Washington
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+5.4#95
Expected Predictive Rating+6.3#90
Pace72.6#85
Improvement+0.5#154

Offense
Total Offense+1.4#135
First Shot+0.6#157
After Offensive Rebound+0.8#127
Layup/Dunks+1.4#133
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.6#133
3 Pt Jumpshots-2.8#262
Freethrows+1.3#100
Improvement+2.1#52

Defense
Total Defense+4.0#76
First Shot+3.7#70
After Offensive Rebounds+0.3#159
Layups/Dunks+3.1#67
2 Pt Jumpshots-4.0#353
3 Pt Jumpshots+4.6#25
Freethrows+0.0#186
Improvement-1.5#294
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 3.3% 3.4% 0.7%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 3.3% 3.3% 0.7%
Average Seed 9.7 9.7 9.9
.500 or above 21.4% 21.8% 5.5%
.500 or above in Conference 3.6% 3.6% 1.3%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 35.6% 35.4% 46.9%
First Four1.3% 1.3% 0.4%
First Round2.6% 2.7% 0.5%
Second Round1.0% 1.1% 0.3%
Sweet Sixteen0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: NJIT (Home) - 97.6% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b1 - 52 - 11
Quad 24 - 46 - 15
Quad 32 - 19 - 17
Quad 44 - 113 - 17


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 05, 2024 223   UC Davis W 79-73 86%     1 - 0 -0.5 -4.6 +3.2
  Nov 09, 2024 60   @ Nevada L 53-63 25%     1 - 1 +2.3 -10.6 +12.2
  Nov 17, 2024 144   Umass Lowell W 74-69 77%     2 - 1 +2.6 -2.7 +5.3
  Nov 22, 2024 337   Alcorn St. W 77-60 95%     3 - 1 +2.9 +2.9 +1.5
  Nov 28, 2024 97   Colorado St. W 73-67 51%     4 - 1 +11.0 +4.4 +6.6
  Nov 29, 2024 72   Santa Clara W 76-69 41%     5 - 1 +14.7 +8.5 +6.4
  Dec 03, 2024 20   @ UCLA L 58-69 12%     5 - 2 0 - 1 +6.9 +2.2 +3.7
  Dec 07, 2024 71   USC L 61-85 52%     5 - 3 0 - 2 -19.2 -8.1 -11.4
  Dec 10, 2024 254   Eastern Washington W 87-69 89%     6 - 3 +9.9 +6.6 +3.1
  Dec 18, 2024 74   Washington St. W 89-73 53%     7 - 3 +20.6 +12.9 +6.6
  Dec 23, 2024 143   Seattle L 70-79 76%     7 - 4 -11.2 -6.4 -4.5
  Dec 29, 2024 352   NJIT W 78-57 98%    
  Jan 02, 2025 13   Maryland L 70-78 24%    
  Jan 05, 2025 21   Illinois L 73-79 27%    
  Jan 09, 2025 14   @ Michigan St. L 66-79 11%    
  Jan 12, 2025 19   @ Michigan L 68-81 12%    
  Jan 15, 2025 27   Purdue L 71-77 31%    
  Jan 21, 2025 23   @ Oregon L 67-79 13%    
  Jan 24, 2025 20   UCLA L 64-71 27%    
  Feb 01, 2025 111   @ Minnesota L 66-67 46%    
  Feb 05, 2025 40   Nebraska L 72-75 38%    
  Feb 08, 2025 55   Northwestern L 67-68 45%    
  Feb 12, 2025 29   @ Ohio St. L 68-79 16%    
  Feb 15, 2025 32   @ Penn St. L 72-82 17%    
  Feb 19, 2025 63   Rutgers L 75-76 50%    
  Feb 22, 2025 43   @ Iowa L 76-85 20%    
  Feb 25, 2025 34   @ Wisconsin L 70-80 18%    
  Mar 01, 2025 51   Indiana L 75-77 42%    
  Mar 05, 2025 71   @ USC L 71-76 31%    
  Mar 09, 2025 23   Oregon L 70-76 29%    
Projected Record 13 - 17 5 - 15




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 4th
5th 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.3 5th
6th 0.0 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.2 0.3 0.0 0.5 7th
8th 0.0 0.5 0.2 0.0 0.7 8th
9th 0.0 0.4 0.7 0.1 0.0 1.2 9th
10th 0.2 1.2 0.5 0.0 1.8 10th
11th 0.0 0.1 0.9 1.3 0.1 2.5 11th
12th 0.0 0.6 2.1 0.8 0.0 3.5 12th
13th 0.0 0.4 2.2 2.2 0.2 5.0 13th
14th 0.0 0.3 2.0 3.6 1.2 0.0 7.1 14th
15th 0.0 0.3 2.3 5.0 2.8 0.3 0.0 10.7 15th
16th 0.0 0.5 3.2 6.6 4.8 0.9 0.0 16.2 16th
17th 0.3 2.4 6.3 9.5 6.2 1.6 0.1 26.3 17th
18th 1.1 4.0 6.9 6.7 3.7 0.9 0.1 23.5 18th
Total 1.1 4.3 9.3 13.5 16.8 16.3 13.8 10.3 6.9 4.1 2.0 0.9 0.4 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-4 100.0% 0.0    0.0
15-5 42.9% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 17.6% 0.0    0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 1.3% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3 0.0% 0.0
16-4 0.0% 0.0
15-5 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0
14-6 0.0% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
13-7 0.2% 97.5% 1.3% 96.2% 7.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 97.4%
12-8 0.4% 91.1% 1.5% 89.6% 8.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 91.0%
11-9 0.9% 76.4% 1.1% 75.4% 9.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.2 76.2%
10-10 2.0% 52.4% 0.7% 51.7% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.4 0.0 1.0 52.0%
9-11 4.1% 17.9% 0.3% 17.6% 10.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.5 0.0 3.4 17.6%
8-12 6.9% 3.4% 0.2% 3.2% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2 0.0 6.7 3.2%
7-13 10.3% 0.3% 0.3% 11.5 0.0 0.0 10.3 0.3%
6-14 13.8% 13.8
5-15 16.3% 16.3
4-16 16.8% 16.8
3-17 13.5% 13.5
2-18 9.3% 9.3
1-19 4.3% 4.3
0-20 1.1% 1.1
Total 100% 3.3% 0.1% 3.3% 9.7 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1.2 0.1 96.7 3.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Lose Out 0.0%