Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
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Predictive Rating +9.0 #62
Expected Predictive Rating +9.0 #69
Pace 73.2 #73
Improvement -3.7 #346

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense #81 C+ B+ B- C+ C+
Defense #57 B- B A+ C- C-

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 38% #176 1.17 #158 +0.2 #171
2 Pt. Jumpers 17% #255 0.97 #13 +0.4 #160
Three Pointers 45% #115 0.98 #222 +1.3 #133
1st FG Attempt 1.05 #125 +1.9 #125
Freethrows 18.0 #151 75% #95 13.5 #123
Second Chance 33.2% #112 1.19 #36 0.40 #53
Turnovers 15.5% #109
Total Offense +3.9 #81

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 35% #288 1.23 #272 +1.0 #141
2 Pt. Jumpers 15% #321 0.71 #120 +2.2 #39
Three Pointers 50% #18 0.85 #28 -0.6 #202
1st FG Attempt 0.96 #96 +2.7 #97
Freethrows 18.4 #237 73% #217 13.5 #122
Second Chance 28.5% #104 0.97 #94 0.28 #81
Turnovers 21.5% #13
Total Defense +5.1 #57

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Shot Type Mix Effect 1.0% #124 0.7% #232
Shot Type Accuracy Effect 2.7% #141 -5.9% #76
Possession Length 15.7 #51 17.6 #246
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.20 #99 0.15 #96
Improvement -2.1 #301 -1.7 #287

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.2% 0.6% 0.1%
NCAA Tourney Bid 14.4% 28.5% 11.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.9% 27.8% 10.6%
Average Seed 10.0 9.7 10.2
.500 or above 72.9% 88.1% 69.2%
.500 or above in Conference 36.5% 58.9% 31.1%
Conference Champion 0.2% 0.5% 0.1%
Last Place in Conference 2.5% 0.7% 3.0%
First Four6.5% 10.0% 5.6%
First Round10.7% 22.8% 7.8%
Second Round4.2% 9.1% 3.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.8% 1.6% 0.6%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.4% 0.1%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: North Carolina (Away) - 19.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 61 - 6
Quad 1b1 - 32 - 10
Quad 26 - 58 - 14
Quad 33 - 111 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Avg Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 241 American W 88 - 74 93%  +9  1 - 0 +7 +5 D- A+ A- +0 B- F A+
 Fri, Nov 7 308 Morehead St. W 81 - 65 96%  +8  2 - 0 +4 -7 F A- F +10 A+ C A+
 Tue, Nov 11 1 Michigan L 84 - 85 OT 6%  -2  2 - 1 +26 +10 C- A+ A- +15 A+ A- A+
 Sun, Nov 16 286 Umass Lowell W 109 - 75 95%  +15  3 - 1 +24 +22 B+ A+ A+ -0 D+ A C+
 Thu, Nov 20 17 Texas Tech L 83 - 84 23%  -2  3 - 2 +16 +11 B A+ A+ +5 B B- A+
 Fri, Nov 21 78 Memphis W 69 - 68 55%  -5  4 - 2 +9 +5 D A+ C +3 D A+ A+
 Tue, Nov 25 199 Campbell W 99 - 51 90%  +26  5 - 2 +43 +20 A+ A+ A+ +22 A+ A+ C+
 Fri, Nov 28 233 Northeastern W 86 - 73 92%  +7  6 - 2 +6 +4 A+ A F +2 F A+ A+
 Tue, Dec 2 48 Oklahoma L 68 - 86 54%  -4  6 - 3 -10 -5 F F C- -4 D- D+ A+
 Sat, Dec 6 67 West Virginia W 75 - 66 51%  +6  7 - 3 +18 +19 A+ B C+ +0 B F A+
 Sun, Dec 14 207 Queens W 111 - 73 91%  +19  8 - 3 +32 +28 A+ A C +4 B- A- B
 Wed, Dec 17 279 Longwood W 71 - 68 95%  +2  9 - 3 -7 -10 F F B +3 A D D+
 Sun, Dec 21 7 Vanderbilt L 67 - 98 21%  -19  9 - 4 -14 -1 D+ B- F -11 F A+ A-
 Wed, Dec 31 34 @North Carolina St. L 57 - 70 23%  -7  9 - 5 0 - 1 +4 -10 F F C- +14 A+ A+ A+
 Sat, Jan 3 68 Virginia Tech W 81 - 78 62%  +4  10 - 5 1 - 1 +9 +6 D+ A+ A +2 C- B A+
 Wed, Jan 7 36 Miami (FL) L 77 - 81 44%  +1  10 - 6 1 - 2 +7 +11 A+ D+ B+ -4 A+ F A-
 Sat, Jan 10 26 @North Carolina L 71 - 80 19% 
 Sat, Jan 17 111 @Florida St. W 83 - 81 56% 
 Tue, Jan 20 28 SMU L 79 - 81 41% 
 Sat, Jan 24 6 @Duke L 69 - 84 8% 
 Tue, Jan 27 82 @Pittsburgh L 72 - 73 46% 
 Sat, Jan 31 34 North Carolina St. L 77 - 79 43% 
 Sat, Feb 7 15 Louisville L 77 - 83 30% 
 Wed, Feb 11 114 @Georgia Tech W 77 - 75 58% 
 Sat, Feb 14 79 Stanford W 77 - 73 66% 
 Wed, Feb 18 39 Clemson L 70 - 71 46% 
 Sat, Feb 21 68 @Virginia Tech L 74 - 77 40% 
 Tue, Feb 24 151 @Boston College W 73 - 67 71% 
 Sat, Feb 28 69 Syracuse W 77 - 73 63% 
 Tue, Mar 3 22 @Virginia L 70 - 80 18% 
 Sat, Mar 7 84 California W 78 - 73 68% 
Totals 17 - 14 8 - 10 +9 +4 C+ B+ B- +5 B- B A+




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 1st
2nd 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.6 2nd
3rd 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.0 1.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.7 1.2 0.1 2.1 4th
5th 0.4 1.8 0.8 0.0 3.1 5th
6th 0.0 0.2 2.2 2.2 0.2 0.0 4.7 6th
7th 0.0 1.3 3.8 1.0 0.0 6.2 7th
8th 0.6 4.2 3.2 0.2 8.2 8th
9th 0.1 2.4 5.7 1.0 0.0 9.3 9th
10th 1.1 6.2 3.1 0.2 10.6 10th
11th 0.3 3.9 5.8 0.9 0.0 10.9 11th
12th 0.0 1.7 6.6 2.3 0.1 10.7 12th
13th 0.0 0.5 4.3 4.2 0.4 9.3 13th
14th 0.1 2.1 4.4 1.2 0.0 7.9 14th
15th 0.0 0.8 3.6 2.2 0.1 6.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.3 1.9 2.3 0.3 4.8 16th
17th 0.2 1.0 1.2 0.5 0.0 2.9 17th
18th 0.1 0.2 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.9 18th
Total 0.1 0.4 1.8 4.2 8.9 13.2 17.2 17.7 15.5 10.9 6.0 2.9 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0
17-1
16-2 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-3 60.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0
14-4 17.0% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-5 9.4% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
12-6 0.3% 0.0    0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 0.2% 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0
17-1
16-2 0.0% 0.0 0.0
15-3 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-4 0.2% 100.0% 6.4% 93.6% 7.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 100.0%
13-5 0.9% 88.9% 2.8% 86.1% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 88.6%
12-6 2.9% 77.5% 2.1% 75.5% 9.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.8 0.2 0.0 0.7 77.1%
11-7 6.0% 63.7% 1.6% 62.2% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.6 1.2 0.0 2.2 63.2%
10-8 10.9% 37.7% 1.2% 36.5% 10.4 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.2 0.0 6.8 36.9%
9-9 15.5% 15.7% 0.7% 15.0% 10.7 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.8 0.1 13.1 15.1%
8-10 17.7% 3.4% 0.4% 3.0% 10.9 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.1 17.1 3.0%
7-11 17.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.3% 11.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 17.1 0.4%
6-12 13.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 11.3 0.0 0.0 13.2 0.1%
5-13 8.9% 0.1% 0.1% 12.0 0.0 8.9
4-14 4.2% 4.2
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.4% 0.4
1-17 0.1% 0.1
0-18
Total 100% 14.4% 0.6% 13.9% 10.0 85.6 13.9%