Wake Forest
Atlantic Coast
2019-20 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.3#63
Expected Predictive Rating+12.7#46
Pace67.7#191
Improvement+2.8#74

Offense
Total Offense+2.7#102
First Shot+2.4#107
After Offensive Rebound+0.2#177
Layup/Dunks+2.4#95
2 Pt Jumpshots-0.3#188
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.7#237
Freethrows+2.1#65
Improvement+3.5#35

Defense
Total Defense+6.6#36
First Shot+6.6#21
After Offensive Rebounds+0.0#185
Layups/Dunks+6.4#21
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.4#62
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.5#258
Freethrows+0.3#162
Improvement-0.7#230
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 24.5% 43.4% 15.1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 24.2% 42.6% 15.1%
Average Seed 10.9 10.8 11.2
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four19.9% 30.9% 14.3%
First Round12.5% 24.9% 6.3%
Second Round3.4% 6.6% 1.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.7% 1.3% 0.4%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.3% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 12 - 8
Quad 26 - 18 - 9
Quad 37 - 215 - 11
Quad 46 - 021 - 11


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 361   Coppin St. W 64-49 99%     1 - 0 -4.4 -14.9 +10.2
  Nov 07, 2024 329   N.C. A&T W 80-64 97%     2 - 0 +2.7 -8.7 +9.3
  Nov 10, 2024 31   Michigan W 72-70 32%     3 - 0 +16.2 +8.6 +7.6
  Nov 13, 2024 349   South Carolina Upstate W 85-80 98%     4 - 0 -10.5 +1.5 -12.2
  Nov 16, 2024 40   @ Xavier L 60-75 27%     4 - 1 +0.6 -1.2 +1.0
  Nov 19, 2024 339   Western Carolina W 82-69 98%     5 - 1 -1.5 +3.8 -5.1
  Nov 23, 2024 337   Detroit Mercy W 67-57 98%     6 - 1 -4.3 -7.7 +3.9
  Nov 28, 2024 3   Florida L 58-75 10%     6 - 2 +6.5 -2.8 +8.7
  Nov 29, 2024 84   Minnesota W 57-51 61%     7 - 2 +12.5 -3.3 +16.6
  Dec 03, 2024 22   @ Texas A&M L 44-57 18%     7 - 3 +6.1 -12.5 +17.1
  Dec 07, 2024 168   Boston College W 72-66 88%     8 - 3 1 - 0 +2.7 +2.3 +0.8
  Dec 17, 2024 166   James Madison W 75-58 87%     9 - 3 +13.9 +11.1 +5.8
  Dec 21, 2024 21   @ Clemson L 62-73 18%     9 - 4 1 - 1 +8.2 -2.1 +10.3
  Dec 31, 2024 102   @ Syracuse W 81-71 59%     10 - 4 2 - 1 +16.9 +6.1 +10.2
  Jan 04, 2025 104   North Carolina St. W 77-59 78%     11 - 4 3 - 1 +19.2 +13.6 +7.5
  Jan 11, 2025 173   @ Miami (FL) W 88-78 76%     12 - 4 4 - 1 +12.0 +12.2 -0.1
  Jan 15, 2025 81   Stanford W 80-67 69%     13 - 4 5 - 1 +17.1 +12.9 +4.7
  Jan 18, 2025 135   @ Virginia Tech W 72-63 69%     14 - 4 6 - 1 +13.2 +5.9 +7.9
  Jan 21, 2025 34   North Carolina W 67-66 44%     15 - 4 7 - 1 +11.9 -4.9 +16.8
  Jan 25, 2025 1   Duke L 56-63 9%     15 - 5 7 - 2 +17.0 -4.7 +21.4
  Jan 28, 2025 23   @ Louisville L 59-72 19%     15 - 6 7 - 3 +5.7 -1.4 +6.3
  Feb 01, 2025 62   Pittsburgh W 76-74 60%     16 - 6 8 - 3 +8.6 +11.1 -2.3
  Feb 05, 2025 81   @ Stanford W 79-73 49%     17 - 6 9 - 3 +15.6 +10.8 +4.8
  Feb 08, 2025 106   @ California W 76-66 60%     18 - 6 10 - 3 +16.6 +12.3 +5.3
  Feb 12, 2025 85   Florida St. L 70-72 71%     18 - 7 10 - 4 +1.7 +3.4 -1.8
  Feb 15, 2025 45   @ SMU W 77-66 32%     19 - 7 11 - 4 +25.2 +15.5 +10.6
  Feb 22, 2025 104   @ North Carolina St. L 73-85 60%     19 - 8 11 - 5 -5.3 +5.4 -10.8
  Feb 26, 2025 99   Virginia L 75-83 76%     19 - 9 11 - 6 -6.2 +5.5 -12.0
  Mar 01, 2025 95   Notre Dame W 74-71 74%     20 - 9 12 - 6 +5.5 +2.9 +2.6
  Mar 03, 2025 1   @ Duke L 60-93 4%     20 - 10 12 - 7 -3.5 -0.3 -3.1
  Mar 08, 2025 94   Georgia Tech W 69-43 74%     21 - 10 13 - 7 +28.5 +4.7 +25.8
  Mar 13, 2025 34   North Carolina L 74-78 33%    
Projected Record 21 - 11 13 - 7




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Atlantic Coast Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 100.0 100.0 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Atlantic Coast Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.0%
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 100.0% 24.5% 0.5% 24.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.1 17.5 3.2 75.5 24.2%
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 24.5% 0.5% 24.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.6 3.1 17.5 3.2 75.5 24.2%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 0.5% 100.0% 9.3 14.6 41.7 41.7 2.1
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 1.2% 70.4% 10.3 1.7 8.7 27.0 32.2 0.9
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 31.7% 41.6% 10.8 0.0 0.0 0.8 7.4 30.5 2.8
Lose Out 66.7% 15.1% 11.2 0.0 0.4 11.2 3.5