Mississippi
Southeastern
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
Switch to All-time Team Page
Overall
Predictive Rating+13.3#27
Expected Predictive Rating+17.6#16
Pace67.2#226
Improvement+3.7#19

Offense
Total Offense+8.0#22
First Shot+7.7#21
After Offensive Rebound+0.3#163
Layup/Dunks-0.9#205
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.5#95
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.9#63
Freethrows+3.2#38
Improvement+2.3#37

Defense
Total Defense+5.3#47
First Shot+5.5#40
After Offensive Rebounds-0.2#210
Layups/Dunks+7.3#15
2 Pt Jumpshots-1.3#285
3 Pt Jumpshots-0.6#214
Freethrows+0.0#184
Improvement+1.4#79
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
#1 Seed 1.9% 1.9% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 6.8% 6.9% 1.0%
Top 4 Seed 27.9% 28.2% 10.2%
Top 6 Seed 50.0% 50.4% 27.2%
NCAA Tourney Bid 81.1% 81.4% 62.8%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 80.7% 81.0% 62.6%
Average Seed 6.0 5.9 7.2
.500 or above 94.6% 94.9% 81.3%
.500 or above in Conference 49.6% 49.9% 33.4%
Conference Champion 2.1% 2.1% 0.7%
Last Place in Conference 5.8% 5.7% 10.2%
First Four6.3% 6.3% 7.8%
First Round78.0% 78.4% 58.6%
Second Round54.5% 54.9% 35.3%
Sweet Sixteen25.8% 26.0% 14.6%
Elite Eight10.2% 10.3% 4.1%
Final Four4.0% 4.0% 1.1%
Championship Game1.6% 1.6% 0.4%
National Champion0.5% 0.6% 0.0%

Next Game: Queens (Home) - 98.1% chance of victory

Projected Seeding 6 seed  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a4 - 84 - 8
Quad 1b4 - 38 - 11
Quad 24 - 112 - 12
Quad 31 - 013 - 12
Quad 48 - 021 - 12


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 340   LIU Brooklyn W 90-60 99%     1 - 0 +15.6 +7.3 +6.9
  Nov 08, 2024 308   Grambling St. W 66-64 98%     2 - 0 -9.1 -12.5 +3.3
  Nov 12, 2024 202   South Alabama W 64-54 94%     3 - 0 +5.2 -6.4 +12.3
  Nov 16, 2024 104   Colorado St. W 84-69 80%     4 - 0 +19.4 +24.3 -3.1
  Nov 21, 2024 294   Oral Roberts W 100-68 97%     5 - 0 +21.9 +15.5 +4.8
  Nov 28, 2024 40   BYU W 96-85 OT 57%     6 - 0 +22.5 +13.8 +7.1
  Nov 29, 2024 20   Purdue L 78-80 46%     6 - 1 +12.3 +18.6 -6.5
  Dec 03, 2024 51   @ Louisville W 86-63 50%     7 - 1 +36.2 +22.9 +14.3
  Dec 07, 2024 351   Lindenwood W 86-53 99%     8 - 1 +17.6 +11.4 +8.1
  Dec 14, 2024 283   Southern Miss W 77-46 96%     9 - 1 +24.3 +10.2 +17.1
  Dec 17, 2024 232   Southern W 74-61 96%     10 - 1 +6.3 -2.9 +8.7
  Dec 21, 2024 270   Queens W 87-65 98%    
  Dec 28, 2024 37   @ Memphis L 77-79 43%    
  Jan 04, 2025 32   Georgia W 74-70 64%    
  Jan 08, 2025 29   @ Arkansas L 74-77 40%    
  Jan 11, 2025 56   LSU W 78-71 73%    
  Jan 14, 2025 8   @ Alabama L 78-85 26%    
  Jan 18, 2025 28   @ Mississippi St. L 72-75 39%    
  Jan 22, 2025 25   Texas A&M W 71-69 59%    
  Jan 25, 2025 55   @ Missouri W 76-75 52%    
  Jan 29, 2025 31   Texas W 74-70 63%    
  Feb 01, 2025 1   Auburn L 74-81 28%    
  Feb 04, 2025 9   Kentucky L 80-81 47%    
  Feb 08, 2025 56   @ LSU W 75-74 53%    
  Feb 12, 2025 69   @ South Carolina W 72-70 58%    
  Feb 15, 2025 28   Mississippi St. W 75-72 61%    
  Feb 22, 2025 50   @ Vanderbilt W 78-77 50%    
  Feb 26, 2025 1   @ Auburn L 71-84 13%    
  Mar 01, 2025 34   Oklahoma W 76-72 64%    
  Mar 05, 2025 3   Tennessee L 67-71 35%    
  Mar 08, 2025 7   @ Florida L 74-82 24%    
Projected Record 20 - 11 8 - 10




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Southeastern Finish

0-18 1-17 2-16 3-15 4-14 5-13 6-12 7-11 8-10 9-9 10-8 11-7 12-6 13-5 14-4 15-3 16-2 17-1 18-0 Total
1st 0.1 0.4 0.7 0.6 0.2 0.0 0.0 2.1 1st
2nd 0.0 0.1 1.0 1.5 0.9 0.2 0.0 3.6 2nd
3rd 0.0 1.1 2.5 1.5 0.2 0.0 5.3 3rd
4th 0.0 0.9 3.2 2.3 0.4 0.0 6.8 4th
5th 0.3 3.2 3.6 0.7 0.0 7.8 5th
6th 0.1 2.1 4.7 1.5 0.1 8.4 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 4.7 2.9 0.2 0.0 8.6 7th
8th 0.1 2.9 4.6 0.8 0.0 8.4 8th
9th 0.0 1.1 5.4 2.0 0.1 8.5 9th
10th 0.3 3.3 4.0 0.4 0.0 8.0 10th
11th 0.1 1.4 4.7 1.2 0.0 7.4 11th
12th 0.0 0.5 3.4 2.7 0.2 6.8 12th
13th 0.0 0.2 1.9 3.3 0.6 0.0 6.1 13th
14th 0.0 0.1 1.1 2.8 1.3 0.1 5.4 14th
15th 0.0 0.1 0.7 1.7 1.2 0.2 3.9 15th
16th 0.0 0.2 0.6 1.0 0.9 0.2 0.0 2.9 16th
Total 0.0 0.2 0.7 1.8 3.9 6.7 10.0 12.6 14.5 14.1 12.5 9.7 6.6 3.7 1.8 0.8 0.3 0.0 0.0 Total



Southeastern Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
18-0 100.0% 0.0    0.0
17-1 100.0% 0.0    0.0
16-2 92.9% 0.2    0.2 0.0 0.0
15-3 72.5% 0.6    0.4 0.2 0.0
14-4 39.0% 0.7    0.3 0.3 0.1 0.1
13-5 10.8% 0.4    0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0
12-6 1.2% 0.1    0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
11-7 0.0%
10-8 0.0%
9-9 0.0%
Total 2.1% 2.1 1.0 0.6 0.3 0.1 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
18-0 0.0% 0.0
17-1 0.0% 100.0% 26.1% 73.9% 1.2 0.0 0.0 100.0%
16-2 0.3% 100.0% 18.9% 81.1% 1.3 0.2 0.1 0.0 100.0%
15-3 0.8% 100.0% 17.3% 82.7% 1.7 0.3 0.4 0.1 0.0 100.0%
14-4 1.8% 100.0% 10.8% 89.2% 2.0 0.5 0.8 0.4 0.0 0.0 100.0%
13-5 3.7% 100.0% 8.8% 91.2% 2.6 0.5 1.3 1.4 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
12-6 6.6% 100.0% 6.0% 94.0% 3.2 0.2 1.3 2.7 1.8 0.5 0.1 0.0 100.0%
11-7 9.7% 100.0% 4.0% 96.0% 3.9 0.1 0.7 2.7 3.3 2.1 0.6 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
10-8 12.5% 100.0% 2.3% 97.7% 4.8 0.0 0.2 1.6 3.4 4.0 2.4 0.8 0.1 0.0 0.0 100.0%
9-9 14.1% 99.8% 1.5% 98.4% 5.7 0.0 0.1 0.6 2.0 3.6 4.0 2.6 0.9 0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.8%
8-10 14.5% 97.9% 0.8% 97.1% 7.2 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.4 2.6 3.4 3.2 2.0 0.8 0.2 0.3 97.8%
7-11 12.6% 85.6% 0.3% 85.3% 9.1 0.0 0.1 0.5 1.2 1.9 2.4 2.5 2.0 0.1 1.8 85.6%
6-12 10.0% 54.0% 0.2% 53.9% 10.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.6 1.3 2.7 0.4 4.6 54.0%
5-13 6.7% 16.2% 0.1% 16.1% 11.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.7 0.2 5.6 16.1%
4-14 3.9% 0.9% 0.9% 11.4 0.0 0.0 3.9 0.9%
3-15 1.8% 1.8
2-16 0.7% 0.7
1-17 0.2% 0.2
0-18 0.0% 0.0
Total 100% 81.1% 2.2% 78.9% 6.0 1.9 4.9 9.7 11.4 11.9 10.2 8.2 6.4 5.3 4.8 5.6 0.8 18.9 80.7%