IN CC Stats - NCAA Basketball

Stanford
Atlantic Coast
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating	+6.5	#86
Expected Predictive Rating	+9.4	#64

Pace	68.6	#184
Improvement	-3.4	#320

	Overall	1st FGA	Second Chance	TOs	Free throws	Shot Selection
Offense	#94	C+	C+	B-	B-	A-
Defense	#86	B-	C+	B-	D+	B

Offense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	45%	#33	1.11	#237	+2.7	#93
2 Pt. Jumpers	9%	#351	0.74	#204	-4.4	#354
Three Pointers	46%	#82	1.09	#78	+4.0	#54
1st FG Attempt			1.07	#111	+2.4	#110
Freethrows	0.34	#57	72%	#181	0.25	#77
Second Chance	34.8%	#71	1.00	#213	0.35	#101
Turnovers					15.1%	#89
Total Offense					+3.2	#94

Defense Breakdown

	Attempts		Conversion Rate		Total Effect
Close Shots	39%	#186	1.12	#122	+0.7	#149
2 Pt. Jumpers	27%	#32	0.74	#157	-2.3	#336
Three Pointers	34%	#345	0.95	#86	+4.6	#22
1st FG Attempt			0.96	#86	+2.9	#84
Freethrows	0.33	#284	75%	#319	0.25	#302
Second Chance	27.4%	#70	1.05	#222	0.29	#114
Turnovers					18.9%	#61
Total Defense					+3.2	#86

Miscellaneous

	Offense		Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect	3.8%	#12	-1.6%	#54
Shot Type Accuracy Effect	0.8%	#161	-4.2%	#93
Possession Length	16.9	#134	17.5	#239
Fast Break Points Per Possession	0.19	#116	0.11	#25
Improvement	-1.7	#290	-1.7	#279

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.

	Now	Win Next	Lose Next
#1 Overall Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
#1 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 2 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 4 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Top 6 Seed	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid	8.6%	15.1%	5.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier	8.5%	15.0%	5.3%
Average Seed	10.5	10.4	10.6

.500 or above	93.5%	99.4%	90.6%
.500 or above in Conference	13.2%	26.0%	6.7%
Conference Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Last Place in Conference	5.4%	1.2%	7.5%

First Four	4.8%	7.8%	3.3%
First Round	5.4%	9.9%	3.1%
Second Round	1.1%	2.2%	0.6%
Sweet Sixteen	0.1%	0.2%	0.1%
Elite Eight	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Final Four	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
Championship Game	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%
National Champion	0.0%	0.0%	0.0%

Next Game: Clemson (Home) - 33.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding

Not in Tournament

Projected Record by Quad
Quad	Projected	Projected Cumulative
Quad 1a	1 - 4	1 - 4
Quad 1b	3 - 2	4 - 6
Quad 2	4 - 4	8 - 10
Quad 3	5 - 3	13 - 14
Quad 4	5 - 0	18 - 14

Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Record		Total Rating	Offense				Defense
Date	Opponent	Result/Prediction			Avg Lead	Overall	Conf	Total Rating	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs	Total	First FGA	2nd Chance	TOs
Tue, Nov 4	149 Portland St.	W	89 - 79	80%	+6	1 - 0		+8	+8	B	B+	D	-2	F	A+	A+
Sat, Nov 8	158 Montana	W	91 - 68	82%	+11	2 - 0		+20	+12	B-	C-	A+	+7	A	D-	A+
Wed, Nov 12	166 Montana St.	W	77 - 68	83%	+4	3 - 0		+6	-2	D	C+	C	+7	C+	B	A
Tue, Nov 18	303 Louisiana	W	93 - 66	94%	+12	4 - 0		+16	+15	B+	C-	B+	+0	D	B-	B
Fri, Nov 21	124 Seattle	L	69 - 77	75%	+2	4 - 1		-9	-1	D	C	A+	-8	C+	D	B
Thu, Nov 27	76 Minnesota	W	72 - 68	45%	+1	5 - 1		+12	+10	D	A+	A+	+2	D	F	A+
Fri, Nov 28	24 Saint Louis	W	78 - 77	18%	-6	6 - 1		+17	+11	B	C+	B	+6	A+	D-	C-
Mon, Dec 1	232 Portland	W	94 - 72	89%	+14	7 - 1		+15	+19	A-	A+	A+	-4	D-	C	A+
Sun, Dec 7	128 UNLV	L	74 - 75	76%	+2	7 - 2		-2	-3	F	A+	D-	+0	B-	B+	B
Sat, Dec 13	242 @San Jose St.	W	86 - 82	78%	+8	8 - 2		+2	+11	A+	A+	F	-9	C	F	F
Wed, Dec 17	163 Texas Arlington	W	76 - 60	82%	+12	9 - 2		+13	+8	A-	B-	C-	+5	C	A+	C
Sat, Dec 20	72 Colorado	W	77 - 68	44%	+3	10 - 2		+17	+5	D+	B	B+	+12	A-	C+	A+
Sat, Dec 27	187 Cal St. Northridge	W	88 - 80	86%	+1	11 - 2		+3	+7	A+	F	C-	-4	D+	A+	B-
Tue, Dec 30	81 Notre Dame	L	40 - 47	61%	-5	11 - 3	0 - 1	-3	-23	F	F	A	+18	A+	C+	A-
Fri, Jan 2	16 Louisville	W	80 - 76	21%	+3	12 - 3	1 - 1	+19	+21	A	A+	A-	-2	A+	D-	B+
Wed, Jan 7	60 @Virginia Tech	W	69 - 68	29%	-5	13 - 3	2 - 1	+13	+14	A-	B	A+	-0	B	A	C
Sat, Jan 10	25 @Virginia	L	55 - 70	12%	-9	13 - 4	2 - 2	+4	-4	C-	F	F	+7	A	B+	C-
Wed, Jan 14	29 North Carolina	W	95 - 90	29%	-5	14 - 4	3 - 2	+17	+22	A+	F	A-	-5	C-	D+	B-
Sat, Jan 17	3 Duke	L	50 - 80	10%	-15	14 - 5	3 - 3	-9	-7	D	A-	F	-6	B	F	C
Sat, Jan 24	64 California	L	66 - 78	53%	-1	14 - 6	3 - 4	-6	-5	F	D-	A+	-1	B-	C+	C
Wed, Jan 28	40 @Miami (FL)	L	70 - 79	20%	-1	14 - 7	3 - 5	+7	+7	B-	A-	D+	-1	C+	B	D+
Sat, Jan 31	101 @Florida St.	L	80 - 88	45%	-7	14 - 8	3 - 6	-0	+12	B+	C	A-	-12	F	F+	C
Wed, Feb 4	33 Clemson	L	66 - 71	34%
Sat, Feb 7	115 Georgia Tech	W	78 - 72	73%
Wed, Feb 11	127 @Boston College	W	69 - 68	56%
Sat, Feb 14	75 @Wake Forest	L	74 - 78	34%
Sat, Feb 21	64 @California	L	71 - 76	32%
Wed, Feb 25	93 Pittsburgh	W	73 - 69	63%
Sat, Feb 28	39 SMU	L	76 - 80	36%
Wed, Mar 4	81 @Notre Dame	L	70 - 73	39%
Sat, Mar 7	23 @North Carolina St.	L	71 - 84	11%
Totals						18 - 13	7 - 11	+6	+3	C+	C+	B-	+3	B-	C+	B-

Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.

Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

	0-18	1-17	2-16	3-15	4-14	5-13	6-12	7-11	8-10	9-9	10-8	11-7	12-6	13-5	14-4	15-3	16-2	17-1	18-0	Total
1st																					1st
2nd																					2nd
3rd													0.0							0.0	3rd
4th												0.0	0.0							0.1	4th
5th											0.1	0.2	0.0							0.3	5th
6th										0.1	0.5	0.2								0.7	6th
7th									0.0	0.7	1.3	0.0								2.1	7th
8th								0.0	0.7	3.2	0.9									4.9	8th
9th								0.3	4.8	3.9	0.1									9.1	9th
10th							0.1	3.6	7.9	1.7	0.0									13.2	10th
11th							1.6	10.1	4.4	0.2										16.3	11th
12th						0.2	6.5	8.3	0.5											15.5	12th
13th						1.4	9.4	1.8	0.0											12.6	13th
14th					0.0	4.2	5.0	0.2												9.4	14th
15th					0.6	5.4	0.9													6.9	15th
16th				0.0	2.0	2.6	0.1													4.7	16th
17th				0.3	2.1	0.4														2.8	17th
18th				0.8	0.6	0.0														1.5	18th

Total				1.1	5.3	14.2	23.5	24.4	18.3	9.8	2.9	0.4	0.1								Total

Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record	Champion	Total		Outright	2-Way	3-Way	4-Way	5-Way	6-Way	7-Way	8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6	0.0%
11-7	0.0%
10-8	0.0%
9-9	0.0%

Total

NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf Record	Record Chance	Tourney Bid	Auto	At-Large	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16	No Bid	At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2
15-3
14-4
13-5
12-6	0.1%											0.0		0.0	0.0							0.0
11-7	0.4%	86.0%		86.0%	9.5							0.0	0.0	0.1	0.2	0.1						0.1	86.0%
10-8	2.9%	60.4%		60.4%	10.1							0.0	0.1	0.2	0.9	0.5	0.0					1.2	60.4%
9-9	9.8%	34.5%		34.5%	10.5								0.0	0.3	1.2	1.9	0.0					6.4	34.5%
8-10	18.3%	12.0%	0.1%	11.9%	10.8								0.0	0.0	0.3	1.8	0.0					16.1	11.9%
7-11	24.4%	3.0%	0.0%	3.0%	11.0										0.1	0.6	0.1					23.6	3.0%
6-12	23.5%	0.3%		0.3%	11.2											0.1	0.0					23.4	0.3%
5-13	14.2%																					14.2
4-14	5.3%																					5.3
3-15	1.1%																					1.1
2-16
1-17
0-18

Total	100%	8.6%	0.0%	8.5%	10.5																	91.4	8.5%

Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

	Chance	Tourney Bid	Avg Seed	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10	11	12	13	14	15	16
Lose Out	1.1%