Iowa
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.6#60
Expected Predictive Rating+9.8#59
Pace73.0#59
Improvement-1.8#265

Offense
Total Offense+9.1#18
First Shot+9.7#12
After Offensive Rebound-0.6#227
Layup/Dunks+7.0#8
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#107
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.8#68
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+1.0#145

Defense
Total Defense+0.5#164
First Shot-0.1#184
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#128
Layups/Dunks-3.7#310
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#122
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.1#241
Freethrows+3.9#5
Improvement-2.8#310
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Average Seed 11.4 11.4 n/a
.500 or above 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%
.500 or above in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
First Four0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
First Round0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Second Round0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Sweet Sixteen0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Final Four0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 98.9% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a0 - 80 - 8
Quad 1b2 - 52 - 14
Quad 26 - 08 - 14
Quad 32 - 110 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 335   Texas A&M - Commerce W 89-65 99%    
  Nov 07, 2024 240   Southern W 89-74 93%     1 - 0 +7.9 +12.6 -5.2
  Nov 12, 2024 237   South Dakota W 96-77 93%     2 - 0 +12.1 +12.1 -0.8
  Nov 15, 2024 120   Washington St. W 76-66 75%     3 - 0 +12.6 -4.3 +16.0
  Nov 19, 2024 303   Rider W 83-58 96%     4 - 0 +14.0 +0.9 +12.4
  Nov 22, 2024 55   Utah St. L 69-77 45%     4 - 1 +2.8 -9.4 +12.9
  Nov 26, 2024 349   South Carolina Upstate W 110-77 98%     5 - 1 +17.5 +15.5 -2.1
  Dec 03, 2024 49   Northwestern W 80-79 55%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +9.3 +11.8 -2.5
  Dec 07, 2024 31   @ Michigan L 83-85 24%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +14.9 +14.8 +0.3
  Dec 12, 2024 9   Iowa St. L 80-89 26%     6 - 3 +7.4 +15.6 -8.0
  Dec 15, 2024 354   New Orleans W 104-57 98%     7 - 3 +30.5 +23.4 +7.9
  Dec 21, 2024 68   Utah W 95-88 56%     8 - 3 +15.2 +15.7 -1.3
  Dec 30, 2024 353   New Hampshire W 112-70 98%     9 - 3 +25.7 +16.4 +3.2
  Jan 03, 2025 15   @ Wisconsin L 85-116 16%     9 - 4 1 - 2 -10.9 +13.7 -22.2
  Jan 07, 2025 57   Nebraska W 97-87 OT 59%     10 - 4 2 - 2 +17.3 +15.5 +0.5
  Jan 11, 2025 43   Indiana W 85-60 52%     11 - 4 3 - 2 +34.1 +15.2 +18.3
  Jan 14, 2025 61   @ USC L 89-99 40%     11 - 5 3 - 3 +2.2 +16.3 -13.7
  Jan 17, 2025 24   @ UCLA L 70-94 20%     11 - 6 3 - 4 -5.6 +9.5 -15.9
  Jan 21, 2025 84   Minnesota L 67-72 72%     11 - 7 3 - 5 -1.3 +0.3 -1.8
  Jan 24, 2025 58   Penn St. W 76-75 60%     12 - 7 4 - 5 +8.1 +8.6 -0.5
  Jan 27, 2025 39   @ Ohio St. L 65-82 28%     12 - 8 4 - 6 -1.4 -1.2 -0.2
  Feb 04, 2025 16   Purdue L 81-90 32%     12 - 9 4 - 7 +5.5 +12.7 -7.3
  Feb 08, 2025 15   Wisconsin L 63-74 31%     12 - 10 4 - 8 +3.6 -0.4 +3.3
  Feb 12, 2025 65   @ Rutgers W 84-73 44%     13 - 10 5 - 8 +22.0 +15.2 +6.9
  Feb 16, 2025 11   @ Maryland L 75-101 14%     13 - 11 5 - 9 -5.0 +7.4 -10.1
  Feb 19, 2025 35   Oregon L 78-80 45%     13 - 12 5 - 10 +8.9 +17.6 -8.9
  Feb 22, 2025 105   Washington W 85-79 79%     14 - 12 6 - 10 +7.2 +18.5 -10.9
  Feb 25, 2025 17   @ Illinois L 61-81 17%     14 - 13 6 - 11 -0.4 -1.1 -0.2
  Feb 28, 2025 49   @ Northwestern L 57-68 34%     14 - 14 6 - 12 +2.8 -0.1 +1.2
  Mar 06, 2025 8   Michigan St. L 84-91 25%     14 - 15 6 - 13 +9.8 +18.6 -8.7
  Mar 09, 2025 57   @ Nebraska W 83-68 38%     15 - 15 7 - 13 +27.8 +19.5 +8.7
  Mar 12, 2025 39   Ohio St. W 77-70 38%     16 - 15 +19.9 +15.9 +4.6
  Mar 13, 2025 17   Illinois L 83-90 24%    
Projected Record 17 - 16 7 - 13




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 1st
2nd 2nd
3rd 3rd
4th 4th
5th 5th
6th 6th
7th 7th
8th 8th
9th 9th
10th 10th
11th 11th
12th 100.0 100.0 12th
13th 13th
14th 14th
15th 15th
16th 16th
17th 17th
18th 18th
Total 100.0 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
Total



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7
12-8
11-9
10-10
9-11
8-12
7-13 100.0% 0.3% 0.3% 11.4 0.2 0.1 99.7 0.3%
6-14
5-15
4-16
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 0.3% 0.0% 0.3% 11.4 0.2 0.1 99.7 0.3%


Optimistic / Pessimistic Scenarios

ChanceTourney
Bid		Avg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Win Out 98.9% 0.3% 11.4 0.2 0.1
Lose Out 1.1%