Iowa
Big Ten
2023-24 - 2024-25 - 2025-26
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Overall
Predictive Rating+9.4#60
Expected Predictive Rating+9.3#57
Pace77.1#17
Improvement-2.8#308

Offense
Total Offense+8.6#18
First Shot+9.3#10
After Offensive Rebound-0.7#234
Layup/Dunks+6.8#10
2 Pt Jumpshots+1.1#109
3 Pt Jumpshots+3.7#68
Freethrows-2.3#313
Improvement+0.6#150

Defense
Total Defense+0.8#149
First Shot+0.1#176
After Offensive Rebounds+0.6#121
Layups/Dunks-3.6#312
2 Pt Jumpshots+0.8#116
3 Pt Jumpshots-1.0#236
Freethrows+3.9#5
Improvement-3.4#335
NowWin NextLose Next
#1 Overall Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
#1 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 2 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 4 Seed 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Top 6 Seed 0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
NCAA Tourney Bid 13.7% 13.8% 9.3%
At-Large Bid if not Auto Qualifier 13.4% 13.5% 9.3%
Average Seed 10.0 10.0 10.5
.500 or above 75.2% 75.4% 60.2%
.500 or above in Conference 13.3% 13.3% 12.7%
Conference Champion 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Last Place in Conference 7.0% 6.9% 8.5%
First Four6.1% 6.1% 5.9%
First Round10.6% 10.6% 6.8%
Second Round3.9% 4.0% 0.8%
Sweet Sixteen0.9% 0.9% 0.0%
Elite Eight0.2% 0.2% 0.0%
Final Four0.1% 0.1% 0.0%
Championship Game0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
National Champion0.0% 0.0% 0.0%

Next Game: Texas A&M - Commerce (Home) - 98.8% chance of victory

Projected Seeding Not in Tournament  

Projected Record by Quad
QuadProjectedProjected Cumulative
Quad 1a1 - 71 - 7
Quad 1b2 - 42 - 11
Quad 26 - 38 - 14
Quad 32 - 110 - 15
Quad 47 - 017 - 15


Date Opponent Result/Prediction Record Conf Rating Offense Defense
  Nov 04, 2024 343   Texas A&M - Commerce W 90-66 99%    
  Nov 07, 2024 224   Southern W 89-74 92%     1 - 0 +9.1 +13.2 -4.7
  Nov 12, 2024 262   South Dakota W 96-77 94%     2 - 0 +10.8 +9.5 +0.5
  Nov 15, 2024 103   Washington St. W 76-66 68%     3 - 0 +14.5 -1.7 +15.4
  Nov 19, 2024 303   Rider W 83-58 96%     4 - 0 +14.5 +2.3 +11.4
  Nov 22, 2024 49   Utah St. L 69-77 47%     4 - 1 +2.2 -6.9 +9.9
  Nov 26, 2024 346   South Carolina Upstate W 110-77 98%     5 - 1 +18.5 +16.0 -1.6
  Dec 03, 2024 56   Northwestern W 80-79 58%     6 - 1 1 - 0 +8.4 +11.4 -3.0
  Dec 07, 2024 18   @ Michigan L 83-85 19%     6 - 2 1 - 1 +16.6 +14.1 +2.6
  Dec 12, 2024 8   Iowa St. L 80-89 28%     6 - 3 +6.5 +14.5 -7.8
  Dec 15, 2024 351   New Orleans W 104-57 98%     7 - 3 +31.7 +24.8 +7.7
  Dec 21, 2024 84   Utah W 95-88 59%     8 - 3 +14.1 +15.7 -2.3
  Dec 30, 2024 357   New Hampshire W 112-70 98%     9 - 3 +25.7 +17.0 +2.6
  Jan 03, 2025 17   @ Wisconsin L 85-116 18%     9 - 4 1 - 2 -12.0 +12.6 -22.2
  Jan 07, 2025 48   Nebraska W 97-87 OT 55%     10 - 4 2 - 2 +18.1 +16.5 +0.3
  Jan 11, 2025 53   Indiana W 85-60 57%     11 - 4 3 - 2 +32.6 +13.3 +18.7
  Jan 14, 2025 54   @ USC L 89-99 38%     11 - 5 3 - 3 +2.4 +18.0 -15.1
  Jan 17, 2025 29   @ UCLA L 70-94 24%     11 - 6 3 - 4 -7.2 +8.9 -16.9
  Jan 21, 2025 92   Minnesota L 67-72 71%     11 - 7 3 - 5 -1.4 -0.3 -1.4
  Jan 24, 2025 50   Penn St. W 76-75 56%     12 - 7 4 - 5 +8.7 +8.6 +0.2
  Jan 27, 2025 25   @ Ohio St. L 65-82 23%     12 - 8 4 - 6 +0.1 +0.7 -0.5
  Feb 04, 2025 9   Purdue L 77-83 30%    
  Feb 08, 2025 17   Wisconsin L 81-86 33%    
  Feb 12, 2025 63   @ Rutgers L 82-84 41%    
  Feb 16, 2025 16   @ Maryland L 78-88 16%    
  Feb 19, 2025 45   Oregon W 82-81 54%    
  Feb 22, 2025 89   Washington W 84-78 72%    
  Feb 25, 2025 13   @ Illinois L 82-92 15%    
  Feb 28, 2025 56   @ Northwestern L 75-78 37%    
  Mar 06, 2025 15   Michigan St. L 79-84 33%    
  Mar 09, 2025 48   @ Nebraska L 79-83 34%    
Projected Record 17 - 14 8 - 12




Numbers in tables represent percent chance of outcome occurring.



Projected Big Ten Finish

0-20 1-19 2-18 3-17 4-16 5-15 6-14 7-13 8-12 9-11 10-10 11-9 12-8 13-7 14-6 15-5 16-4 17-3 18-2 19-1 20-0 Total
1st 0.0 0.0 1st
2nd 0.0 0.0 2nd
3rd 0.0 0.1 0.1 3rd
4th 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3 4th
5th 0.1 0.2 0.0 0.4 5th
6th 0.1 0.7 0.2 1.0 6th
7th 0.0 0.8 1.3 0.1 2.2 7th
8th 0.5 2.6 1.0 0.0 4.1 8th
9th 0.2 3.6 3.8 0.3 7.8 9th
10th 0.0 2.0 6.4 1.4 0.0 9.8 10th
11th 0.3 6.3 4.4 0.2 11.2 11th
12th 0.0 2.3 9.0 1.1 12.4 12th
13th 0.3 6.8 4.5 0.2 11.9 13th
14th 0.0 2.1 8.6 1.1 11.8 14th
15th 0.3 6.2 4.0 0.1 10.6 15th
16th 0.0 2.4 6.2 0.6 9.2 16th
17th 0.4 3.2 1.5 0.0 5.2 17th
18th 0.8 1.1 0.1 2.0 18th
Total 1.2 6.9 16.5 22.7 23.3 16.2 8.9 3.4 0.8 0.2 Total



Big Ten Regular Season Championship

Record Champion Total Outright 2-Way 3-Way 4-Way 5-Way 6-Way 7-Way 8-Way
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 5.0% 0.0    0.0
12-8 0.0%
11-9 0.0%
10-10 0.0%
Total 0.0% 0.0 0.0



NCAA Tournament Selection

Conf RecordRecord ChanceTourney
Bid		AutoAt-LargeAvg
Seed		 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 No Bid At-Large if not Auto
20-0
19-1
18-2
17-3
16-4
15-5
14-6
13-7 0.2% 95.0% 95.0% 7.8 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 95.0%
12-8 0.8% 93.3% 1.3% 92.0% 8.3 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.1 93.2%
11-9 3.4% 79.4% 2.0% 77.3% 9.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.5 0.8 0.9 0.4 0.7 78.9%
10-10 8.9% 57.0% 1.0% 56.0% 10.1 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.7 2.1 1.9 0.0 3.8 56.6%
9-11 16.2% 23.1% 0.6% 22.6% 10.7 0.1 0.3 0.6 2.6 0.2 12.4 22.7%
8-12 23.3% 5.4% 0.4% 5.0% 10.9 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.8 0.2 22.0 5.0%
7-13 22.7% 0.2% 0.2% 11.0 0.0 22.7 0.2%
6-14 16.5% 16.5
5-15 6.9% 6.9
4-16 1.2% 1.2
3-17
2-18
1-19
0-20
Total 100% 13.7% 0.4% 13.4% 10.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.4 1.1 2.0 3.9 5.7 0.5 86.3 13.4%