Washington
Big Ten
2024-25 - 2025-26 - 2026-27
Switch to All-time Team Page
Predictive Rating +11.2 48
Results Rating +8.1 76
Pace 67.4 216
Improvement +0.4 176

Overall 1st FGA Second Chance TOs Free
throws		 Shot Selection
Offense B 58 B- B+ B- C D
Defense B 48 B+ B C- B+ A

Offense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 37% 234 B 64% 53 +1.2 131
2 Pt. Jumpers 44% 107 B+ 45% 32 +4.7 17
Three Pointers 35% 297 C+ 35% 143 -2.5 264
Shot Selection/Accuracy D -1.1 311 B +4.5 48
1st FG Attempt B- 1.09 79
Second Chance B+ 36.2% 36 B 1.12 59 B+ 0.40 35
Turnovers B- 15.1% 81
Freethrows C- 0.29 228 B 76% 60 C 0.22 177
Total Offense B +5.9 58

Assists Blocks (Opponents')
Close Shots B 57% 59 B 8.7% 57
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots D+ 18% 275 D+ 6.5% 270
Three Pointers B 90% 46 B- 0.5% 74
Total C 55% 187 C+ 5.2% 125

Defense Breakdown
Attempts Conversion Rate Total Effect
Close Shots 32% 334 C+ 56% 115 -4.7 45
2 Pt. Jumpers 29% 14 B 35% 65 +2.3 336
Three Pointers 39% 232 B+ 30% 33 -3.2 55
Shot Selection/Accuracy A -1.6 13 B -4.1 44
1st FG Attempt B+ 0.91 36
Second Chance B+ 26.0% 35 C+ 0.99 120 B 0.26 48
Turnovers C- 16.1% 223
Freethrows B 0.25 39 B+ 69% 33 B+ 0.18 29
Total Defense B +5.3 48

Assists Blocks
Close Shots A- 38% 22 C 11.2% 159
2 Pt. Jumpers Shots A- 14% 8 A+ 13.2% 3
Three Pointers A- 76% 21 B 1.6% 61
Total A 43% 8 B+ 8.0% 35

Miscellaneous
Offense Defense
Possession Length 16.9 129 18.4 324
Fast Break Points Per Possession 0.22 67 0.10 18
Improvement +0.5 #154 -0.2 #201

See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Prediction Sensitivity
Pessimistic
5th Percentile 		Expected
50th Percentile 		Optimistic
95th Percentile
Predictive Rating Rank 58 48 41
Results Rating Rank 88 68 54
Conference Record 6 - 14 7 - 13 9 - 11
Conference Finish 14 12 11
NCAA Tourney Seed None None None
NCAA Tourney Finish None None None

NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0% 0% 0%
#1 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 2 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 4 Seed 0% 0% 0%
Top 6 Seed 0% 0% 0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 4% 5% 1%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 4% 5% 1%
Average Seed 11.0 11.0 11.2
.500 or above 52% 66% 23%
.500 or above in Conference 0% 0% 0%
Conference Champion 0% 0% 0%
Last Place in Conference 0% 0% 0%
First Four3% 5% 1%
First Round2% 3% 0%
Second Round1% 1% 0%
Sweet Sixteen0% 0% 0%
Elite Eight0% 0% 0%
Final Four0% 0% 0%
Championship Game0% 0% 0%
National Champion0% 0% 0%

Next Game: Rutgers (Away) - 67.4% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 70 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 32 - 10
Quad 26 - 58 - 14
Quad 33 - 211 - 17
Quad 45 - 016 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Lead Record Total Rating Offense Defense
Avg Time Overall Conf Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs Total First
FGA		 2nd Chance TOs
 Mon, Nov 3 329 Arkansas Pine Bluff W 94 - 50 98% +21  96% 1 - 0 A+ +30 B +7 B- A F+ A+ +22 A+ A B+
 Thu, Nov 6 228 Denver W 84 - 70 94% +8  91% 2 - 0 B- +7 C- -1 C B C A- +8 C- A+ A-
 Sun, Nov 9 44 @Baylor L 69 - 78 38% -4  19% 2 - 1 B- +5 D+ -3 D+ D+ C A- +8 B- A+ D
 Fri, Nov 14 126 @Washington St. W 81 - 69 71% +10  88% 3 - 1 A- +18 A+ +16 B+ B+ A- B- +3 A D+ F
 Tue, Nov 18 258 Southern W 99 - 93 2OT 96% -3  26% 4 - 1 C- -3 D+ -4 F B B- C +0 B- F B
 Thu, Nov 27 78 Nevada W 83 - 66 64% +7  90% 5 - 1 A+ +25 B+ +9 A C D A+ +16 A+ A- C-
 Fri, Nov 28 66 Colorado L 68 - 81 60% -9  0% 5 - 2 C- -4 D+ -4 F B A+ C -1 B- D B
 Wed, Dec 3 37 UCLA L 80 - 82 52% -3  29% 5 - 3 0 - 1 B +9 A+ +14 A A+ F+ D -6 F+ F+ D-
 Sat, Dec 6 56 @USC W 84 - 76 44% -8  11% 6 - 3 1 - 1 A +21 A +13 C+ A+ B- A- +8 A+ A F
 Sat, Dec 13 278 Southern Utah W 105 - 69 96% +18  97% 7 - 3 A+ +26 A+ +23 A B+ A+ B- +3 D+ A+ F+
 Fri, Dec 19 122 @Seattle L 66 - 70 70% +2  62% 7 - 4 C+ +2 D -5 D+ F C A- +7 B+ A C+
 Mon, Dec 22 226 San Diego W 86 - 56 94% +16  98% 8 - 4 A+ +23 C +1 F A+ B+ A+ +20 A A+ A+
 Mon, Dec 29 99 Utah W 74 - 65 81% +3  73% 9 - 4 B +11 C -0 B- D+ C+ A+ +11 A+ D+ B-
 Sun, Jan 4 38 @Indiana L 80 - 90 30% -7  10% 9 - 5 1 - 2 B- +7 A+ +19 B+ A+ A+ F -13 D+ F+ F
 Wed, Jan 7 7 @Purdue L 73 - 81 11% -14  0% 9 - 6 1 - 3 A- +16 B +6 B+ B- C A +11 C+ F A+
 Sun, Jan 11 36 Ohio St. W 81 - 74 49% +0  46% 10 - 6 2 - 3 A +18 A+ +16 A- B A+ B- +3 A B B-
 Wed, Jan 14 1 Michigan L 72 - 82 13% -8  8% 10 - 7 2 - 4 B+ +14 B+ +8 C+ A+ B- B+ +6 A+ D- D-
 Sat, Jan 17 10 Michigan St. L 63 - 80 31% -8  8% 10 - 8 2 - 5 C -1 C +0 A- B C- C- -2 B B F
 Wed, Jan 21 13 @Nebraska L 66 - 76 16% -10  6% 10 - 9 2 - 6 B+ +12 A- +10 B+ B+ A+ C+ +1 C- A+ D+
 Sun, Jan 25 89 Oregon W 72 - 57 77% +12  94% 11 - 9 3 - 6 A +18 B- +5 A- C C A+ +14 A+ A+ D+
 Thu, Jan 29 5 @Illinois L 66 - 75 10% -5  11% 11 - 10 3 - 7 A- +17 B+ +9 A+ D- F+ B+ +7 A+ F F
 Sat, Jan 31 69 @Northwestern W 76 - 62 50% +8  85% 12 - 10 4 - 7 A+ +25 A- +10 A- A- B- A+ +16 A+ A+ A+
 Wed, Feb 4 26 Iowa L 74 - 84 45% -1  43% 12 - 11 4 - 8 C+ +3 A+ +15 A+ A+ B+ F -14 F A+ F
 Sat, Feb 7 37 @UCLA L 73 - 77 30% +0  54% 12 - 12 4 - 9 B+ +13 B+ +9 B+ A+ C B- +3 A+ D+ D-
 Wed, Feb 11 115 Penn St. L 60 - 63 85% -1  29% 12 - 13 4 - 10 C- -3 F -14 F C C+ A +11 B- A+ B+
 Sat, Feb 14 59 Minnesota W 69 - 57 69% +8  82% 13 - 13 5 - 10 A +18 B+ +9 A+ A+ D- A+ +11 A- B A
 Sat, Feb 21 104 @Maryland L 60 - 64 64% +0  38% 13 - 14 5 - 11 C+ +3 C+ +2 B- F A+ C+ +0 B F D-
 Tue, Feb 24 111 @Rutgers W 75 - 70 67%
 Sat, Feb 28 30 Wisconsin L 77 - 78 48%
 Wed, Mar 4 56 USC W 78 - 74 66%
 Sat, Mar 7 89 @Oregon W 73 - 71 57%
Totals 15 - 16 7 - 13 +11 B +6 A+ B D B +5 C+ B C



Game Detail
Grades are adjusted for opponent strength in each category. Game stats are not adjusted for oppoent strength. See methodology page for descriptions of rating types.
Offense Defense
Tot Off First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows Tot Def First Field Goal Attempt Second Chance TOs Freethrows
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot Shot Accuracy Shot Selection Points Per Shot
2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot 2 C 2 L 3 Tot Off Reb PPP Tot Att Perc Tot
Season Ratings B B B+ C+ B 37% 44% 35% D B- B+ B B+ B- C- B C B C+ B B+ B 32% 29% 39% A B+ B+ C+ B C- B B+ B+
1.17 64% 45% 35% +4 -1 1.09 36% 1.1 .40 15% .29 76% .22 1.01 56% 35% 30% -4 -2 0.91 26% 1.0 .26 16% .25 69% .20
Nov
3		 Arkansas Pine Bluff B A F A+ B 29% 21% 50% D- B- A+ D+ A F+ A+ D+ A+ A+ A A+ A A+ 20% 33% 46% A+ A+ F+ A+ A B+ A A A+
1.28 71% 20% 42% +6 -1 1.13 52% 1.1 .55 19% .56 73% .41 0.68 45% 17% 28% -14 -3 0.69 31% 0.4 .12 22% .21 67% .14
Nov
6		 Denver C- C- A+ D B- 31% 35% 35% F C C A B C F+ B D A- C+ F B- C- 28% 26% 45% C C- B+ A+ A+ A- A A+ A+
1.19 59% 58% 32% +6 -2 1.09 33% 1.4 .45 13% .24 73% .18 0.99 53% 57% 33% +3 -1 1.06 26% 0.8 .20 18% .21 67% .14
Nov
9		 Baylor D+ B- A F C 15% 56% 30% F D+ A F D+ C C F D+ A- F F+ A C 16% 43% 41% A+ B- A+ B A+ D F B F
0.97 63% 50% 19% +1 -6 0.91 38% 0.6 .24 17% .25 67% .17 1.09 88% 50% 29% +6 -5 1.06 21% 1.0 .21 13% .46 69% .32
Nov
14		 Washington St. A+ D+ A+ A- B+ 32% 19% 49% C+ B+ A- C+ B+ A- A+ B+ A+ B- C B+ A A+ 38% 12% 50% D+ A D+ D+ D+ F A+ F+ A
1.30 53% 56% 39% +6 0 1.13 34% 1.1 .38 11% .42 78% .33 1.11 63% 33% 28% -3 +1 0.98 32% 1.0 .32 11% .18 80% .14
Nov
18		 Southern D+ C- D- D+ F+ 36% 38% 26% F F B+ C B B- A+ D A+ C C A C B- 34% 37% 29% A- B- D+ F F B F B+ F
1.07 57% 32% 33% -3 -2 0.91 39% 1.1 .43 17% .65 72% .47 1.01 57% 26% 33% -5 -2 0.87 32% 1.3 .43 19% .46 65% .30
Nov
27		 Nevada B+ F C+ A+ B+ 58% 12% 30% A+ A A F C D A+ B A+ A+ A+ B- D A+ 40% 35% 25% B A+ A+ F+ A- C- C+ A- B
1.16 40% 40% 62% +2 +3 1.12 38% 0.8 .32 20% .63 75% .47 0.92 33% 33% 38% -10 -2 0.79 23% 1.2 .28 13% .37 70% .26
Nov
28		 Colorado D+ F F+ C F 40% 28% 32% C F B B B A+ D- A+ C+ C B- A+ F B 43% 20% 36% C B- D C- D B F B F
0.99 30% 31% 33% -13 -1 0.74 31% 1.1 .36 9% .24 93% .22 1.18 58% 22% 44% +2 0 1.07 37% 1.0 .37 16% .55 72% .40
Dec
3		 UCLA A+ A A+ C+ A+ 34% 24% 42% C- A A+ A+ A+ F+ D- B- D D F D F F 20% 39% 41% A+ F+ B F F+ D- F B+ D
1.23 71% 50% 33% +7 -1 1.14 52% 1.4 .74 23% .24 75% .18 1.26 78% 44% 47% +15 -4 1.24 30% 1.6 .48 11% .41 71% .29
Dec
6		 USC A B D+ D- B- 40% 32% 28% D C+ A A+ A+ B- A+ B A+ A- A+ A+ C- A+ 31% 31% 38% A A+ A+ D+ A F C- F F
1.15 60% 38% 29% -2 -1 0.96 39% 1.2 .47 16% .41 80% .33 1.04 44% 25% 35% -8 -2 0.83 23% 1.1 .25 11% .43 86% .37
Dec
13		 Southern Utah A+ A- A A+ A+ 35% 27% 38% D A B+ B B+ A+ A- A A B- F F A- F+ 28% 35% 37% A+ D+ A- A+ A+ F+ A A+ A+
1.47 67% 50% 48% +14 -1 1.28 37% 1.1 .40 3% .33 78% .26 0.97 75% 45% 29% +4 -3 1.05 23% 0.4 .10 15% .17 50% .08
Dec
19		 Seattle D D A+ F D 52% 27% 21% C+ D+ A- F F C B A+ A A- D D- A+ A 51% 13% 36% F+ B+ B- A+ A C+ F F F
0.86 48% 57% 9% -8 0 0.87 38% 0.4 .14 21% .35 81% .28 0.92 63% 43% 16% -7 +2 0.92 23% 0.4 .09 18% .43 78% .34
Dec
22		 San Diego C B D F F+ 36% 28% 36% F+ F B A+ A+ B+ A+ A- A+ A+ B A+ B A+ 25% 24% 51% B A A+ B+ A+ A+ B A+ A
1.16 67% 36% 22% -4 -1 0.92 38% 1.7 .65 16% .47 79% .37 0.76 54% 25% 31% -7 -1 0.86 18% 0.9 .15 24% .20 55% .11
Dec
29		 Utah C A- A+ F B+ 36% 34% 30% F B- F A+ D+ C+ A A+ A+ A+ C A B+ A+ 23% 40% 37% A+ A+ C- D D+ B- B+ A+ A+
1.08 67% 59% 20% +4 -2 1.06 15% 1.5 .23 15% .34 85% .29 0.95 58% 29% 32% -5 -4 0.85 33% 1.1 .36 17% .25 57% .14
Jan
4		 Indiana A+ A+ C F+ A- 31% 33% 37% D B+ C A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ F A+ F F D 38% 14% 48% B- D+ D- D F+ F C D+ C-
1.26 73% 38% 28% +1 -2 1.00 27% 1.8 .47 6% .42 88% .37 1.41 42% 71% 50% +10 +1 1.24 34% 1.2 .41 6% .34 80% .27
Jan
7		 Purdue B A D+ B- B+ 30% 32% 38% C- B+ B- B- B- C C A B- A F D A C+ 39% 33% 27% B+ C+ D F+ F A+ A A A
1.03 69% 35% 35% +3 -2 1.04 26% 1.1 .29 18% .21 75% .16 1.15 80% 47% 29% +9 -2 1.18 41% 1.4 .56 20% .21 67% .14
Jan
11		 Ohio St. A+ B+ A C+ A 28% 36% 36% D A- C A B A+ A+ A+ A+ B- D A B+ A+ 33% 29% 38% B- A F A+ B B- A- F B
1.26 64% 50% 33% +6 -3 1.08 29% 1.2 .35 11% .40 83% .33 1.15 71% 33% 30% 0 -1 1.00 46% 0.7 .32 17% .28 87% .24
Jan
14		 Michigan B+ A+ C- F B 9% 38% 54% F C+ A+ A+ A+ B- D+ A+ C B+ F A+ A+ A+ 37% 28% 35% A+ A+ C- D- D- D- A+ D+ A
1.01 100% 33% 23% -7 -4 0.80 38% 1.4 .52 17% .19 82% .15 1.15 80% 27% 11% -7 -1 0.85 40% 1.5 .60 11% .27 76% .21
Jan
17		 Michigan St. C A+ A+ F A- 37% 27% 37% C A- F A+ B C- C- B+ C C- C D- B+ B- 30% 41% 30% A+ B A- D+ B F A- A A
0.94 72% 54% 17% 0 -1 1.00 10% 2.0 .21 18% .24 77% .18 1.20 63% 45% 31% +3 -3 1.02 34% 1.2 .39 7% .29 67% .19
Jan
21		 Nebraska A- A+ C- D- A- 28% 39% 33% D B+ C+ A+ B+ A+ D F D- C+ F D D- D 27% 19% 54% A C- A+ B A+ D+ B+ C+ B+
1.03 80% 33% 28% +1 -3 0.98 27% 1.1 .30 12% .18 60% .11 1.18 79% 40% 39% +10 -1 1.21 15% 1.0 .15 12% .21 75% .16
Jan
25		 Oregon B- D+ C A+ A+ 17% 42% 42% F A- A+ F C C C- F D- A+ F B A+ A- 17% 49% 34% A+ A+ A+ A+ A+ D+ F F F
1.12 50% 40% 50% +9 -4 1.13 45% 0.6 .25 17% .24 62% .15 0.89 71% 35% 21% -6 -5 0.80 4% 0.0 .00 16% .52 86% .44
Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows Shot Accuracy Shot Selection PPS 2nd Chance TOs Freethrows
Jan
29		 Illinois B+ A+ A+ C A+ 21% 40% 38% D- A+ A+ F D- F+ C A+ B+ B+ A- F A+ A+ 38% 10% 52% D+ A+ B+ F F F B- A+ A
1.08 80% 53% 33% +10 -4 1.15 35% 0.4 .13 16% .16 100% .16 1.23 53% 60% 23% -8 +1 0.88 38% 1.7 .65 8% .28 63% .18
Jan
31		 Northwestern A- D A A+ A 35% 25% 40% C- A- A C A- B- F B F A+ B A+ A A+ 46% 17% 38% F+ A+ B A+ A+ A+ C B- C+
1.16 50% 46% 43% +5 -1 1.10 43% 0.9 .41 17% .15 75% .11 0.94 55% 13% 28% -9 +1 0.85 26% 0.9 .23 18% .34 72% .24
Feb
4		 Iowa A+ A A A A+ 41% 25% 34% C- A+ A- A+ A+ B+ F A+ D- F F D+ F F 35% 27% 38% A F A+ B- A+ F D+ A+ B
1.21 72% 45% 40% +11 0 1.23 35% 1.9 .65 20% .22 82% .18 1.37 82% 46% 50% +20 -1 1.40 17% 1.0 .17 7% .37 62% .23
Feb
7		 UCLA B+ C+ A+ D B+ 42% 23% 35% C+ B+ A- A A+ C B+ F+ C+ B- A+ A- F A+ 34% 34% 32% B A+ D- B D+ D- F D+ F
1.11 60% 55% 29% +2 0 1.06 38% 1.2 .45 20% .34 67% .23 1.17 38% 31% 47% -3 -2 0.91 39% 1.1 .42 11% .49 79% .39
Feb
11		 Penn St. F B F D+ F 30% 37% 33% F F B F C C+ B F D+ A F C- D- D- 16% 57% 27% A+ B- A+ F A+ B+ A+ B- A+
0.92 64% 18% 33% -6 -3 0.85 34% 1.1 .37 18% .26 57% .15 0.96 75% 43% 38% +7 -6 1.04 15% 1.5 .22 18% .21 73% .15
Feb
14		 Minnesota B+ A+ A+ F+ A+ 34% 39% 27% F+ A+ B- A+ A+ D- B- F D+ A+ F F A+ A- 26% 17% 57% B+ A- A D B A A B- A
1.15 79% 69% 27% +16 -3 1.29 30% 1.8 .55 22% .28 54% .15 0.95 82% 57% 21% -2 0 0.98 23% 1.1 .26 22% .26 67% .17
Feb
21		 Maryland C+ A+ A+ F B 31% 25% 44% D B- F F F A+ F A+ F+ C+ D- A+ F B- 31% 33% 36% A+ B F+ D+ F D- A+ C A+
1.06 80% 50% 24% +3 -1 1.06 15% 0.5 .08 11% .14 100% .14 1.13 64% 7% 44% -3 -2 0.91 42% 1.1 .48 14% .23 73% .16



Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 0.1 0.1 9th
10th 0.4 3.0 3.4 10th
11th 3.9 20.4 9.9 34.2 11th
12th 2.1 18.5 11.7 0.4 32.6 12th
13th 0.4 11.5 11.6 0.9 0.0 24.4 13th
14th 1.8 2.5 0.0 4.3 14th
15th 0.8 0.1 0.8 15th
16th 0.1 0.1 16th
17th 0.0 0.0 17th
18th 18th
Total 3.0 16.2 34.0 33.4 13.4 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11 13.4% 19.9% 0.1% 19.8% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 1.8 0.4 0.0 10.7 19.8%
8-12 33.4% 3.0% 0.1% 2.9% 11.2 0.0 0.0 0.8 0.2 0.0 32.4 2.9%
7-13 34.0% 0.2% 0.0% 0.1% 11.2 0.0 0.0 34.0 0.1%
6-14 16.2% 0.0% 0.0% 11.0 0.0 16.2
5-15 3.0% 3.0
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 3.7% 0.1% 3.7% 11.0 96.3 3.7%


Best / Worst Case Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Championship 0.1% 73.8% 9.7 2.4 2.4 23.8 28.6 16.7
Win Out, Lose in Conf. Tourney Semi-Final 0.6% 64.5% 10.4 1.1 7.0 23.7 31.2 1.6
Lose Out 2.9%