% 25% 50% +7 0 1.17 47% 1.3 .59 19% .32 71% .22
Nov
25		 Notre Dame C- F F A D+ 16% 30% 53% F D A- A+ A+ F A- D B B- B C+ F C 52% 18% 30% F C- F C- F A+ A+ B- A+
1.01 43% 15% 39% -5 -3 0.86 31% 1.5 .46 23% .35 71% .25 1.09 57% 38% 46% +4 +1 1.14 43% 1.0 .43 26% .19 67% .13
Nov
27		 UNLV B- F C+ F+ F+ 33% 38% 29% F F A- C+ A- B+ A+ A- A+ A+ A+ F A+ A 36% 29% 35% A- A A A A F A A A+
1.15 44% 39% 29% -7 -3 0.83 38% 1.1 .43 14% .61 78% .47 0.94 45% 56% 26% -3 -1 0.93 24% 0.7 .17 12% .26 63% .16
Dec
2		 Purdue C F+ B A+ A- 33% 37% 29% D+ B+ D+ F D A C- D+ C- C+ D A+ D+ A- 34% 18% 48% D+ B+ C+ C+ C+ B- F+ F F
1.00 47% 42% 47% +3 -3 1.04 19% 0.8 .16 14% .20 64% .13 1.25 71% 22% 38% +4 0 1.10 37% 1.2 .43 14% .36 85% .30
Dec
6		 Michigan D+ C D F C- 22% 43% 35% F D+ A- A+ A+ F+ D- D- D- D- F F F F 48% 3% 48% D F D B C C A+ A- A+
0.83 50% 30% 21% -12 -4 0.70 33% 1.3 .42 22% .16 67% .11 1.39 75% 50% 46% +18 +3 1.43 42% 1.3 .54 15% .24 67% .16
Dec
13		 Seton Hall C- F F C F 45% 26% 29% C- F A A+ A+ D- A+ D+ A- D- F B- C- F 54% 23% 23% D+ F F C F A+ A+ D A
0.87 37% 18% 33% -15 0 0.71 41% 1.3 .51 27% .44 68% .30 1.20 75% 33% 33% +8 +1 1.19 50% 1.0 .50 22% .23 75% .17
Dec
20		 Penn D F A+ F D 32% 34% 34% F F+ F F F A+ A+ B- A+ B- D- D+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% C A+ F+ F F A- F C- F
1.02 44% 65% 18% -4 -2 0.90 21% 0.6 .13 9% .50 68% .34 1.01 63% 42% 7% -12 -1 0.77 36% 1.7 .61 20% .46 72% .33
Dec
29		 Delaware St. F F D+ F F 21% 33% 45% F F A+ B+ A+ F A+ A+ A+ A A- A+ D C+ 30% 39% 30% B B- B+ F C B D- A- C-
0.97 22% 36% 16% -21 -3 0.55 50% 1.3 .64 25% .58 83% .48 0.74 43% 22% 36% -10 -3 0.76 18% 1.0 .18 22% .35 61% .21
Jan
2		 Ohio St. A- C A F C 33% 29% 38% C+ C A+ C A+ A B- B B D- F+ A+ F C- 48% 24% 29% D- D+ F A+ B- A- F D- F
1.18 56% 50% 22% -4 -1 0.92 47% 1.0 .47 13% .31 76% .24 1.29 75% 20% 50% +11 0 1.24 50% 0.7 .35 19% .46 83% .38
Jan
5		 Oregon A- F A B+ B 27% 44% 29% F C+ C- D+ D+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ B- A+ F+ C+ 32% 15% 53% B- C+ F F+ F A+ B+ C- B
1.19 40% 50% 38% +2 -4 0.98 27% 0.8 .22 9% .51 88% .45 1.15 53% 13% 39% -1 0 1.00 42% 1.3 .55 23% .28 75% .21
Jan
8		 Illinois D- F C+ C- C- 18% 48% 34% F D D+ B C B D+ F F+ B B- F D D 31% 16% 53% B D+ A A+ A+ D+ D- F+ F
0.85 30% 37% 32% -7 -5 0.79 21% 1.0 .21 11% .14 38% .05 1.26 60% 75% 38% +10 0 1.22 34% 0.3 .11 11% .37 86% .31
Jan
11		 Northwestern C+ D+ B B- B 30% 39% 30% F C+ C- D+ D+ A+ A+ C- A+ B A+ F A- A 36% 39% 25% A+ A+ B+ C+ B+ F+ F A+ C-
1.09 53% 41% 35% 0 -3 0.96 31% 0.8 .26 8% .42 70% .29 1.06 35% 50% 29% -6 -3 0.86 24% 1.3 .31 8% .45 59% .26
Jan
17		 Wisconsin A+ B+ A+ B+ A+ 15% 36% 49% F A A B A B B A A- D D+ A+ D+ B 33% 14% 53% B- B B+ F F C F F F
1.19 63% 55% 37% +9 -4 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 14% .30 79% .24 1.32 65% 14% 37% +1 +1 1.06 27% 2.3 .60 12% .45 90% .41
Jan
20		 Iowa C A+ F+ C- B 33% 28% 40% D- B- A- F D F A+ A- A+ A+ C B- B- A- 40% 21% 38% B A- A+ A+ A+ A- B D- C+
0.96 77% 27% 31% +2 -1 1.03 35% 0.6 .19 29% .53 79% .42 1.05 63% 40% 33% +2 0 1.06 24% 0.7 .17 19% .30 81% .25
Jan
23		 Indiana C- F C F D 33% 37% 29% D- D- D+ A C+ A+ D A+ C F B- F F F 24% 10% 65% B+ F F A+ B- F A+ F A+
1.00 41% 37% 27% -9 -3 0.78 24% 1.3 .32 8% .26 86% .22 1.39 58% 80% 47% +17 0 1.37 38% 0.7 .28 8% .13 100% .13
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
27		 Michigan St. A C B- B- A- 24% 29% 47% D B D+ A+ B- A+ A A+ A+ D+ F A+ B- B 40% 23% 38% D+ B- D F F A- F F F
1.10 54% 38% 35% -1 -2 0.96 16% 1.2 .18 7% .35 83% .29 1.23 79% 9% 33% +1 0 1.04 45% 1.4 .62 21% .46 92% .42
Jan
31		 USC B F+ D+ F+ D 31% 38% 31% F D- A A A+ A+ F C F B- F D- D F 49% 32% 20% B- F F A+ A A+ F C- F
1.06 44% 36% 28% -8 -3 0.81 38% 1.1 .42 11% .19 75% .14 1.11 75% 46% 38% +12 -1 1.24 43% 0.6 .25 24% .56 73% .41
Feb
3		 UCLA B- D- A+ C- B+ 26% 33% 41% F+ B- C+ C- C A+ A F C- F D D F F 33% 33% 33% B F C- F F+ F B F C-
1.05 50% 53% 32% +1 -2 1.00 31% 0.9 .28 14% .37 55% .20 1.55 67% 44% 61% +19 -2 1.35 34% 1.4 .48 3% .29 89% .26
Feb
7		 Nebraska B- A+ A+ D A+ 15% 44% 40% F A C- A+ B D+ C F D+ C B+ F C- B+ 41% 14% 45% C B B B B+ F A- F B-
1.00 75% 52% 29% +6 -5 1.04 24% 1.1 .27 22% .23 58% .13 1.17 57% 50% 36% +2 +1 1.09 24% 1.0 .24 9% .19 92% .18
Feb
15		 Maryland C- F C F+ F+ 22% 41% 37% F F C+ A+ A B- A+ A+ A+ A+ C+ A+ A- A+ 31% 20% 49% B- A+ D+ A+ A D A+ A+ A+
1.05 40% 37% 29% -7 -4 0.80 28% 1.4 .41 15% .44 79% .35 0.88 56% 10% 28% -10 0 0.80 38% 0.7 .28 15% .24 46% .11
Feb
18		 Penn St. A A A+ D+ A 42% 27% 31% D+ A- D+ B- C- B- A+ A+ A+ A- F F A+ F+ 33% 26% 40% A D A- A A A+ F D+ F
1.25 70% 62% 33% +11 -1 1.23 25% 1.3 .33 18% .41 87% .36 1.06 93% 64% 18% +8 -1 1.17 23% 1.0 .23 22% .41 77% .32
Feb
21		 Minnesota B- C- B- B- B- 32% 34% 34% D C+ F+ A+ C A+ F B- F+ F D+ B- F F 39% 7% 54% D- F A F C- C+ A+ D+ A+
1.04 56% 41% 35% +1 -2 1.00 19% 1.2 .22 12% .16 75% .12 1.37 67% 33% 56% +21 +2 1.48 24% 1.4 .33 17% .14 71% .10



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 0.0 0.0 10th
11th 0.8 0.2 1.0 11th
12th 1.3 4.0 0.2 5.4 12th
13th 0.4 10.6 3.4 0.0 14.4 13th
14th 28.5 19.9 0.5 48.9 14th
15th 5.5 11.7 0.3 17.5 15th
16th 9.7 1.3 11.0 16th
17th 1.8 0.0 1.8 17th
18th 0.1 0.1 18th
Total 17.1 41.9 32.1 8.6 0.4 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12 0.4% 0.4
7-13 8.6% 8.6
6-14 32.1% 32.1
5-15 41.9% 41.9
4-16 17.1% 17.1
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0 100.0 0.0%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 17.1%