Rutgers
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +1.8 #131
Expected Predictive Rating +2.5 #128
Pace 65.7 #282
Improvement +1.4 #107

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #143 D B+ C+ B+ F
Defense #127 C C C+ B+ C

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 34% #297 1.03 #318 -4.6 #320
2 Pt. Jumpers 30% #26 0.75 #180 +3.8 #31
Three Pointers 35% #300 1.00 #207 -3.3 #293
1st FG Attempt 0.93 #296 -4.2 #296
Freethrows 20.4 #46 73% #183 14.8 #60
Second Chance 34.9% #70 1.14 #74 0.40 #47
Turnovers 15.7% #124
Total Offense +0.7 #143

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #202 1.14 #148 +0.7 #153
2 Pt. Jumpers 21% #147 0.63 #41 +0.9 #128
Three Pointers 41% #194 1.08 #276 -1.3 #231
1st FG Attempt 1.01 #159 +0.4 #158
Freethrows 13.7 #31 76% #307 10.4 #318
Second Chance 33.4% #283 0.99 #119 0.33 #207
Turnovers 17.5% #126
Total Defense +1.1 #127

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect -3.2% #337 -0.3% #142
Shot Type Accuracy Effect -5.2% #260 -0.5% #170
Possession Length 17.3 #177 18.3 #323
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 #76 0.18 #195
Improvement +1.3 #98 +0.1 #182

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 n/a
.500 or above 1.6% 3.6% 0.6%
.500 or above in Conference 0.5% 1.3% 0.1%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 34.8% 20.0% 42.4%
First Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Northwestern (Home) - 34.0% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b1 - 51 - 13
Quad 22 - 53 - 18
Quad 33 - 15 - 19
Quad 46 - 111 - 20


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Wed, Nov 5 348 Rider W 81 - 53 94%  +14  1 - 0 +13 +7 C- B A- +7 A+ C- B+
 Mon, Nov 10 339 Maine W 72 - 60 93%  +11  2 - 0 -3 +4 B- A+ F -5 F A- A+
 Fri, Nov 14 320 Lehigh W 84 - 72 91%  +4  3 - 0 -1 +6 C+ B A- -7 D+ C+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 241 American W 80 - 71 81%  +1  4 - 0 +2 +3 F A+ B -2 A+ C F
 Fri, Nov 21 269 Central Connecticut St. L 54 - 67 85%  -5  4 - 1 -22 -18 F F F -6 B- A- F
 Mon, Nov 24 16 Tennessee L 60 - 85 8%  -19  4 - 2 -7 -0 D- C+ D+ -8 C- F B+
 Tue, Nov 25 59 Notre Dame L 63 - 68 24%  -8  4 - 3 +4 +4 D+ A+ F -1 D+ F A+
 Thu, Nov 27 142 UNLV W 80 - 65 53%  +3  5 - 3 +16 +9 D- B- A+ +7 A- A+ F
 Tue, Dec 2 4 Purdue L 65 - 81 6%  -12  5 - 4 0 - 1 +4 +5 A+ D- B+ -2 A B- C
 Sat, Dec 6 1 @Michigan L 60 - 101 1%  -22  5 - 5 0 - 2 -11 +1 C A+ F -11 F C B
 Sat, Dec 13 53 @Seton Hall L 59 - 81 15%  -11  5 - 6 -9 -1 F A+ F -9 F F A+
 Sat, Dec 20 216 Penn W 70 - 69 77%  -4  6 - 6 -5 -5 F F A+ +0 A+ F B+
 Mon, Dec 29 352 Delaware St. W 65 - 50 94%  +9  7 - 6 -1 -8 F A+ F +7 C+ D B+
 Fri, Jan 2 30 Ohio St. L 73 - 80 19%  +1  7 - 7 0 - 3 +4 +13 C A+ A -10 D+ C A
 Mon, Jan 5 65 Oregon W 88 - 85 OT 35%  -1  8 - 7 1 - 3 +9 +13 B- D- A+ -4 C F A+
 Thu, Jan 8 9 @Illinois L 55 - 81 3%  -17  8 - 8 1 - 4 -3 -3 D+ C B+ -2 D- A+ F
 Sun, Jan 11 60 Northwestern L 70 - 74 34% 
 Sat, Jan 17 43 @Wisconsin L 68 - 81 11% 
 Tue, Jan 20 20 @Iowa L 59 - 77 5% 
 Fri, Jan 23 25 Indiana L 68 - 79 16% 
 Tue, Jan 27 14 Michigan St. L 61 - 74 11% 
 Sat, Jan 31 46 @USC L 69 - 81 12% 
 Tue, Feb 3 38 @UCLA L 64 - 78 9% 
 Sat, Feb 7 23 Nebraska L 65 - 76 16% 
 Sun, Feb 15 107 Maryland W 72 - 71 53% 
 Wed, Feb 18 105 @Penn St. L 70 - 76 30% 
 Sat, Feb 21 76 @Minnesota L 62 - 71 21% 
 Tue, Feb 24 47 Washington L 69 - 75 29% 
 Sun, Mar 1 107 @Maryland L 68 - 74 30% 
 Thu, Mar 5 14 @Michigan St. L 58 - 77 4% 
 Sun, Mar 8 105 Penn St. W 74 - 73 51% 
Totals 11 - 20 4 - 16 +2 +1 D B+ C+ +1 C C C+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 0.0 0.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 0.0 0.0 0.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 7th
8th 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 8th
9th 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.3 9th
10th 0.0 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 0.7 10th
11th 0.0 0.4 0.9 0.3 0.0 1.6 11th
12th 0.0 0.3 1.6 1.1 0.1 3.1 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 2.3 2.7 0.7 0.0 5.9 13th
14th 0.2 3.1 5.3 1.8 0.1 10.5 14th
15th 0.2 3.2 8.0 3.9 0.4 0.0 15.8 15th
16th 0.1 2.8 9.7 6.6 0.9 0.0 20.1 16th
17th 0.0 2.5 9.5 7.8 1.4 0.1 21.4 17th
18th 3.4 8.3 7.1 1.5 0.1 20.4 18th
Total 3.4 11.0 19.6 22.5 19.4 12.7 6.9 3.0 1.0 0.4 0.1 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8 0.0% 0.0 0.0
11-9 0.1% 0.1
10-10 0.4% 0.4
9-11 1.0% 1.0
8-12 3.0% 3.0
7-13 6.9% 6.9
6-14 12.7% 12.7
5-15 19.4% 19.4
4-16 22.5% 22.5
3-17 19.6% 19.6
2-18 11.0% 11.0
1-19 3.4% 3.4
0-20
Total 100% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 10.0 100.0 0.0%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 3.4%